Adherence to Mediterranean Diet and Risk of Cancer: An Updated Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis
Open accessAbstract
The aim of the present systematic review and meta-analysis was to gain further insight into the effects of adherence to Mediterranean Diet (MedD) on risk of overall cancer mortality, risk of different types of cancer, and cancer mortality and recurrence risk in cancer survivors. Literature search was performed using the electronic databases PubMed, and Scopus until 25 August 2017. We included randomized trials (RCTs), cohort (for specific tumors only incidence cases were used) studies, and case-control studies. Study-specific risk ratios, hazard ratios, and odds ratios (RR/HR/OR) were pooled using a random effects model. Observational studies (cohort and case-control studies), and intervention trials were meta-analyzed separately. The updated review process showed 27 studies that were not included in the previous meta-analysis (total number of studies evaluated: 83 studies). An overall population of 2,130,753 subjects was included in the present update. The highest adherence score to a MedD was inversely associated with a lower risk of cancer mortality (RRcohort: 0.86, 95% CI 0.81 to 0.91, I2 = 82%; n = 14 studies), colorectal cancer (RRobservational: 0.82, 95% CI 0.75 to 0.88, I2 = 73%; n = 11 studies), breast cancer (RRRCT: 0.43, 95% CI 0.21 to 0.88, n = 1 study) (RRobservational: 0.92, 95% CI 0.87 to 0.96, I2 = 22%, n = 16 studies), gastric cancer (RRobservational: 0.72, 95% CI 0.60 to 0.86, I2 = 55%; n = 4 studies), liver cancer (RRobservational: 0.58, 95% CI 0.46 to 0.73, I2 = 0%; n = 2 studies), head and neck cancer (RRobservational: 0.49, 95% CI 0.37 to 0.66, I2 = 87%; n = 7 studies), and prostate cancer (RRobservational: 0.96, 95% CI 0.92 to 1.00, I2 = 0%; n = 6 studies). Among cancer survivors, the association between the adherence to the highest MedD category and risk of cancer mortality, and cancer recurrence was not statistically significant. Pooled analyses of individual components of the MedD revealed that the protective effects appear to be most attributable to fruits, vegetables, and whole grains. The updated meta-analysis confirms an important inverse association between adherence to a MedD and cancer mortality and risk of several cancer types, especially colorectal cancer. These observed beneficial effects are mainly driven by higher intakes of fruits, vegetables, and whole grains. Moreover, we were able to report for the first time a small decrease in breast cancer risk (6%) by pooling seven cohort studies.
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Written from the paper’s full text.
TL;DR
This updated systematic review and meta-analysis found that highest adherence to a Mediterranean diet was inversely associated with overall cancer mortality and risk of several cancers, especially colorectal cancer. The protective associations appeared mainly driven by higher intakes of fruits, vegetables, and whole grains.
Key findings
- Highest Mediterranean diet adherence was associated with lower overall cancer mortality (RRcohort 0.86, 95% CI 0.81–0.91; abstract reports I² = 82%, n = 14; Results report I² = 81%, n = 15) and lower colorectal cancer risk (RRobservational 0.82, 95% CI 0.75–0.88, I² = 73%, n = 11).
- Inverse associations were also reported for breast cancer (RRobservational 0.92, 95% CI 0.87–0.96, I² = 22%, n = 16; RRRCT 0.43, 95% CI 0.21–0.88, n = 1), gastric cancer (RRobservational 0.72, 95% CI 0.60–0.86, I² = 55%, n = 4), liver cancer (RRobservational 0.58, 95% CI 0.46–0.73, I² = 0%, n = 2), head and neck cancer (RRobservational 0.49, 95% CI 0.37–0.66, I² = 87%, n = 7), and prostate cancer (RRobservational 0.96, 95% CI 0.92–1.00, I² = 0%, n = 6).
- Among cancer survivors, the association between highest Mediterranean diet adherence and cancer mortality was not statistically significant (RR 0.95, 95% CI 0.82–1.12, I² = 5%, n = 4); cancer recurrence was also not statistically significant.
- Pooled food-group analyses showed inverse associations for fruit (RR 0.93, 95% CI 0.89–0.97, I² = 60%, n = 13), vegetables (RR 0.96, 95% CI 0.93–0.98, I² = 0%, n = 14), whole grains (RR 0.91, 95% CI 0.87–0.95, I² = 31%, n = 9), and moderate alcohol consumption (RR 0.89, 95% CI 0.85–0.93); no significant associations were observed for cereals, dairy, fish, legumes, meat, nuts, or olive oil.
Methods
- Updated systematic review and meta-analysis searching PubMed and Scopus until 25 August 2017, including RCTs, cohort studies, and case-control studies; 83 studies were included, of which 27 were new, with an overall population of 2,130,753 subjects.
- The included evidence comprised two RCTs (4,887 subjects), 51 cohort studies (2,025,303 subjects), and 30 case-control studies (100,563 subjects).
- Study-specific RRs, HRs, or ORs comparing highest vs. lowest Mediterranean diet adherence were pooled using a random-effects DerSimonian-Laird model; observational studies and intervention trials were meta-analyzed separately, with stratification by study design, heterogeneity assessed by Cochrane Q and I², and publication bias explored with Egger’s test and funnel plots when at least 10 studies were available.
Limitations
- The paper states considerable heterogeneity, partly related to different Mediterranean diet definitions, adjustment factors, and heterogeneous study designs; high heterogeneity was observed for cancer mortality and colorectal cancer risk.
- The paper states lopsided availability of studies by cancer type, few studies for several cancers, possible residual confounding, reliance on food frequency questionnaires, and that publication bias could not be completely excluded; most data came from US or European countries.
- Evident from the text: the synthesis is dominated by observational studies, and the abstract and Results section report slightly different n/I² values for overall cancer mortality, indicating some inconsistency in reporting.
Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.
Integrity signals
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Claims the paper makes
- Findingown data
In one randomized controlled trial, highest adherence to the Mediterranean diet was not significantly associated with overall cancer mortality (RR 0.75, 95% CI 0.17-3.33).
“but not among one RCT (RRRCT: 0.75, 95% CI 0.17 to 3.33, I2 = NA)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In case-control studies, high adherence to a Mediterranean dietary pattern was inversely associated with breast cancer risk (RR 0.89, 95% CI 0.85-0.94; I2 = 0%; n = 9 studies).
“RRcase-control: 0.89, 95% CI 0.85 to 0.94, I2 = 0%, n = 9 studies)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In case-control studies, high adherence to a Mediterranean dietary pattern was inversely associated with risk of colorectal cancer (RR 0.71, 95% CI 0.57-0.88; I2 = 88%; n = 5 studies).
“RRcase-control: 0.71, 95% CI 0.57 to 0.88, I2 = 88%, n = 5 studies)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In one randomized controlled trial, highest adherence to the Mediterranean diet was inversely associated with breast cancer risk (RR 0.43, 95% CI 0.21-0.88).
“breast cancer (RRRCT: 0.43, 95% CI 0.21 to 0.88, I2 = NA%, n = 1 study;”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Among cancer survivors, highest adherence to the Mediterranean diet was not associated with risk of cancer mortality (RR 0.95, 95% CI 0.82-1.12; I2 = 5%; n = 4 studies).
“Among cancer survivors, we observed no association between the adherence to the highest MedD category and risk of cancer mortality (RR: 0.95, 95% CI 0.82 to 1.12; I2 = 5%; n = 4 studies)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
- Findingown data
In observational studies, high adherence to a Mediterranean dietary pattern was inversely associated with breast cancer risk (RR 0.92, 95% CI 0.89-0.96; I2 = 8%; n = 16 studies).
“RRobservational: 0.92, 95% CI 0.89 to 0.96, I2 = 8%, n = 16 studies;”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In cohort studies, high adherence to a Mediterranean dietary pattern was inversely associated with risk of colorectal cancer (RR 0.86, 95% CI 0.80-0.92; I2 = 28%; n = 6 studies).
“RRcohort: 0.86, 95% CI 0.80 to 0.92, I2 = 28%, n = 6 studies;”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In cohort studies, highest adherence to the Mediterranean diet was inversely associated with lower risk of overall cancer mortality (RR 0.86, 95% CI 0.81-0.91; I2 = 81-82%; n = 14-15 studies).
“The highest adherence score to a MedD was inversely associated with a lower risk of cancer mortality (RRcohort: 0.86, 95% CI 0.81 to 0.91, I2 = 82%; n = 14 studies)”
- Also stated in: § 3.2. Main Outcomes · plain
“Using a random effects model, we found that the highest adherence score to the MedD was inversely associated with a lower risk of overall cancer mortality (RRcohort: 0.86, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.81 to 0.91; I2 = 81%; n = 15 studies)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § 3.2. Main Outcomes · plain
- Findingown data
In observational studies, highest adherence to the Mediterranean diet was inversely associated with gastric cancer risk (RR 0.72, 95% CI 0.60-0.86; I2 = 55%; n = 4 studies).
“gastric cancer (RRobservational: 0.72, 95% CI 0.60 to 0.86, I2 = 55%; n = 4 studies)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In cohort studies, high adherence to a Mediterranean dietary pattern was inversely associated with breast cancer risk, corresponding to a 6% decrease (RR 0.94, 95% CI 0.90-0.99; I2 = 11%; n = 7 studies).
“RRcohort: 0.94, 95% CI 0.90 to 0.99, I2 = 11%, n = 7 studies;”
- Also stated in: § 5. Conclusions · plain
“we report for the first time a small decrease in breast cancer risk (6%) with the pooling seven cohort studies.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § 5. Conclusions · plain
- Findingown data
High adherence to a Mediterranean dietary pattern was inversely associated with risk of colorectal cancer in observational studies (RR 0.82, 95% CI 0.75-0.88; I2 = 73%; n = 11 studies).
“Moreover, high adherence to a Mediterranean dietary pattern was inversely associated with risk of colorectal cancer (RRobservational: 0.82, 95% CI 0.75 to 0.88; I2 = 73%, n = 11 studies;”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In observational studies, highest adherence to the Mediterranean diet was inversely associated with prostate cancer risk (RR 0.96, 95% CI 0.92-1.00; I2 = 0%; n = 6 studies).
“and prostate cancer (RRobservational: 0.96, 95% CI 0.92 to 1.00, I2 = 0%; n = 6 studies)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Whole grain intake was inversely associated with cancer risk (RR 0.91, 95% CI 0.87-0.95; I2 = 31%; n = 9 studies).
“whole grain intake (RR: 0.91, 95% CI 0.87 to 0.95, I2 = 31%, n = 9 studies)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The observed high statistical heterogeneity for cancer mortality was related to the different definitions for Mediterranean diet pattern.
“The observed high statistical heterogeneity for cancer mortality was related to the different definitions for MedD pattern.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Fruit consumption was inversely associated with cancer risk (RR 0.93, 95% CI 0.89-0.97; I2 = 60%; n = 13 studies).
“revealed an inverse association for fruit consumption (RR: 0.93, 95% CI 0.89 to 0.97, I2 = 60%, n = 13 studies)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In observational studies, highest adherence to the Mediterranean diet was inversely associated with head and neck cancer risk (RR 0.49, 95% CI 0.37-0.66; I2 = 87%; n = 7 studies).
“head and neck cancer (RRobservational: 0.49, 95% CI 0.37 to 0.66, I2 = 87%; n = 7 studies)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Vegetable intake was inversely associated with cancer risk (RR 0.96, 95% CI 0.93-0.98; I2 = 0%; n = 14 studies).
“vegetable intake (RR: 0.96, 95% CI 0.93 to 0.98, I2 = 0%, n = 14 studies)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In observational studies, highest adherence to the Mediterranean diet was inversely associated with liver cancer risk (RR 0.58, 95% CI 0.46-0.73; I2 = 0%; n = 2 studies).
“liver cancer (RRobservational: 0.58, 95% CI 0.46 to 0.73, I2 = 0%; n = 2 studies)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Moderate alcohol consumption within the range was inversely associated with cancer risk (RR 0.89, 95% CI 0.85-0.93).
“and moderate alcohol consumption (within the range) (RR: 0.89, 95% CI 0.85 to 0.93), compared to higher intakes and cancer risk.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
The protective effects of the Mediterranean diet on cancer risk appear to be most attributable to fruits, vegetables, and whole grains.
“Pooled analyses of individual components of the MedD revealed that the protective effects appear to be most attributable to fruits, vegetables, and whole grains.”
- Also stated in: § Abstract · plain
“These observed beneficial effects are mainly driven by higher intakes of fruits, vegetables, and whole grains.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § Abstract · plain
- Study design and conductreasoning
To some degree, our results might depend on residual confounders.
“To some degree, our results might depend on residual confounders.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
- May combine two claims. 7
- Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 3
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataNo significant associations were observed between cancer risk and intakes of cereals, dairy, fish, legumes, meat, nuts, or olive oil.
“No significant associations were observed for intakes of cereals, dairy, fish, legumes, meat, nuts, or olive oil (Figure 1).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe high levels of heterogeneity observed for colorectal cancer risk in the main analysis could not be confirmed for cohort studies in the stratified analysis, and were mainly driven by one large case-control study.
“The high levels of heterogeneity observed for colorectal cancer risk in the main analysis could not be confirmed for cohort studies in the stratified analysis, and were mainly driven by one large case-control study.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductnone givenThe review protocol of the previous versions of the systematic review is registered in PROSPERO.
“The review protocol of the previous versions of the systematic review is registered in PROSPERO International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductnone givenA strength of the present study is the extensive literature research with strict adherence to quality standards set by PRISMA guidelines.
“Strengths of the present study are the extensive literature research with strict adherence to quality standards set by PRISMA guidelines.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataThe present update of the systematic review and meta-analyses provided additional important evidence for a beneficial effect of high adherence to the Mediterranean diet with respect to primary prevention of overall cancer risk and specific types of cancer, especially colorectal cancer.
“In conclusion, the present update of our systematic review and meta-analyses provided additional important evidence for a beneficial effect of high adherence to MedD with respect to primary prevention overall cancer risk and specific types of cancer, especially colorectal cancer.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataEgger's linear regression tests provided no evidence for publication bias for overall cancer mortality (p = 0.86), breast cancer (p = 0.39), and colorectal cancer (p = 0.14).
“The Egger’s linear regression tests provided no evidence for a publication bias for overall cancer mortality (p = 0.86), breast cancer (p = 0.39), and colorectal cancer (p = 0.14), following comparison of the highest vs. lowest adherence to MedD category”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataStrongest adherence to a Mediterranean diet is inversely associated with cancer mortality and risk of colorectal, breast, gastric, liver, head and neck, gallbladder, and biliary tract cancer.
“Following the synthesis of data from RCTs as well as cohort and case-control studies in the present systematic review, strongest adherence to a MedD was inversely associated with cancer mortality and risk of colorectal, breast, gastric, liver, head and neck, gallbladder, and biliary tract cancer.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataNo significant associations were observed with respect to other types of cancer and for cancer survivors.
“No significant associations could be observed with respect to other types of cancer and for cancer survivors.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing).
InterpretationcitationIt remains difficult to define the Mediterranean diet as a distinct pattern.
“However, it remains difficult to define the MedD as a distinct pattern.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The characteristics of the Mediterranean diet have changed considerably since the 1960s.
- Rests on an assumption: Cutoff-points defined by medians vary between different populations.
May combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataFunnel plots for risk of overall cancer mortality and risk of breast and colorectal cancer indicate moderate asymmetry, suggesting that publication bias cannot be completely excluded as a factor influencing the meta-analysis.
“The funnel plots for risk of overall cancer mortality as well as risk of breast and colorectal cancer indicate moderate asymmetry, suggesting that publication bias cannot be completely excluded as a factor of influence on the present meta-analysis”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
The paper relies on this without support.
The characteristics of the Mediterranean diet have changed considerably since the 1960s.
“The characteristics of a MedD have changed considerably since the 1960s.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Cutoff-points defined by medians vary between different populations.
“It seems obvious that cutoff-points defined by medians vary between different populations, leading to an almost indefinite number of MedD subtypes.”
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Greater adherence to the Mediterranean diet is associated with a significantly lower risk of cancer mortality, colorectal cancer, breast cancer, gastric cancer, liver cancer, head and neck cancer, and prostate cancer.
“A meta-analysis including 2,130,753 participants concluded that greater adherence to MD was associated with a significantly lower risk of cancer mortality (RR 0.86; 95% CI 0.81 to 0.91), colorectal cancer (RR 0.82; 95% CI 0.75 to 0.88), breast cancer (RR 0.92; 95% CI 0.87 to 0.96), gastric cancer (RR 0.72; 95% CI 0.60 to 0.86), liver cancer (RR 0.58; 95% CI 0.46 to 0.73), head and neck cancer (RR”
From Mediterranean Diet and Obesity-related Disorders: What is the Evidence? (2022) · cites this paper as [146]
High adherence to a Mediterranean diet was shown to reduce risk across all five NCDs by between 4% and 36%.
“High adherence to a Mediterranean diet was shown to reduce risk across all five NCDs by between 4% and 36%,11,77,90,93,98”
From Common risk factors for major noncommunicable disease, a systematic overview of reviews and commentary: the implied potential for targeted risk reduction (2019) · cites this paper as [93]
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.
Breast-cancer pooled estimate differs between abstract and Results
MinorFor the observational breast-cancer estimate of 0.92, the abstract gives a lower confidence limit of 0.87 and I2 of 22%, whereas the Results give 0.89 and 8%.
“RRobservational: 0.92, 95% CI 0.87 to 0.96, I2 = 22%, n = 16 studies”
“RRobservational: 0.92, 95% CI 0.89 to 0.96, I2 = 8%, n = 16 studies”
Cancer-mortality cohort analysis has conflicting study counts and heterogeneity
MinorThe abstract reports 14 cohort studies and I2 of 82%, while the Results report 15 studies and I2 of 81% for the same cohort estimate. The Results also state that cancer mortality was evaluated in 14 cohorts and one RCT, making the reported cohort count of 15 inconsistent with that breakdown.
“RRcohort: 0.86, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.81 to 0.91; I2 = 81%; n = 15 studies”
“RRcohort: 0.86, 95% CI 0.81 to 0.91, I2 = 82%; n = 14 studies”
The citation lists haven’t been fetched yet
References 162 · Cited by 632
- Authors
- Schwingshackl, L., Schwedhelm, C., Galbete, C., & Hoffmann, G.
- Affiliations
- German Institute of Human Nutrition (DE)
- University of Vienna (AT)
- Corresponding author
- Schwingshackl, Lukas
- Venue
- Nutrients
- Publisher
- MDPI AG
- Published
- 2017-09-26
- Volume
- 9
- Issue
- 10
- Pages
- 1063
- ISSN
- 2072-6643 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC5691680
- OpenAlex
- W2757435464
- Cited by
- 632
- References
- 162
- Citations by year
- 2026: 39 · 2025: 60 · 2024: 71 · 2023: 72 · 2022: 91 · 2021: 91 · 2020: 93 · 2019: 69 · 2018: 44 · 2017: 1
- FWCI
- 9.19
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Nutrients (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- eRepository Mondragon University (Mondragon University) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Phaidra (Universität Wien) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Nutritional Studies and Diet
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Oncology › Global Cancer Incidence and Screening
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Oncology › Cancer Risks and Factors
- Keywords
- Mediterranean diet, diet and cancer risk, cancer mortality, colorectal cancer, breast cancer, gastric cancer, liver cancer, head and neck cancer, prostate cancer, tumor recurrence, cancer survivors, dietary adherence, cancer prevention, cancer survivorship, cancer survivorship quality of life, survivorship care, cancer survivorship support services
- MeSH terms
- Whole Grains, Diet, Healthy, Adult, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Female, Fruit, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Neoplasms, Patient Compliance, Risk Factors, Time Factors, Vegetables, Odds Ratio, Risk Assessment, Diet, Mediterranean, Risk Reduction Behavior, Protective Factors
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