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Cited by 320

The DOI matches its Crossref record; 119 of the 119 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.

Seasonal crop yield forecast: Methods, applications, and accuracies

Basso, Bruno, Liu, Lin·2019·Advances in Agronomy

Abstract

Abstract The perfect knowledge of yield before harvest has been a wish puzzling human being since the beginning of agriculture because seasonal forecast of crop yield plays a critical role in decision making for different stakeholders—from farmers to policy makers to governments for food security, to commodities traders. Different methods have been used to forecast yield with different levels of granularity, accuracy and timing. This chapter presents a critical review of the current seasonal crop yield forecasting methods found in the scientific literature. Extensive research has been conducted on crop yield forecast, particularly for wheat, maize, rice, barley, and soybean. Yield forecast are mainly based on field surveys, statistical regressions between historical yield and in-season variables (agrometeorological, or remotely sensed data), crop simulation models, or on integration between statistical modeling with dynamic process-based crop simulation models. A low number of studies rely on field surveys as a means to forecast yield, but they remain the main methods of yield forecast and estimation in several countries (i.e., USA). This chapter aims to report results found in peer-review journals for different crops, methods, geographies, and accuracies, and to end with a critical perspective on the advantage and disadvantage of the different methods currently employed by researchers and stakeholders.

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Metadata

Authors
Basso, B., & Liu, L.
Venue
Advances in Agronomy
Publisher
Elsevier
Published
2019
Pages
201-255
ISSN
0065-2113 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W2905983018
Cited by
320
References
119
FWCI
37.53
Type
book chapter
Language
en
Open access
closed

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CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Seasonal crop yield forecast: Methods, applications, and accuracies. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1016/bs.agron.2018.11.002
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Basso, B., & Liu, L. (2019). Seasonal crop yield forecast: Methods, applications, and accuracies. Advances in Agronomy. https://doi.org/10.1016/bs.agron.2018.11.002

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