The DOI matches its Crossref record; 76 of the 76 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
The Arctic's sea ice cover: trends, variability, predictability, and comparisons to the Antarctic
Open accessAbstract
As assessed over the period of satellite observations, October 1978 to present, there are downward linear trends in Arctic sea ice extent for all months, largest at the end of the melt season in September. The ice cover is also thinning. Downward trends in extent and thickness have been accompanied by pronounced interannual and multiyear variability, forced by both the atmosphere and ocean. As the ice thins, its response to atmospheric and oceanic forcing may be changing. In support of a busier Arctic, there is a growing need to predict ice conditions on a variety of time and space scales. A major challenge to providing seasonal scale predictions is the 7–10 days limit of numerical weather prediction. While a seasonally ice‐free Arctic Ocean is likely well within this century, there is much uncertainty in the timing. This reflects differences in climate model structure, the unknown evolution of anthropogenic forcing, and natural climate variability. In sharp contrast to the Arctic, Antarctic sea ice extent, while highly variable, has increased slightly over the period of satellite observations. The reasons for this different behavior remain to be resolved, but responses to changing atmospheric circulation patterns appear to play a strong role.
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Citations
Cites
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Processes and impacts of Arctic amplification: A research synthesis
Serreze, M. C., & Barry, R. G. (2011) · Global and Planetary Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2011.03.004 · Cited by 2,544
Self-citationArctic sea ice decline: Faster than forecast
Stroeve, J., Holland, M. M., Meier, W., Scambos, T., & Serreze, M. (2007) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2007gl029703 · Cited by 1,857
Self-citationEvidence linking Arctic amplification to extreme weather in mid‐latitudes
Francis, J. A., & Vavrus, S. J. (2012) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2012gl051000 · Cited by 1,808
Accelerated decline in the Arctic sea ice cover
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Trends in Arctic sea ice extent from CMIP5, CMIP3 and observations
Stroeve, J. C., Kattsov, V., Barrett, A., Serreze, M., Pavlova, T., Holland, M., & Meier, W. N. (2012) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2012gl052676 · Cited by 1,064
Self-citationResponse of Sea Ice to the Arctic Oscillation
Rigor, I. G., Wallace, J. M., & Colony, R. L. (2002) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2002)015<2648:rositt>2.0.co;2 · Cited by 912
Greater role for Atlantic inflows on sea-ice loss in the Eurasian Basin of the Arctic Ocean
Polyakov, I. V., Pnyushkov, A. V., Alkire, M. B., Ashik, I. M., Baumann, T. M., Carmack, E. C., Goszczko, I., Guthrie, J., Ivanov, V. V., Kanzow, T., et al. (2017) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.aai8204 · Cited by 909
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Changes in Arctic melt season and implications for sea ice loss
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Cited by
Neale, R. E., Barnes, P. W., Robson, T. M., Neale, P. J., Williamson, C. E., Zepp, R. G., Wilson, S. R., Madronich, S., Andrady, A. L., Heikkilä, A. M., et al. (2021) · Photochemical & Photobiological Sciences · doi:10.1007/s43630-020-00001-x · Cited by 225
Neale, P. J., Williamson, C. E., Banaszak, A. T., Häder, D.-P., Hylander, S., Ossola, R., Rose, K. C., Wängberg, S.-Å., & Zepp, R. (2023) · Photochemical & Photobiological Sciences · doi:10.1007/s43630-023-00370-z · Cited by 79
Metadata
- Authors
- Serreze, M. C., & Meier, W. N.
- Venue
- Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2018-05-28
- Volume
- 1436
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 36-53
- ISSN
- 0077-8923 (ISSN-L)
- 1749-6632
- OpenAlex
- W2806322703
- Cited by
- 300
- References
- 76
- FWCI
- 10.53
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
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- Serreze, M. C., & Meier, W. N. (2019). The Arctic's sea ice cover: trends, variability, predictability, and comparisons to the Antarctic. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences. https://doi.org/10.1111/nyas.13856
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
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