Improvements in the Life Expectancy of Type 1 Diabetes
Open accessAbstract
Survival in type 1 diabetes has improved, but the impact on life expectancy in the U.S. type 1 diabetes population is not well established. Our objective was to estimate the life expectancy of the Pittsburgh Epidemiology of Diabetes Complications (EDC) study cohort and quantify improvements by comparing two subcohorts based on year of diabetes diagnosis (1950-1964 [n = 390] vs. 1965-1980 [n = 543]). The EDC study is a prospective cohort study of 933 participants with childhood-onset (aged <17 years) type 1 diabetes diagnosed at Children's Hospital of Pittsburgh from 1950 to 1980. Mortality ascertainment was censored 31 December 2009. Abridged cohort life tables were constructed to calculate life expectancy. Death occurred in 237 (60.8%) of the 1950-1964 subcohort compared with 88 (16.2%) of the 1965-1980 subcohort. The life expectancy at birth for those diagnosed 1965-1980 was ~15 years greater than participants diagnosed 1950-1964 (68.8 [95% CI 64.7-72.8] vs. 53.4 [50.8-56.0] years, respectively) (P < 0.0001); this difference persisted regardless of sex or pubertal status at diagnosis. This improvement in life expectancy emphasizes the need for insurance companies to update analysis of the life expectancy of those with childhood-onset type 1 diabetes because weighting of insurance premiums is based on outdated estimates.
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Due in part to the success of modern diabetes management, people with type 1 diabetes are living longer, and the population over 65 years of age is growing.
“Due in part to the success of modern diabetes management, people with type 1 diabetes are living longer, and the population of these people over 65 years of age is growing (121-123).”
From 13. Older Adults: <i>Standards of Care in Diabetes—2024</i> (2024) · cites this paper as [122]
The Discussion (page unavailable) reports substantially improved life expectancy in the more recent childhood-onset type 1 diabetes cohort and identifies better treatment, glucose monitoring, and insulin administration as possible contributors. It does not report that the population with type 1 diabetes over age 65 is growing. (LLM, conf=0.87)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredDue in part to the success of modern diabetes management, people with type 1 diabetes are living longer, and the population of these people over 65 years of age is growing.
“Due in part to the success of modern diabetes management, people with type 1 diabetes are living longer, and the population of these people over 65 years of age is growing (136-138).”
From 13. Older Adults: Standards of Care in Diabetes—2025 (2025) · cites this paper as [137]
The Abstract reports that life expectancy was about 15 years greater in the Pittsburgh cohort diagnosed in 1965–1980 than in the cohort diagnosed in 1950–1964. The Discussion identifies improved treatment, glucose monitoring, and insulin administration as possible contributors. The paper does not establish that the population of people with type 1 diabetes over age 65 is growing. (LLM, conf=0.88)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredDue in part to the success of modern diabetes management, people with type 1 diabetes are living longer, and the population of people over 65 years with type 1 diabetes is growing.
“Due in part to the success of modern diabetes management, people with type 1 diabetes are living longer, and the population of people over 65 years with type 1 diabetes is growing (154–156).”
From 13. Older Adults: Standards of Care in Diabetes—2026 (2026) · cites this paper as [155]
The Abstract reports that life expectancy was about 15 years greater in the Pittsburgh cohort diagnosed in 1965–1980 than in the cohort diagnosed in 1950–1964. The Discussion identifies improved treatment and diabetes management as potential contributors. The paper does not establish that the population of people over 65 with type 1 diabetes is growing. (LLM, conf=0.88)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredThere is still no consensus on whether LADA represents a less aggressive version of T1DM, a mixture of T1DM and T2DM, or a separate entity.
“There is still no consensus on whether LADA represents a less aggressive version of T1DM, a mixture of T1DM and T2DM, or a separate entity7.”
From The epidemiology of type 1 diabetes mellitus in older adults (2025) · cites this paper as [7]
The Research Design and Methods and Discussion passages concern survival and life expectancy in childhood-onset type 1 diabetes. Searches for LADA and for the proposed relationship between type 1 and type 2 diabetes found no passage addressing LADA’s classification or whether there is a consensus. (LLM, conf=0.76)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredThe overall prevalence of type 1 diabetes is higher in adults than in children.
“Although the incidence peaks in puberty and early adulthood, new-onset type 1 diabetes occurs in all age-groups and people with type 1 diabetes live for many decades after onset of the disease, such that the overall prevalence of type 1 diabetes is higher in adults than in children, justifying our focus on type 1 diabetes in adults (1).”
From The management of type 1 diabetes in adults. A consensus report by the American Diabetes Association (ADA) and the European Association for the Study of Diabetes (EASD) (2021) · cites this paper as [1]
The Abstract reports life expectancy in a cohort with childhood-onset type 1 diabetes, which supports the surrounding point that people can live for decades after diagnosis. Neither it nor the retrieved passages compare type 1 diabetes prevalence in adults and children (searched: prevalence, adults, children, age distribution). (LLM, conf=0.73)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Cites
Lifetime risk for diabetes mellitus in the United States
Narayan, K. M. V. (2003) · JAMA · doi:10.1001/jama.290.14.1884 · Cited by 1,515 · see citing works
Long-term mortality in nationwide cohorts of childhood-onset type 1 diabetes in Japan and Finland
Asao, K., Sarti, C., Forsen, T., Hyttinen, V., Nishimura, R., Matsushima, M., Reunanen, A., Tuomilehto, J., Tajima, N., & for the Diabetes Epidemiology Research International (DERI) Mortality Study Group (2003) · Diabetes Care · doi:10.2337/diacare.26.7.2037 · Cited by 102 · see citing works
Flagged first, then by citations
Research works printed but not linked: 27
- [1]Borch-Johnsen K Kreiner S Deckert T Mortality of type 1 (insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus in Denmark: a study of relative mortality in 2930 Danish type 1 diabetic patients diagnosed from 1933 to 1972. Diabetologia 1986; 29: 767– 772 3493184
- [2]Sartor G Nyström L Dahlquist G The Swedish Childhood Diabetes Study: a seven-fold decrease in short-term mortality? Diabet Med 1991; 8: 18– 21 1826238
- [3]Borch-Johnsen K Improving prognosis of type 1 diabetes. Mortality, accidents, and impact on insurance. Diabetes Care 1999; 22(Suppl. 2): B1– B3 10097891
- [4]Podar T Solntsev A Reunanen A Mortality in patients with childhood-onset type 1 diabetes in Finland, Estonia, and Lithuania: follow-up of nationwide cohorts. Diabetes Care 2000; 23: 290– 294 10868853
- [6]Pambianco G Costacou T Ellis D Becker DJ Klein R Orchard TJ The 30-year natural history of type 1 diabetes complications: the Pittsburgh Epidemiology of Diabetes Complications Study experience. Diabetes 2006; 55: 1463– 1469 16644706
- [7]Skrivarhaug T Bangstad HJ Stene LC Sandvik L Hanssen KF Joner G Long-term mortality in a nationwide cohort of childhood-onset type 1 diabetic patients in Norway. Diabetologia 2006; 49: 298– 305 16365724
- [8]Secrest AM Becker DJ Kelsey SF LaPorte RE Orchard TJ All-cause mortality trends in a large population-based cohort with long-standing childhood-onset type 1 diabetes: the Allegheny County type 1 diabetes registry. Diabetes Care 2010; 33: 2573– 2579 21115767 PMC2992193
- [9]McNally PG Raymond NT Burden ML Trends in mortality of childhood-onset insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus in Leicestershire: 1940-1991. Diabet Med 1995; 12: 961– 966 8582127
- [10]Brown LJ Scott RS Moir CL All-cause mortality in the Canterbury (New Zealand) insulin-treated Diabetic Registry population. Diabetes Care 2001; 24: 56– 63 11194242
- [11]Goodkin G Mortality factors in diabetes. A 20 year mortality study. J Occup Med 1975; 17: 716– 721 1195031
- [15]Smith DP Formal demography. New York, Plenum Press, 1992
- [16]Kostraba JN Dorman JS LaPorte RE The investigation of age at onset as a risk factor for mortality in persons with insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus using Cox proportional hazards models. Am J Epidemiol 1991; 133: 67– 72 1983900
- [18]Diabetes Epidemiology Research International Mortality Study Group Major cross-country differences in risk of dying for people with IDDM. Diabetes Care 1991; 14: 49– 54 1991435
- [19]LaPorte RE Fishbein HA Drash AL The Pittsburgh insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus (IDDM) registry. The incidence of insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus in Allegheny County, Pennsylvania (1965-1976). Diabetes 1981; 30: 279– 284 7202862
- [20]Secrest AM Becker DJ Kelsey SF Laporte RE Orchard TJ Cause-specific mortality trends in a large population-based cohort with long-standing childhood-onset type 1 diabetes. Diabetes 2010; 59: 3216– 3222 20739685 PMC2992785
- [21]Arias E United States Life Tables, 2006. National Vital Statistics Reports, Vol 58, No 21. Hyattsville, MD, National Center for Health Statistics, 2010 21043319
- [22]Ioacara S Lichiardopol R Ionescu-Tirgoviste C Improvements in life expectancy in type 1 diabetes patients in the last six decades. Diabetes Res Clin Pract 2009; 86: 146– 151 19783316
- [23]Wagener DK Sacks JM LaPorte RE Macgregor JM The Pittsburgh study of insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus. Risk for diabetes among relatives of IDDM. Diabetes 1982; 31: 136– 144 6759229
- [24]Scibilia J Finegold D Dorman J Becker D Drash A Why do children with diabetes die? Acta Endocrinol Suppl (Copenh) 1986; 279: 326– 333 3096039
- [25]Diabetes Epidemiology Research International Mortality Study Group International evaluation of cause-specific mortality and IDDM. Diabetes Care 1991; 14: 55– 60 1991436
- [26]Nathan DM Zinman B Cleary PA Diabetes Control and Complications Trial/Epidemiology of Diabetes Interventions and Complications (DCCT/EDIC) Research Group Modern-day clinical course of type 1 diabetes mellitus after 30 years’ duration: the diabetes control and complications trial/epidemiology of diabetes interventions and complications and Pittsburgh epidemiology of diabetes complications experience (1983-2005). Arch Intern Med 2009; 169: 1307– 1316 19636033 PMC2866072
- [27]Nishimura R Dorman JS Bosnyak Z Tajima N Becker DJ Orchard TJ Diabetes Epidemiology Research International Mortality Study Allegheny County Registry Incidence of ESRD and survival after renal replacement therapy in patients with type 1 diabetes: a report from the Allegheny County Registry. Am J Kidney Dis 2003; 42: 117– 124 12830463
- [28]Finne P Reunanen A Stenman S Groop PH Grönhagen-Riska C Incidence of end-stage renal disease in patients with type 1 diabetes. JAMA 2005; 294: 1782– 1787 16219881
- [29]Sobolewski BA Zgibor JC Orchard TJ ACE inhibitors and calcium channel blockers: patterns of use and associations with mortality in type 1 diabetes. Diabetes Res Clin Pract 2004; 65: 37– 43 15163476
- [30]Groop PH Thomas MC Moran JL FinnDiane Study Group The presence and severity of chronic kidney disease predicts all-cause mortality in type 1 diabetes. Diabetes 2009; 58: 1651– 1658 19401416 PMC2699848
- [31]Orchard TJ Secrest AM Miller RG Costacou T In the absence of renal disease, 20 year mortality risk in type 1 diabetes is comparable to that of the general population: a report from the Pittsburgh Epidemiology of Diabetes Complications Study. Diabetologia 2010; 53: 2312– 2319 20665208 PMC3057031
- [32]Kearney PM Blackwell L Collins R Cholesterol Treatment Trialists’ (CTT) Collaborators Efficacy of cholesterol-lowering therapy in 18,686 people with diabetes in 14 randomised trials of statins: a meta-analysis. Lancet 2008; 371: 117– 125 18191683
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Gregory, G. A., Robinson, T. I. G., Linklater, S. E., Wang, F., Colagiuri, S., de Beaufort, C., Donaghue, K. C., Harding, J. L., Wander, P. L., Zhang, X., et al. (2022) · The Lancet Diabetes & Endocrinology · doi:10.1016/s2213-8587(22)00218-2 · Cited by 1,149 · see citing works
Holt, R. I. G., DeVries, J. H., Hess-Fischl, A., Hirsch, I. B., Kirkman, M. S., Klupa, T., Ludwig, B., Nørgaard, K., Pettus, J., Renard, E., et al. (2021) · Diabetes Care · doi:10.2337/dci21-0043 · Cited by 699 · see citing works
Type 2 diabetes mellitus in older adults: clinical considerations and management
Bellary, S., Kyrou, I., Brown, J. E., & Bailey, C. J. (2021) · Nature Reviews Endocrinology · doi:10.1038/s41574-021-00512-2 · Cited by 639 · see citing works
Estimated life expectancy in a Scottish cohort with type 1 diabetes, 2008-2010
Livingstone, S. J., Levin, D., Looker, H. C., Lindsay, R. S., Wild, S. H., Joss, N., Leese, G., Leslie, P., McCrimmon, R. J., Metcalfe, W., et al. (2015) · JAMA · doi:10.1001/jama.2014.16425 · Cited by 621 · see citing works
Association between 7 years of intensive treatment of type 1 diabetes and long-term mortality
Orchard, T. J., Nathan, D. M., Zinman, B., Cleary, P., Brillon, D., Backlund, J.-Y. C., & Lachin, J. M. (2015) · JAMA · doi:10.1001/jama.2014.16107 · Cited by 437 · see citing works
Self-citation13. Older Adults: <i>Standards of Medical Care in Diabetes—2022</i>
American Diabetes Association Professional Practice Committee (2022) · Diabetes Care · doi:10.2337/dc22-s013 · Cited by 381 · see citing works
13. Older Adults: Standards of Care in Diabetes—2025
American Diabetes Association Professional Practice Committee, ElSayed, N. A., McCoy, R. G., Aleppo, G., Balapattabi, K., Beverly, E. A., Briggs Early, K., Bruemmer, D., Echouffo-Tcheugui, J. B., Ekhlaspour, L., et al. (2025) · Diabetes Care · doi:10.2337/dc25-s013 · Cited by 209 · see citing works
The journey of islet cell transplantation and future development
Gamble, A., Pepper, A. R., Bruni, A., & Shapiro, A. M. J. (2018) · Islets · doi:10.1080/19382014.2018.1428511 · Cited by 171 · see citing works
13. Older Adults: <i>Standards of Care in Diabetes—2024</i>
American Diabetes Association Professional Practice Committee, ElSayed, N. A., Aleppo, G., Bannuru, R. R., Bruemmer, D., Collins, B. S., Ekhlaspour, L., Hilliard, M. E., Johnson, E. L., Khunti, K., et al. (2024) · Diabetes Care · doi:10.2337/dc24-s013 · Cited by 161 · see citing works
Boughton, C. K., Hartnell, S., Thabit, H., Mubita, W. M., Draxlbauer, K., Poettler, T., Wilinska, M. E., Hood, K. K., Mader, J. K., Narendran, P., et al. (2022) · The Lancet Healthy Longevity · doi:10.1016/s2666-7568(22)00005-8 · Cited by 127 · see citing works
Care of diabetes in children and adolescents: controversies, changes, and consensus
Cameron, F. J., & Wherrett, D. K. (2015) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(15)60971-0 · Cited by 99 · see citing works
13. Older Adults: Standards of Care in Diabetes—2026
American Diabetes Association Professional Practice Committee for Diabetes*, Bajaj, M., McCoy, R. G., Balapattabi, K., Bannuru, R. R., Bellini, N. J., Bennett, A. K., Beverly, E. A., Briggs Early, K., ChallaSivaKanaka, S., et al. (2026) · Diabetes Care · doi:10.2337/dc26-s013 · Cited by 87 · see citing works
White matter hyperintensities in middle-aged adults with childhood-onset type 1 diabetes
Nunley, K. A., Ryan, C. M., Orchard, T. J., Aizenstein, H. J., Jennings, J. R., Ryan, J., Zgibor, J. C., Boudreau, R. M., Costacou, T., Maynard, J. D., et al. (2015) · Neurology · doi:10.1212/wnl.0000000000001582 · Cited by 68 · see citing works
Self-citationBraune, K., Gajewska, K. A., Thieffry, A., Lewis, D. M., Froment, T., O'Donnell, S., Speight, J., Hendrieckx, C., Schipp, J., Skinner, T., et al. (2021) · Journal of Medical Internet Research · doi:10.2196/25409 · Cited by 67 · see citing works
The epidemiology of type 1 diabetes mellitus in older adults
Tomic, D., Harding, J. L., Jenkins, A. J., Shaw, J. E., & Magliano, D. J. (2025) · Nature Reviews Endocrinology · doi:10.1038/s41574-024-01046-z · Cited by 58 · see citing works
Bjerg, L., Hulman, A., Carstensen, B., Charles, M., Witte, D. R., & Jørgensen, M. E. (2019) · Diabetologia · doi:10.1007/s00125-019-4812-6 · Cited by 39 · see citing works
- Authors
- Miller, R. G., Secrest, A. M., Sharma, R. K., Songer, T. J., & Orchard, T. J.
- Affiliations
- University of Pittsburgh (US)
- Corresponding author
- Orchard, Trevor J.
- Venue
- Diabetes
- Publisher
- American Diabetes Association
- Published
- 2012-10-16
- Volume
- 61
- Issue
- 11
- Pages
- 2987-2992
- ISSN
- 0012-1797 (ISSN-L)
- 1939-327X
- PMC
- PMC3478551
- OpenAlex
- W2112770241
- Cited by
- 293
- References
- 2
- Citations by year
- 2026: 10 · 2025: 26 · 2024: 23 · 2023: 16 · 2022: 24 · 2021: 25 · 2020: 16 · 2019: 22 · 2018: 24 · 2017: 24 · 2016: 24 · 2015: 29 · 2014: 15 · 2013: 14 · 2012: 1
- FWCI
- 15.14
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Diabetes (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- American Diabetes Association
- National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases (R01DK034818)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Diabetes Management and Research
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Genetics › Diabetes and associated disorders
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Diabetes Management and Education
- Keywords
- type 1 diabetes, life expectancy, mortality, childhood-onset diabetes, Pittsburgh Epidemiology of Diabetes Complications Study, life tables, pubertal stage, sex differences
- MeSH terms
- Adolescent, Child, Child, Preschool, Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Hospitals, Pediatric, Hospitals, Urban, Humans, Infant, Life Expectancy, Male, Pennsylvania, Prospective Studies, Cohort Studies, Life Tables, Survival Analysis
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review