Cited by 76Environmental and Biological Research in Conflict ZonesGlobal Energy Security and PolicyEconomics of Agriculture and Food Markets

The DOI matches its Crossref record; 13 of the 13 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.

The Ukraine war and threats to food and energy security: Cascading risks from rising prices and supply disruptions

Open access

Abstract

Global resource markets are still reeling from the impacts of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine; the two countries are major suppliers of energy, food and fertilizers. Supply disruption and the sudden imposition, in response to the crisis, of unprecedented economic sanctions, trade restrictions and policy interventions have caused prices of commodities to skyrocket. Before the conflict, demand for global resources already exceeded supply and drove up prices as economies rebounded after the COVID-19 pandemic. This gave rise to a global cost-of-living crisis, characterized by increasing levels of energy and food poverty. This situation is likely to become much worse as a consequence of the war in Ukraine, and poses a threat to human security, particularly among low-income and vulnerable populations. Governments must invest now to build resilient societies and economies to meet these long-term challenges. Mitigating the most immediate harms to populations is a top priority for policymakers, but failure to keep long-term objectives in mind – climate change mitigation, in particular – can lead to bad decisions that further embed existing fragilities in economic and social systems.

Overview

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.55317/9781784135225

Cites

13 of 13 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Verification

Claims the paper makes

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

  • China, a major producer and supplier of phosphate-based fertilizers, decided to restrict fertilizer exports from July 2021 through June 2022 to ensure domestic supply.

    “For example, China, a major producer and supplier of phosphate-based fertilizers, has decided to restrict fertilizer exports from July 2021 through June 2022 to ensure domestic supply [73].”
  • Both Russia and Belarus are part of a cartelized potash market that accounts for one-third of worldwide exports and determines the price of potash on the global market.

    “Both Russia and Belarus are part of a cartelized potash market that accounts for one-third of worldwide exports and determines the price of potash on the global market (the other half consists of Canada and the USA) [73].”
  • Around one-sixth of the world supply of potash fertilizers is exported by Russia, as is more than one-tenth of nitrogen fertilizer exports and around one-sixth of mixed fertilizer exports.

    “Around one-sixth of the world supply of potash fertilizers is exported by Russia, as is more than one-tenth of nitrogen fertilizer exports and around one-sixth of mixed fertilizer exports (containing two or more of nitrogen, potassium, and phosphate) [73].”

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

The self-check needs the paper’s full text.

Citations

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

Research works printed but not linked: 5

  1. See Wall Street Journal, 'Market data'. 66 Agricultural Market Information System (2022), 'AMIS Market Monitor: No. 96 March 2022', http://www.amis-outlook.org/amis-monitoring/monthly-report/en/#.YjsEC5bLc2w.
  2. Lahn, G. and Grafham, O. (2015), Heat, light and power for refugees, Report, London: Royal Institute of International Affairs, https://www.chathamhouse.org/sites/default/files/publications/research/2015-11-17-heat-light-power- refugees-lahn-grafham-final.pdf. 133 Council of the EU (2022), 'Ukraine: Council unanimously introduces temporary protection for persons fleeing the war', press release, 4 March 2022, https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/press/press-releases/2022/03/04/ ukraine-council-introduces-temporary-protection-for-persons-fleeing-the-war. 134
  3. Kesavan, M. (2022), 'Factbox: La Nina wreaks havoc in South America, to keep corn, bean supply tight', S&P Global, 18 February 2022, https://www.spglobal.com/commodity-insights/en/market-insights/latest-news/ agriculture/021822-factbox-la-nina-wreaks-havoc-in-south-america-to-keep-supply-tight. 140 Chatham House (2020), 'Resource Trade Earth Dashboard'. 141 UN Conference on Trade and Development (2022), The impact on trade and development of the war in Ukraine, https://unctad.org/system/files/official-document/osginf2022d1_en.pdf. 142
  4. Khatib, L. and Wallace, J. (2021), 'Lebanon's politics and politicians', Chatham House Explainer, 11 August 2021, https://www.chathamhouse.org/2021/08/lebanons-politics. 152 World Bank (2021), 'Lebanon sinking into one of the most severe global crises episodes, amidst deliberate inaction', press release, 1 June 2021, https://www.worldbank.org/en/news/press-release/2021/05/01/lebanon- sinking-into-one-of-the-most-severe-global-crises-episodes. 153 World Food Programme (2022), WFP Lebanon Country Brief, February 2022, https://docs.wfp. org/api/documents/WFP-0000137483/download/?_ga=2.201710417.1958817864.1647513688- 1742085453.1646403115. 159
  5. Grafham (ed.) (2021), Energy Access and Forced Migration; Lahn and Grafham (2015), Heat, light and power for refugees. 167

Cited by

Metadata

Authors
Benton, T., Froggatt, A., Wellesley, L., Grafham, O., King, R., Morisetti, N., Nixey, J., & Schröder, P.
Affiliations
Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy (GB)
Published
2022-04-13
OpenAlex
W4223971215
Cited by
76
References
13
Citations by year
2026: 1 · 2025: 9 · 2024: 22 · 2023: 28 · 2022: 16
Type
report
Language
en
Open access
Topics
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law › Environmental and Biological Research in Conflict Zones
  • Physical Sciences › Energy › General Energy › Global Energy Security and Policy
  • Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Economics of Agriculture and Food Markets
Keywords
Russian invasion of Ukraine, food security, energy security, commodity prices, supply disruption, economic sanctions, trade barriers, cost-of-living crisis, human security, low-income populations, economic resilience, climate change mitigation, fertilizers

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review