Cited by 24scientometrics and bibliometrics researchResearch, Science, and AcademiaPsychology Research and Bibliometrics

AI Research Funding Portfolios and Extreme Growth

Open access
Rahkovsky, Ilya, Toney, Autumn, Boyack, Kevin W., Klavans, Richard, Murdick, Dewey A.·2021·Frontiers in Research Metrics and Analytics

Abstract

Our work analyzes the artificial intelligence and machine learning (AI/ML) research portfolios of six large research funding organizations from the United States [National Institutes of Health (NIH) and National Science Foundation (NSF)]; Europe [European Commission (EC) and European Research Council (ERC)]; China [National Natural Science Foundation of China (NNSFC)]; and Japan [Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (JSPS)]. The data for this analysis is based on 127,000 research clusters (RCs) that are derived from 1.4 billion citation links between 104.8 million documents from four databases (Dimensions, Microsoft Academic Graph, Web of Science, and the Chinese National Knowledge Infrastructure). Of these RCs, 600 large clusters are associated with AI/ML topics, and 161 of these AI/ML RCs are expected to experience extreme growth between May 2020 and May 2023. Funding acknowledgments (in the corpus of the 104.9 million documents) are used to characterize the overall AI/ML research portfolios of each organization. NNSFC is the largest funder of AI/ML research and disproportionately funds computer vision. The EC, RC, and JSPS focus more efforts on natural language processing and robotics. The NSF and ERC are more focused on fundamental advancement of AI/ML rather than on applications. They are more likely to participate in the RCs that are expected to have extreme growth. NIH funds the largest relative share of general AI/ML research papers (meaning in areas other than computer vision, natural language processing, and robotics). We briefly describe how insights such as these could be applied to portfolio management decision-making.

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.3389/frma.2021.630124

Cites

2 of 2 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Claims the paper makes

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

  • There are significant gaps in gender, race, and ethnicity among AI researchers.

    “There are significant gaps in gender, race, and ethnicity [71, 72]”

    From Use of artificial intelligence in critical care: opportunities and obstacles (2024) · cites this paper as [72]

    The Results and Discussion describe funding portfolios, AI research fields, and authors’ geographic affiliations, but not gaps in researchers’ gender, race, or ethnicity. Searches for those demographic disparities found no passage addressing the claim; the paper’s Bias/Fairness research cluster is a topic of research, not evidence about researcher demographics. (LLM, conf=0.76)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

The self-check needs the paper’s full text.

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

Research works printed but not linked: 23

  1. Boyack K. W. Klavans R. (2019). “Creation and analysis of large-scale bibliometric networks,” in Springer Handbook of Science and Technology Indicators, Springer Handbooks, Chapter 8, eds Glanzel W. Moed H. F. Schmoch U. Thelwall M. (Cham: Springer International Publishing), 187– 212. 10.1007/978-3-030-02511-3_8 · DOI
  2. Charikar M. Indyk P. Panigrahy R. (2002). “New algorithms for subset query, partial match, orthogonal range searching, and related problems,” in International Colloquium on Automata, Languages, and Programming (Berlin: Springer), 451– 462. 10.1007/3-540-45465-9_39 · DOI
  3. Dunham J. Melot J. Murdick D. (2020). Identifying the development and application of artificial intelligence in scientific text. arXiv [Preprints]. arXiv: 2002.07143. · arXiv
  4. Flagg M. Harris P. (2020). System re-engineering: a new policy framework for the American R&D system in a changed world. CSET Policy Brief. 1– 18. 10.51593/20200050 · DOI
  5. Gerstner L. V. Jr. (1972). The practice of business: can strategic planning pay off? Bus. Horiz. 15, 5– 16. 10.1016/0007-6813(72)90056-0 · DOI
  6. Klavans R. Boyack K. W. (2017a). Research portfolio analysis and topic prominence. J. Informetr. 11, 1158– 1174. 10.1016/j.joi.2017.10.002 · DOI
  7. Klavans R. Boyack K. W. (2017b). Which type of citation analysis generates the most accurate taxonomy of scientific and technical knowledge? J. Assoc. Inform. Sci. Technol. 68, 984– 998. 10.1002/asi.23734 · DOI
  8. Klavans R. Boyack K. W. Murdick D. A. (2020). A novel approach to predicting exceptional growth in research. PLoS ONE 15: e0239177. 10.1371/journal.pone.0239177 32931500 PMC7491740 · DOI
  9. Kuhn T. S. (1970). The Structure of Scientific Revolutions, 2nd Edn. Chicago, IL; London: University of Chicago Press.
  10. Liu W. Tang L. Hu G. (2020). Funding information in web of science: an updated overview. Scientometrics 122, 1509– 1524. 10.1007/s11192-020-03362-3 · DOI · Paper page
  11. Manku G. S. Jain A. Das Sarma A. (2007). “Detecting near-duplicates for web crawling,” in Proceedings of the 16th International Conference on World Wide Web (New York, NY: Association for Computing Machinery), 141– 150. 10.1145/1242572.1242592 · DOI · Paper page
  12. Martin S. Brown W. M. Klavans R. Boyack K. W. (2011). “Openord: an open-source toolbox for large graph layout,” in Visualization and Data Analysis 2011, Vol. 7868 (International Society for Optics and Photonics), 786806. 10.1117/12.871402 · DOI
  13. Reichardt J. Bornholdt S. (2006). Statistical mechanics of community detection. Phys. Rev. E 74: 016110. 10.1103/PhysRevE.74.016110 16907154 · DOI · Paper page
  14. Sjögårde P. Ahlgren P. (2018). Granularity of algorithmically constructed publication-level classifications of research publications: identification of topics. J. Informetr. 12, 133– 152. 10.1016/j.joi.2017.12.006 · DOI
  15. Small H. Boyack K. W. Klavans R. (2014). Identifying emerging topics in science and technology. Res. Policy 43, 1450– 1467. 10.1016/j.respol.2014.02.005 · DOI
  16. Smit H. T. J. Trigeorgis L. (2006). Strategic planning: valuing and managing portfolios of real options. R&D Manage. 36, 403– 419. 10.1111/j.1467-9310.2006.00440.x · DOI
  17. Tanioka T. (2019). Nursing and rehabilitative care of the elderly using humanoid robots. J. Med. Invest. 66, 19– 23. 10.2152/jmi.66.19 31064938 · DOI
  18. Traag V. A. Waltman L. van Eck N. J. (2019). From Louvain to Leiden: guaranteeing well-connected communities. Sci. Rep. 9: 5233. 10.1038/s41598-019-41695-z 30914743 PMC6435756 · DOI · Paper page
  19. Visser M. van Eck N. J. Waltman L. (2020). Large-scale comparison of bibliographic data sources: scopus, web of science, dimensions, crossref, and microsoft academic. arXiv 2005.10732. 10.1162/qss_a_00112 · DOI · Paper page
  20. Vonortas N. S. Ràfols I. (2018). “The use of research portfolios in science policy,” in Paper Presented at Government Decision-Making to Allocate Scientific Resources of the National Academies of Sciences (Washington, DC). 10.22163/fteval.2019.338 · DOI
  21. Wallace M. Ràfols I. (2015). Research portfolio analysis in science policy: moving from financial returns to societal benefits. Minerva 53, 89– 115. 10.1007/s11024-015-9271-8 · DOI
  22. Waltman L. Van Eck N. J. (2012). A new methodology for constructing a publication-level classification system of science. J. Am. Soc. Inform. Sci. Technol. 63, 2378– 2392. 10.1002/asi.22748 · DOI
  23. Waltman L. Van Eck N. J. (2013). A smart local moving algorithm for large-scale modularity-based community detection. Eur. Phys. J. B 86: 471. 10.1140/epjb/e2013-40829-0 · DOI · Paper page

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
Rahkovsky, I., Toney, A., Boyack, K. W., Klavans, R., & Murdick, D. A.
Affiliations
  • Georgetown University (US)
  • SciTech Strategies (United States) (US)
Corresponding author
Rahkovsky, Ilya
Venue
Frontiers in Research Metrics and Analytics
Published
2021-04-06
Volume
6
Pages
630124-630124
ISSN
2504-0537 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W3145247846
Cited by
24
References
2
Citations by year
2026: 2 · 2025: 7 · 2024: 8 · 2023: 5 · 2022: 1 · 2021: 1
FWCI
2.17
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Frontiers in Research Metrics and Analytics (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
Funders
Open Philanthropy Project (May 20, 2019)
Topics
  • Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty › scientometrics and bibliometrics research
  • Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Information Systems and Management › Research, Science, and Academia
  • Social Sciences › Psychology › Experimental and Cognitive Psychology › Psychology Research and Bibliometrics
Keywords
research funding agencies, research clusters, citation networks, research portfolio management, National Institutes of Health, National Science Foundation, European Research Council, National Natural Science Foundation of China, Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, computer vision, natural language processing, robotics, research funding allocation

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review