Burden of salmonellosis, campylobacteriosis and listeriosis: a time series analysis, Belgium, 2012 to 2020
Open accessAbstract
Salmonellosis, campylobacteriosis and listeriosis are food-borne diseases. We estimated and forecasted the number of cases of these three diseases in Belgium from 2012 to 2020, and calculated the corresponding number of disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). The salmonellosis time series was fitted with a Bai and Perron two-breakpoint model, while a dynamic linear model was used for campylobacteriosis and a Poisson autoregressive model for listeriosis. The average monthly number of cases of salmonellosis was 264 (standard deviation (SD): 86) in 2012 and predicted to be 212 (SD: 87) in 2020; campylobacteriosis case numbers were 633 (SD: 81) and 1,081 (SD: 311); listeriosis case numbers were 5 (SD: 2) in 2012 and 6 (SD: 3) in 2014. After applying correction factors, the estimated DALYs for salmonellosis were 102 (95% uncertainty interval (UI): 8–376) in 2012 and predicted to be 82 (95% UI: 6–310) in 2020; campylobacteriosis DALYs were 1,019 (95% UI: 137–3,181) and 1,736 (95% UI: 178–5,874); listeriosis DALYs were 208 (95% UI: 192–226) in 2012 and 252 (95% UI: 200–307) in 2014. New actions are needed to reduce the risk of food-borne infection with Campylobacter spp. because campylobacteriosis incidence may almost double through 2020.
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These bacteria are increasingly resistant to conventional antibiotics.
“These bacteria are increasingly resistant to conventional antibiotics (Maertens de Noordhout et al. 2017;Agnieszka and Katarzyna 2018).”
From Ethnomedicine, improved traditional medicine from Cocos nucifera water and evaluation of antibacterial activity on four bacterial strains in Center, Cameroon (2024) · cites this paper as Maertens de Noordhout et al. 2017
The Introduction identifies the bacteria and describes their infections, while the Conclusion discusses projected disease incidence in Belgium; neither addresses antibiotic resistance. Searches for increasing antibiotic resistance and antimicrobial-resistance trends found no passage supporting the attributed claim. (LLM, conf=0.72)
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The global burden of listeriosis: a systematic review and meta-analysis
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Self-citationBavishi, C., & DuPont, H. L. (2011) · Alimentary Pharmacology & Therapeutics · doi:10.1111/j.1365-2036.2011.04874.x · Cited by 480 · see citing works
Disease burden of foodborne pathogens in the Netherlands, 2009
Havelaar, A. H., Haagsma, J. A., Mangen, M.-J. J., Kemmeren, J. M., Verhoef, L. P. B., Vijgen, S. M. C., Wilson, M., Friesema, I. H. M., Kortbeek, L. M., van Duynhoven, Y. T. H. P., et al. (2012) · International Journal of Food Microbiology · doi:10.1016/j.ijfoodmicro.2012.03.029 · Cited by 380 · see citing works
Self-citationHald, T., Aspinall, W., Devleesschauwer, B., Cooke, R., Corrigan, T., Havelaar, A. H., Gibb, H. J., Torgerson, P. R., Kirk, M. D., Angulo, F. J., et al. (2016) · PLOS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0145839 · Cited by 242 · see citing works
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LAMY, G. M. L., LIKENG, J. L. N., NDJIB, R. C., NDOUNGA, S. E. N., ELOMO, L. B., MBUH, S. M., NNANGA, L. S., MAHAMA, M., BIYON, J. B. N., HARMSEN, K., et al. (2024) · Asian Journal of Natural Product Biochemistry · doi:10.13057/biofar/f220104
- Authors
- Maertens de Noordhout, C., Devleesschauwer, B., Haagsma, J. A., Havelaar, A. H., Bertrand, S., Vandenberg, O., Quoilin, S., Brandt, P. T., & Speybroeck, N.
- Affiliations
- Institute of Health and Society (IRSS), Université catholique de Louvain, Brussels, Belgium
- Institut Scientifique de Santé Publique (BE)
- Erasmus MC (NL)
- Utrecht University (NL)
- Université Libre de Bruxelles (BE)
- The University of Texas at Dallas (US)
- UCLouvain (BE)
- ORCID
- Venue
- Eurosurveillance
- Published
- 2017-09-21
- Volume
- 22
- Issue
- 38
- ISSN
- 1025-496X (ISSN-L)
- 1560-7917
- PMC
- PMC5709949
- OpenAlex
- W2758407039
- Cited by
- 29
- References
- 7
- Citations by year
- 2026: 1 · 2025: 5 · 2024: 6 · 2023: 3 · 2022: 3 · 2021: 7 · 2020: 2 · 2019: 2
- FWCI
- 1.23
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- diamond
- doi.org
- Locations
- Eurosurveillance (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Ghent University Academic Bibliography (Ghent University) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- EUR Research Repository (Erasmus University Rotterdam) (submittedVersion)
- Utrecht University Repository (Utrecht University) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Food Science › Salmonella and Campylobacter epidemiology
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Biotechnology › Listeria monocytogenes in Food Safety
- Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Food Science › Food Safety and Hygiene
- Keywords
- salmonellosis, campylobacteriosis, listeriosis, food poisoning, disability-adjusted life years, disease burden, incidence forecasting, Campylobacter, Salmonella, Listeria monocytogenes, Belgium
- MeSH terms
- Belgium, Campylobacter Infections, Foodborne Diseases, Humans, Listeriosis, Salmonella Infections, Time Factors, Global Health, Incidence, Cost of Illness, Models, Economic, Quality-Adjusted Life Years
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