The DOI matches its Crossref record; 101 of the 101 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
A review on Arctic sea‐ice predictability and prediction on seasonal to decadal time‐scales
Abstract
Sea ice plays a crucial role in the Earth's energy and water budget and has a substantial impact on local and remote atmospheric and oceanic circulations. Predictions of Arctic sea‐ice conditions a few months to a few years in advance could be of interest for stakeholders. This article presents a review of the potential sources of Arctic sea‐ice predictability on these time‐scales. Predictability mainly originates from persistence or advection of sea‐ice anomalies, interactions with the ocean and atmosphere and changes in radiative forcing. After estimating the inherent potential predictability limit with state‐of‐the‐art models, current sea‐ice forecast systems are described, together with their performance. Finally, some challenges and issues in sea‐ice forecasting are presented, along with suggestions for future research priorities.
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Cites
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Cited by
The Arctic's sea ice cover: trends, variability, predictability, and comparisons to the Antarctic
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Benefits of increasing the model resolution for the seasonal forecast quality in EC-Earth.
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Metadata
- Authors
- Guemas, V., Blanchard‐Wrigglesworth, E., Chevallier, M., Day, J. J., Déqué, M., Doblas‐Reyes, F. J., Fučkar, N. S., Germe, A., Hawkins, E., Keeley, S., Koenigk, T., Salas y Mélia, D., & Tietsche, S.
- Venue
- Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2014-07-30
- Volume
- 142
- Issue
- 695
- Pages
- 546-561
- ISSN
- 0035-9009 (ISSN-L)
- 1477-870X
- OpenAlex
- W1859706942
- Cited by
- 267
- References
- 101
- FWCI
- 9.05
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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- Guemas, V., Blanchard‐Wrigglesworth, E., Chevallier, M., Day, J. J., Déqué, M., Doblas‐Reyes, F. J., Fučkar, N. S., Germe, A., Hawkins, E., Keeley, S., Koenigk, T., Salas y Mélia, D., & Tietsche, S. (2016). A review on Arctic sea‐ice predictability and prediction on seasonal to decadal time‐scales. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2401
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