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The Challenges of Tumor Mutational Burden as an Immunotherapy Biomarker
Open accessAbstract
Tumor mutational burden (TMB) reflects cancer mutation quantity. Mutations are processed to neo-antigens and presented by major histocompatibility complex (MHC) proteins to T cells. To evade immune eradication, cancers exploit checkpoints that dampen T cell reactivity. Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have transformed cancer treatment by enabling T cell reactivation; however, response biomarkers are required, as most patients do not benefit. Higher TMB results in more neo-antigens, increasing chances for T cell recognition, and clinically correlates with better ICI outcomes. Nevertheless, TMB is an imperfect response biomarker. A composite predictor that also includes critical variables, such as MHC and T cell receptor repertoire, is needed.
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“In certain tumour types, the number of neoantigens in a tumour (or tumour mutational burden (TMB)) is correlated with responsiveness to ICIs67,68.”
From Adjuvant and neoadjuvant immunotherapies in hepatocellular carcinoma (2024) · cites this paper as [67]
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“These mutations are processed into neoantigens, then they are presented to T cells, so higher TMB level may incline to harbor more neoantigens as targets for activated immune cells, which thereby increases the chances for T cell recognition and enhances anti-tumor effects [12].”
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Jiang, Y., Hu, X., Wang, Z., Zhang, Q., Chen, D., & Zhao, P. (2023) · Investigational New Drugs · doi:10.1007/s10637-023-01413-z · Cited by 4
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“Furthermore, apart from PD-L1, tumor mutation burden (TMB) serves as a valuable biomarker for predicting the efficacy of ICIS treatment, as confirmed by previous investigations in the field of immunotherapy for melanoma and lung cancer [44].”
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“It is reported that diverse factors might contribute to the low response rate of immunotherapy, including a complex mutation landscape [6,7], heterogeneity of the tumor microenvironment (TME) [8], etc.”
BackgroundCancer Biomarkers V: Update on B-Cell Lymphoma Biomarkers
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“Tumor Mutational Burden (TMB) scores in various cancer cells have been shown to enhance immune recognition and are strongly correlated with the efficacy of immunotherapy 25–27 .”
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“Although high TMB may enhance response to ICI) [35, 36], coexisting immunosuppressive states may compromise therapeutic efficacy, highlighting the need for integrated evaluation of TMB and immune context.”
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“TMB,in contrast,measures the number of gene mutations in a tumor patient and has been approved by the FDA as a predictive biomarker for response to PD-1 inhibitors in all solid tumors, highlighting its potential clinical applications [21, 22].”
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“This multidimensional heterogeneity compromises clinical decision-making for ICIs [20] and makes naïve pooling of datasets ineffective.”
Hu, Z., Zhou, Y., Xie, L., Zhang, W., & Rao, H. (2025) · Clinical and Experimental Medicine · doi:10.1007/s10238-025-01925-3 · Cited by 2
“We employed Strawberry Perl to compute mutation frequencies per million bases in both the HRG and LRG. Mutation landscapes were illustrated through waterfall diagrams created using the "maftools" R package [22].”
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Paediatric Solid Tumour Vaccines: Current Processes, Prevailing Challenges and Future Perspectives
Liu, S., Yang, M., Xi, B., Wang, Y., Zhang, A., Liu, A., & Jin, H. (2026) · Immunology · doi:10.1111/imm.70105 · Cited by 2
“Tumours with higher malignancy typically exhibit an increased tumour mutation burden, leading to the generation of neoanti-gens with altered amino acid sequences and enhanced MHC-binding affinity [104].”
Tang, L. (2026) · Frontiers in Immunology · doi:10.3389/fimmu.2026.1701978 · Cited by 2
“Moreover, TMB serves as a predictive marker for immunogenicity, with elevated TMB levels leading to the production of more neoantigens, which correlates with a more favorable response to immunotherapy (40, 41).”
PTGDS is a potential marker for lung adenocarcinoma identified in a pancancer analysis
Wang, R., Shao, F., liu, D., Chen, J., & Zhou, Q. (2026) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-026-38688-0 · Cited by 2
“…immune infiltration status and tumor mutation burden, serving as pivotal immunotherapy biomarkers and prognostic indicators for patients 19,20 , underscoring the importance of investigating PTGDS within the tumor immune microenvironment, an area that remains largely unexplored to date 21,22 .”
T‐Cell Immunity and Lung Cancer
Yamada, K., & Togashi, Y. (2026) · Respirology · doi:10.1002/resp.70220 · Cited by 2
“This section sum-marises T cell–related biomarkers that more accurately capture determinants of ICI responsiveness in lung cancer [90, 91, 93].”
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The case for tumour-agnostic reimbursement of dual immunotherapy
Subbiah, V., & Kurzrock, R. (2026) · European Journal of Cancer · doi:10.1016/j.ejca.2026.116784 · Cited by 2
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Qin, H., Wang, T., & Zhang, H. (2022) · Frontiers in Genetics · doi:10.3389/fgene.2022.906113 · Cited by 2
“The Relationship Between the TMB, Immune Cell Infiltration Score, and Prognosis TMB has a relationship with TME and may be a predictor of immunotherapy response (Chan et al., 2019; Jardim et al., 2021; Strickler et al., 2021).”
BackgroundHuang, T. (2022) · PubMed Central · Cited by 2
Pan, C., Tang, H., Wang, W., Wu, D., Luo, H., Xu, L., & Lin, X.-J. (2023) · Frontiers in Oncology · doi:10.3389/fonc.2022.1077477 · Cited by 2
[Advances of Immunotherapy Resistance and Coping Strategies in Non-small Cell Lung Cancer].
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Sun, D., Zhang, H., & Zhang, C. (2023) · Frontiers in Pharmacology · doi:10.3389/fphar.2023.1185418 · Cited by 2
“There has been evidence of a link between response to immunotherapy and genetic alterations (Jardim et al., 2021).”
BackgroundConstruction and validation of a cuproptosis-related lncRNA prognosis signature in bladder carcinoma
Song, J., Sun, X., Wang, T., Li, Y., Su, P., & Yuan, L. (2023) · Journal of Cancer Research and Clinical Oncology · doi:10.1007/s00432-023-05013-5 · Cited by 2
“Immune‐Related function and tumor mutation burden analysis Recently, more and more studies have discovered that TMB was closely related to OS after immunotherapy for multiple tumor types (Klempner et al. 2020; Jardim et al. 2021).”
BackgroundPrognostic characteristics of T-cell mediated cell killing-related genes in lung adenocarcinoma
Bi, L., Ai, C., Zhang, H., Chen, Z., Deng, Y., Xiong, J., & Lv, Z. (2023) · Autoimmunity · doi:10.1080/08916934.2023.2250097 · Cited by 2
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“However, there is evidence indicating that ICB therapy can effectively control the disease progression in some individuals with low TMB [47].”
BackgroundIdentification of immunogenic cell death‑related prognostic signatures in pancreatic cancer
Yu, W., Li, M., & Xia, J. (2023) · Oncology Letters · doi:10.3892/ol.2023.14061 · Cited by 2
“Furthermore, the utilization of ICIs was observed to bolster the activity of effector T cells, subsequently augmenting the anti‑tumor efficacy (20).”
Molecular pathology as basis for timely cancer diagnosis and therapy
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“Debate surrounds the best method to measure and interpret TMB, as well as the optimal cutoff values for different cancer types and treatment settings [44, 45].”
Xiang, X., Gao, L., Zhang, Y., Zhu, Q., Zhao, S., Liu, W., Ye, Y., Tang, Y., & Zhang, W. (2023) · PeerJ · doi:10.7717/peerj.16618 · Cited by 2
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“Since TMB reflects a mutagenesis process induced by environmental and intracellular factors, it has become a useful biomarker in certain cancer types to identify patients who will benefit from immunotherapy [38, 39].”
BackgroundNagaki, Y., Motoyama, S., Sato, Y., Wakita, A., Fujita, H., Kemuriyama, K., Sasamori, R., Nozaki, S., Nomura, K., & Minamiya, Y. (2024) · Annals of Surgery Open · doi:10.1097/as9.0000000000000385 · Cited by 2
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“[58] High TMB tumors generally have more mutations, generating a greater array of neoantigens that can elicit an immune response.”
BackgroundCharacterization of SUSD3 as a novel prognostic biomarker and therapeutic target for breast cancer
Dong, Y.-M., & Bao, G.-Q. (2024) · Clinical & Translational Oncology · doi:10.1007/s12094-024-03641-y · Cited by 2
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“Inorganic pyrophosphatase 2(PPA2) is a pyrophosphatase that hydrolyzes inorganic pyrophosphate (PPi) from many nucleotide-dependent reactions into two orthophosphate molecules (9).”
BackgroundEnhanced precision in immunotherapy
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Bioinformatics analysis and experimental validation of the oncogenic role of COL11A1 in pan-cancer
Wan, X., Deng, Q., Chen, A., Zhang, X., & Yang, W. (2024) · 3 Biotech · doi:10.1007/s13205-024-04133-0 · Cited by 2
“It is a potential biomarker as a measure of the number of mutations in cancer cells (Jardim et al. 2021), and can predict the response of a cancer to immunotherapy (Yarchoan et al. 2017).”
Fang, Y., Fu, T., Zhang, Q., Xiong, Z., Yu, K., & Le, A. (2024) · Biology Direct · doi:10.1186/s13062-024-00564-0 · Cited by 2
Song, Z., Zhang, W., Zhu, M., Wang, Y., Zhou, D., Cao, X., Geng, X., Zhou, S., Li, Z., Wei, K., et al. (2024) · Journal of Cellular and Molecular Medicine · doi:10.1111/jcmm.70218 · Cited by 2
“…TMB is of critical importance in the analysis of tumour bioinformatics, aiding in the establishment of molecular subtypes, prediction of immune therapy response and patient prognosis, as well as identification of tumour driver genes for precision medicine and targeted treatment guidance [46, 47].”
Mutational landscape of cancer and how latest technologies can help in simplifying the understanding
Deshmukh, S. S., Manoharan, A., Sabih, A. N., Dullea, A. D., & Mohammadi, S. M. K. (2024) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-0-443-15504-8.00005-3 · Cited by 2
Wei, G., Wang, Y., Liu, R., & Liu, L. (2024) · Biochemistry and Biophysics Reports · doi:10.1016/j.bbrep.2024.101891 · Cited by 2
MMP9 in pan-cancer and computational study to screen for MMP9 inhibitors
Ai, X. (2024) · American Journal of Translational Research · doi:10.62347/nxmr6806 · Cited by 2
Metadata
- Authors
- Jardim, D. L., Goodman, A., de Melo Gagliato, D., & Kurzrock, R.
- Affiliations
- Hospital Sírio-Libanês (BR)
- University of California San Diego (US)
- Corresponding author
- Kurzrock, Razelle
- Venue
- Cancer Cell
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2021-02
- Volume
- 39
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 154-173
- ISSN
- 1535-6108 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC7878292
- OpenAlex
- W3097803258
- Cited by
- 1,192
- References
- 151
- Citations by year
- 2026: 134 · 2025: 263 · 2024: 294 · 2023: 276 · 2022: 171 · 2021: 53
- FWCI
- 13.60
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Licence
- www.elsevier.com/tdm/userlicense/1.0/ (tdm)
- www.elsevier.com/legal/tdmrep-license (tdm)
- www.elsevier.com/open-access/userlicense/1.0/ (vor, 372 d)
- doi.org/10.15223/policy-017 (stm-asf)
- doi.org/10.15223/policy-037 (stm-asf)
- doi.org/10.15223/policy-012 (stm-asf)
- doi.org/10.15223/policy-029 (stm-asf)
- doi.org/10.15223/policy-004 (stm-asf)
- Locations
- Cancer Cell (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
- Funders
- Astellas Pharma US
- National Cancer Institute (P30 CA023100)
- Janssen Pharmaceuticals
- AstraZeneca
- Bristol-Myers Squibb
- Genentech
- Roche
- EMD Serono
- Pfizer
- Meso Scale Diagnostics
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Oncology › Cancer Immunotherapy and Biomarkers
- Life Sciences › Immunology and Microbiology › Immunology › Immunotherapy and Immune Responses
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Cancer Research › Cancer Genomics and Diagnostics
- Keywords
- tumor mutational burden, immunotherapy biomarkers, immune checkpoint inhibitors, neoantigens, MHC class I antigen presentation, T cell receptor repertoire, cancer immunotherapy response prediction
- MeSH terms
- Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors, Humans, Immunotherapy, Major Histocompatibility Complex, Mutation, Neoplasms, T-Lymphocytes, Biomarkers, Tumor
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