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Cited by 270Maritime Transport Emissions and EfficiencyArctic and Russian Policy StudiesAtmospheric chemistry and aerosols

Arctic shipping emissions inventories and future scenarios

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Corbett, J. J., Lack, D. A., Winebrake, J. J., Harder, S., Silberman, J. A., Gold, M.·2010·Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
DOI 10.5194/acp-10-9689-2010

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Abstract

Abstract. This paper presents 5 km×5 km Arctic emissions inventories of important greenhouse gases, black carbon and other pollutants under existing and future (2050) scenarios that account for growth of shipping in the region, potential diversion traffic through emerging routes, and possible emissions control measures. These high-resolution, geospatial emissions inventories for shipping can be used to evaluate Arctic climate sensitivity to black carbon (a short-lived climate forcing pollutant especially effective in accelerating the melting of ice and snow), aerosols, and gaseous emissions including carbon dioxide. We quantify ship emissions scenarios which are expected to increase as declining sea ice coverage due to climate change allows for increased shipping activity in the Arctic. A first-order calculation of global warming potential due to 2030 emissions in the high-growth scenario suggests that short-lived forcing of ~4.5 gigagrams of black carbon from Arctic shipping may increase global warming potential due to Arctic ships' CO2 emissions (~42 000 gigagrams) by some 17% to 78%. The paper also presents maximum feasible reduction scenarios for black carbon in particular. These emissions reduction scenarios will enable scientists and policymakers to evaluate the efficacy and benefits of technological controls for black carbon, and other pollutants from ships.

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  • Except for limited data sets on shipping and some fossil fuel extraction emissions, no Arctic-specific future emission scenarios exist that encompass all significant emission sectors for local air pollution.

    “Except for a limited number of data sets on shipping and some fossil fuel extraction emissions (Corbett et al., 2010; Peters et al., 2011; Winther et al., 2014), no Arctic-speci fi c future emission scenarios exist that encompass all of the signi fi cant emission sectors for local air pollution.”

    From Local Arctic Air Pollution: A Neglected but Serious Problem (2018) · cites this paper as Corbett et al., 2010

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Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
Corbett, J. J., Lack, D. A., Winebrake, J. J., Harder, S., Silberman, J. A., & Gold, M.
Affiliations
  • University of Delaware (US)
  • Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences (US)
  • Rochester Institute of Technology (US)
  • Transport Canada (CA)
  • Harbage Consulting (US)
  • Canadian Coast Guard (CA)
ORCID
Venue
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
Publisher
Copernicus GmbH
Published
2010-10-14
Volume
10
Issue
19
Pages
9689-9704
ISSN
  • 1680-7316 (ISSN-L)
  • 1680-7324
DOI
10.5194/acp-10-9689-2010
OpenAlex
W2118341476
Cited by
270
References
2
Citations by year
2026: 11 · 2025: 14 · 2024: 19 · 2023: 11 · 2022: 14 · 2021: 24 · 2020: 23 · 2019: 14 · 2018: 20 · 2017: 15 · 2016: 26 · 2015: 14 · 2014: 20 · 2013: 21 · 2012: 16
FWCI
13.84
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Licence
Locations
  • Atmospheric chemistry and physics (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
Funders
  • Transport Canada
  • National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
Topics
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Environmental Engineering › Maritime Transport Emissions and Efficiency
  • Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Arctic and Russian Policy Studies
  • Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Atmospheric Science › Atmospheric chemistry and aerosols
Keywords
black carbon, greenhouse gas emissions, emission inventory, Arctic shipping routes, sea ice decline, global warming potential, CO2 emissions, emission reduction scenarios, aerosols

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