Impacts of European drought events: insights from an international database of text-based reports
Open accessPublished version of a preprint
Abstract
Drought is a natural hazard that can cause a wide range of impacts affecting the environment, society, and the economy. Providing an impact assessment and reducing vulnerability to these impacts for regions beyond the local scale, spanning political and sectoral boundaries, requires systematic and detailed data regarding impacts. This study presents an assessment of the diversity of drought impacts across Europe based on the European Drought Impact report Inventory (EDII), a unique research database that has collected close to 5000 impact reports from 33 European countries. The reported drought impacts were classified into major impact categories, each of which had a number of subtypes. The distribution of these categories and types was then analyzed over time, by country, across Europe and for particular drought events. The results show that impacts on agriculture and public water supply dominate the collection of drought impact reports for most countries and for all major drought events since the 1970s, while the number and relative fractions of reported impacts in other sectors can vary regionally and from event to event. The analysis also shows that reported impacts have increased over time as more media and website information has become available and environmental awareness has increased. Even though the distribution of impact categories is relatively consistent across Europe, the details of the reports show some differences. They confirm severe impacts in southern regions (particularly on agriculture and public water supply) and sector-specific impacts in central and northern regions (e.g., on forestry or energy production). The protocol developed thus enabled a new and more comprehensive view on drought impacts across Europe. Related studies have already developed statistical techniques to evaluate the link between drought indices and the categorized impacts using EDII data. The EDII is a living database and is a promising source for further research on drought impacts, vulnerabilities, and risks across Europe. A key result is the extensive variety of impacts found across Europe and its documentation. This insight can therefore inform drought policy planning at national to international levels.
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Abiotic stresses limit barley production worldwide and cause huge economic losses.
“They limit barley production worldwide and cause huge economic losses.”
From Genetic resources and precise gene editing for targeted improvement of barley abiotic stress tolerance (2023) · cites this paper as Stahl et al., 2016
Drought-related crop losses are reported on all continents, bar Antarctica, and affect all major barley production countries.
“Drought-related crop losses are reported on all continents, bar Antarctica, and affect all major barley production countries (Kurnaz, 2014;Geng et al., 2016;Stahl et al., 2016;Elliot et al., 2018;Cammarano et al., 2019;Adisa et al., 2020;Kirono et al., 2020;Araneda-Cabrera et al., 2021;Hudzenko et al., 2021;Hunt et al., 2021;Markonis et al., 2021).”
From Genetic resources and precise gene editing for targeted improvement of barley abiotic stress tolerance (2023) · cites this paper as Stahl et al., 2016
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Cites
Understanding: the Drought Phenomenon: The Role of Definitions
Wilhite, D. A., & Glantz, M. H. (1985) · Water International · doi:10.1080/02508068508686328 · Cited by 3,224 · see citing works
The Lincoln Declaration on Drought Indices: Universal Meteorological Drought Index Recommended
Hayes, M. J., Svoboda, M. D., Wall, N. A., & Widhalm, M. (2010) · Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society · doi:10.1175/2010bams3103.1 · Cited by 926 · see citing works
Understanding the complex impacts of drought: A key to enhancing drought mitigation and preparedness
Wilhite, D. A., Svoboda, M. D., & Hayes, M. J. (2007) · Water Resources Management · doi:10.1007/s11269-006-9076-5 · Cited by 792 · see citing works
A process-based typology of hydrological drought
Loon, A. F. V., & Lanen, H. A. J. V. (2012) · Hydrology and earth system sciences · doi:10.5194/hess-16-1915-2012 · Cited by 433 · see citing works
Development of a Combined Drought Indicator to detect agricultural drought in Europe
Sepulcre‐Cantó, G., Horion, S., Singleton, A., et al. (2012) · Natural hazards and earth system sciences · doi:10.5194/nhess-12-3519-2012 · Cited by 351 · see citing works
Modeling drought impact occurrence based on meteorological drought indices in Europe
Stagge, J. H., Kohn, I., Tallaksen, L. M., et al. (2015) · Journal of Hydrology · doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.09.039 · Cited by 326 · see citing works
Self-citationMeasuring economic impacts of drought: a review and discussion
Ding, Y., Hayes, M. J., & Widhalm, M. (2011) · Disaster Prevention and Management An International Journal · doi:10.1108/09653561111161752 · Cited by 321 · see citing works
Kallis, G. (2008) · Annual Review of Environment and Resources · doi:10.1146/annurev.environ.33.081307.123117 · Cited by 244 · see citing works
A spatio‐temporal structure‐based approach to drought characterisation
Lloyd‐Hughes, B. (2011) · International Journal of Climatology · doi:10.1002/joc.2280 · Cited by 239 · see citing works
Hannaford, J., Lloyd‐Hughes, B., Keef, C., Parry, S., & Prudhomme, C. (2010) · Hydrological Processes · doi:10.1002/hyp.7725 · Cited by 212 · see citing works
The effect of ENSO on the intraseasonal variance of surface temperatures in winter
Smith, C. A., & Sardeshmukh, P. D. (2000) · International Journal of Climatology · doi:10.1002/1097-0088(20001115)20:13 · Cited by 194 · see citing works
Blauhut, V., Gudmundsson, L., & Stahl, K. (2015) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/10/1/014008 · Cited by 183 · see citing works
Self-citationPublic perception of drought and climate change in southeast England
Dessai, S., & Sims, C. (2010) · Environmental Hazards · doi:10.3763/ehaz.2010.0037 · Cited by 180 · see citing works
Logar, I., & van den Bergh, J. C. J. M. (2012) · Water Resources Management · doi:10.1007/s11269-012-0119-9 · Cited by 171 · see citing works
Exploring the link between drought indicators and impacts
Bachmair, S., Kohn, I., & Stahl, K. (2015) · Natural hazards and earth system sciences · doi:10.5194/nhess-15-1381-2015 · Cited by 163 · see citing works
Self-citationDroughts: The impact of semantics and perceptions
Smakhtin, V., & Schipper, E. L. F. (2008) · Water Policy · doi:10.2166/wp.2008.036 · Cited by 109 · see citing works
Loon, A. F. V., Ploum, S., Párajka, J., et al. (2015) · Hydrology and earth system sciences · doi:10.5194/hess-19-1993-2015 · Cited by 104 · see citing works
Folland, C. K., Hannaford, J., Bloomfield, J. P., et al. (2015) · Hydrology and earth system sciences · doi:10.5194/hess-19-2353-2015 · Cited by 101 · see citing works
Spatial and temporal patterns of large‐scale droughts in Europe: Model dispersion and performance
Tallaksen, L. M., & Stahl, K. (2014) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1002/2013gl058573 · Cited by 92 · see citing works
Self-citationDrought Information for Improving Preparedness in the Western States
Steinemann, A. C. (2014) · Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society · doi:10.1175/bams-d-13-00067.1 · Cited by 43 · see citing works
Bouma, E. (2005) · EPPO Bulletin · doi:10.1111/j.1365-2338.2005.00830.x · Cited by 40 · see citing works
Gil, M., Garrido, A., & Hernández-Mora, N. (2013) · Natural hazards and earth system sciences · doi:10.5194/nhess-13-2679-2013 · Cited by 32 · see citing works
Drought in Bulgaria: A Contemporary Analog for Climate Change
Raev, I. (2017) · Medical Entomology and Zoology · Cited by 31 · see citing works
The dynamics of vulnerability to drought from an impact perspective
Blauhut, K. S. &. I. K. V. (2015) · CRC Press eBooks · doi:10.1201/b18077-59 · Cited by 29 · see citing works
The Missing Piece: Drought Impacts Monitoring
Lackstrom, K., Brennan, A., Ferguson, D. B., et al. (2013) · Cited by 11 · see citing works
Comparison of three drought monitoring tools in the USA
Dieker, E., Lanen, H. A. J. V., & Svoboda, M. D. (2010) · Socio-Environmental Systems Modeling · Cited by 6 · see citing works
Drought effects on rainfed agriculture using standardized indices: A case study in SE Spain
Hunink, J. E. (2015) · CRC Press eBooks · doi:10.1201/b18077-13 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
Ceglar, A., Medved‐Cvikl, B., Tejeda, E. M., et al. (2012) · Repository of the University of Ljubljana (University of Ljubljana) · doi:10.2902/ijsdir.v7i0.271 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
Modeling Drought Impact Occurrence Based on Climatological Drought Indices for Europe
Stagge, J. H., Kohn, I., Tallaksen, L. M., et al. (2014) · 2014 AGU Fall Meeting · Cited by 5 · see citing works
Self-citationFostering drought research and science-policy interfacing: Achievements of the DROUGHT-R&SPI project
H.A.J. Van Lanen, L. M. T. (2015) · CRC Press eBooks · doi:10.1201/b18077-5 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
Evaluation of drought occurrence in springs yields of the Nízke Tatry Mts.
Fendeková, D. V. &. M. (2015) · CRC Press eBooks · doi:10.1201/b18077-28 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
An impact perspective on pan-European drought sensitivity
Stahl, K., Kohn, I., Stefano, L. D., et al. (2015) · Socio-Environmental Systems Modeling · doi:10.1201/b18077-56 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
Self-citation
Flagged first, then by citations
Research works printed but not linked: 10
- De Stefano, L., Urquijo, J., Acácio, V., Andreu, J., Assimacopoulos, D., Bifulco, C., and Wolters, W.: Policy and drought responses - Case Study scale, DROUGHT-R&SPI Technical Report No. 4, 115 pp., available at: http://www.eu-drought.org/ technicalreports/10821986/ (last access: 7 February 2016), 2012.
- Estrela, M. J., Peñarrocha, D., and Millán, M.: Multi-annual drought episodes in the Mediterranean (Valencia region) from 19501996. A spatio-temporal analysis, Int. J. Climatol., 20, 15991618, doi:10.1002/1097-0088, 2000. · DOI
- European Environment Agency: Safe water and healthy water services in a changing environment, EEA Technical Report 7/2011, 33 pp., Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg, doi:10.2800/78043, 2011. · DOI
- European Environment Agency: Water resources in Europe in the context of vulnerability, EEA 2012 state of water assessment, EEA Report No. 11/20122, Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg, 92 pp., doi:10.2800/65298, 2012. · DOI
- Musolino, D., Massarutto, A., and De Carli, A.: Ex-post evaluation of the socio-economic impacts of drought in some areas in Europe, in: Drought: Research and Science-Policy Interfacing, edited by: Andreu, J., Solera, A., Paredes-Arquiola, J., HaroMonteagudo, D., and van Lanen, H. A. J., CRC Press, London, 71-77, doi:10.1201/b18077-56, 2015. · DOI
- Parry, S., Prudhomme, C., Wilby, R., and Wood, P.: Chronology of drought termination for long records in the Thames catchment, in: Drought: Research and Science-Policy Interfacing, edited by: Andreu, J., Solera, A., Paredes-Arquiola, J., Haro-Monteagudo, D., and van Lanen, H. A. J., CRC Press, London, 165-170, doi:10.1201/b18077-56, 2015. · DOI
- Stahl, K., Kohn, I., De Stefano, L., Tallaksen, L. M., Rego, F.C., Seneviratne, S. I., Andreu, J., and van Lanen, H. A. J.: An impact perspective on pan-European drought sensitivity, in: Drought: Research and Science-Policy Interfacing, edited by: Andreu, J., Solera, A., Paredes-Arquiola, J., Haro-Monteagudo, D., and van Lanen, H. A. J., CRC Press, London, 329-334, doi:10.1201/b18077-56, 2015. · DOI
- Tánago, I. G., Ballesteros, M., Urquijo, J., and De Stefano, L.: Exploring situations of vulnerability to drought from a sectorial perspective: A starting point for regional assessments, in: Drought: Research and Science-Policy Interfacing, edited by: Andreu, J., Solera, A., Paredes-Arquiola, J., Haro-Monteagudo, D., and van Lanen, H. A. J., CRC Press, London, 341-348, doi:10.1201/b18077-56, 2015. · DOI
- Wilhite, D. A.: Reducing societal vulnerability to drought, in: Drought: A Global Assessment II, edited by: Wilhite, D. A., Routledge, New York, London, 295-298, 2000.
- Wilhite, D. A. and Vanyarkho, O.: Pervasive impacts of a creeping phenomenon, in: Drought: A Global Assessment I, edited by: Wilhite, D. A., Routledge, New York, London, 245-255, 2000.
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Karunarathne, S., Walker, E., Sharma, D., Li, C., & Han, Y. (2023) · Journal of Zhejiang University-SCIENCE B · doi:10.1631/jzus.b2200552 · Cited by 18 · see citing works
“…crop losses are reported on all continents, bar Antarctica, and affect all major barley production countries (Kur‐ naz, 2014; Geng et al., 2016; Stahl et al., 2016; Elliot et al., 2018; Cammarano et al., 2019; Adisa et al., 2020; Kirono et al., 2020; Araneda-Cabrera et al., 2021; Hudzenko et…”
- Authors
- Stahl, K., Kohn, I., Blauhut, V., Urquijo, J., De Stefano, L., Acácio, V., Dias, S., Stagge, J. H., Tallaksen, L. M., Kampragou, E., Van Loon, A. F., Barker, L. J., Melsen, L. A., Bifulco, C., Musolino, D., de Carli, A., Massarutto, A., Assimacopoulos, D., & Van Lanen, H. A. J.
- Affiliations
- University of Freiburg (DE)
- University of Lisbon (PT)
- University of Oslo (NO)
- National Technical University of Athens (GR)
- UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology (GB)
- Wageningen University & Research (NL)
- Bocconi University (IT)
- University of Udine (IT)
- Corresponding author
- Stahl, Kerstin
- ORCID
- Venue
- Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
- Publisher
- Copernicus GmbH
- Published
- 2016-03-21
- Volume
- 16
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 801-819
- ISSN
- 1561-8633 (ISSN-L)
- 1684-9981
- OpenAlex
- W2305228282
- Cited by
- 382
- References
- 32
- Citations by year
- 2026: 22 · 2025: 33 · 2024: 44 · 2023: 59 · 2022: 51 · 2021: 73 · 2020: 32 · 2019: 23 · 2018: 19 · 2017: 13 · 2016: 9 · 2015: 3 · 2014: 1
- FWCI
- 15.78
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Natural hazards and earth system sciences (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- NERC Open Research Archive (Natural Environment Research Council) (acceptedVersion)
- Socio-Environmental Systems Modeling (acceptedVersion, cc-by)
- Docta Complutense (Universidad Complutense de Madrid) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Institutional Research Information System (University of Udine) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- Archivio istituzionale della Ricerca - Bocconi (submittedVersion)
- Data Archiving and Networked Services (DANS) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Funders
- European Commission (282769)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Hydrology and Drought Analysis
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Disaster Management and Resilience
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Flood Risk Assessment and Management
- Keywords
- drought impacts, environmental impact of agriculture, public water supply, forestry impacts, regional variation, drought vulnerability, drought risk, drought policy
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review