The DOI matches its Crossref record.
If Nothing Goes Wrong, Is Everything All Right?: Interpreting Zero Numerators
Abstract
PHYSICIANS frequently must provide patients with estimates of the risk of a particular medical procedure or of the probability of a specific health outcome. To do so, they may use data from their own experiences as well as those available in the literature. A general goal is to locate the estimate within a fairly narrow range. When the procedure or outcome of concern is relatively uncommon, precise estimation, although desirable, may be difficult or impossible. Moreover, when the only data available come from a study in which none of the events of concern actually occurred—ie, a study in which a zero numerator is reported—making inferences seems to be particularly problematic. Because the occurrence of "no events" seems to be viewed as very different both quantitatively and qualitatively from the occurrence of one or more events, it is useful to look into someof the statistical and psychological issues that influence the
Overview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cited by
Kwan, P., Arzimanoglou, A., Berg, A. T., Brodie, M. J., Allen Hauser, W., Mathern, G., Moshé, S. L., Perucca, E., Wiebe, S., & French, J. (2010) · Epilepsia · doi:10.1111/j.1528-1167.2009.02397.x · Cited by 4,877
DSM-IV Personality Disorders in the National Comorbidity Survey Replication
Lenzenweger, M. F., Lane, M. C., Loranger, A. W., & Kessler, R. C. (2007) · Biological Psychiatry · doi:10.1016/j.biopsych.2006.09.019 · Cited by 1,352
A simple formula for the calculation of sample size in pilot studies
Viechtbauer, W., Smits, L., Kotz, D., Budé, L., Spigt, M., Serroyen, J., & Crutzen, R. (2015) · Journal of Clinical Epidemiology · doi:10.1016/j.jclinepi.2015.04.014 · Cited by 612
Radial Artery Cannulation: A Comprehensive Review of Recent Anatomic and Physiologic Investigations
Brzezinski, M., Luisetti, T., & London, M. J. (2009) · Anesthesia & Analgesia · doi:10.1213/ane.0b013e3181bbd416 · Cited by 354
Adult Outcomes of Childhood Dysregulation: A 14-year Follow-up Study
Althoff, R. R., Verhulst, F. C., Rettew, D. C., Hudziak, J. J., & van der Ende, J. (2010) · Journal of the American Academy of Child & Adolescent Psychiatry · doi:10.1016/j.jaac.2010.08.006 · Cited by 303
Metadata
- Authors
- Hanley, J. A.
- Venue
- JAMA
- Publisher
- American Medical Association (AMA)
- Published
- 1983-04-01
- Volume
- 249
- Issue
- 13
- Pages
- 1743
- ISSN
- 0002-9955 (ISSN-L)
- 0098-7484
- OpenAlex
- W4320300927
- Cited by
- 1,043
- References
- 0
- FWCI
- 4.38
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review
How to cite
Cite CoChat for the checks on this page, and the paper for its own findings.
- This page
- CoChat. (2026). Citation check: If Nothing Goes Wrong, Is Everything All Right?: Interpreting Zero Numerators. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1001/jama.1983.03330370053031
- The paper
- Hanley, J. A. (1983). If Nothing Goes Wrong, Is Everything All Right?: Interpreting Zero Numerators. JAMA. https://doi.org/10.1001/jama.1983.03330370053031
Data sources
Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.