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Cited by 247Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk ManagementDemographic Trends and Gender PreferencesFamily Dynamics and Relationships

The demographic transition revisited as a global process

Reher, David S.·2004·Population, Space and Place
DOI 10.1002/psp.313
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Abstract

With dramatic declines in fertility taking place throughout the world, it is increasingly important to understand the demographic transition as a global process. While this universality was a cornerstone of classic transition theories, for many decades it was largely neglected by experts because fertility in the developing world did not seem to follow the expected pattern. When comparing earlier and more recent transition experiences, important similarities and disparities can be seen. Everywhere mortality decline appears to have played a central role for fertility decline. The differences in the timing of the response of fertility to mortality decline, with very small gaps historically and prolonged ones in more recent transitions, plus the much more rapid decline in vital rates in many developing countries, constitute an important challenge to any general explanation of the process. The specific characteristics of recent transitions have led to decades of higher population growth rates, and promise to give way to much more rapid dynamics of population ageing in many countries. This may limit the ability of newcomers to take full advantage of the demographic transition for the social and economic modernisation of their societies. Copyright © 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

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Crossref · 10.1002/psp.313

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97 of 97 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

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  • Existing estimates of the onset date of a demographic transition derive from ad hoc non-inferential procedures based on the rate of change of fertility.

    “This approach is quite new; existing estimates of the onset date of a demographic transition derive from ad hoc non inferential procedures based on the rate of change of fertility (e.g., Reher, 2004).”

    From Fertility Transitions in Developing Countries: Convergence, Timing, and Causes (2019) · cites this paper as Reher, 2004

  • Using pretransitional birth and death rates, PTRs without migration were in "normal times" as high as about 80 per 1000 in latecomer societies, mostly in Africa and Asia.

    “Using estimates for pretransitional birth and death rates (Reher 2004), one can infer that PTRs without migration were, in “normal times” as high as about 80 per 1000 in societies that are “latecomers” in the demographic transition process (mostly in Africa and Asia).”

    From Demography: Fast and Slow (2022) · cites this paper as Reher 2004

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Authors
Reher, D. S.
Affiliations
Universidad Complutense de Madrid (ES)
Corresponding author
Reher, David S.
ORCID
Reher, David S.
Venue
Population, Space and Place
Publisher
Wiley
Published
2004-01
Volume
10
Issue
1
Pages
19-41
ISSN
  • 1544-8444 (ISSN-L)
  • 1544-8452
DOI
10.1002/psp.313
OpenAlex
W2091701363
Cited by
247
References
99
Citations by year
2026: 6 · 2025: 11 · 2024: 7 · 2023: 12 · 2022: 11 · 2021: 31 · 2020: 21 · 2019: 10 · 2018: 9 · 2017: 14 · 2016: 16 · 2015: 15 · 2014: 16 · 2013: 9 · 2012: 14
FWCI
12.73
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
closed
Licence
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor (vor, 13 d)
Locations
Population Space and Place (publishedVersion)
Topics
  • Social Sciences › Demography › Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management
  • Social Sciences › Gender Studies › Demographic Trends and Gender Preferences
  • Social Sciences › Demography › Family Dynamics and Relationships
Keywords
demographic transition, fertility decline, mortality decline, developing countries, population aging, population growth rate, transition theory

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