Cited by 8Criminal Justice and Corrections AnalysisCensus and Population EstimationRacial and Ethnic Identity Research

Race and Ethnicity (Mis)measurement in the U.S. Criminal Justice System

Open access
Finlay, Keith, Luh, Elizabeth, Mueller-Smith, Michael·2024·National Bureau of Economic Research

Abstract

The United States criminal justice system is characterized by substantial disparities in outcomes across racial and ethnic groups.Understanding these disparities requires accurate measures of race and ethnicity of people involved in the justice system.We document how race and ethnicity are recorded by administrative agents and how operational concerns limit corrections to misreported race and ethnicity.To understand the impacts of these administrative processes, this paper uses novel linkages between person-level microdata from the Criminal Justice Administrative Records System (CJARS) and race and ethnicity composites from U.S. Census Bureau census and administrative records, mostly composed of self-reported or family-reported race/ethnicity, to quantify mismeasurement of race and ethnicity in the justice system.We find that 17 percent of misdemeanor and felony defendants and 10 percent of prison inmates have an agency-recorded label that does not concord with the composite measure, largely driven by justice agencies poorly measuring people identified in Census Bureau data as Hispanic, Asian, Pacific Islander, or American Indian and Alaska Native (AIAN).Using estimated correspondences between agency-recorded and the composite race and ethnicity, we reweight federal series on imprisonment rates and show that those series, which currently rely on small survey samples to impute racial and ethnic population shares, have substantially underestimated the incarceration rates of Whites, Blacks, and AIANs.

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.3386/w32657

Cites

3 of 3 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Recomputing p-values needs the paper’s full text.

Claims the paper makes

We couldn’t retrieve this paper’s full text, so its claims and self-check weren’t run. The registry and citation checks still apply.

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

  • Administrative definitions of race and ethnicity may not align with those of scholars of race and ethnicity nor are they error-free.

    “Furthermore, administrative definitions of race and ethnicity may not align with those of scholars of race and ethnicity nor are they error-free (Finlay et al. 2024;Vélez and Peguero 2023).”

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
Finlay, K., Luh, E., & Mueller-Smith, M.
Affiliations
  • United States Census Bureau (US)
  • University of Michigan (US)
Corresponding author
Finlay, Keith
Venue
National Bureau of Economic Research
Published
2024-07
OpenAlex
W4400640262
Cited by
8
References
3
Citations by year
2026: 3 · 2025: 5
Type
report
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • National Bureau of Economic Research (publishedVersion)
  • SSRN Electronic Journal (acceptedVersion)
  • RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
Topics
  • Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Criminal Justice and Corrections Analysis
  • Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Census and Population Estimation
  • Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Racial and Ethnic Identity Research
Keywords
criminal justice system, racial disparities, prisoners, defendants, incarceration rates, racial and ethnic composition, data linkage

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review