The DOI matches its Crossref record; 64 of the 64 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
The influence of multiyear drought on the annual rainfall‐runoff relationship: AnAustralian perspective
Open accessAbstract
Most current long‐term (decadal and longer) hydrological predictions implicitly assume that hydrological processes are stationary even under changing climate. However, in practice, we suspect that changing climatic conditions may affect runoff generation processes and cause changes in the rainfall‐runoff relationship. In this article, we investigate whether temporary but prolonged (i.e., of the order of a decade) shifts in rainfall result in changes in rainfall‐runoff relationships at the catchment scale. Annual rainfall and runoff records from south‐eastern Australia are used to examine whether interdecadal climate variability induces changes in hydrological behavior. We test statistically whether annual rainfall‐runoff relationships are significantly different during extended dry periods, compared with the historical norm. The results demonstrate that protracted drought led to a significant shift in the rainfall‐runoff relationship in ∼46% of the catchment‐dry periods studied. The shift led to less annual runoff for a given annual rainfall, compared with the historical relationship. We explore linkages between cases where statistically significant changes occurred and potential explanatory factors, including catchment properties and characteristics of the dry period (e.g., length, precipitation anomalies). We find that long‐term drought is more likely to affect transformation of rainfall to runoff in drier, flatter, and less forested catchments. Understanding changes in the rainfall‐runoff relationship is important for accurate streamflow projections and to help develop adaptation strategies to deal with multiyear droughts.
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Cites
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Cited by
The 2010–2015 megadrought in central Chile: impacts on regional hydroclimate and vegetation
Garreaud, R. D., Alvarez-Garreton, C., Barichivich, J., Boisier, J. P., Christie, D., Galleguillos, M., LeQuesne, C., McPhee, J., & Zambrano-Bigiarini, M. (2017) · Hydrology and Earth System Sciences · doi:10.5194/hess-21-6307-2017 · Cited by 731
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Watersheds may not recover from drought
Peterson, T. J., Saft, M., Peel, M. C., & John, A. (2021) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.abd5085 · Cited by 292
Self-citation
Metadata
- Authors
- Saft, M., Western, A. W., Zhang, L., Peel, M. C., & Potter, N. J.
- Venue
- Water Resources Research
- Publisher
- American Geophysical Union (AGU)
- Published
- 2015-04
- Volume
- 51
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 2444-2463
- ISSN
- 0043-1397 (ISSN-L)
- 1944-7973
- OpenAlex
- W2120004639
- Cited by
- 287
- References
- 64
- FWCI
- 6.56
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
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