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Cited by 420

The DOI matches its Crossref record; 13 of the 13 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.

Machine Learning Predicts Laboratory Earthquakes

Open access
Rouet‐Leduc, Bertrand, Hulbert, Claudia, Lubbers, Nicholas, Barros, Kipton, Humphreys, Colin J., Johnson, Paul A.·2017·Geophysical Research Letters

Abstract

We apply machine learning to data sets from shear laboratory experiments, with the goal of identifying hidden signals that precede earthquakes. Here we show that by listening to the acoustic signal emitted by a laboratory fault, machine learning can predict the time remaining before it fails with great accuracy. These predictions are based solely on the instantaneous physical characteristics of the acoustical signal and do not make use of its history. Surprisingly, machine learning identifies a signal emitted from the fault zone previously thought to be low‐amplitude noise that enables failure forecasting throughout the laboratory quake cycle. We infer that this signal originates from continuous grain motions of the fault gouge as the fault blocks displace. We posit that applying this approach to continuous seismic data may lead to significant advances in identifying currently unknown signals, in providing new insights into fault physics, and in placing bounds on fault failure times.

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Metadata

Authors
Rouet‐Leduc, B., Hulbert, C., Lubbers, N., Barros, K., Humphreys, C. J., & Johnson, P. A.
Venue
Geophysical Research Letters
Published
2017-09-22
Volume
44
Issue
18
Pages
9276-9282
ISSN
  • 0094-8276 (ISSN-L)
  • 1944-8007
OpenAlex
W2625710583
Cited by
420
References
13
FWCI
20.70
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
hybrid

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CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Machine Learning Predicts Laboratory Earthquakes. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1002/2017gl074677
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Rouet‐Leduc, B., Hulbert, C., Lubbers, N., Barros, K., Humphreys, C. J., & Johnson, P. A. (2017). Machine Learning Predicts Laboratory Earthquakes. Geophysical Research Letters. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017gl074677

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