The DOI matches its Crossref record; 34 of the 34 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Are the responses of the U.S. economy asymmetric in energy price increases and decreases?: Are responses of the U.S. economy asymmetric?
Open accessAbstract
How much does real gross domestic product (GDP) respond to unanticipated changes in the real price of oil? Commonly used censored oil price vector autoregressive models suggest a substantial decline in real GDP in response to unexpected increases in the real price of oil, yet no response to unexpected declines. We show that these estimates are invalid. Based on a structural model that encompasses both symmetric and asymmetric models as special cases, correctly computed impulse responses are of roughly the same magnitude in either direction, consistent with formal tests for symmetric responses. We discuss implications for theoretical models and for policy responses to energy price shocks.
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Cites
Impulse response analysis in nonlinear multivariate models
Koop, G., Pesaran, M. H., & Potter, S. M. (1996) · Journal of Econometrics · doi:10.1016/0304-4076(95)01753-4 · Cited by 5,049
Not All Oil Price Shocks Are Alike: Disentangling Demand and Supply Shocks in the Crude Oil Market
Kilian, L. (2009) · American Economic Review · doi:10.1257/aer.99.3.1053 · Cited by 4,608
Self-citationIrreversibility, Uncertainty, and Cyclical Investment
Bernanke, B. S. (1983) · The Quarterly Journal of Economics · doi:10.2307/1885568 · Cited by 4,112
Oil and the Macroeconomy since World War II
Hamilton, J. D. (1983) · Journal of Political Economy · doi:10.1086/261140 · Cited by 3,786
Irreversibility, Uncertainty, and Investment
Pindyck, R. (1990) · National Bureau of Economic Research · doi:10.3386/w3307 · Cited by 2,403
Hamilton, J. D. (2003) · Journal of Econometrics · doi:10.1016/s0304-4076(02)00207-5 · Cited by 2,136
This is what happened to the oil price-macroeconomy relationship
Hamilton, J. D. (1996) · Journal of Monetary Economics · doi:10.1016/s0304-3932(96)01282-2 · Cited by 1,682
Systematic Monetary Policy and the Effects of Oil Price Shocks
Bernanke, B. S., Gertler, M., Watson, M., Sims, C. A., & Friedman, B. M. (1997) · Brookings Papers on Economic Activity · doi:10.2307/2534702 · Cited by 1,592
Oil and the Macroeconomy When Prices Go Up and Down: An Extension of Hamilton's Results
Mork, K. A. (1989) · Journal of Political Economy · doi:10.1086/261625 · Cited by 1,556
The Economic Effects of Energy Price Shocks
Kilian, L. (2008) · Journal of Economic Literature · doi:10.1257/jel.46.4.871 · Cited by 1,281
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Cited by
Local Projections and VARs Estimate the Same Impulse Responses
Plagborg-Møller, M., & Wolf, C. K. (2021) · Econometrica · doi:10.3982/ecta17813 · Cited by 732
Oil Prices and Stock Markets: A Review of the Theory and Empirical Evidence
Degiannakis, S., Filis, G., & Arora, V. (2018) · The Energy Journal · doi:10.5547/01956574.39.5.sdeg · Cited by 298
NONLINEARITIES IN THE OIL PRICE–OUTPUT RELATIONSHIP
Kilian, L., & Vigfusson, R. J. (2011) · Macroeconomic Dynamics · doi:10.1017/s1365100511000186 · Cited by 275
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Metadata
- Authors
- Kilian, L., & Vigfusson, R. J.
- Venue
- Quantitative Economics
- Publisher
- The Econometric Society
- Published
- 2011-11
- Volume
- 2
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 419-453
- ISSN
- 1759-7323 (ISSN-L)
- DOI
- 10.3982/qe99
- OpenAlex
- W1492887676
- Cited by
- 572
- References
- 34
- FWCI
- 68.43
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- diamond
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