Case study: a simulation model of the spawning stock biomass of Pacific bluefin tuna and evaluation of fisheries regulations
Open accessAbstract
This study proposes a simulation model that well reproduces the spawning stock biomass of Pacific bluefin tuna. Environmental factors were chosen to estimate the recruitment per spawning stock biomass, and a simulation model that well reproduced the spawning stock biomass was developed. Then, effects of various fisheries regulations were evaluated using the simulation study. The results were as follows: 1) arctic oscillations, Pacific decadal oscillations and the recruitment number of the Pacific stock of Japanese sardine were chosen as the environmental factors that determined the recruitment per spawning stock biomass; 2) spawning stock biomass could be well reproduced using a model that reproduced the recruitment per spawning stock biomass and the survival process of the population that included the effect of fishing; and 3) the effects of various fisheries regulation could be evaluated using the simulation model mentioned above. The effective regulation in the simulations conducted in this paper was a prohibition of fishing for 0- and 1-year-old fish in terms of recovering the spawning stock biomass. The reduction of fishing mortality coefficients for all age fish to 50% of actual values also showed a good performance. The recent reductions of the recruitment and spawning stock biomass were likely caused by heavy harvesting, especially of immature fish, since 2004.
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Decadal-scale environmental variability has been linked to bluefin recruitment and the number of fish that make the West-East trans-Pacific migrations.
“Decadal-scale environmental variability has been linked to bluefin recruitment and the number of fish that make the West-East trans-Pacific migrations (Polovina, 1996; Sakuramoto, 2016).”
From Oceanographic determinants of ocean sunfish (Mola mola) and bluefin tuna (Thunnus orientalis) bycatch patterns in the California large mesh drift gillnet fishery (2017) · cites this paper as Sakuramoto, 2016
The Discussion (Section 4; page not supplied) links Pacific bluefin tuna recruitment to environmental factors, including the Pacific decadal oscillation. It does not address the number of fish making West–East trans-Pacific migrations, so that part of the claim is unsupported by this source. (LLM, conf=0.88)
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Cites
Yatsu, A., Watanabe, T., Ishida, M., Sugisaki, H., & JACOBSON, L. D. (2005) · Fisheries Oceanography · doi:10.1111/j.1365-2419.2005.00335.x · Cited by 179 · see citing works
Sakuramoto, K. (2013) · Agricultural Sciences · doi:10.4236/as.2013.46a001 · Cited by 20 · see citing works
Self-citationSakuramoto, K., & Suzuki, N. (2011) · Fisheries Science · doi:10.1007/s12562-011-0438-4 · Cited by 19 · see citing works
Self-citationIllusion of a Density-Dependent Effect in Biology
Sakuramoto, K. (2015) · Agricultural Sciences · doi:10.4236/as.2015.65047 · Cited by 13 · see citing works
Self-citationSakuramoto, K. (2013) · Fisheries and Aquaculture Journal · doi:10.4172/2150-3508.1000085 · Cited by 12 · see citing works
Self-citationSakuramoto, K. (2015) · American Journal of Climate Change · doi:10.4236/ajcc.2015.45036 · Cited by 11 · see citing works
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Hahlbeck, N., Scales, K. L., Dewar, H., Maxwell, S. M., Bograd, S. J., & Hazen, E. L. (2017) · Fisheries Research · doi:10.1016/j.fishres.2017.03.011 · Cited by 34 · see citing works
Regional-scale surface temperature variability allows prediction of Pacific bluefin tuna recruitment
Muhling, B. A., Tommasi, D., Ohshimo, S., Alexander, M. A., & DiNardo, G. (2018) · ICES Journal of Marine Science · doi:10.1093/icesjms/fsy017 · Cited by 30 · see citing works
Density-Dependent Effect Occurs Regardless of Density
Sakuramoto, K. (2016) · OALib · doi:10.4236/oalib.1103112 · Cited by 7 · see citing works
Self-citationReproductive Success in Fish Stocks Can Be Reproduced by Environmental Factors Alone
Sakuramoto, K. (2021) · OALib · doi:10.4236/oalib.1107636 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
Self-citationSingh, A. A. (2017) · Applied Ecology and Environmental Research · doi:10.15666/aeer/1501_299319 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
Sakuramoto, K. (2022) · OALib · doi:10.4236/oalib.1108231 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
Self-citationTanaka, K. E. I., Suzuki, N., & Sakuramoto, K. (2021) · OALib · doi:10.4236/oalib.1107164 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Self-citationClockwise Loops and Anticlockwise Loops Observed in a Stock-Recruitment Relationship
Tanaka, K. E. I., Suzuki, N., & Sakuramoto, K. (2017) · OALib · doi:10.4236/oalib.1103688 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Self-citationSakuramoto, K. (2021) · OALib · doi:10.4236/oalib.1108213 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Self-citationHasegawa, S., Suzuki, N., & Sakuramoto, K. (2017) · OALib · doi:10.4236/oalib.1103406 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Self-citationAre 20% B0, 20% Bunfished, and BMSY Valid as Reference Points for Fisheries Resource Management?
Sakuramoto, K. (2017) · OALib · doi:10.4236/oalib.1103897 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Self-citationDoes the Density-Dependent Growth of Sardine Truly Exist?
Sakuramoto, K. (2023) · OALib · doi:10.4236/oalib.1109514 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Self-citationSakuramoto, K. (2017) · OALib · doi:10.4236/oalib.1103575 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Self-citationSakuramoto, K. (2017) · OALib · doi:10.4236/oalib.1103620
Self-citation
- Authors
- Sakuramoto, K.
- Affiliations
- Tokyo University of Marine Science and Technology (JP)
- Corresponding author
- Sakuramoto, Kazumi
- Venue
- American Journal of Climate Change
- Publisher
- Scientific Research Publishing, Inc.
- Published
- 2016
- Volume
- 05
- Issue
- 02
- Pages
- 245-260
- ISSN
- 2167-9495 (ISSN-L)
- 2167-9509
- OpenAlex
- W2467458755
- Cited by
- 14
- References
- 6
- Citations by year
- 2023: 1 · 2022: 1 · 2021: 3 · 2018: 1 · 2017: 7 · 2016: 1
- FWCI
- 2.22
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- diamond
- doi.org
- Locations
- American Journal of Climate Change (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Marine and fisheries research
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Nature and Landscape Conservation › Fish Ecology and Management Studies
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
- Keywords
- Pacific bluefin tuna, spawning stock biomass, recruitment (biology), fisheries regulation, computer simulation, Arctic Oscillation, Pacific Decadal Oscillation, Sardinops melanostictus, fishing mortality, population recovery
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