The DOI matches its Crossref record; 18 of the 19 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
The Russia-Ukraine Crisis: Implications for Global and Regional Food Security and Potential Policy Responses
Open accessAbstract
This paper analyzes the implications of the Russian-Ukraine crisis on global and regional food security. We start with a global vulnerability analysis to identify most vulnerable regions and countries. The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region is particularly vulnerable to trade shocks because of its high food import dependence. Thus, we provide descriptive evidence characterizing how food systems and policies impact vulnerability to the price shock in selected MENA countries: Egypt, Sudan, and Yemen. Within these countries, we show that the crisis will differentially impact poor and non-poor households as well as rural and urban households. Although the absolute level of food insecurity may still be higher in rural areas where larger numbers of poor households are located, urban poor are likely to suffer most because of the Russia-Ukraine crisis and associated hikes in food prices, especially in those countries where social protection and food subsidies are missing. On the policy side, we review lessons from previous food crises and identify actions needed to take (and to avoid) to protect most vulnerable countries and households in the short-term while also highlighting long-term policy options to diversify food, fertilizer and energy production and trade.
Overview
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
In Egypt, the government spends around $3 billion a year on wheat imports, most of which goes toward a bread subsidy program covering 73% of Egyptian families, and the recent spike in wheat prices has significantly increased the expense of administering this program.
“in Egypt, the government spends around $3 billion a year on wheat imports, most of which goes toward a bread subsidy program, the Tamween ration card system, covering 73% of Egyptian families [50]. The recent spike in wheat prices has resulted in a significant increase in the expense of administering this program [49].”
From Impacts of the Russia-Ukraine War on Global Food Security: Towards More Sustainable and Resilient Food Systems? (2022) · cites this paper as [49]
Low-income families will be particularly affected by increased food prices since they spend most of their income on food.
“low-income families will be particularly affected by increased food prices since they spend most of their income on food [49].”
From Impacts of the Russia-Ukraine War on Global Food Security: Towards More Sustainable and Resilient Food Systems? (2022) · cites this paper as [49]
Citations
Cites
Affordability of the EAT–Lancet reference diet: a global analysis
Hirvonen, K., Bai, Y., Headey, D., & Masters, W. A. (2019) · The Lancet Global Health · doi:10.1016/s2214-109x(19)30447-4 · Cited by 681
Headey, D. D., & Alderman, H. H. (2019) · The Journal of Nutrition · doi:10.1093/jn/nxz158 · Cited by 368
Futures Markets and the Theory of the Firm Under Price Uncertainty
Feder, G., Just, R. E., & Schmitz, A. (1980) · The Quarterly Journal of Economics · doi:10.2307/1884543 · Cited by 270
Fragility and Conflict: On the Front Lines of the Fight against Poverty
Corral, P., Irwin, A., Krishnan, N., Mahler, D. G., & Vishwanath, T. (2020) · World Bank, Washington, DC eBooks · doi:10.1596/978-1-4648-1540-9 · Cited by 128
Beyond Scarcity: Water Security in the Middle East and North Africa
Bank, W. (2017) · World Bank, Washington, DC eBooks · doi:10.1596/978-1-4648-1144-9 · Cited by 121
COVID-19 and Food Security in Ethiopia: Do Social Protection Programs Protect?
Abay, K. A., Berhane, G., Hoddinott, J. F., & Tafere, K. (2021) · Economic Development and Cultural Change · doi:10.1086/715831 · Cited by 74
Self-citationFood policies and obesity in low- and middle-income countries
Abay, K. A., Ibrahim, H., & Breisinger, C. (2021) · World Development · doi:10.1016/j.worlddev.2021.105775 · Cited by 56
Self-citationThe nutritional benefits of cash transfers in humanitarian crises: evidence from Yemen
Kurdi, S. (2021) · World Development · doi:10.1016/j.worlddev.2021.105664 · Cited by 35
Self-citationLaborde, D., & Mamun, A. A. (2022) · doi:10.2499/p15738coll2.135857 · Cited by 22
Headey, D., & Hirvonen, K. (2023) · doi:10.2499/9780896294394_02 · Cited by 12
Pérez, N. D., Kassim, Y., Ringler, C., Thomas, T. S., ElDidi, H., & Breisinger, C. (2021) · doi:10.2499/9780896294189 · Cited by 11
Self-citationFood subsidies and cash transfers in Egypt: Evaluating general equilibrium benefits and trade-offs
Breisinger, C., Kassim, Y., Kurdi, S., Randriamamonjy, J., & Thurlow, J. (2021) · doi:10.2499/p15738coll2.134427 · Cited by 10
Self-citationDoes Ramadan Have Any Effect on Food Prices: A Dual-Calendar Perspective on the Turkish Data
Yucel, E. M. (2005) · Munich Personal RePEc Archive (Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich) · Cited by 8
An assessment of Sudan’s wheat value chains: Exploring key bottlenecks and challenges
Abdelaziz, F., William, A., Abay, K. A., & Siddig, K. (2022) · doi:10.2499/p15738coll2.135876 · Cited by 5
Self-citationDistributional consequences of wheat policy in Sudan: A simulation model analysis
Dorosh, P. A. (2021) · doi:10.2499/p15738coll2.134867 · Cited by 4
The Russia-Ukraine conflict is likely to compound Sudan’s existing food security problems
Breisinger, C., Kirui, O. K., Dorosh, P. A., Glauber, J. W. W., & Laborde, D. (2023) · doi:10.2499/9780896294394_30 · Cited by 4
Self-citationEvaluating cereal market (dis)integration in Sudan
Abay, K. A., Abdelfattah, L. A., Breisinger, C., & Siddig, K. (2021) · doi:10.2499/p15738coll2.134968 · Cited by 1
Self-citation
Flagged first, then by citations
1 of the 19 references couldn’t be matched to a known paper.
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Ben Hassen, T., & El Bilali, H. (2022) · Foods · doi:10.3390/foods11152301 · Cited by 745
Spatially differentiated nitrogen supply is key in a global food–fertilizer price crisis
Snapp, S. S., Sapkota, T. B., Chamberlin, J., Cox, C. M., Gameda, S., Jat, M. L., Marenya, P., Mottaleb, K. A., Negra, C., Senthilkumar, K., et al. (2023) · Nature Sustainability · doi:10.1038/s41893-023-01166-w · Cited by 92
The impact of the Russian invasion of Ukraine on grain and oilseed trade
Ahn, S., Kim, D., & Steinbach, S. (2022) · Agribusiness · doi:10.1002/agr.21794 · Cited by 56
Bertassello, L., Winters, P., & Müller, M. F. (2023) · Nature Food · doi:10.1038/s43016-023-00806-w · Cited by 35
The Russia-Ukraine war decreases food affordability but could reduce global greenhouse gas emissions
van Meijl, H., Bartelings, H., van Berkum, S., Cui, H. D., Kristkova, Z. S., & van Zeist, W. (2024) · Communications Earth & Environment · doi:10.1038/s43247-024-01208-x · Cited by 33
Global food policy report 2023: Rethinking food crisis responses
International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI), Ecker, O., Läderach, P., & Maystadt, J.-F. (2023) · CGSPace A Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (Consultative Group for International Agricultural Research) · doi:10.2499/9780896294417 · Cited by 42
Hassen, T. B., & Bilali, H. E. (2024) · Agriculture & Food Security · doi:10.1186/s40066-024-00467-3 · Cited by 30
Economic impacts of the Black Sea Grain Initiative
Poursina, D., Schaefer, K. A., Hilburn, S., & Johnson, T. (2023) · Journal of Agricultural Economics · doi:10.1111/1477-9552.12549 · Cited by 25
Evaluating cereal market (dis)integration in less developed and fragile markets: The case of Sudan
Abay, K. A., Abdelfattah, L. A., Breisinger, C., & Siddig, K. (2022) · Food Policy · doi:10.1016/j.foodpol.2022.102399 · Cited by 18
Self-citationHow does the opening of high-speed rail drive energy restructuring? New micro evidence from China
Feng, Y., Zhang, J., Luo, R., Pan, Y., & Niu, S. (2024) · Humanities and Social Sciences Communications · doi:10.1057/s41599-024-02622-4 · Cited by 18
Піляєв, І. (2022) · Economy of Ukraine · doi:10.15407/economyukr.2022.07.003 · Cited by 13
Restaurants Industry Recovery Challenges from COVID-19 Amidst the Russo-Ukrainian War
Ndhlovu, E., & Dube, K. (2023) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-031-22257-3_18 · Cited by 13
Food security in the United Arab Emirates: External cereal supply risks
Ali, B. M., Manikas, I., & Sundarakani, B. (2022) · Cogent Economics & Finance · doi:10.1080/23322039.2022.2149491 · Cited by 12
Famine and Russia’s war against Ukraine
Yatsiv, I., Fediv, I., Yatsiv, S., Fediv, R., & Miller, A. D. (2023) · International Journal of Environmental Studies · doi:10.1080/00207233.2023.2170589 · Cited by 9
Zero-hunger through the lens of food security in populous Asia: pre and post-pandemic
Ashraf, J., Jun, M., Ali, S., Ghufran, M. A., & Peng, X. (2024) · Frontiers in Sustainable Food Systems · doi:10.3389/fsufs.2024.1210385 · Cited by 9
Ukrainian Education in the War and Post-War Periods: Psychological Factors and Economic Consequences
Safonov, Y., & Flіarkovska, O. (2023) · Problemi osvìti · doi:10.52256/2710-3986.1-98.2023.01 · Cited by 7
Egypt: Impacts of the Ukraine and global crises on poverty and food security
Abay, K. A., Abdelradi, F., Breisinger, C., Diao, X., Dorosh, P. A., Pauw, K., Randriamamonjy, J., Raouf, M., & Thurlow, J. (2022) · doi:10.2499/p15738coll2.136321 · Cited by 7
Self-citationFood security in times of war: Double discourse and violent conflicts. The case of Russia, 2014–2022
Dufy, C. (2023) · International Sociology · doi:10.1177/02685809231203196 · Cited by 6
Rusya –Ukrayna Krizinin Dünya Gıda Güvenliğine Etkileri
HARUNOĞULLARI, M., & Ayhan, G. (2023) · Coğrafi Bilimler Dergisi · doi:10.33688/aucbd.1324325 · Cited by 6
The Impact of the Russian-Ukrainian War on Global Food and Environmental Security
Kapelista, I., Korniyenko, G., Скляр, В. Г., Войціцька, К. М., & Derman, V. (2023) · WSEAS TRANSACTIONS ON ENVIRONMENT AND DEVELOPMENT · doi:10.37394/232015.2023.19.76 · Cited by 5
Food security of Ukraine: national and global level
Melnyk, T., Tunitska, Y., & Banas, D. (2023) · Economics and Business Review/The Poznań University of Economics Review · doi:10.18559/ebr.2023.3.927 · Cited by 5
The Impact of the War in Ukraine on the Food Security of Low-Income Countries
Shevchuk, O. A., Ilyash, O. I., Kozlovskyi, S., Roshchyna, N., Hrynkevych, S., Бутенко, В., & Мажара, Г. (2023) · Problemy Ekorozwoju · doi:10.35784/preko.3927 · Cited by 5
Lim, S., & Oh, S. (2024) · Journal of the Agricultural and Applied Economics Association · doi:10.1002/jaa2.141 · Cited by 4
Han, J., Lee, S., & Kim, J. (2024) · Agronomy · doi:10.3390/agronomy14102440 · Cited by 4
The Russian-Ukrainian War Effects on Global Food Trade: A Review
Ardan, M. C., Marzaman, A. P., & Deni, S. (2023) · Journal of Political Science and International Relations · doi:10.11648/j.jpsir.20230602.14 · Cited by 6
Zając, A. A., & Bogisz, M. (2024) · Zeszyty Naukowe SGGW w Warszawie - Problemy Rolnictwa Światowego · doi:10.22630/prs.2024.24.4.15 · Cited by 3
Food Price Bubbles: Food Price Indices of Turkey, the FAO, the OECD, and the IMF
ÖZCAN, K. A. (2023) · Sustainability · doi:10.3390/su15139947 · Cited by 2
Food Insecurity in the Global South: Food System Challenges
Evivie, S. E., Owolabi, K. E., & Ogunmayowa, O. (2024) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-981-97-2428-4_2 · Cited by 5
IMPACT OF THE UKRAINIAN CRISIS ON THE ARAB FOOD SECURITY IN THE LIGHT OF THE GLOBAL FOOD CRISIS
Mohsen, M. A. I. K. J., & Mohsen, M. A. I. K. J. (2022) · Journal of Southwest Jiaotong University · doi:10.35741/issn.0258-2724.57.6.106 · Cited by 1
Wandel, J. (2023) · International Journal of Management and Economics · doi:10.2478/ijme-2023-0009 · Cited by 1
ГЛОБАЛЬНА ПРОДОВОЛЬЧА БЕЗПЕКА: ДРАЙВЕРИ КРИЗИ
Sychova, A. O. (2023) · ГРААЛЬ НАУКИ · doi:10.36074/grail-of-science.10.11.2023.50 · Cited by 1
The norway's policy in the context of the Russia's special military operation in Ukraine
Skripka, I. (2023) · Contemporary Europe · doi:10.31857/s0201708323060050 · Cited by 1
Aktas, M. E., & Eroğlu, S. N. (2025) · Advances in computational intelligence and robotics book series · doi:10.4018/979-8-3373-3643-5.ch005 · Cited by 1
The Ukraine War and the Bread Crisis in the Middle East
Marzban, A., & Moslehi, S. (2022) · Journal of Human Environment and Health Promotion · doi:10.52547/jhehp.8.3.172 · Cited by 1
Huang, X. (2023) · Advances in economics, business and management research/Advances in Economics, Business and Management Research · doi:10.2991/978-94-6463-142-5_64
Understanding the grain deal and its pitfalls: Going beyond food security?
Dufy, C. (2024) · New Perspectives · doi:10.1177/2336825x241240930
FOOD SECURITY: TRANSNATIONAL PLATFORMS FOR JOINT SOLUTIONS SEARCHING
Sychova, A. O. (2024) · Scientific Journal Regional Studies · doi:10.32782/2663-6170/2024.37.12
Eating ourselves safe: intersections of food, militarisms and national security in Sweden
Bendfeldt, L., & Clifford, E. (2025) · Critical Military Studies · doi:10.1080/23337486.2025.2583757
Mena Bölgesinde Gıda Arzı Güvenliği: Çevresel, Ekonomik ve Sosyo-Politik Kırılganlıkların Analizi
Özkaya-Lassalle, K. E., & Ak, R. (2025) · Maliye Finans Yazıları · doi:10.33203/mfy.1837045
Mutale, B., & Mayanja, E. K. (2026) · Cogent Economics & Finance · doi:10.1080/23322039.2026.2749291
Metadata
- Authors
- Abay, K. A., Breisinger, C., Glauber, J. W., Kurdi, S., Laborde Debucquet, D., & Siddig, K.
- Published
- 2022
- OpenAlex
- W4285271366
- Cited by
- 41
- References
- 19
- Citations by year
- 2026: 1 · 2025: 3 · 2024: 11 · 2023: 18 · 2022: 8
- Type
- report
- Language
- en
- Open access
- Licence
- other-oa
- Locations
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- IFPRI E-brary (International Food Policy Research Institute) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- CGSPace A Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (Consultative Group for International Agricultural Research) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- International Food Policy Research Institute (International Food Policy Research Institute) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Funders
- International Fine Particle Research Institute
- Consortium of International Agricultural Research Centers
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Economics of Agriculture and Food Markets
- Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › General Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Food Security and Socioeconomic Dynamics
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Agricultural risk and resilience
- Keywords
- Russian invasion of Ukraine, food security, food price shocks, trade shocks, Middle East and North Africa, Egypt, Sudan, Yemen, household food insecurity, urban-rural differences, poverty, social protection, food subsidies, food system policy, food diversification, fertilizer supply, energy security, food import dependence
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review