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The Challenges of Tumor Mutational Burden as an Immunotherapy Biomarker
Open accessAbstract
Tumor mutational burden (TMB) reflects cancer mutation quantity. Mutations are processed to neo-antigens and presented by major histocompatibility complex (MHC) proteins to T cells. To evade immune eradication, cancers exploit checkpoints that dampen T cell reactivity. Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have transformed cancer treatment by enabling T cell reactivation; however, response biomarkers are required, as most patients do not benefit. Higher TMB results in more neo-antigens, increasing chances for T cell recognition, and clinically correlates with better ICI outcomes. Nevertheless, TMB is an imperfect response biomarker. A composite predictor that also includes critical variables, such as MHC and T cell receptor repertoire, is needed.
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“In certain tumour types, the number of neoantigens in a tumour (or tumour mutational burden (TMB)) is correlated with responsiveness to ICIs67,68.”
From Adjuvant and neoadjuvant immunotherapies in hepatocellular carcinoma (2024) · cites this paper as [67]
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DONG, J., Zhang, Y., LIU, C., & ZHANG, Z. (2024) · Oncology Research Featuring Preclinical and Clinical Cancer Therapeutics · doi:10.32604/or.2024.055866 · Cited by 4
Tumor Mutation Signature Reveals the Risk Factors of Lung Adenocarcinoma with EGFR or KRAS Mutation
Wang, J., Guo, C., Wang, J., Zhang, X., Qi, J., Huang, X., Hu, Z., Wang, H., & Hong, B. (2025) · Cancer Control · doi:10.1177/10732748241307363 · Cited by 5
“32 Therefore, KRAS mutation-associated SBS4 signature may be used as biomarkers for the response to immunotherapy.”
Wang, Y., Zhang, C., Zeng, H., Wang, L., Wang, Z., & Han, Z. (2025) · Cancer Immunology Immunotherapy · doi:10.1007/s00262-025-03951-2 · Cited by 4
Swaroop, S., Biswas, S., Mehta, S., Aggarwal, A., Arora, U., Agarwal, S., Chavan, A., Nayak, B., & Shalimar, S. (2025) · Journal of Clinical Medicine · doi:10.3390/jcm14031034 · Cited by 5
Fan, X.-P., Wang, J., Chen, S.-Y., Li, X., Cao, J., Wang, H., Ding, L., Che, T., & Li, Y. (2025) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-025-89217-4 · Cited by 5
Chen, C., Shao, Y., Ye, C., Yu, X., Hu, M., Yan, J., & Ye, G. (2025) · Cancer Management and Research · doi:10.2147/cmar.s500215 · Cited by 4
Zhou, D., Cui, Y., Liang, T., Wu, Z., Yan, H., Li, Y., Yin, W., Lin, Y., & You, Q. (2025) · Cancer Cell International · doi:10.1186/s12935-025-03755-5 · Cited by 4
“Moreover, a comprehensive analysis of CLEC12A expression in relation to TMB [18], MSI [19], NEO [20], non-silent mutation rate [21], silent mutation rate [22], homologous recombination deficiency (HRD) [23], tumor ploidy [24], and aneuploidy score (AS) [25] was executed employing the “maftools” R…”
Xiong, Z.-M., Lin, Y., Yang, Y.-J., Li, W., Huang, W., & Zhang, S. (2025) · Current Issues in Molecular Biology · doi:10.3390/cimb47060465 · Cited by 3
“Higher TMB leads to increased immunogenicity and enhances T cell recognition and cancer cell destruction [50].”
Fu, C., Sun, L., Zhou, X., Zhou, T., & Bi, Y. (2025) · Clinical and Experimental Medicine · doi:10.1007/s10238-025-01844-3 · Cited by 4
Zou, S., Zhang, Y., Zhang, L., Wang, D., & Xu, S. (2022) · Aging · doi:10.18632/aging.203895 · Cited by 5
“Higher TMB can lead to more neo-antigens, increasing the opportunity of T cell recognition, so it can be used in clinical immunotherapy [41].”
BackgroundTang, D., Li, G., Xu, R.-X., Zhu, S., Luo, J., Zheng, J., Liu, J., Lu, H.-S., Jin, M.-H., Bao, C., et al. (2022) · Journal of Oncology · doi:10.1155/2022/2010341 · Cited by 4
Zou, Y., Yuan, G., Tan, X., Luo, S., Yang, C., Tang, Y., Wang, Y., & Yao, K. (2022) · Frontiers in Genetics · doi:10.3389/fgene.2022.1011390 · Cited by 4
“Biomarkers including PD-1 expression, PD-L1 expression, tumour mutation burden and MSI status are not efficient for predicting the benefits of immune checkpoint blockade (Subrahmanyam et al., 2018; Ganesh et al., 2019; Jardim et al., 2021).”
BackgroundZou, Y., Wang, G., & Fan, M. (2022) · Computational and Mathematical Methods in Medicine · doi:10.1155/2022/9493115 · Cited by 4
“TMB has a positive correlation with the efficacy of immunotherapy [22].”
BackgroundLuo, K., Liu, S., Shen, X., Xu, J., Shi, C., Chao, Y., Wen, Z., Zhang, K., Wang, R., Liu, B., et al. (2022) · Frontiers in Cell and Developmental Biology · doi:10.3389/fcell.2022.1003656 · Cited by 4
“TMB reflects cancer mutation frequency, while TNB specifically reflect the mutations resulting in the production of neo-antigens which can be presented to T cells (Jardim et al., 2021).”
BackgroundLncRNAs signatures associated with cuproptosis predict the prognosis of endometrial cancer
Qi, S., Feng, H., & Li, X. (2023) · Frontiers in Genetics · doi:10.3389/fgene.2023.1120089 · Cited by 4
“Theoretically, the more mutations, the more neoantigens, and the higher the chance that one or more of these autoneoantigens will be immunogenic and trigger a T-cell response (Jardim et al., 2021).”
BackgroundLin, C., Chen, Z., Kang, F., Hu, J., Huang, L., Liao, C., Lai, J., Huang, Y., Wang, Z., Tian, Y., et al. (2023) · BMC Cancer · doi:10.1186/s12885-023-10992-2 · Cited by 4
“S 5A), which is consistent with recent studies showing that TMB can be used as a prognostic marker for many kinds of tumors [45].”
Shao, F., Jin, K., Li, B., Liu, Z., Zeng, H., Wang, Y., Zhu, Y., Xu, L., Xu, J., Wang, Z., et al. (2023) · Urologic Oncology Seminars and Original Investigations · doi:10.1016/j.urolonc.2023.07.006 · Cited by 4
Yao, G., Yuan, J., Duan, Q., Tan, Y., Zhang, Q., Chen, D., & Chen, J. (2023) · Investigational New Drugs · doi:10.1007/s10637-023-01406-y · Cited by 4
“A higher TMB increases the likelihood of neo-antigen formation, which enhances T-cell recognition and correlates with better outcomes for immune checkpoint inhibitors[43].”
Zhang, L., Wang, Y., Wang, L., Wang, M., Li, S., He, J., Ji, J., Li, K., & Cao, L. (2023) · Journal of Molecular Medicine · doi:10.1007/s00109-023-02398-1 · Cited by 4
“This approach enhances the immune more immunogenic it becomes, triggering a T-cell response [12].”
Cuproptosis-Related lncRNA Predict Prognosis and Immune Response of LUAD
Zhou, Q., Liu, Y., Gao, Y., Quan, L., Wang, L., & Wang, H. (2024) · Pharmacogenomics and Personalized Medicine · doi:10.2147/pgpm.s452625 · Cited by 4
“36,37 According to our results, the category at low risk had a greater TMB than the category at high risk.”
Motofei, I. G. (2021) · Expert Opinion on Drug Safety · doi:10.1080/14740338.2022.2020243 · Cited by 5
Ye, F., Wu, P., Zhu, Y., Huang, G. J., Tao, Y., Liao, Z., & Guan, Y. (2022) · Frontiers in Genetics · doi:10.3389/fgene.2022.989081 · Cited by 4
“Non-synonymous mutation load, which can result in the expression of neoantigens, may contribute to immunogenicity and inflamed cancer phenotype (Goodman et al., 2017; Jardim et al., 2021).”
BackgroundXavier, C. B., Lopes, C. D. H., Awni, B. M., Campos, E. F., Alves, J. P. B., Camargo, A. A., Guardia, G. D. A., Galante, P. A. F., & Jardim, D. L. F. (2022) · medRxiv · doi:10.1101/2022.04.10.22273664 · Cited by 4
Self-citationMuroyama, Y., Manne, S., Wellhausen, N., Oldridge, D. A., Greenplate, A. R., Chilukuri, L., Mathew, D., Xu, C., Herati, R. S., Berger, S. L., et al. (2022) · bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory) · doi:10.1101/2022.04.16.488552 · Cited by 4
Han, S.-H., Ju, M. H., & Pak, M. G. (2025) · BMC Gastroenterology · doi:10.1186/s12876-025-03735-z · Cited by 3
“TMB detection in clinical practice is challenging because it requires sophisticated technology, complex data, and bioinformatics expertise, and next-generation sequencing technology is expensive [41].”
Xavier, C. B., Guardia, G. D. A., Alves, J. P. B., Lopes, C. D. H., Awni, B. M., Campos, E. F., Jardim, D. L. F., & Galante, P. A. F. (2025) · The Oncologist · doi:10.1093/oncolo/oyaf078 · Cited by 3
Self-citationHeterogeneity and efficacy of immunotherapy in multiple cancer: insights from a meta-analysis
Wu, W., Liu, B., Zhang, Q., Zhang, X., Feng, P., Jia, Y.-L., & Xue, X. (2025) · Biological Procedures Online · doi:10.1186/s12575-025-00274-5 · Cited by 4
“The difference may be attributed to the diversity of tumor microenvironments, mutation burdens, and the availability of target antigens [8, 15].”
Exploring the potential value of SRC in pan cancer based on bioinformatics methods
Huang, L., Lu, Y., Yi, L., Zhao, Y., Si, T., & Zhang, M. (2025) · Discover Oncology · doi:10.1007/s12672-025-02402-9 · Cited by 3
“TMB is considered a key driving factor in the production of immunogenic neoantigens displayed on the major histocompatibility complex (MHC) of tumor cells, which can affect patients’ response to ICI [12].”
Ma, X., Zhu, Q., Wu, Z., & Han, W. (2025) · Current Issues in Molecular Biology · doi:10.3390/cimb47090712 · Cited by 5
Indications and Mechanisms of Action of the Main Treatment Modalities for Non-Melanoma Skin Cancer
Chedid, M. F., Tregnago, A. C., Riva, F., Prediger, L., Agarwal, A., & Mattei, J. (2025) · Life · doi:10.3390/life15091447 · Cited by 3
“Tumors with MSI-H/dMMR generally harbor elevated TMB, and MSI-H/dMMR is a well-established predictive biomarker for ICI responsiveness [69–72].”
Immune Landscape of Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma: Evasion and Therapeutic Insights
Porro, N., Spínola-Lasso, E., Marra, F., & Gentilini, A. (2025) · Immuno · doi:10.3390/immuno5030040 · Cited by 4
Comprehensive pan-cancer analysis of KRT6A as a prognostic and immune biomarker
Lv, Y., Liu, X., Xiao, Z., Zhan, X., Tang, W., Sun, Q., Wang, Q., Zhang, R., Ping, W., & Zhang, N. (2025) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-025-19599-y · Cited by 3
“TMB and MSI are ideal biomarkers for survival prognosis of patients with different tumors, and are also regarded as predictors of the efficacy of tumor immunotherapy 43,79 .”
Mi, Z., Guan, H., Zhang, G., Li, D., Yu, Y., & Qu, J. (2025) · Translational Oncology · doi:10.1016/j.tranon.2025.102619 · Cited by 3
“…burden (TMB) and microsatellite instability-high (MSI-H), are predicated on the idea that a greater number of neoantigens increases the likelihood of an immune response [10,11] While pembrolizumab has gained pan-cancer approval for MSI-H tumors, this represents a small fraction of malignancies.”
Monkman, J. H., Kilgallon, A., Lawler, C., Tubelleza, R., Aung, T. N., Warrell, J., Vathiotis, I. A., Trontzas, I. P., Gavrielatou, N., Chan, N. N. N., et al. (2026) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-026-68633-8 · Cited by 3
“Thus, current strati fi cation assays suffer from relatively poor performance 23,24 .”
Decoding immunotherapy response through computational modeling
Li, B., Luo, R., Huang, K., Liu, J., Zhao, W., & Zhou, X. (2026) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-026-71364-5 · Cited by 4
“Despite its utility, TMB is a crude, single-dimensional metric 33,34 because it does not account for the quality, clonality, or HLA presentation potential of the resulting neoantigens 35 , leading to inconsistent performance across cancer types and limited value in some prospective trials 35 .”
Zhu, C., Liu, Y., Xu, S., Li, R., Shi, J., Tang, G., Ran, R., Pang, B., Chi, Z., Ding, Y., et al. (2026) · Cell Death and Disease · doi:10.1038/s41419-026-08795-x · Cited by 3
“Among these, PD-1/ programmed death ligand 1 (PD-L1) inhibitors are used for treating various malignant tumors [16].”
Metadata
- Authors
- Jardim, D. L., Goodman, A., de Melo Gagliato, D., & Kurzrock, R.
- Affiliations
- Hospital Sírio-Libanês (BR)
- University of California San Diego (US)
- Corresponding author
- Kurzrock, Razelle
- Venue
- Cancer Cell
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2021-02
- Volume
- 39
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 154-173
- ISSN
- 1535-6108 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC7878292
- OpenAlex
- W3097803258
- Cited by
- 1,192
- References
- 151
- Citations by year
- 2026: 134 · 2025: 263 · 2024: 294 · 2023: 276 · 2022: 171 · 2021: 53
- FWCI
- 13.60
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Licence
- www.elsevier.com/tdm/userlicense/1.0/ (tdm)
- www.elsevier.com/legal/tdmrep-license (tdm)
- www.elsevier.com/open-access/userlicense/1.0/ (vor, 372 d)
- doi.org/10.15223/policy-017 (stm-asf)
- doi.org/10.15223/policy-037 (stm-asf)
- doi.org/10.15223/policy-012 (stm-asf)
- doi.org/10.15223/policy-029 (stm-asf)
- doi.org/10.15223/policy-004 (stm-asf)
- Locations
- Cancer Cell (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
- Funders
- Astellas Pharma US
- National Cancer Institute (P30 CA023100)
- Janssen Pharmaceuticals
- AstraZeneca
- Bristol-Myers Squibb
- Genentech
- Roche
- EMD Serono
- Pfizer
- Meso Scale Diagnostics
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Oncology › Cancer Immunotherapy and Biomarkers
- Life Sciences › Immunology and Microbiology › Immunology › Immunotherapy and Immune Responses
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Cancer Research › Cancer Genomics and Diagnostics
- Keywords
- tumor mutational burden, immunotherapy biomarkers, immune checkpoint inhibitors, neoantigens, MHC class I antigen presentation, T cell receptor repertoire, cancer immunotherapy response prediction
- MeSH terms
- Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors, Humans, Immunotherapy, Major Histocompatibility Complex, Mutation, Neoplasms, T-Lymphocytes, Biomarkers, Tumor
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