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Early Predictors of Clinical Deterioration in a Cohort of 239 Patients Hospitalized for Covid-19 Infection in Lombardy, Italy
Open accessAbstract
We described features of hospitalized Covid-19 patients and identified predictors of clinical deterioration. We included patients consecutively admitted at Humanitas Research Hospital (Rozzano, Milan, Italy); retrospectively extracted demographic; clinical; laboratory and imaging findings at admission; used survival methods to identify factors associated with clinical deterioration (defined as intensive care unit (ICU) transfer or death), and developed a prognostic index. Overall; we analyzed 239 patients (29.3% females) with a mean age of 63.9 (standard deviation [SD]; 14.0) years. Clinical deterioration occurred in 70 patients (29.3%), including 41 (17.2%) ICU transfers and 36 (15.1%) deaths. The most common symptoms and signs at admission were cough (77.8%) and elevated respiratory rate (34.1%), while 66.5% of patients had at least one coexisting medical condition. Imaging frequently revealed ground-glass opacity (68.9%) and consolidation (23.8%). Age; increased respiratory rate; abnormal blood gas parameters and imaging findings; coexisting coronary heart disease; leukocytosis; lymphocytopenia; and several laboratory parameters (elevated procalcitonin; interleukin-6; serum ferritin; C-reactive protein; aspartate aminotransferase; lactate dehydrogenase; creatinine; fibrinogen; troponin-I; and D-dimer) were significant predictors of clinical deterioration. We suggested a prognostic index to assist risk-stratification (C-statistic; 0.845; 95% CI; 0.802–0.887). These results could aid early identification and management of patients at risk, who should therefore receive additional monitoring and aggressive supportive care.
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Wynants, L., Van Calster, B., Bonten, M. M., Collins, G. S., Debray, T. P., De Vos, M., Haller, M. C., Heinze, G., Moons, K. G., Riley, R. D., et al. (2020) · doi:10.1101/2020.03.24.20041020 · Cited by 3,070
Predictors of COVID‐19 severity: A literature review
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Follow-up of adults with noncritical COVID-19 two months after symptom onset
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D-dimer level in COVID-19 infection: a systematic review
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Metadata
- Authors
- Cecconi, M., Piovani, D., Brunetta, E., Aghemo, A., Greco, M., Ciccarelli, M., Angelini, C., Voza, A., Omodei, P., Vespa, E., Pugliese, N., Parigi, T. L., Folci, M., Danese, S., & Bonovas, S.
- Venue
- Journal of Clinical Medicine
- Publisher
- MDPI AG
- Published
- 2020-05-20
- Volume
- 9
- Issue
- 5
- Pages
- 1548
- ISSN
- 2077-0383 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W3025016712
- Cited by
- 189
- References
- 10
- FWCI
- 5.01
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
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- Cecconi, M., Piovani, D., Brunetta, E., Aghemo, A., Greco, M., Ciccarelli, M., Angelini, C., Voza, A., Omodei, P., Vespa, E., Pugliese, N., Parigi, T. L., Folci, M., Danese, S., & Bonovas, S. (2020). Early Predictors of Clinical Deterioration in a Cohort of 239 Patients Hospitalized for Covid-19 Infection in Lombardy, Italy. Journal of Clinical Medicine. https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm9051548
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.