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A transitions model for sustainable mobility

Open access
Köhler, Jonathan, Whitmarsh, Lorraine, Nykvist, Björn, Schilperoord, Michel, Bergman, Noam, Haxeltine, Alex·2009·Ecological Economics

Abstract

This paper reports on the development of a model for assessing transitions to sustainable mobility. The model uses the concepts of transition theory as a framework for assessing possible pathways by which a transition to a sustainable mobility society might happen. The modelling approach combines agent-based modelling techniques with a system dynamics structure. It is original in that there are two levels of agent. There are a small number of complex agents, which have an internal structure and are therefore subsystems within society, and a larger number of simple agents. Based on the UK data, the results show that Hydrogen Fuel Cell Vehicles (FCVs) come to dominate, but only in the very long run (after 2030), while biofuels and ICE (Internal Combustion Engine)-electric hybrids are the main alternatives to the regime in the next 10-30Â years, because a) they are already developed and b) they fit better into current infrastructures. The model shows that technological transitions are most likely. Lifestyle change transitions require sustained pressure from the environment on society and behavioural change from consumers.

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Crossref · 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2009.06.027

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Metadata

Authors
Köhler, J., Whitmarsh, L., Nykvist, B., Schilperoord, M., Bergman, N., & Haxeltine, A.
Venue
Ecological Economics
Publisher
Elsevier BV
Published
2009-10
Volume
68
Issue
12
Pages
2985-2995
ISSN
0921-8009 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W2049501389
Cited by
260
References
20
FWCI
9.77
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
green

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CoChat. (2026). Citation check: A transitions model for sustainable mobility. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2009.06.027
The paper
Köhler, J., Whitmarsh, L., Nykvist, B., Schilperoord, M., Bergman, N., & Haxeltine, A. (2009). A transitions model for sustainable mobility. Ecological Economics. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2009.06.027

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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).

Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.