The DOI matches its Crossref record; 51 of the 53 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
How climate change impacted the collapse of the Ming dynasty
Overview
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
In the citing paper
“First, the suggestion that the climate in China became colder in the mid-eighth century is not novel.”
From Climate change and Chinese history: a review of trends, topics, and methods (2015) · cites this paper as [25]
In the citing paper
“Fourth, Yancheva et al. appear to have thought, wrongly, that the war with the Arabs contributed to the collapse of the Tang dynasty.25,26”
From Climate change and Chinese history: a review of trends, topics, and methods (2015) · cites this paper as [25]
In the citing paper
“Second, the idea that droughts occurred in the summer because of more powerful winter and weaker summer monsoons does not correspond with historical records.”
From Climate change and Chinese history: a review of trends, topics, and methods (2015) · cites this paper as [25]
In the citing paper
“Third, it may not be possible to assess the intensity of winter monsoons through titanium concentrations.”
From Climate change and Chinese history: a review of trends, topics, and methods (2015) · cites this paper as [25]
Citations
Cites
Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability
Parry, M. L., Canziani, O. F., Palutikof, J. P., van der Linden, P., & Hanson, C. (2007) · Centre for Environmental Data Analysis Digital Repository (Centre for Environmental Data Analysis) · doi:10.5281/zenodo.7356334 · Cited by 9,138
Mackay, A. W. (2008) · Journal of Environmental Quality · doi:10.2134/jeq2008.0015br · Cited by 5,592
Parry, M. L., Canziani, O. F., de Strihou, J.-P. V. Y., & Palutikof, J. P. (2007) · Cited by 2,783
Global Signatures and Dynamical Origins of the Little Ice Age and Medieval Climate Anomaly
MANN, M. E., Zhang, Z., Rutherford, S., Bradley, R. S., Hughes, M. K., Shindell, D. T., Ammann, C. M., Faluvegi, G., & Ni, F. (2009) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1177303 · Cited by 2,485
Moberg, A., Sonechkin, D. M., Holmgren, K., Datsenko, N. M., & Karlén, W. (2005) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature03265 · Cited by 1,634
2500 Years of European Climate Variability and Human Susceptibility
Büntgen, U., Tegel, W., Nicolussi, K., McCormick, M., Frank, D., Trouet, V. M., Kaplan, J. O., Herzig, F., Heussner, K., Wanner, H., et al. (2011) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1197175 · Cited by 1,510
Cultural Responses to Climate Change During the Late Holocene
deMenocal, P. B. (2001) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1059827 · Cited by 1,202
Continental-scale temperature variability during the past two millennia
PAGES 2k Consortium (2013) · Nature Geoscience · doi:10.1038/ngeo1797 · Cited by 1,195
Self-citationA Test of Climate, Sun, and Culture Relationships from an 1810-Year Chinese Cave Record
Zhang, P., Cheng, H., Edwards, R. L., Chen, F., Wang, Y., Yang, X., Liu, J., Tan, M., Wang, X., Liu, J., et al. (2008) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1163965 · Cited by 1,114
Influence of the intertropical convergence zone on the East Asian monsoon
Yancheva, G., Nowaczyk, N. R., Mingram, J., Dulski, P., Schettler, G., Negendank, J. F. W., Liu, J., Sigman, D. M., Peterson, L. C., & Haug, G. H. (2007) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature05431 · Cited by 944
Climate and the Collapse of Maya Civilization
Haug, G. H., Günther, D., Peterson, L. C., Sigman, D. M., Hughen, K. A., & Aeschlimann, B. (2003) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1080444 · Cited by 783
What Drives Societal Collapse?
Weiss, H., & Bradley, R. S. (2001) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1058775 · Cited by 707
Climate as a contributing factor in the demise of Angkor, Cambodia
Buckley, B. M., Anchukaitis, K. J., Penny, D., Fletcher, R. J., Cook, E. R., Sano, M., Nam, L. C., Wichienkeeo, A., Minh, T. T., & Hong, T. M. (2010) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.0910827107 · Cited by 540
Global climate change, war, and population decline in recent human history
Zhang, D. D., Brecke, P., Lee, H. F., He, Y.-Q., & Zhang, J. (2007) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.0703073104 · Cited by 540
(1989) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511521218 · Cited by 496
On the long‐term context for late twentieth century warming
D'Arrigo, R. D., Wilson, R. J. S., & Jacoby, G. C. (2006) · Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres · doi:10.1029/2005jd006352 · Cited by 494
Collapse, environment, and society
Butzer, K. W. (2012) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1114845109 · Cited by 461
Climate sensitivity constrained by temperature reconstructions over the past seven centuries
Hegerl, G. C., Crowley, T. J., Hyde, W. T., & Frame, D. J. (2006) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature04679 · Cited by 412
Science Plan and Implementation Strategy
Young, B., Noone, K. J., & Steffen, W. (2006) · Cited by 387
Costanza, R., Graumlich, L. J., Steffen, W., Crumley, C. L., Dearing, J. A., Hibbard, K. A., Leemans, R., Redman, C. L., & SCHIMEL, D. S. (2007) · AMBIO · doi:10.1579/0044-7447(2007)36[522:socwcw]2.0.co;2 · Cited by 346
The Cambridge History of China
(1979) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/chol9780521214469 · Cited by 332
Christiansen, B., & Ljungqvist, F. C. (2012) · Climate of the past · doi:10.5194/cp-8-765-2012 · Cited by 276
Climate Change and War Frequency in Eastern China over the Last Millennium
Zhang, D. D., Zhang, J., Lee, H. F., & He, Y.-Q. (2007) · Human Ecology · doi:10.1007/s10745-007-9115-8 · Cited by 265
Taxation and Governmental Finance in Sixteenth-Century Ming China
Huang, R. (1975) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511735400 · Cited by 265
Precipitation Variability and Extreme Events in Eastern China during the Past 1500 Years
Zheng, J., Wang, W., Ge, Q., Man, Z., & Zhang, P. (2006) · Terrestrial Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences · doi:10.3319/tao.2006.17.3.579(a · Cited by 262
Self-citationTemperature changes over the past 2000 yr in China and comparison with the Northern Hemisphere
Ge, Q., Hao, Z., Zheng, J., & Shao, X. (2013) · Climate of the past · doi:10.5194/cp-9-1153-2013 · Cited by 251
Self-citationClimate change and violent conflict in Europe over the last millennium
Tol, R. S. J., & Wagner, S. (2009) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-009-9659-2 · Cited by 229
Adjustment for proxy number and coherence in a large‐scale temperature reconstruction
Frank, D., Esper, J., & Cook, E. R. (2007) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2007gl030571 · Cited by 210
Climatic Change, Wars and Dynastic Cycles in China Over the Last Millennium
Zhang, D. D., Jim, C. Y., Lin, G. C.-S., He, Y.-Q., Wang, J. J., & Lee, H. F. (2006) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-005-9024-z · Cited by 206
Human–environment interactions: learning from the past
Dearing, J. A., Battarbee, R. W., Dikau, R., Larocque, I., & Oldfield, F. (2006) · Regional Environmental Change · doi:10.1007/s10113-005-0011-8 · Cited by 205
Monsoon extremes and society over the past millennium on mainland Southeast Asia
Buckley, B. M., Fletcher, R. J., Wang, S.-Y. S., Zottoli, B., & Pottier, C. (2014) · Quaternary Science Reviews · doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2014.04.022 · Cited by 159
The Cambridge History of China
Twitchett, D. C., & Mote, F. W. (1998) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/chol9780521243339 · Cited by 151
Periodic climate cooling enhanced natural disasters and wars in China during AD 10–1900
Zhang, Z., Tian, H., Cazelles, B., Kausrud, K. L., Bräuning, A., Guo, F., & Stenseth, N. C. (2010) · Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences · doi:10.1098/rspb.2010.0890 · Cited by 116
Climate patterns in north central China during the last 1800 yr and their possible driving force
Tan, L., Cai, Y., An, Z., Yi, L., Zhang, H., & Qin, S. (2011) · Climate of the past · doi:10.5194/cp-7-685-2011 · Cited by 103
Natural climate variability and global warming: a Holocene perspective
(2009) · Choice Reviews Online · doi:10.5860/choice.46-3261 · Cited by 94
Climatic change, agriculture, and settlement
Parry, M. L. (1978) · Medical Entomology and Zoology · Cited by 89
Human–environment interactions: towards synthesis and simulation
Dearing, J. A., Battarbee, R. W., Dikau, R., Larocque, I., & Oldfield, F. (2006) · Regional Environmental Change · doi:10.1007/s10113-005-0012-7 · Cited by 80
Anti-correlation of summer/winter monsoons?
Zhang, D., & Longhua, L. (2007) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature06338 · Cited by 79
Yang, B. J., Kang, S., Ljungqvist, F. C., He, M., Zhao, Y., & Qin, C. (2013) · Climate Dynamics · doi:10.1007/s00382-013-1962-y · Cited by 73
Sun, climate, hunger, and mass migration
Hsü, K. J. (1998) · Science China Earth Sciences · doi:10.1007/bf02877737 · Cited by 72
Climatic change and Chinese population growth dynamics over the last millennium
Lee, H. F., Fok, L., & Zhang, D. D. (2008) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-007-9329-1 · Cited by 69
On linking climate to Chinese dynastic change: Spatial and temporal variations of monsoonal rain
Zhang, D., Li, H., Ku, T.-L., & Longhua, L. (2009) · Chinese Science Bulletin · doi:10.1007/s11434-009-0584-6 · Cited by 67
Changes in climate and secular population cycles in China, 1000 CE to 1911
Lee, H. F., & Zhang, D. (2010) · Climate Research · doi:10.3354/cr00913 · Cited by 64
Climatic change, agriculture and settlement
Henderson-Sellers, A. (1979) · Journal of Historical Geography · doi:10.1016/0305-7488(79)90084-7 · Cited by 61
Climate, Desertification, and the Rise and Collapse of China’s Historical Dynasties
Wang, X., Chen, F., Zhang, J., Yang, Y., Li, J., Hasi, E., Zhang, C., & Xia, D. (2009) · Human Ecology · doi:10.1007/s10745-009-9298-2 · Cited by 51
Cheng, H., Edwards, R. L., & Haug, G. H. (2010) · Chinese Science Bulletin · doi:10.1007/s11434-010-4122-3 · Cited by 21
The Cambridge History of China. Vol. 7, The Ming Dynasty, 1368-1644, Part I.
Taylor, R., Mote, F. W., & Twitchett, D. C. (1991) · Harvard Journal of Asiatic Studies · doi:10.2307/2719254 · Cited by 17
The Role of People in the Holocene
Oldfield, F. (2008) · doi:10.1002/9781444300932.ch3 · Cited by 10
Taxation and governmental finance in sixteenth-century Ming China
黄, 仁. (1984) · Medical Entomology and Zoology · Cited by 7
Reply to the comment of Cheng et al.
Zhang, D., Li, H., Ku, T.-L., & Longhua, L. (2010) · Chinese Science Bulletin · doi:10.1007/s11434-010-4137-9 · Cited by 7
Hucker, C. O. (1989) · The Journal of Asian Studies · doi:10.2307/2057692 · Cited by 2
Research works printed but not linked: 17
- Bai SY (2004) General history of China, vol 9 (in Chinese). Shanghai People’s Publishing House, Shanghai
- Cao SJ (2000) Population history of China: Ming dynasty (in Chinese). Fudan University Press, Shanghai
- CMA (China Meteorological Administration) (1981) Yearly charts of dryness/wetness in China for the last 500-year period (in Chinese). SinoMaps Press, Beijing
- Fan SZ (1984) On the land measurement in the Wanli Reign and the statistics of cropland in the Ming dynasty. J Chin Soc Econ Hist 3(2):25–37
- Fan WL, Cai MB (1994) General history of China, vols 8–9 (in Chinese). People’s Publishing House, Beijing
- Fu ZX, Tian ZL, Zhang X, Yang BS, Dong Z (1986) Chinese military history: tabulation of wars, vol 2 (in Chinese). People’s Liberation Army Press, Beijing
- Ge QS (2011) Climate change in Chinese dynasties (in Chinese). Science Press, Beijing
- Guo SY (2001) Grain production and farmers’ living standard in the Ming and Qing dynasty. In: Board E (ed) Annals of the Institute of History (in Chinese). Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol 1. Social Sciences Academic Press, Beijing
- Li WZ (1948) Popular unrests in the late Ming dynasty (in Chinese). Zhonghua, Beijing
- Liu YN (1983) Chronology of Li Zicheng (in Chinese). Zhonghua, Beijing
- Peng XW (1958) Chinese monetary history (in Chinese). Shanghai People’s Publishing House, Shanghai
- Quan HS (2011a) Collected essays on Chinese economic history (in Chinese). Zhonghua, Beijing
- Quan HS (2011b) Fluctuation of grain price on northern frontier in the Ming dynasty. In: Quan HS (ed) Study on Chinese economic history (in Chinese). Zhonghua, Beijing
- Yuan LY (1987) Peasant wars in the end of the Ming dynasty (in Chinese). Zhonghua, Beijing
- Zhang JC (1982) Possible impacts of climatic variation on agriculture in China (in Chinese). Geogr Res 1:8–15
- Zhang DE (2004) A compendium of Chinese meteorological records of the last 3,000 years (in Chinese). Jiangsu, Nanjing
- Zheng JY, Huang JH (1998) An estimation of grain loss caused by natural disasters in China, 1950–1990 (in Chinese). Acta Geograph Sin 53:501–510
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Yang, B. S., Qin, C., Bräuning, A., Osborn, T. J., Trouet, V. M., Ljungqvist, F. C., Esper, J., Schneider, L., Grießinger, J., Büntgen, U., et al. (2021) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.2102007118 · Cited by 240
Historical landscape dynamics of Inner Mongolia: patterns, drivers, and impacts
Wu, J., Zhang, Q., Li, A., & Liang, C. (2015) · Landscape Ecology · doi:10.1007/s10980-015-0209-1 · Cited by 238
Megadroughts in the Common Era and the Anthropocene
Cook, B. I., Smerdon, J. E., Cook, E. R., Williams, P., Anchukaitis, K. J., Mankin, J., Allen, K., Andreu‐Hayles, L., Ault, T. R., Belmecheri, S., et al. (2022) · Nature Reviews Earth & Environment · doi:10.1038/s43017-022-00329-1 · Cited by 186
Documentary data and the study of past droughts: a global state of the art
Brázdil, R., Kiss, A., Luterbacher, J., Nash, D. J., & Řezníčková, L. (2018) · Climate of the past · doi:10.5194/cp-14-1915-2018 · Cited by 146
Societal collapse: A literature review
Brozović, D. (2022) · Futures · doi:10.1016/j.futures.2022.103075 · Cited by 86
Metadata
- Authors
- Zheng, J., Xiao, L., Fang, X., Hao, Z., Ge, Q., & Li, B.
- Affiliations
- Chinese Academy of Sciences (CN)
- Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology (CN)
- Corresponding author
- Ge, Quansheng
- Venue
- Climatic Change
- Published
- 2014-10-04
- Volume
- 127
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 169-182
- ISSN
- 0165-0009 (ISSN-L)
- 1573-1480
- OpenAlex
- W1999710473
- Cited by
- 162
- References
- 53
- Citations by year
- 2026: 10 · 2025: 23 · 2024: 24 · 2023: 11 · 2022: 18 · 2021: 20 · 2020: 17 · 2019: 8 · 2018: 11 · 2017: 5 · 2016: 8 · 2015: 5 · 2014: 2
- FWCI
- 4.43
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Licence
- www.springer.com/tdm (tdm)
- Locations
- Climatic Change (publishedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS Institutional Repository (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Atmospheric Science › Geology and Paleoclimatology Research
- Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Agronomy and Crop Science › Climate change impacts on agriculture
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Environmental, Ecological, and Cultural Studies
- Keywords
- Ming dynasty collapse, climate change, paleoclimate reconstruction, aridification, desertification, fiscal crisis, food crisis, drought, peasant uprisings, social vulnerability, late Ming dynasty
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review