Alcohol intake and risk of stroke: a dose-response meta-analysis of prospective studies
Abstract
Background Alcohol intake is inconsistently associated with the risk of stroke morbidity and mortality. The purpose of this study was to summarize the evidence regarding this relationship by using a dose-response meta-analytic approach.Methods We performed electronic searches of PubMed, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Library to identify relevant prospective studies. Only prospective studies that reported effect estimates with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of stroke morbidity and mortality for more than 2 categories of alcohol intake were included.Results We included 27 prospective studies reporting data on 1,425,513 individuals. Low alcohol intake was associated with a reduced risk of total stroke (risk ratio [RR], 0.85; 95% CI: 0.75-0.95; P=0.005), ischemic stroke (RR, 0.81; 95% CI: 0.74-0.90; P<0.001), and stroke mortality (RR, 0.67; 95% CI: 0.53-0.85; P=0.001), but it had no significant effect on hemorrhagic stroke. Moderate alcohol intake had little or no effect on the risks of total stroke, hemorrhagic stroke, ischemic stroke, and stroke mortality. Heavy alcohol intake was associated with an increased risk of total stroke (RR, 1.20; 95% CI: 1.01-1.43; P=0.034), but it had no significant effect on hemorrhagic stroke, ischemic stroke, and stroke mortality.Conclusions Low alcohol intake is associated with a reduced risk of stroke morbidity and mortality, whereas heavy alcohol intake is associated with an increased risk of total stroke. The association between alcohol intake and stroke morbidity and mortality is J-shaped.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
In men, greatest protection from CHD was at 31 g/d, with increased risk beginning at 63 g/d.
“In a dose-response meta-analysis of 24 prospective cohort studies (275), the association of drinking with CHD was J-shaped: non-drinkers were at slightly increased risk; in men the greatest protection was at 31 g/d with a trend for increased risk beginning at 63 g/d; for women, the greatest protection was at 11 g/d with a trend for increased risk beginning at 14 g/d.”
From Food Consumption and its Impact on Cardiovascular Disease: Importance of Solutions Focused on the Globalized Food System (2015) · cites this paper as [275]
In women, greatest protection from CHD was at 11 g/d, with increased risk beginning at 14 g/d.
“In a dose-response meta-analysis of 24 prospective cohort studies (275), the association of drinking with CHD was J-shaped: non-drinkers were at slightly increased risk; in men the greatest protection was at 31 g/d with a trend for increased risk beginning at 63 g/d; for women, the greatest protection was at 11 g/d with a trend for increased risk beginning at 14 g/d.”
From Food Consumption and its Impact on Cardiovascular Disease: Importance of Solutions Focused on the Globalized Food System (2015) · cites this paper as [275]
In a dose-response meta-analysis, the association of drinking with CHD was J-shaped.
“In a dose-response meta-analysis of 24 prospective cohort studies (275), the association of drinking with CHD was J-shaped: non-drinkers were at slightly increased risk; in men the greatest protection was at 31 g/d with a trend for increased risk beginning at 63 g/d; for women, the greatest protection was at 11 g/d with a trend for increased risk beginning at 14 g/d.”
From Food Consumption and its Impact on Cardiovascular Disease: Importance of Solutions Focused on the Globalized Food System (2015) · cites this paper as [275]
In a meta-analysis, no association between light/moderate alcohol use and stroke.
“In a meta-analysis of 27 prospective studies of alcohol and stroke, no association was found between light or moderate alcohol use and stroke, but heavy alcohol use (>45 g/d) was shown to increase total stroke risk (RR: 1.20; 95% CI: 1.01 to 1.43), particularly hemorrhagic stroke (RR: 1.29; 95% CI: 0.98 to 1.71) (275).”
From Food Consumption and its Impact on Cardiovascular Disease: Importance of Solutions Focused on the Globalized Food System (2015) · cites this paper as [275]
Heavy alcohol use (>45 g/d) increased total stroke risk (RR 1.20, 95% CI 1.01-1.43), particularly hemorrhagic stroke (RR 1.29, 95% CI 0.98-1.71).
“In a meta-analysis of 27 prospective studies of alcohol and stroke, no association was found between light or moderate alcohol use and stroke, but heavy alcohol use (>45 g/d) was shown to increase total stroke risk (RR: 1.20; 95% CI: 1.01 to 1.43), particularly hemorrhagic stroke (RR: 1.29; 95% CI: 0.98 to 1.71) (275).”
From Food Consumption and its Impact on Cardiovascular Disease: Importance of Solutions Focused on the Globalized Food System (2015) · cites this paper as [275]
Cites
Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses: the PRISMA statement
Moher, D., Liberati, A., Tetzlaff, J., Altman, D. G., & for the PRISMA Group (2009) · BMJ · doi:10.1136/bmj.b2535 · Cited by 83,823 · see citing works
Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses: The PRISMA Statement
Moher, D., Liberati, A., Tetzlaff, J., Altman, D. G., & The PRISMA Group (2009) · PLoS Medicine · doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.1000097 · Cited by 64,042 · see citing works
Measuring inconsistency in meta-analyses
Higgins, J. P. T., Thompson, S. G., Deeks, J. J., & Altman, D. G. (2003) · BMJ · doi:10.1136/bmj.327.7414.557 · Cited by 63,139 · see citing works
Bias in meta-analysis detected by a simple, graphical test
Egger, M., Smith, G. D., Schneider, M., & Minder, C. (1997) · BMJ · doi:10.1136/bmj.315.7109.629 · Cited by 56,722 · see citing works
Preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses: the PRISMA Statement.
(2009) · PubMed Central · Cited by 44,859 · see citing works
Meta-analysis in clinical trials
DerSimonian, R., & Laird, N. (1986) · Controlled Clinical Trials · doi:10.1016/0197-2456(86)90046-2 · Cited by 39,552 · see citing works
Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions: Cochrane Book Series
(2008) · doi:10.1002/9780470712184 · Cited by 25,048 · see citing works
(2014) · Medical Entomology and Zoology · Cited by 17,633 · see citing works
Operating characteristics of a rank correlation test for publication bias
Begg, C. B., & Mazumdar, M. (1994) · Biometrics · doi:10.2307/2533446 · Cited by 16,955 · see citing works
Diabetes and cardiovascular disease. The Framingham study
Kannel, W. B. (1979) · JAMA · doi:10.1001/jama.241.19.2035 · Cited by 3,958 · see citing works
A Nonparametric “Trim and Fill” Method of Accounting for Publication Bias in Meta-Analysis
Duval, S., & Tweedie, R. (2000) · Journal of the American Statistical Association · doi:10.1080/01621459.2000.10473905 · Cited by 2,955 · see citing works
Methods for Trend Estimation from Summarized Dose-Response Data, with Applications to Meta-Analysis
Greenland, S., & Longnecker, M. P. (1992) · American Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a116237 · Cited by 2,353 · see citing works
Ronksley, P. E., Brien, S. E., Turner, B. J., Mukamal, K. J., & Ghali, W. A. (2011) · BMJ · doi:10.1136/bmj.d671 · Cited by 1,610 · see citing works
Alcohol consumption and mortality among middle-aged and elderly U.S. adults
Thun, M. J., Peto, R., Lopez, A. D., Monaco, J. H., Henley, S. J., Heath, C. W., & Doll, R. (1997) · New England Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1056/nejm199712113372401 · Cited by 1,313 · see citing works
Generalized Least Squares for Trend Estimation of Summarized Dose–response Data
Orsini, N., Bellocco, R., & Greenland, S. (2006) · The Stata Journal Promoting communications on statistics and Stata · doi:10.1177/1536867x0600600103 · Cited by 1,245 · see citing works
Alcohol Consumption and Risk of Stroke
Reynolds, K., Lewis, B. L., Nolen, J. D. L., Kinney, G. L., Sathya, B., & He, J. (2003) · JAMA · doi:10.1001/jama.289.5.579 · Cited by 915 · see citing works
Self-citationStampfer, M. J., Colditz, G. A., Willett, W. C., Speizer, F. E., & Hennekens, C. H. (1988) · New England Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1056/nejm198808043190503 · Cited by 892 · see citing works
The Interpretation of Random-Effects Meta-Analysis in Decision Models
Ades, A. E., Lu, G., & Higgins, J. P. T. (2005) · Medical Decision Making · doi:10.1177/0272989x05282643 · Cited by 861 · see citing works
ANTI-ESCHERICHIA COLI ALPHA-HAEMOLYSIN IN CONTROL AND PATIENT SERA
Emödy, L., Batai, I. Z., Kerényi, M., Székely, J., & Polyák, L. (1982) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(82)90183-0 · Cited by 800 · see citing works
Coffee, Alcohol and Risk of Coronary Heart Disease among Japanese Men Living in Hawaii
Yano, K., Rhoads, G. G., & Kagan, A. (1977) · New England Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1056/nejm197708252970801 · Cited by 524 · see citing works
Meade, T. W., Imeson, J., & Stirling, Y. (1987) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(87)92556-6 · Cited by 432 · see citing works
Corrao, G., Bagnardi, V., Zambon, A., & Aricò, S. (1999) · Addiction · doi:10.1046/j.1360-0443.1999.9410155111.x · Cited by 389 · see citing works
Langer, R. D., Criqui, M. H., & REED, D. M. (1992) · Circulation · doi:10.1161/01.cir.85.3.910 · Cited by 384 · see citing works
Alcohol and Hemorrhagic Stroke
Donahue, R. P. (1986) · JAMA · doi:10.1001/jama.1986.03370170075038 · Cited by 373 · see citing works
Light-to-Moderate Alcohol Consumption and the Risk of Stroke among U.S. Male Physicians
Berger, K., Ajani, U. A., Kase, C. S., Gaziano, J. M., Buring, J. E., Glynn, R. J., & Hennekens, C. H. (1999) · New England Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1056/nejm199911183412101 · Cited by 363 · see citing works
Hart, C., Smith, G. D., Hole, D. J., & Hawthorne, V. M. (1999) · BMJ · doi:10.1136/bmj.318.7200.1725 · Cited by 264 · see citing works
Alcohol and Risk of Atrial Fibrillation or Flutter
Frost, L., & Vestergaard, P. (2004) · Archives of Internal Medicine · doi:10.1001/archinte.164.18.1993 · Cited by 211 · see citing works
Prospective Study of Moderate Alcohol Consumption and Mortality in US Male Physicians
Camargo, C. A. (1997) · Archives of Internal Medicine · doi:10.1001/archinte.1997.00440220083011 · Cited by 209 · see citing works
Alcohol Consumption and Risk of Stroke Among Middle-Aged Men: The JPHC Study Cohort I
Iso, H., Baba, S., Mannami, T., Sasaki, S., Okada, K., Konishi, M., & Tsugane, S. (2004) · Stroke · doi:10.1161/01.str.0000124459.33597.00 · Cited by 208 · see citing works
Risk factors for stroke in middle aged British men.
Shaper, A. G., Phillips, A. N., Pocock, S., Walker, M., & Macfarlane, P. W. (1991) · BMJ · doi:10.1136/bmj.302.6785.1111 · Cited by 200 · see citing works
Alcohol and Risk for Ischemic Stroke in Men: The Role of Drinking Patterns and Usual Beverage
Mukamal, K. J., Ascherio, A., Mittleman, M. A., Conigrave, K. M., Camargo, C. A., Kawachi, I. I., Stampfer, M. J., Willett, W. C., & Rimm, E. B. (2005) · Annals of Internal Medicine · doi:10.7326/0003-4819-142-1-200501040-00007 · Cited by 185 · see citing works
Drinking habits and cardiovascular disease: The Framingham Study
Gordon, T., & Kannel, W. B. (1983) · American Heart Journal · doi:10.1016/0002-8703(83)90492-1 · Cited by 174 · see citing works
Alcohol Consumption and Risk of Ischemic Stroke
Djoussé, L., Ellison, R. C., Beiser, A., Scaramucci, A., D’Agostino, R. B., & Wolf, P. A. (2002) · Stroke · doi:10.1161/hs0402.105245 · Cited by 166 · see citing works
Alcohol Consumption and Stroke Mortality
Hansagi, H., ROMELSJÖ, A., de Verdier, M. G., Andréasson, S., & Leifman, A. (1995) · Stroke · doi:10.1161/01.str.26.10.1768 · Cited by 157 · see citing works
Alcohol Intake and the Risk of Cardiovascular Disease in Middle-Aged Japanese Men
Iso, H., Kitamura, A., Shimamoto, T., Sankai, T., Naito, Y., Sato, S., Kiyama, M., Iida, M., & Komachi, Y. (1995) · Stroke · doi:10.1161/01.str.26.5.767 · Cited by 157 · see citing works
Alcohol use and subsequent cerebrovascular disease hospitalizations.
Klatsky, A. L., Armstrong, M. A., & FRIEDMAN, G. D. (1989) · Stroke · doi:10.1161/01.str.20.6.741 · Cited by 150 · see citing works
Ikehara, S., Iso, H., Toyoshima, H., Date, C., Yamamoto, A., Kikuchi, S., Kondo, T., Watanabe, Y., Koizumi, A., Wada, Y., et al. (2008) · Stroke · doi:10.1161/strokeaha.108.520288 · Cited by 141 · see citing works
DRINKING AND DRINKING PATTERNS AND HEALTH STATUS IN THE GENERAL POPULATION OF FIVE AREAS OF CHINA
Hao, W. (2003) · Alcohol and Alcoholism · doi:10.1093/alcalc/agh018 · Cited by 136 · see citing works
Gordon, T., & Doyle, J. T. (1987) · American Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a114525 · Cited by 129 · see citing works
High-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol and Risk of Stroke in Japanese Men and Women: The Oyabe Study
Soyama, Y., Miura, K., Morikawa, Y., Nishijo, M., Nakanishi, Y., Naruse, Y., Kagamimori, S., & Nakagawa, H. (2003) · Stroke · doi:10.1161/01.str.0000060869.34009.38 · Cited by 128 · see citing works
Alcohol Use and Risk of Ischemic Stroke Among Older Adults
Mukamal, K. J., Chung, H., Jenny, N. S., Kuller, L. H., Longstreth, W. T., Mittleman, M. A., Burke, G. L., Cushman, M., Beauchamp, N. J., & Siscovick, D. S. (2005) · Stroke · doi:10.1161/01.str.0000177587.76846.89 · Cited by 121 · see citing works
Ethyl Alcohol Enhances Plasminogen Activator Secretion by Endothelial Cells
Laug, W. E. (1983) · JAMA · doi:10.1001/jama.1983.03340060050025 · Cited by 112 · see citing works
Alcohol Consumption and Stroke Incidence in Male Smokers
Leppälä, J. M., Paunio, M., Virtamo, J. R. K., Fogelholm, R., Albanes, D., Taylor, P. R., & Heinonen, O. P. (1999) · Circulation · doi:10.1161/01.cir.100.11.1209 · Cited by 103 · see citing works
Alcohol Intake and Premature Coronary Heart Disease in Urban Japanese Men
Kitamura, A., Iso, H., Sankai, T., Naito, Y., Sato, S., Kiyama, M., Okamura, T., Nakagawa, Y., lida, M., Shimamoto, T., et al. (1998) · American Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a009367 · Cited by 101 · see citing works
Alcohol Drinking and Risk of Hemorrhagic Stroke
Klatsky, A. L., Armstrong, M. A., FRIEDMAN, G. D., & Sidney, S. (2002) · Neuroepidemiology · doi:10.1159/000054808 · Cited by 93 · see citing works
Yang, L., Zhou, M., Sherliker, P., Cai, Y., Peto, R., Wang, L., Millwood, I. Y., Smith, M. C., Hu, Y., Yang, G., et al. (2012) · International Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/ije/dys075 · Cited by 89 · see citing works
Alcohol consumption and risk for stroke among Chinese men
Bazzano, L. A., Gu, D., Reynolds, K., Wu, X., Chen, C.-S., Duan, X.-F., Chen, J., Wildman, R., Klag, M., & He, J. (2007) · Annals of Neurology · doi:10.1002/ana.21194 · Cited by 86 · see citing works
Self-citationPalmer, A. J., FLETCHER, A. E., Bulpitt, C. J., Beevers, D. G., Coles, E. C., Ledingham, J. G. G., Petrie, J. C., Webster, J., & Dollery, C. T. (1995) · Journal of Hypertension · doi:10.1097/00004872-199509000-00004 · Cited by 69 · see citing works
Alcohol Intake, Body Weight, and Mortality in a Multiethnic Prospective Cohort
Maskarinec, G., Meng, L., & Kolonel, L. N. (1998) · Epidemiology · doi:10.1097/00001648-199811000-00016 · Cited by 54 · see citing works
Stroke Incidence in Women under 60 Years of Age Related to Alcohol Intake and Smoking Habit
Lü, M., Ye, W., Adami, H., & Weiderpass, E. (2008) · Cerebrovascular Diseases · doi:10.1159/000131669 · Cited by 54 · see citing works
Hypertension and alcohol: Is there a link?
Stokes, G. S. (1982) · Journal of Chronic Diseases · doi:10.1016/0021-9681(82)90086-8 · Cited by 41 · see citing works
Romelsjö, A., Allebeck, P., Andréasson, S., & Leifman, A. (2012) · Alcohol and Alcoholism · doi:10.1093/alcalc/ags021 · Cited by 40 · see citing works
Alcohol consumption and risk of cardiovascular disease among hypertensive women
Bos, S., Grobbee, D. E., Boer, J. M. A., Verschuren, W. M. M., & Beulens, J. W. J. (2010) · European Journal of Cardiovascular Prevention & Rehabilitation · doi:10.1097/hjr.0b013e328335f2fa · Cited by 39 · see citing works
Drinking and coronary heart disease: The Albany Study
Gordon, T., & Doyle, J. T. (1985) · American Heart Journal · doi:10.1016/0002-8703(85)90152-8 · Cited by 34 · see citing works
The Problems and the Promise of Prostaglandin Influences in Atherogenesis
Moncada, S., & Radomski, M. W. (1985) · Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1111/j.1749-6632.1985.tb11850.x · Cited by 29 · see citing works
Higashiyama, A., Wakabayashi, I., Ono, Y., Watanabe, M., Kokubo, Y., Okayama, A., Miyamoto, Y., & Okamura, T. (2011) · Stroke · doi:10.1161/strokeaha.110.608307 · Cited by 20 · see citing works
[Alcohol consumption and incidence of ischemic stroke in male Chinese].
Zhang, L., Zhao, L., Zhou, B., et al. (2004) · PubMed · Cited by 15 · see citing works
Is the Effect of Alcohol on Risk of Stroke Confined to Highly Stressed Persons?
Nielsen, N. R., Truelsen, T. C., Barefoot, J. C., Johnsen, S. P., Overvad, K., Boysen, G., Schnohr, P., & Grønbæk, M. (2005) · Neuroepidemiology · doi:10.1159/000086352 · Cited by 13 · see citing works
Flagged first, then by citations
Cited by
Sorted by citations
The relationship between different dimensions of alcohol use and the burden of disease—an update
Rehm, J., Gmel, G. E., Gmel, G., Hasan, O. S. M., Imtiaz, S., Popova, S., Probst, C., Roerecke, M., Room, R., Samokhvalov, A. V., et al. (2017) · Addiction · doi:10.1111/add.13757 · Cited by 1,204 · see citing works
Anand, S. S., Hawkes, C., de Souza, R. J., Mente, A., Dehghan, M., Nugent, R., Zulyniak, M. A., Weis, T., Bernstein, A. M., Krauss, R. M., et al. (2015) · Journal of the American College of Cardiology · doi:10.1016/j.jacc.2015.07.050 · Cited by 507 · see citing works
“In a dose-response metaanalysis of 24 prospective cohort studies (275), the association of drinking with CHD was J-shaped: nondrinkers were at slightly increased risk; in men the greatest protection was at 31 g/day with a trend for increased risk beginning at 63 g/day; for women, the greatest protection was at 11 g/da…”
BackgroundAlcohol consumption and dementia risk: a dose–response meta-analysis of prospective studies
Xu, W., Wang, H., Wan, Y., Tan, C., Li, J., Tan, L., & Yu, J.-T. (2017) · European Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1007/s10654-017-0225-3 · Cited by 283 · see citing works
Peters, R., Ee, N., Peters, J., Beckett, N., Booth, A., Rockwood, K., & Anstey, K. J. (2019) · Therapeutic Advances in Chronic Disease · doi:10.1177/2040622319880392 · Cited by 213 · see citing works
Alcohol and cardiovascular diseases: where do we stand today?
Klatsky, A. L. (2015) · Journal of Internal Medicine · doi:10.1111/joim.12390 · Cited by 174 · see citing works
Changes in alcohol consumption and risk of dementia in a nationwide cohort in South Korea
Jeon, K. H., Han, K., Jeong, S.-M., Park, J., Yoo, J. E., Yoo, J., Lee, J., Kim, S., & Shin, D. W. (2023) · JAMA Network Open · doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2022.54771 · Cited by 101 · see citing works
Hall, C., Heck, J. E., Sandler, D. P., Ritz, B., Chen, H., & Krause, N. (2019) · Scandinavian Journal of Work, Environment & Health · doi:10.5271/sjweh.3787 · Cited by 65 · see citing works
- Authors
- Zhang, C., Qin, Y.-Y., Chen, Q., Jiang, H., Chen, X.-Z., Xu, C.-L., Mao, P.-J., He, J., & Zhou, Y.-H.
- Affiliations
- Seventh People's Hospital of Shanghai (CN)
- Second Military Medical University (CN)
- Corresponding author
- He, Jia
- Venue
- International Journal of Cardiology
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2014-07
- Volume
- 174
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 669-677
- ISSN
- 0167-5273 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2090134184
- Cited by
- 203
- References
- 58
- Citations by year
- 2026: 7 · 2025: 22 · 2024: 18 · 2023: 17 · 2022: 19 · 2021: 29 · 2020: 19 · 2019: 15 · 2018: 18 · 2017: 9 · 2016: 16 · 2015: 10 · 2014: 2
- FWCI
- 1.75
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- International Journal of Cardiology (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Pathology and Forensic Medicine › Alcohol Consumption and Health Effects
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Epidemiology › Acute Ischemic Stroke Management
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Epidemiology › Substance Abuse Treatment and Outcomes
- Keywords
- alcohol consumption, stroke, ischemic stroke, hemorrhagic stroke, stroke mortality, dose-response relationship, heavy drinking, moderate drinking, J-shaped association
- MeSH terms
- Alcohol Drinking, Ethanol, Alcoholic Beverages, Dose-Response Relationship, Drug, Humans, Prospective Studies, Risk Factors, Cohort Studies, Stroke
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review