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The Future Prevalence of Sarcopenia in Europe: A Claim for Public Health Action
Open accessAbstract
Sarcopenia is a major public health issue. To convince health policy makers of the emergency to invest in the sarcopenia field, it is of critical importance to produce reliable figures of the expected burden of sarcopenia in the coming years. Age- and gender-specific population projections were retrieved until 2045 from the Eurostat online database (28 European countries). Age- and gender-specific prevalences of sarcopenia were interpolated from a study that compared prevalence estimates according to the different diagnostic cutoffs of the EWGSOP proposed definition. The reported prevalence estimates were interpolated between 65 and 100 years. Interpolated age- and gender-specific estimates of sarcopenia prevalence were then applied to population projections until 2045. Using the definition providing the lowest prevalence estimates, the number of individuals with sarcopenia would rise in Europe from 10,869,527 in 2016 to 18,735,173 in 2045 (a 72.4% increase). This corresponds to an overall prevalence of sarcopenia in the elderly rising from 11.1% in 2016 to 12.9% in 2045. With the definition providing the highest prevalence estimates, the number of individuals with sarcopenia would rise from 19,740,527 in 2016 to 32,338,990 in 2045 (a 63.8% increase), corresponding to overall prevalence rates in the elderly of 20.2% and 22.3% for 2016 and 2045, respectively. We showed that the number of sarcopenic patients will dramatically increase in the next 30 years, making consequences of muscle wasting a major public health issue.
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“However, as public health services, food production, and living standards have improved, the definition of malnutrition has become less clear as conditions such as obesity, cachexia, sarcopenia, and micronutrient imbalances have become more prevalent (3–5).”
From Evolution of the diagnosis of malnutrition in adults: a primer for clinicians (2024) · cites this paper as [4]
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Metadata
- Authors
- Ethgen, O., Beaudart, C., Buckinx, F., Bruyère, O., & Reginster, J. Y.
- Affiliations
- University of Liège (BE)
- Corresponding author
- Reginster, J. Y.
- Venue
- Calcified Tissue International
- Published
- 2016-12-24
- Volume
- 100
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 229-234
- ISSN
- 0171-967X (ISSN-L)
- 1432-0827
- PMC
- PMC5313588
- OpenAlex
- W2566070385
- Cited by
- 280
- References
- 29
- Citations by year
- 2026: 26 · 2025: 46 · 2024: 26 · 2023: 40 · 2022: 25 · 2021: 38 · 2020: 28 · 2019: 21 · 2018: 20 · 2017: 9
- FWCI
- 13.42
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Locations
- Calcified Tissue International (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- ORBi (University of Liège) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- Fonds De La Recherche Scientifique - FNRS
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Physiology (medical) › Nutrition and Health in Aging
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Geriatrics and Gerontology › Frailty in Older Adults
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Molecular Biology › Muscle Physiology and Disorders
- Keywords
- sarcopenia, prevalence projections, population projections, diagnostic thresholds, older adults, muscle atrophy, public health burden, Europe
- MeSH terms
- Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Aging, Europe, Female, Humans, Male, Obesity, Public Health, Risk Factors, Prevalence, Muscle, Skeletal, Hand Strength, Sarcopenia
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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