Expect: EXplainable Prediction Model for Energy ConsumpTion
Open accessAbstract
With the steady growth of energy demands and resource depletion in today’s world, energy prediction models have gained more and more attention recently. Reducing energy consumption and carbon footprint are critical factors for achieving efficiency in sustainable cities. Unfortunately, traditional energy prediction models focus only on prediction performance. However, explainable models are essential to building trust and engaging users to accept AI-based systems. In this paper, we propose an explainable deep learning model, called Expect, to forecast energy consumption from time series effectively. Our results demonstrate our proposal’s robustness and accuracy when compared to the baseline methods.
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Partial dependence plots clarify how individual features influence predictions by holding other features constant.
“Methods such as partial dependence plots (PDPs) clarify how individual features influence predictions by holding other features constant [45], thereby supporting trust during deployment in sensitive infrastructure.”
From Explainable AI and Multi-Agent Systems for Energy Management in IoT-Edge Environments: A State of the Art Review (2026) · cites this paper as [45]
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- Authors
- Mouakher, A., Inoubli, W., Ounoughi, C., & Ko, A.
- Affiliations
- Corvinus University of Budapest (HU)
- Tallinn University of Technology (EE)
- Tunis University (TN)
- IT Institute, Corvinus University of Budapest, 1093 Budapest, Hungary
- Corresponding author
- Mouakher, Amira
- Venue
- Mathematics
- Publisher
- MDPI AG
- Published
- 2022-01-14
- Volume
- 10
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 248
- ISSN
- 2227-7390 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W4206478661
- Cited by
- 22
- References
- 23
- Citations by year
- 2026: 3 · 2025: 5 · 2024: 5 · 2023: 8 · 2022: 1
- FWCI
- 1.30
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Mathematics (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- Corvinus Research Archive (Corvinus University of Budapest) (acceptedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Engineering › Electrical and Electronic Engineering › Energy Load and Power Forecasting
- Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Artificial Intelligence › Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI)
- Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Signal Processing › Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
- Keywords
- load forecasting, explainable deep learning, time series forecasting, energy prediction models, sustainable cities, carbon footprint reduction, trust in AI
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