The DOI matches its Crossref record; 28 of the 28 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness
Overview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cites
An introduction to probability theory and its applications
(1958) · Journal of the Franklin Institute · doi:10.1016/0016-0032(58)90688-4 · Cited by 29,269
Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability
Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1973) · Cognitive Psychology · doi:10.1016/0010-0285(73)90033-9 · Cited by 9,984
Self-citationBelief in the law of small numbers.
Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1971) · Psychological Bulletin · doi:10.1037/h0031322 · Cited by 3,246
Self-citationThe statistical power of abnormal-social psychological research: A review.
Cohen, J. (1962) · The Journal of Abnormal and Social Psychology · doi:10.1037/h0045186 · Cited by 1,824
Comparison of Bayesian and regression approaches to the study of information processing in judgment
Slovic, P., & Lichtenstein, S. (1971) · Organizational Behavior and Human Performance · doi:10.1016/0030-5073(71)90033-x · Cited by 1,819
Conservatism in human information processing
Edwards, W. (1982) · Judgment under Uncertainty · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511809477.026 · Cited by 1,004
Man as an intuitive statistician.
Peterson, C. R., & Beach, L. R. (1967) · Psychological Bulletin · doi:10.1037/h0024722 · Cited by 963
(1964) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/c2013-0-12392-6 · Cited by 735
Formal representation of human judgment
Kleinmuntz, B., & Cattell, R. B. (1968) · Medical Entomology and Zoology · Cited by 683
Melton, A. W. (1964) · Defense Technical Information Center (DTIC) · Cited by 501
A theoretical analysis of insight into a reasoning task
JOHNSONLAIRD, P. (1970) · Cognitive Psychology · doi:10.1016/0010-0285(70)90009-5 · Cited by 379
Rapoport, A., & Wallsten, T. S. (1972) · Annual Review of Psychology · doi:10.1146/annurev.ps.23.020172.001023 · Cited by 252
Good patterns have few alternatives.
Garner, W. R. (1970) · PubMed · Cited by 232
Sample size and the revision of subjective probabilities.
Peterson, C. R., Schneider, R. J., & Miller, A. J. (1965) · Journal of Experimental Psychology · doi:10.1037/h0021720 · Cited by 193
Accuracy of perceptual recall: An analysis of organization
Glanzer, M., & Clark, W. H. (1963) · Journal of Verbal Learning and Verbal Behavior · doi:10.1016/s0022-5371(63)80008-0 · Cited by 160
Response preferences: A review of some relevant literature.
Tune, G. S. (1964) · Psychological Bulletin · doi:10.1037/h0048618 · Cited by 160
Mostofsky, D. I., & Sanders, A. F. (1971) · The American Journal of Psychology · doi:10.2307/1420483 · Cited by 138
An additive model for sequential decision making.
Shanteau, J. (1970) · Journal of Experimental Psychology · doi:10.1037/h0029552 · Cited by 118
Sampling distributions and probability revisions.
Peterson, C. R., Ducharme, W. M., & Edwards, W. (1968) · Journal of Experimental Psychology · doi:10.1037/h0025427 · Cited by 102
Sequential effects in the revision of subjective probabilities.
Pitz, G. F., Downing, L. L., & Reinhold, H. (1967) · Canadian Journal of Psychology/Revue Canadienne de Psychologie · doi:10.1037/h0082998 · Cited by 101
From probability learning to sequential processing: A critical review.
Jones, M. R. (1971) · Psychological Bulletin · doi:10.1037/h0031338 · Cited by 86
Subjective sampling distributions and conservatism
Wheeler, G. E., & Beach, L. R. (1968) · Organizational Behavior and Human Performance · doi:10.1016/0030-5073(68)90025-1 · Cited by 72
Subjective randomness and the capacity to generate information
Wagenaar, W. A. (1970) · Acta Psychologica · doi:10.1016/0001-6918(70)90135-6 · Cited by 70
Contribution to the Study of Subjective Probability. I
Alberoni, F. (1962) · The Journal of General Psychology · doi:10.1080/00221309.1962.9711840 · Cited by 59
Estes, W. K. (1964) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-1-4832-3145-7.50010-8 · Cited by 55
Sample proportions and subjective probability revisions
Beach, L. R., Wise, J. A., & Barclay, S. (1970) · Organizational Behavior and Human Performance · doi:10.1016/0030-5073(70)90014-0 · Cited by 47
A psychological interpretation of the results of the Zenith Radio experiments in telepathy.
Goodfellow, L. D. (1992) · Journal of Experimental Psychology General · doi:10.1037/0096-3445.121.2.130 · Cited by 40
Chambers, E. G., Cohen, J., & Hansel, M. (1956) · Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A (General) · doi:10.2307/2342888 · Cited by 33
Cited by
Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1974) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.185.4157.1124 · Cited by 28,810
Self-citationJudgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases
Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1975) · Utility, Probability, and Human Decision Making · doi:10.1007/978-94-010-1834-0_8 · Cited by 22,650
Self-citationAvailability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability
Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1973) · Cognitive Psychology · doi:10.1016/0010-0285(73)90033-9 · Cited by 9,984
Self-citationThe case for motivated reasoning.
Kunda, Z. (1990) · Psychological Bulletin · doi:10.1037/0033-2909.108.3.480 · Cited by 9,022
On the psychology of prediction.
Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1973) · Psychological Review · doi:10.1037/h0034747 · Cited by 6,202
Self-citation
Metadata
- Authors
- Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A.
- Venue
- Cognitive Psychology
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 1972-07
- Volume
- 3
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 430-454
- ISSN
- 0010-0285 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2016377072
- Cited by
- 4,851
- References
- 28
- FWCI
- 19.72
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review
Data sources
Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
