Significant long-term increase of fossil fuel CO 2 uptake from reduced marine calcification
Open accessPreprint — published as 10.5194/bg-4-481-2007
Abstract
Abstract. Analysis of available plankton manipulation experiments demonstrates a previously unrecognized wide range of sensitivities of biogenic calcification to simulated anthropogenic acidification of the ocean, with the "lab rat" of planktic calcifiers, Emiliania huxleyi not representative of calcification generally. We assess the implications of the experimental uncertainty in plankton calcification response by creating an ensemble of realizations of an Earth system model that encapsulates a comparable range of uncertainty in calcification response. We predict a substantial future reduction in marine carbonate production, with ocean CO2 sequestration across the model ensemble enhanced by between 62 and 199 PgC by the year 3000, equivalent to a reduction in the atmospheric fossil fuel CO2 burden at that time of up to 13%. Concurrent changes in ocean circulation and surface temperatures contribute about one third to the overall importance of reduced plankton calcification.
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
There are substantial uncertainties in the likely global response of calcifiers to lower surface pH.
“Although there are substantial uncertainties in the likely global response of calcifiers to lower surface pH [Kleypas et al., 2006;Ridgwell et al., 2006]”
From Regulation of atmospheric CO <sub>2</sub> by deep‐sea sediments in an Earth system model (2007) · cites this paper as Ridgwell et al., 2006
In the GENIE-1 model, a substantial reduction in CaCO3 export occurs in response to ocean surface acidification, resulting in a pronounced acceleration of both seafloor and terrestrial CaCO3 neutralization processes.
“In the GENIE-1 model, a substantial reduction in CaCO 3 export occurs in response to ocean surface acidification [Ridgwell et al., 2006] (Figure 8c) resulting in a pronounced acceleration of both seafloor and terrestrial CaCO 3 neutralization processes, indicated by the steepening of initial and long-term slopes in Figure 9.”
From Regulation of atmospheric CO <sub>2</sub> by deep‐sea sediments in an Earth system model (2007) · cites this paper as Ridgwell et al., 2006
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Cites
No references could be resolved yet.
Research works printed but not linked: 17
- Aumont, O., Maier-Reimer, E., Blain, S., and Monfray, P.: An ecosystem model of the global ocean including Fe, Si, P colimitations, Global Biogeochem. Cy., 17, 1060, doi:10.1029/2001GB001745, 2003. · DOI
- Barker, S., Higgins, J. A., and Elderfield, H.: The future of the carbon cycle: review, calcification response, ballast and feedback on atmospheric CO 2 , Philos. T. Roy. Soc. A, 361, 1977-1999, 2003.
- Bijma, J., Spero, H. J., and Lea, D.W.: Reassessing foraminiferal stable isotope geochemistry: Impact of the oceanic carbonate system (Experimental Results), in: Use of proxies in paleoceanography: Examples from the South Atlantic, edited by: Fischer, G. and Wefer, G., Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg, 489512, 1999.
- Bopp, L., Kohfeld, K. E., Le Quere, C., and Aumont, O.: Dust impact on marine biota and atmospheric CO 2 during glacial pe- riods, Paleoceanography, 18, 1046, doi:10.1029/2002PA000810, 2003. · DOI
- Delille, B., Harlay, J., Zondervan, I., et al.: Response of primary production and calcification to changes of p CO2 during experimental blooms of the coccolithophorid Emiliania huxleyi , Global Biogeochem. Cy., 19, GB2023, doi:10.1029/2004GB002318, 2005. · DOI
- Francois, R., Honjo, S., Krishfield, R., and Manganini, S.: Factors controlling the flux of organic carbon to the bathypelagic zone of the ocean, Global Biogeochem. Cy., 16, 1087, doi:10.1029/2001GB001722, 2002. · DOI
- Heinze, C.: Simulating oceanic CaCO3 export production in the greenhouse, Geophys. Res. Lett., 13, L16308, doi:10.1029/2004GL020613, 2004. · DOI
- Jin, X., Gruber, N., Dunne, J., Sarmiento, J. L., and Armstrong, R. A.: Diagnosing the contribution of phytoplankton functional groups to the production and export of POC, CaCO 3 and opal from global nutrient and alkalinity distributions, Global Biogeochem. Cy., 20, GB2015, doi:10.1029/2005GB002532, 2006. · DOI · Paper page
- Key, R. M., Kozyr, A., Sabine, C. L., et al.: A global ocean carbon climatology: Results from Global Data Analysis Project (GLODAP), Global Biogeochem. Cy., GB4031, 18, doi:10.1029/2004GB002247, 2004. · DOI
- Langdon, C. and Atkinson, M. J.: Effect of elevated p CO2 on photosynthesis and calcification of corals and interactions with sea- sonal change in temperature/irradiance and nutrient enrichment, J. Geophys. Res., 110, C09S07, doi:10.1029/2004JC002576, 2005. · DOI
- Langer G., Geisen, M., Baumann, K.-H., Kl¨ as, J., Riebesell, U., Thoms, S., and Young, J. R.: Species-specific responses of calcifying algae to changing seawater carbonate chemistry, Geochem. Geophys. Geosyst., 7, Q09006, doi:10.1029/2005GC001227, 2006. · DOI
- Lenton, T. M., Williamson, M. S., Edwards, N. R., Marsh, R. J., Price, A. R., Ridgwell, A. J., Shepherd, J. G., Cox, S. J., and the GENIE team: Millennial timescale carbon cycle and climate change in an efficient Earth system model, Clim. Dynam., 26, 687-711, doi:10.1007/s00382-006-0109-9, 2006. · DOI
- Passow, U. and De La Rocha, C. L.: Accumulation of mineral ballast on organic aggregates, Global Biogeochem. Cy., 20, GB1013, doi:10.1029/2005GB002579, 2006. · DOI
- Ridgwell, A. J.: An end to the 'rain ratio' reign?, Geochem. Geophys. Geosys., 4, 1051, doi:10.1029/2003GC000512, 2003. · DOI · Paper page
- Ridgwell, A. and Hargreaves, J. C.: An efficient Earth System Model of Global biogeochemical cycling: Regulation of atmospheric CO 2 by deep-sea sediments, Global Biogeochem. Cy., 21, GB2008, doi:10.1029/2006GB002764, 2007. · DOI · Paper page
- Schiebel, R.: Planktic foraminiferal sedimentation and the marine calcite budget, Global Biogeochem. Cy., 16, 1065, doi:10.1029/2001GB001459, 2002. · DOI
- Schmittner, A., Oschlies, A., Giraud, X., Eby, M., and Simmons, H. L.: A global model of the marine ecosystem for long-term simulations: Sensitivity to ocean mixing, buoyancy forcing, particle sinking, and dissolved organic matter cycling, Global Biogeochem. Cy., 19, GB3004, doi:10.1029/2004GB002283, 2005. · DOI
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Ridgwell, A., Hargreaves, J. C., Edwards, N. R., Annan, J. D., Lenton, T. M., Marsh, R., Yool, A., & Watson, A. (2007) · Biogeosciences · doi:10.5194/bg-4-87-2007 · Cited by 295 · see citing works
Self-citationRegulation of atmospheric CO <sub>2</sub> by deep‐sea sediments in an Earth system model
Ridgwell, A., & Hargreaves, J. C. (2007) · Global Biogeochemical Cycles · doi:10.1029/2006gb002764 · Cited by 213 · see citing works
Self-citation
- Authors
- Ridgwell, A., Zondervan, I., Hargreaves, J. C., Bijma, J., & Lenton, T. M.
- Affiliations
- University of Bristol (GB)
- Alfred-Wegener-Institut Helmholtz-Zentrum für Polar- und Meeresforschung (DE)
- University of East Anglia (GB)
- Venue
- Biogeosciences
- Publisher
- Copernicus GmbH
- Published
- 2006-11-13
- Volume
- 4
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 481-492
- ISSN
- 1726-4170 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2141754303
- Cited by
- 105
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2025: 2 · 2024: 1 · 2023: 3 · 2022: 4 · 2021: 2 · 2020: 2 · 2019: 3 · 2018: 7 · 2017: 1 · 2016: 4 · 2015: 8 · 2014: 6 · 2013: 6 · 2012: 12
- FWCI
- 8.41
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Biogeosciences (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- Helmholtz-Zentrum für Polar-und Meeresforschung (Alfred-Wegener-Institut) (acceptedVersion)
- Bristol Research (University of Bristol) (submittedVersion)
- HAL (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- UEA Digital Repository (University of East Anglia) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-sa)
- Funders
- Canadian Foundation for Climate and Atmospheric Sciences
- Canada Research Chairs
- Natural Environment Research Council
- Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Oceanography › Ocean Acidification Effects and Responses
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Oceanography › Marine and coastal ecosystems
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Atmospheric Science › Geology and Paleoclimatology Research
- Keywords
- ocean carbon uptake, ocean acidification, Emiliania huxleyi, ocean circulation change, surface temperature change, Earth system model ensembles
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review