A scenario process to inform Australian geoengineering policy
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Initial study highlights the potential to use SAI to optimize or create designer climates.
“Initial study in this area for SAI highlights the potential to use SAI to 'optimize' or create 'designer climates' (Preston, 2013; Talberg et al., 2018).”
From A Fate Worse Than Warming? Stratospheric Aerosol Injection and Global Catastrophic Risk (2021) · cites this paper as Talberg et al., 2018
Cites
Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis.
Schiavon, S., & Zecchin, R. (2007) · eScholarship (California Digital Library) · Cited by 16,994 · see citing works
Organizing and the process of sensemaking
Weick, K. E., Sutcliffe, K. M., & Obstfeld, D. (2005) · Organization Science · doi:10.1287/orsc.1050.0133 · Cited by 6,943 · see citing works
(2013) · Cited by 6,752 · see citing works
The black swan: the impact of the highly improbable
(2007) · Choice Reviews Online · doi:10.5860/choice.45-1430 · Cited by 3,456 · see citing works
The origins and evolution of scenario techniques in long range business planning
Bradfield, R., Wright, G., Burt, G., Cairns, G., & Van Der Heijden, K. (2005) · Futures · doi:10.1016/j.futures.2005.01.003 · Cited by 1,204 · see citing works
The Art of the Long View: Planning for the Future in an Uncertain World
Schwartz, P. (1996) · Cited by 1,164 · see citing works
Re-thinking new knowledge production: A literature review and a research agenda
Hessels, L. K., & van Lente, H. (2008) · Research Policy · doi:10.1016/j.respol.2008.01.008 · Cited by 779 · see citing works
van Notten, P., Rotmans, J., van Asselt, M. B. A., & Rothman, D. S. (2003) · Futures · doi:10.1016/s0016-3287(02)00090-3 · Cited by 688 · see citing works
Democratising expertise and socially robust knowledge
Nowotny, H. (2003) · Science and Public Policy · doi:10.3152/147154303781780461 · Cited by 599 · see citing works
The art of the long view: Planning for the future in an uncertain world
Wilk, J. (1991) · Long Range Planning · doi:10.1016/0024-6301(91)90051-o · Cited by 483 · see citing works
Mowery, D. C., Nelson, R. R., & Martin, B. R. (2010) · Research Policy · doi:10.1016/j.respol.2010.05.008 · Cited by 449 · see citing works
The Incredible Economics of Geoengineering
Barrett, S. A. (2007) · Environmental and Resource Economics · doi:10.1007/s10640-007-9174-8 · Cited by 368 · see citing works
How to improve scenario analysis as a strategic management tool?
Postma, T. J. B. M., & Liebl, F. (2004) · Technological Forecasting and Social Change · doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2003.11.005 · Cited by 269 · see citing works
How to improve scenario analysis as a strategic management tool?
Postma, T. J. B. M., & Liebl, F. (2005) · Technological Forecasting and Social Change · doi:10.1016/s0040-1625(03)00152-5 · Cited by 265 · see citing works
Ethics and intentional climate change
Jamieson, D. W. (1996) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/bf00142580 · Cited by 251 · see citing works
Climate Intervention: Carbon Dioxide Removal and Reliable Sequestration
Earth, D. O. (2015) · Cited by 250 · see citing works
Patel, M., Kok, K. I., & Rothman, D. S. (2006) · Land Use Policy · doi:10.1016/j.landusepol.2006.02.005 · Cited by 241 · see citing works
Long-Range Forecasting: From Crystal Ball to Computer
Fildes, R. A., & Armstrong, J. S. (1979) · Journal of the Operational Research Society · doi:10.2307/3009390 · Cited by 228 · see citing works
On the regulation of geoengineering
Victor, D. G. (2008) · Oxford Review of Economic Policy · doi:10.1093/oxrep/grn018 · Cited by 223 · see citing works
Evolving practices in environmental scenarios: a new scenario typology
Wilkinson, A., & Eidinow, E. (2008) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/3/4/045017 · Cited by 210 · see citing works
Practising the scenario-axes technique
Klooster, S. A. V. T., & van Asselt, M. B. A. (2005) · Futures · doi:10.1016/j.futures.2005.04.019 · Cited by 209 · see citing works
Volkery, A., & Ribeiro, T. (2009) · Technological Forecasting and Social Change · doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2009.07.009 · Cited by 200 · see citing works
Linking scenarios across geographical scales in international environmental assessments
Zurek, M., & Henrichs, T. (2007) · Technological Forecasting and Social Change · doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2006.11.005 · Cited by 199 · see citing works
Habegger, B. (2009) · Futures · doi:10.1016/j.futures.2009.08.002 · Cited by 197 · see citing works
Ocean fertilization: a potential means of geoengineering?
Lampitt, R. S., Achterberg, E. P., Anderson, T. R., Hughes, J. A., Iglesias-Rodriguez, M. D., Kelly-Gerreyn, B. A., Lucas, M. I., Popova, E. E., SANDERS, R. J., Shepherd, J. G., et al. (2008) · Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A Mathematical Physical and Engineering Sciences · doi:10.1098/rsta.2008.0139 · Cited by 195 · see citing works
The Billion-Ton Biofuels Vision
Somerville, C. R. (2006) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1130034 · Cited by 187 · see citing works
Scenario Archetypes: Converging Rather than Diverging Themes
Hunt, D. V. L., Lombardi, D. R., Atkinson, S., Barber, A. R. G., Barnes, M., Boyko, C., Brown, J., Bryson, J. R., Butler, D., Caputo, S., et al. (2012) · Sustainability · doi:10.3390/su4040740 · Cited by 180 · see citing works
Foresight and anticipatory governance
Fuerth, L. (2009) · foresight · doi:10.1108/14636680910982412 · Cited by 176 · see citing works
Rau, H., Goggins, G., & Fahy, F. (2017) · Research Policy · doi:10.1016/j.respol.2017.11.005 · Cited by 173 · see citing works
Alternative Futures at the Manoa School
Dator, J. (2019) · Anticipation Science · doi:10.1007/978-3-030-17387-6_5 · Cited by 167 · see citing works
Strand, R. (2017) · doi:10.4324/9781315679747.ch28 · Cited by 163 · see citing works
Weitzman, M. L. (2015) · The Scandinavian Journal of Economics · doi:10.1111/sjoe.12120 · Cited by 159 · see citing works
The economics (or lack thereof) of aerosol geoengineering
Góes, M., Tuana, N., & Keller, K. M. (2011) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-010-9961-z · Cited by 149 · see citing works
Corner, A., & Pidgeon, N. (2014) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-014-1148-6 · Cited by 139 · see citing works
A review of climate geoengineering appraisals
Bellamy, R., Chilvers, J., Vaughan, N. E., & Lenton, T. M. (2012) · Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews Climate Change · doi:10.1002/wcc.197 · Cited by 131 · see citing works
International governance of a possible geoengineering intervention to combat climate change
Virgoe, J. (2008) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-008-9523-9 · Cited by 116 · see citing works
Volkery, A., Ribeiro, T., Henrichs, T., & Hoogeveen, Y. (2008) · Systemic Practice and Action Research · doi:10.1007/s11213-008-9104-x · Cited by 115 · see citing works
The Problem of Fit: Scenario Planning and Climate Change Adaptation in the Public Sector
RICKARDS, L. A., Wiseman, J., Edwards, T., et al. (2014) · Environment and Planning C Government and Policy · doi:10.1068/c12106 · Cited by 105 · see citing works
Self-citationThe role of scenarios as prospective sensemaking devices
Wright, A. (2005) · Management Decision · doi:10.1108/00251740510572506 · Cited by 102 · see citing works
Future makers or future takers? A scenario analysis of climate change and the Great Barrier Reef
Bohensky, E. L., Butler, J., Costanza, R., Bohnet, I., Delisle, A., Fabricius, K., Gooch, M., Ida Kubiszewski, A., Lukacs, G., PERT, P. L., et al. (2011) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.03.009 · Cited by 96 · see citing works
Boucher, O., Forster, P. M. D. F., Gruber, N., Ha‐Duong, M., Lawrence, M. G., Lenton, T. M., Maas, A., & Vaughan, N. E. (2013) · Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews Climate Change · doi:10.1002/wcc.261 · Cited by 90 · see citing works
Long-Range Forecasting: From Crystal Ball to Computer
Anderson, C. R., & Armstrong, J. S. (1979) · Academy of Management Review · doi:10.2307/257209 · Cited by 89 · see citing works
Climate geoengineering: issues of path‐dependence and socio‐technical lock‐in
Cairns, R. (2014) · Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews Climate Change · doi:10.1002/wcc.296 · Cited by 88 · see citing works
Alternative Futures at the Mānoa School
Dator, J. A., Sweeney, J. A., & Yee, A. M. (2014) · Lecture notes in social networks · doi:10.1007/978-3-319-07809-0_5 · Cited by 86 · see citing works
Global-Change Scenarios: Their Development and Use
Parson, E. A., Burkett, V. R., Fisher‐Vanden, K., et al. (2007) · Lincoln (University of Nebraska) · Cited by 76 · see citing works
Chermack, T. J., Lynham, S. A., & van der Merwe, L. (2006) · Futures · doi:10.1016/j.futures.2005.12.010 · Cited by 76 · see citing works
On the Design of an International Governance Framework for Geoengineering
Lloyd, I. D., & Oppenheimer, M. (2014) · Global Environmental Politics · doi:10.1162/glep_a_00228 · Cited by 75 · see citing works
Toward ethical norms and institutions for climate engineering research
Morrow, D. R., Kopp, R. E., & Oppenheimer, M. (2009) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/4/4/045106 · Cited by 71 · see citing works
International Governance of Climate Engineering
Parson, E. A., & Ernst, L. N. (2013) · Theoretical Inquiries in Law · doi:10.1515/til-2013-015 · Cited by 70 · see citing works
Bellamy, R., & Healey, P. (2018) · Environmental Science & Policy · doi:10.1016/j.envsci.2018.01.021 · Cited by 66 · see citing works
Myths of the future and scenario archetypes
Boschetti, F., Price, J., & Walker, I. A. (2016) · Technological Forecasting and Social Change · doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2016.06.009 · Cited by 63 · see citing works
Stilgoe, J., Watson, M. I., & Kuo, K. (2013) · PLoS Biology · doi:10.1371/journal.pbio.1001707 · Cited by 58 · see citing works
Geoengineering of the Climate System
Hester, R. E., & Harrison, R. M. (2014) · Royal Society of Chemistry eBooks · doi:10.1039/9781782621225 · Cited by 57 · see citing works
Becker, H. S. (1983) · Technological Forecasting and Social Change · doi:10.1016/0040-1625(83)90049-5 · Cited by 54 · see citing works
Geoengineering and the politics of science
Hamilton, C. (2014) · Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists · doi:10.1177/0096340214531173 · Cited by 46 · see citing works
Feral futures: Zen and aesthetics
Ramírez, R., & Ravetz, J. R. (2010) · Futures · doi:10.1016/j.futures.2010.12.005 · Cited by 45 · see citing works
Geoengineering governance-by-default: an earth system governance perspective
Talberg, A., Christoff, P., Thomas, S., & Karoly, D. J. (2017) · International Environmental Agreements Politics Law and Economics · doi:10.1007/s10784-017-9374-9 · Cited by 44 · see citing works
Self-citationReynolds, J. L. (2015) · Climate Law · doi:10.1163/18786561-00504004 · Cited by 33 · see citing works
How geoengineering scenarios frame assumptions and create expectations
Talberg, A., Thomas, S., Christoff, P., & Karoly, D. J. (2018) · Sustainability Science · doi:10.1007/s11625-018-0527-8 · Cited by 32 · see citing works
Self-citationNo, we should not just ‘at least do the research’
Hamilton, C. (2013) · Nature · doi:10.1038/496139a · Cited by 31 · see citing works
Lin, A. (2009) · Issues in Legal Scholarship · doi:10.2202/1539-8323.1112 · Cited by 24 · see citing works
The Asia-Pacific’s role in the emerging solar geoengineering debate
Sugiyama, M., Asayama, S., Ishii, A., Kosugi, T., Moore, J. C., Lin, J., Lefale, P., Burns, W., Fujiwara, M., Ghosh, A., et al. (2017) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-017-1994-0 · Cited by 22 · see citing works
Climate engineering: spectacle, tragedy or solution? A content analysis of news media framing
Methmann, C., Rothe, D., & Stephan, B. (2013) · Routledge eBooks · doi:10.4324/9780203385579-20 · Cited by 19 · see citing works
Regulating Climate Engineering: Paradigmatic Aspects of the Regulation of Ocean Fertilization
Markus, T., & Ginzky, H. (2012) · Carbon & Climate Law Review · doi:10.21552/cclr/2011/4/197 · Cited by 11 · see citing works
Lessons from the Australian Commission for the Future: 1986–98
Slaughter, R. A. (1999) · Futures · doi:10.1016/s0016-3287(98)00114-1 · Cited by 8 · see citing works
Ocean Fertilization as Climate Change Mitigation Measure—Consideration under International Law
Ginzky, H. (2010) · Journal for European Environmental & Planning Law · doi:10.1163/161372710x12676263561836 · Cited by 8 · see citing works
Dator, J. (1986) · Futures · doi:10.1016/0016-3287(86)90024-8 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
Flagged first, then by citations
Cited by
Sorted by citations
A Fate Worse Than Warming? Stratospheric Aerosol Injection and Global Catastrophic Risk
Tang, A., & Kemp, L. (2021) · Frontiers in Climate · doi:10.3389/fclim.2021.720312 · Cited by 58 · see citing works
“Initial study in this area for SAI highlights the potential to use SAI to “optimize” or create “designer climates” (Preston, 2013; Talberg et al., 2018).”
Background
- Authors
- Talberg, A., Thomas, S., & Wiseman, J.
- Affiliations
- The University of Melbourne (AU)
- Corresponding author
- Talberg, Anita
- Venue
- Futures
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2018-08
- Volume
- 101
- Pages
- 67-79
- ISSN
- 0016-3287 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2808344286
- Cited by
- 8
- References
- 67
- Citations by year
- 2024: 3 · 2023: 1 · 2022: 1 · 2021: 3
- FWCI
- 0.44
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Futures (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate Change and Geoengineering
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Sustainability and Climate Change Governance
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Climate Change Policy and Economics
- Keywords
- geoengineering, geoengineering governance, scenario planning, greenhouse gas emissions, climate change impacts, climate change mitigation, climate change adaptation, low-carbon transition, shared learning
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review