Assessing risk for preclinical β‐amyloid pathology with APOE , cognitive, and demographic information
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Introduction: Clinical trials in Alzheimer's disease are aimed at early stages of disease, including preclinical Alzheimer's disease. The high cost and time required to screen large numbers of participants for Aβ pathology impede the development of novel drugs. This study's objective was to evaluate the extent to which inexpensive and easily obtainable information can reduce the number of screen failures by increasing the proportion of Aβ+ participants identified for screening. Methods: We used random forest models to evaluate the positive predictive value of demographics, APOE , and longitudinal cognitive rates in the prediction of amyloid pathology, measured by florbetapir PET or cerebrospinal fluid. Results: Predicting Aβ positivity with demographic, APOE , and cognitive information yielded a positive predictive value estimate of 0.65 (95% CI, 0.50–0.96), nearly a 60% increase over the reference Aβ+ prevalence in the cohort of 0.41. Conclusions: By incorporating this procedure, clinical trial screening costs may be substantially reduced.
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The participants in this study were relatively young (average age 65 years) compared to ADNI and BioFinder cohorts.
“According to our inclusion criteria, the participants in this study were relatively young (average age: 65 years) comparing to ADNI and BioFinder cohorts11,40,41.”
From Integrated algorithm combining plasma biomarkers and cognitive assessments accurately predicts brain β-amyloid pathology (2023) · cites this paper as [40]
The Methods (Participants) identify this as an ADNI study, and the Results report a mean age of 78.1 years for a model-selected subgroup, which is older than the citing study’s stated average of 65. That figure is not the mean for the full ADNI cohort, and the paper provides no BioFinder age comparison. (LLM, conf=0.74)
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- Authors
- Insel, P. S., Palmqvist, S., Mackin, R. S., Nosheny, R. L., Hansson, O., Weiner, M. W., Mattsson, N., & Initiative, A. D. N.
- Affiliations
- San Francisco VA Medical Center (US)
- Lund University (SE)
- Corresponding author
- Insel, Philip S.
- ORCID
- Venue
- Alzheimer's & Dementia: Diagnosis, Assessment & Disease Monitoring
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2016-01
- Volume
- 4
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 76-84
- ISSN
- 2352-8729 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC5045949
- OpenAlex
- W2480170620
- Cited by
- 52
- References
- 6
- Citations by year
- 2026: 1 · 2024: 3 · 2023: 5 · 2022: 4 · 2021: 9 · 2020: 11 · 2019: 6 · 2018: 9 · 2017: 3 · 2016: 1
- FWCI
- 5.63
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Alzheimer s & Dementia Diagnosis Assessment & Disease Monitoring (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- eScholarship (California Digital Library) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- Lund University Publications (Lund University) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- National Institutes of Health (U01 AG024904, P30 AG010129)
- National Institute on Aging
- National Institute of Biomedical Imaging and Bioengineering
- Vetenskapsrådet
- Greta och Johan Kocks stiftelser
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Psychiatry and Mental health › Dementia and Cognitive Impairment Research
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Physiology › Alzheimer's disease research and treatments
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Pulmonary and Respiratory Medicine › Cancer-related cognitive impairment studies
- Keywords
- preclinical Alzheimer's disease, amyloid-beta pathology, apolipoprotein E, cognitive screening, florbetapir PET, cerebrospinal fluid amyloid, risk prediction, positive predictive value, clinical trial screening, screening cost reduction, demographic factors
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