Weather and mortality: a 10 year retrospective analysis of the Nouna Health and Demographic Surveillance System, Burkina Faso
Open accessAbstract
BACKGROUND: A growing body of evidence points to the emission of greenhouse gases from human activity as a key factor in climate change. This in turn affects human health and wellbeing through consequential changes in weather extremes. At present, little is known about the effects of weather on the health of sub-Saharan African populations, as well as the related anticipated effects of climate change partly due to scarcity of good quality data. We aimed to study the association between weather patterns and daily mortality in the Nouna Health and Demographic Surveillance System (HDSS) area during 1999-2009. METHODS: Meteorological data were obtained from a nearby weather station in the Nouna HDSS area and linked to mortality data on a daily basis. Time series Poisson regression models were established to estimate the association between the lags of weather and daily population-level mortality, adjusting for time trends. The analyses were stratified by age and sex to study differential population susceptibility. RESULTS: We found profound associations between higher temperature and daily mortality in the Nouna HDSS, Burkina Faso. The short-term direct heat effect was particularly strong on the under-five child mortality rate. We also found independent coherent effects and strong associations between rainfall events and daily mortality, particularly in elderly populations. CONCLUSION: Mortality patterns in the Nouna HDSS appear to be closely related to weather conditions. Further investigation on cause-specific mortality, as well as on vulnerability and susceptibility is required. Studies on local adaptation and mitigation measures to avoid health impacts from weather and climate change is also needed to reduce negative effects from weather and climate change on population health in rural areas of the sub-Saharan Africa.
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- Authors
- Diboulo, E., Sié, A., Rocklöv, J., Niamba, L., Yé, M., Bagagnan, C., & Sauerborn, R.
- Affiliations
- Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute (CH)
- Centre de Recherche en Santé de Nouna (BF)
- Umeå University (SE)
- Heidelberg University (DE)
- Corresponding author
- Diboulo, Eric
- Venue
- Global Health Action
- Publisher
- Informa UK Limited
- Published
- 2012-11-23
- Volume
- 5
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 19078
- ISSN
- 1654-9716 (ISSN-L)
- 1654-9880
- PMC
- PMC3508665
- OpenAlex
- W2161304859
- Cited by
- 86
- References
- 18
- Citations by year
- 2026: 7 · 2025: 9 · 2024: 9 · 2023: 7 · 2022: 14 · 2021: 8 · 2020: 6 · 2019: 3 · 2018: 8 · 2017: 5 · 2016: 1 · 2015: 4 · 2014: 2 · 2013: 1 · 2012: 2
- FWCI
- 1.99
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- cc-by-nc
- Locations
- Global Health Action (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- DiVA at Umeå University (Umeå University) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis › Climate Change and Health Impacts
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis › Air Quality and Health Impacts
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Physiology › Thermoregulation and physiological responses
- Keywords
- weather and mortality, heat-related mortality, under-five mortality, elderly mortality, health impacts of climate change, sub-Saharan Africa, rural health
- MeSH terms
- Adolescent, Adult, Age Factors, Burkina Faso, Child, Child, Preschool, Female, Humans, Infant, Male, Middle Aged, Mortality, Population Surveillance, Rain, Retrospective Studies, Sex Factors, Temperature, Weather, Poisson Distribution, Greenhouse Effect, Young Adult, Climate Change
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