Air pollution and daily mortality in the Coachella Valley, California: a study of PM10 dominated by coarse particles
Abstract
Many epidemiological studies provide evidence of an association between airborne particles, measured as PM10 (particulate matter less than 10 microm in diameter), and daily morbidity and mortality. Most of these studies have been conducted in urban areas where PM10 consists primarily of fine particles (<2.5 microm in diameter). Few studies have investigated impacts associated with coarse mode particles (>2.5 microm in diameter). We investigated associations between PM10 and daily mortality in the Coachella Valley, a desert resort and retirement area east of Los Angeles, where coarse particles of geologic origin typically comprise approximately 50-60% of PM10 and can exceed 90% during wind events. Our analysis utilized daily data on mortality from 1989 through 1992 as well as several pollutant and meteorological variables, including PM10, nitrates, sulfates, ozone, nitrogen dioxide, carbon monoxide, temperature, and relative humidity. Outcome variables included several measures of daily mortality, including all-cause, cardiovascular and respiratory mortality, and counts of deaths for those above age 50. Multivariate Poisson regression models were used to explain these health endpoints, controlling for temperature, humidity, day of the week, season, and time, using locally weighted smoothing techniques. The analysis indicated statistically significant associations between PM10 (2- or 3-day lags) and each measure of mortality. The results were robust to various model specifications, correction for autocorrelation and overdispersion, and analysis of influential observations. A 10 microg/m3 change in daily PM10 was associated with an approximately 1% increase in mortality, which is of similar magnitude to particle-associated impacts identified in urban areas. Thus, our findings provide evidence for a mortality effect of PM10 in an area where the particulate mass is dominated by coarse particles.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
The findings on health effects of ambient fine particles (PM2.5) and coarse particles (PM10-2.5) remain inconsistent.
“The findings on health effects of ambient fine particles (PM2.5) and coarse particles (PM10-2.5) remain inconsistent.”
From Differentiating the effects of fine and coarse particles on daily mortality in Shanghai, China (2007) · cites this paper as Ostro et al. 1999
Findings with PM10-2.5 are inconsistent.
“Not surprisingly, findings with PM10-2.5 are thus inconsistent (Brunekreef and Forsberg 2005; Ostro et al. 2000; Ostro et al. 1999; Schwartz and Neas 2000; Smith et al. 2000; Wilson and Suh 1997).”
From Differentiating the effects of fine and coarse particles on daily mortality in Shanghai, China (2007) · cites this paper as Ostro et al. 1999
Cites
(2005) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/0-387-27255-0_9 · Cited by 20,333 · see citing works
Acute Respiratory Effects of Particulate Air Pollution
Dockery, D. W., & Pope, C. A. (1994) · Annual Review of Public Health · doi:10.1146/annurev.pu.15.050194.000543 · Cited by 2,189 · see citing works
Particulate air pollution and acute health effects
Seaton, A., Godden, D., MacNee, W., & Donaldson, K. (1995) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(95)90173-6 · Cited by 2,138 · see citing works
Chambers, J. M., Hastie, T., & Pregibon, D. (1990) · Physica-Verlag eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-642-50096-1_48 · Cited by 1,763 · see citing works
Is Daily Mortality Associated Specifically with Fine Particles?
Schwartz, J., Dockery, D. W., & Neas, L. M. (1996) · Journal of the Air & Waste Management Association · doi:10.1080/10473289.1996.10467528 · Cited by 1,561 · see citing works
Lachenbruch, P. A., McCullagh, P., & Nelder, J. A. (1990) · Biometrics · doi:10.2307/2532465 · Cited by 947 · see citing works
The Association of Air Pollution and Mortality: Examining the Case for Inference
Ostro, B. D. (1993) · Archives of Environmental Health An International Journal · doi:10.1080/00039896.1993.9936722 · Cited by 157 · see citing works
Self-citationAir-conditioning and Mortality in Hot Weather
Rogot, E., Sorlie, P. D., & Backlund, E. (1992) · American Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a116413 · Cited by 154 · see citing works
Particulate Air Pollution and Respiratory Disease in Anchorage, Alaska
Gordian, M. E., Özkaynak, H., Xue, J., Morris, S. S., & Spengler, J. D. (1996) · Environmental Health Perspectives · doi:10.1289/ehp.96104290 · Cited by 115 · see citing works
Warheit, D. B., Carakostas, M. C., Hartsky, M. A., & Hansen, J. F. (1991) · Toxicology and Applied Pharmacology · doi:10.1016/0041-008x(91)90215-z · Cited by 98 · see citing works
Surveillance for Dust Storms and Respiratory Diseases in Washington State, 1991
Hefflin, B. J., Jalaludin, B. B., McClure, E., Cobb, N., Johnson, C. A., Jecha, L., & Etzel, R. A. (1994) · Archives of Environmental Health An International Journal · doi:10.1080/00039896.1994.9940378 · Cited by 90 · see citing works
Cellular and Immunologic Injury with PM-10 Inhalation
Kleinman, M. T., Bhalla, D. K., Mautz, W. J., et al. (1995) · Inhalation Toxicology · doi:10.3109/08958379509014467 · Cited by 28 · see citing works
Jakab, G. J., & Hemenway, D. R. (1993) · Inhalation Toxicology · doi:10.3109/08958379308998385 · Cited by 21 · see citing works
Flagged first, then by citations
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Differentiating the effects of fine and coarse particles on daily mortality in Shanghai, China
Kan, H., London, S. J., Chen, G., Zhang, Y., Song, G., Zhao, N., Jiang, L., & Chen, B. (2007) · Environment International · doi:10.1016/j.envint.2006.12.001 · Cited by 339 · see citing works
Ozone Exposure and Mortality: An Empiric Bayes Metaregression Analysis
Levy, J. I., Chemerynski, S. M., & Sarnat, J. A. (2005) · Epidemiology · doi:10.1097/01.ede.0000165820.08301.b3 · Cited by 302 · see citing works
The temporal pattern of respiratory and heart disease mortality in response to air pollution
Zanobetti, A., Schwartz, J., Samoli, E., Gryparis, A., Touloumi, G., Peacock, J., Anderson, R. H., Le Tertre, A., Bobros, J., Celko, M., et al. (2003) · Environmental Health Perspectives · doi:10.1289/ehp.5712 · Cited by 300 · see citing works
Anderson, H. R., Bremner, S. A., Atkinson, R. W., Harrison, R. M., & Walters, S. (2001) · Occupational and Environmental Medicine · doi:10.1136/oem.58.8.504 · Cited by 230 · see citing works
Ambient endotoxin concentrations in PM10 from Southern California
Mueller-Anneling, L., Avol, E., Peters, J. M., & Thorne, P. S. (2004) · Environmental Health Perspectives · doi:10.1289/ehp.6552 · Cited by 161 · see citing works
Kim, S.-Y., Lee, J.-T., Hong, Y.-C., Ahn, K.-J., & Kim, H. (2004) · Environmental Research · doi:10.1016/j.envres.2003.09.006 · Cited by 79 · see citing works
Roberts, S. (2006) · Journal of Toxicology and Environmental Health, Part A · doi:10.1080/15287390500246761 · Cited by 32 · see citing works
- Authors
- Ostro, B. D., Hurley, S., & Lipsett, M. J.
- Affiliations
- University of California, San Francisco (US)
- ORCID
- Ostro, Bart D.
- Venue
- Environmental Research
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 1999-10
- Volume
- 81
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 231-238
- ISSN
- 0013-9351 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W1969061185
- Cited by
- 169
- References
- 13
- Citations by year
- 2026: 1 · 2025: 2 · 2024: 1 · 2023: 1 · 2022: 4 · 2021: 3 · 2020: 5 · 2019: 6 · 2018: 6 · 2017: 6 · 2016: 6 · 2015: 6 · 2014: 9 · 2013: 6 · 2012: 6
- FWCI
- 6.26
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Environmental Research (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis › Air Quality and Health Impacts
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis › Climate Change and Health Impacts
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis › Indoor Air Quality and Microbial Exposure
- Keywords
- PM10, coarse particles, air pollution, daily mortality, cardiovascular mortality, respiratory mortality, all-cause mortality, Coachella Valley, lagged exposure effects, meteorological covariates
- MeSH terms
- Aged, Air Pollution, California, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Mortality, Particle Size, Public Health, Regression Analysis, Rural Population
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review