Prospective techno-economic and environmental assessment of carbon capture at a refinery and CO2 utilisation in polyol synthesis
Open accessAbstract
CO2 utilisation is gaining interest as a potential element towards a sustainable economy. CO2 can be used as feedstock in the synthesis of fuels, chemicals and polymers. This study presents a prospective assessment of carbon capture from a hydrogen unit at a refinery, where the CO2 is either stored, or partly stored and partly utilised for polyols production. A methodology integrating technical, economic and environmental models with uncertainty analysis is used to assess the performance of carbon capture and storage or utilisation at the refinery. Results show that only 10% of the CO2 captured from an industrial hydrogen unit can be utilised in a commercial-scale polyol plant. This option has limited potential for large scale CO2 mitigation from industrial sources. However, CO2 capture from a hydrogen unit and its utilisation for the synthesis of polyols provides an interesting alternative from an economic perspective. The costs of CO2-based polyol are estimated at 1200 €/t polyol, 16% lower than those of conventional polyol. Furthermore, the costs of storing the remaining CO2 are offset by the benefits of cheaper polyol production. Therefore, the combination of CO2 capture and partial utilisation provides an improved business case over capture and storage alone. The environmental assessment shows that the climate change potential of this CO2 utilisation system is 23% lower compared to a reference case in which no CO2 is captured at the refinery. Five other environmental impact categories included in this study present slightly better performance for the utilisation case than for the reference case.
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TL;DR
This study prospectively assesses carbon capture at a refinery hydrogen unit with CO₂ either stored or partly utilised for polyol synthesis, using integrated techno-economic, environmental and uncertainty models. It finds that only 10% of captured CO₂ can be used in a commercial-scale polyol plant, but the CCUS case is economically attractive and reduces climate change impacts by 23% versus a no-capture reference, while large-scale mitigation potential is limited.
Key findings
- Only 10% of the CO₂ captured from a 77 kt/a H₂ unit can be utilised in a 250 kt/a polyol plant; in the CCUS case, 58 kt/a CO₂ is utilised and 495 kt/a is stored, while CO₂ emissions fall from 890 kt/a (REF) to 271 kt/a (CCS and CCUS), a 65% reduction.
- The CCUS case has the lowest polyol cost: LCOP of 1.2 €/kg polyol, 16% lower than conventional polyol (1.4 €/kg), while H₂ LCOP is 7.7 €/GJ in CCUS, 55% higher than REF (5.0 €/GJ); break-even CO₂ cost is 47 €/t for CCS vs REF and −47 €/t for CCUS vs REF, with payback periods of 5 years (REF), 8 years (CCS) and 6 years (CCUS).
- CCUS reduces climate change impact by 23% compared with REF (2.0E-1 vs 2.6E-1 kg CO₂ eq per functional unit), and all other assessed impact categories except photochemical oxidant formation (POF) show slightly better performance than REF; POF is 8.3E-4 kg NMVOC in CCUS vs 8.0E-4 in REF.
- Technical changes include 14 wt% less naphtha fuel consumption (70 to 60 kt/a) and 17 wt% lower propylene oxide consumption (243 to 202 kt/a) in CCUS, but primary energy use rises from 125 GWh (REF) to 623 GWh (CCUS).
Methods
- Prospective assessment using the environmental due diligence (EDD) framework, integrating technical, economic and environmental models with uncertainty analysis; three cases are compared: REF (no capture, conventional polyol), CCS (capture and storage, conventional polyol) and CCUS (capture, partial utilisation for CO₂-based polyol, partial storage), with temporal scope 2015 and location Northwestern Europe.
- Technical modelling uses Aspen Plus V8.4 for the H₂ unit with and without CO₂ capture, validated against a real Asian refinery with ±1% deviation, plus spreadsheet models for conventional and CO₂-based polyol synthesis; capture uses ADIP-X solvent with 95% capture efficiency.
- Economic assessment estimates Capex from equipment lists and Aspen Capital Cost Estimator with a 0.65 scale exponent and 20% contingency, Opex from mass/energy flows and market prices, and uses LCOP, break-even CO₂ price and payback period; environmental assessment is a hybrid LCA using ReCiPe 1.11, ecoinvent v3.2 and EXIOBASE 3.3, with functional unit of 1 MJ H₂, 0.03 kg polyols and 0.187 kg low-pressure steam; uncertainty uses pedigree matrices and sensitivity analysis.
Limitations
- Stated: the impact of CO₂ capture on PSA unit performance is not covered; additional costs of PPC and cPC separation are not included, so real plant capital costs may be higher; no validation was performed for the thermodynamics, chemistry and kinetics of the CO₂-based polyol models, and publicly available independent information for validation was unavailable.
- Stated: environmental differences between cases are small (approximately 15% or 2–14% depending on category) and may fall within uncertainty margins, so the conclusion that CCUS is environmentally superior should be used carefully; the environmental determination of the investigated systems remains inconclusive.
- Evident from the text: most technical models were developed by a single modeller with limited expertise in the area, except conventional polyol; Opex data came from only one source and was not validated; chemicals LCI for SA 5 had the lowest pedigree scores, with proxy chemicals needed for DMC catalyst and ADIP-X solvent and outdated/incomplete database processes for propylene oxide, monopropylene glycol and glycerol.
Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.
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Claims the paper makes
0 of 21 cited sources checked · 0 supported · 0 flagged
- Findingown data
The costs of storing the remaining CO2 are offset by the benefits of cheaper polyol production.
“Furthermore, the costs of storing the remaining CO 2 are offset by the benefits of cheaper polyol production.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: The H2 unit and the polyol plant are extensions to an existing plant located in Northwestern Europe.
- The authors state this as an assumption: The host site delivers the utilities, so cooling towers and steam production are excluded from the cost estimates.
- Findingown data
Only 10% of the CO2 captured from an industrial hydrogen unit can be utilised in a commercial-scale polyol plant.
“Results show that only 10% of the CO 2 captured from an industrial hydrogen unit can be utilised in a commercial-scale polyol plant.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingnone given
Five other environmental impact categories included in this study present slightly better performance for the utilisation case than for the reference case.
“Five other environmental impact categories included in this study present slightly better performance for the utilisation case than for the reference case.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
The climate change potential of this CO2 utilisation system is 23% lower compared to a reference case in which no CO2 is captured at the refinery.
“The environmental assessment shows that the climate change potential of this CO 2 utilisation system is 23% lower compared to a reference case in which no CO 2 is captured at the refinery.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingreasoning
Variations in the reaction pressure have the most important effect on the overall system.
“However, variations in the reaction pressure have the most important effect on the overall system (Fig. 3b).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
- Findingown data
The CCUS case uses slightly more primary energy than the CCS case due to more steam and electricity needed in the pre-heater of the stripper and in the compressor for recycle CO2.
“The CCUS case shows slightly more primary energy used with respect to the CCS case due to more steam and electricity needed in the pre-heater of the stripper and in the compressor for recycle CO 2 .”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingreasoning
The Capex is 60% lower in the reference case because it does not include a capture unit nor a compression train.
“The Capex is 60% lower in the reference case because it does not include a capture unit nor a compression train.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
A negative CO2 cost of -47 €/t would be required to make the reference case more cost-effective than the CCUS case.
“However, a negative CO 2 cost (coincidentally, also -47 €/t) would be required to make the reference case more costeffective than the CCUS case.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingreasoning
In the CCS and CCUS cases, 14 wt% less naphtha is needed as fuel for the reformer furnace compared with the reference case.
“From a refinery perspective, 14 wt% less naphtha is needed as fuel for the reformer furnace in the CCS and CCUS cases.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingreasoning
The cost of PO (included in the Opex) is the main driver of the differences among the total cost in the three cases.
“The cost of PO (included in the Opex) is the main driver of the differences among the total cost in the three cases.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingnone given
CO2-based polyol requires 17 wt% less PO feedstock than conventional polyol.
“CO 2 -based polyol benefits from 17 wt% lower PO feedstock requirement.”
- Also stated in: § 4. Conclusions · plain
“By utilising the captured CO 2 in polyol synthesis, propylene oxide demand decreases with 17 wt% compared to the conventional polyol synthesis.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § 4. Conclusions · plain
- Findingnone given
In the CCUS case, the CO2 captured from the refinery replaces 17 wt% of the PO used as feedstock for polyol synthesis.
“In the CCUS case, the CO 2 captured from the refinery replaces 17 wt% of the PO used as feedstock for polyol synthesis.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The LCOP per GJ of H2 is higher in the CCS and CCUS cases (+58% and +55%, respectively) compared with the reference case.
“Thus, whilst the LCOP per GJ of H 2 is higher in the CCS and CCUS cases (+58/+55% compared to the reference), the LCOP per kg polyol produced is the lowest in the utilisation case (-16% with respect to the reference and CCS cases).”
- Also stated in: § 4. Conclusions · plain
“This value is 58% (CCS case) and 55% (CCUS case) higher with respect to the reference case in which no CO 2 is captured.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § 4. Conclusions · plain
- Findingreasoning
The Validation process is the criterion with the lowest scores, especially for the polyol SAs.
“The Validation process is the criterion with the lowest scores, especially for the polyol SAs.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingreasoning
Cooling water and electricity requirements are larger in the CCS and CCUS cases than in the reference case (115% and 290%, respectively) because of the capture unit and compression train.
“Cooling water and electricity requirements are larger in the CCS and CCUS cases as compared with the reference case (115% and 290%, respectively) because of the capture unit and compression train.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The reaction temperature is the parameter with the largest influence on the primary energy requirement of the polyol system area (±10%).
“Fig. 3 shows that the reaction temperature is the parameter with the largest influence on the primary energy requirement of the polyol system area ( ± 10%).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingreasoning
As a result of maintaining the same net steam output, additional low pressure steam produced in a natural gas boiler is required in the CCS and CCUS cases.
“As a result, additional low pressure steam, which is produced in a natural gas boiler, is required to meet this output in the CCS and CCUS cases.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingnone given
In the CCS and CCUS cases, CO2 emissions are reduced to 271 kt/a.
“In the CCS and CCUS cases, CO 2 emissions are reduced to 271 kt/a.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingreasoning
In the CCS and CCUS cases, 35% of CO2 is emitted to the atmosphere as part of the reformer furnace flue gas.
“The remaining 35% of CO 2 is emitted to the atmosphere as part of the reformer furnace flue gas.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingreasoning
In the CCS and CCUS cases, net steam production is reduced by 35% compared with the reference case because part of the produced steam is required in the CO2 capture unit.
“However, in the CCS and CCUS cases, part of the produced steam is required in the CO 2 capture unit; the net steam production is reduced by 35% as compared to the reference case.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In the CCS and CCUS cases, CO2 emissions are reduced by 65% relative to the reference case.
“In the CCS and CCUS cases, there is a reduction of 65% of the CO 2 emissions with respect to the reference case.”
- Also stated in: § 4. Conclusions · plain
“When capturing all CO 2 emitted at a H 2 unit of a refinery, both CO 2 emissions and the amount of naphtha fuel used in the reformer furnace decrease (65 wt% and 14 wt% with respect to the reference case, respectively).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § 4. Conclusions · plain
- Findingreasoning
Primary energy use increases in the CCS and CCUS cases relative to the reference case.
“Therefore, the primary energy use increases in the CCS and CCUS cases with respect to the reference case (Table 3).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The break-even analysis shows that 47 €/t is the minimum CO2 cost that would make the CCS case economically more attractive than the reference case.
“The break-even analysis shows that 47 €/t (Table 7) is the minimum CO 2 cost that would make the CCS case economically more attractive than the reference case.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingnone given
The Capex of the H2 unit is larger when it includes a CO2 capture unit and compression (SA 2b in CCS and CCUS cases).
“The Capex of the H 2 unit is larger when it includes a CO 2 capture unit and compression (SA 2b in CCS and CCUS cases).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingreasoning
The Opex for transport in the CCUS case is higher than in the CCS case because it requires additional pump work due to higher pressure drop.
“However, the Opex for transport in the CCUS case is higher than in the CCS case because it requires additional pump work due to higher pressure drop.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
From the contribution analysis and structural path analysis, the production of propylene oxide reactant in SA 5 is a major source of emissions for conventional polyol synthesis in the REF and CCS cases.
“From the contribution analysis and structural path analysis, the production of propylene oxide reactant in SA 5 is a major source of emissions for conventional polyol synthesis in the REF and CCS cases.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingreasoning
Consequently, the CCUS case has the lowest total Opex among all cases.
“Consequently, the CCUS case has the lowest total Opex among all cases.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingnone given
Implementation of CCS alone reduces the CO2 emissions with respect to a reference case without capture.
“Implementation of CCS alone reduces the CO 2 emissions with respect to a reference case without capture.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
A minimum CO2 cost of 47 €/t would be required for making the CCS case more cost-effective than the reference case.
“However, a minimum CO 2 cost of 47 €/t would be required for making the CCS case more cost-effective than the reference case.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The sensitivity analysis shows that the economic parameters have different impact in the LCOP of the hydrogen and the polyol.
“The sensitivity analysis shows that the economic parameters have different impact in the LCOP of the hydrogen and the polyol (Fig. 4).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingreasoning
Replacing part of the PO by CO2 reduces the Opex of CO2-polyol production by 14% with respect to the conventional route.
“Replacing part of the PO by CO 2 reduces the Opex of CO 2polyol production by 14% with respect to the conventional route.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The naphtha value chain, H2 production unit, and the chemicals value chain (SA 1, 2, and 5, respectively) dominate the impacts.
“As shown in Fig. 5, the naphtha value chain, H 2 production unit, and the chemicals value chain (SA 1, 2, and 5, respectively) dominate the impacts.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The REF and CCS cases show similar impacts in terrestrial acidification (TA), freshwater eutrophication (FE), particular matter formation (PMF) and human toxicity (HT).
“From the figure, the REF and CCS cases show similar impacts in terrestrial acidification (TA), freshwater eutrophication (FE), particular matter formation (PMF) and human toxicity (HT).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
The environmental assessment revealed that the introduction of the CCUS process in the hydrogen unit in combination with storage of the remaining CO2 reduces the climate change impacts by 23% compared to the reference case.
“The environmental assessment revealed that the introduction of the CCUS process in the hydrogen unit in combination with storage of the remaining CO 2 reduces the climate change impacts by 23% compared to the reference case.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The CO2-based polyol route (SA 4b) has only slightly (3%) higher Capex than the conventional route (SA 4a).
“The CO 2 -based polyol route (SA 4b) has only slightly (3%) higher Capex than the conventional route (SA 4a).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Propylene oxide feedstock used in the polyol synthesis, and its precursors, the naphtha value chain and naphtha combustion are identified as particularly environmentally intensive contributors in this system.
“Propylene oxide feedstock used in the polyol synthesis, and its precursors, the naphtha value chain and naphtha combustion are identified as a particularly environmentally intensive contributors in this system.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingreasoning
The Opex of the H2 unit (SA 2b) in the CCS and CCUS cases is a factor of 3.7 higher than in the reference case because of the energy penalty of CO2 capture and compression.
“The Opex of the H 2 unit (SA 2b) of the CCS and CCUS cases is a factor of 3.7 higher than in the reference case because of the energy penalty of CO 2 capture and compression.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Of the other 6 environmental impact categories included in the LCA, all but one (POF) present slightly better performance in the utilisation case than in the reference case where no CO2 is captured.
“Of the other 6 environmental impact categories included in the LCA, all but one (POF) present slightly better performance in the utilisation case than in the reference case where no CO 2 is captured.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingnone given
The operational costs are mainly caused by the feedstock (naphtha production and transport (SA 1) and chemicals (SA 5)).
“The operational costs are mainly caused by the feedstock (naphtha production and transport (SA 1) and chemicals (SA 5).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingreasoning
The carbon capture process induces similar trends in CC, POF and FD impacts for the CCS and CCUS cases.
“On the other hand, the carbon capture process induces similar trends in CC, POF and FD impacts for the CCS and CCUS cases.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Important contributions to all of the impact categories for SA 5 include the direct emissions from the production of propylene oxide and its precursors (chlorine, sodium hydroxide, propylene) and their required energy of production, which is partially sourced from coal.
“In particular, these methods indicate that important contributions to all of the impact categories for SA 5 include the direct emissions from the production of propylene oxide and its precursors (chlorine, sodium hydroxide, propylene) and their required energy of production, which is partially sourced from coal.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Overall, an improvement of the CCUS case over the reference is observed in all but one impact category, i.e., photochemical oxidant formation (POF).
“Overall, an improvement of the CCUS case over the reference is observed in all but one impact category, i.e., photochemical oxidant formation (POF).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingreasoning
The CCS case presents a slight increase in most of the impact categories relative to the reference case.
“The CCS case presents a slight increase in most of the impact categories relative to the reference case.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In the CCS case, Capex is 391 M€.
“Capex | M€ | 155 | 391 | 383”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In the H2 unit with capture, CO2 emissions are 4 kg/kg H2.
“CO 2 emissions kg/kg H 2 12 4”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In the REF case, Capex is 155 M€.
“Capex | M€ | 155 | 391 | 383”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In the CCUS case, CO2 utilised is 58 kt/a.
“CO 2 utilised | kt/a | - | - | 58”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In conventional polyol synthesis, PO consumption is 0.97 kg/kg polyol.
“PO consumption kg/kg polyol 0.97 0.81”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In the REF case, climate change impact is 2.6E-1 kg CO2 eq per functional unit.
“Climate change | CC | kg CO 2 eq | 2.6E-1 2.2E-1 2.0E-1”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In the CCS case, Opex is 390 M€/a.
“Opex | M€/a | 384 | 390 | 332”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In the CCS case, primary energy use is 613 GWh.
“Primary energy use | GWh | 125 | 613 | 623”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In the CCUS case, primary energy use is 623 GWh.
“Primary energy use | GWh | 125 | 613 | 623”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In the CCS case, LCOP25-H2 is 7.8 €/GJ H2.
“LCOP 25 -H 2 | €/GJ H 2 | 5.0 | 7.8 | 7.7”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In the CCS case, naphtha fuel consumption is 60 kt/a.
“Naphtha fuel consumption | kt/a | 70 | 60 | 60”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In the H2 unit without capture, CO2 emissions are 12 kg/kg H2.
“CO 2 emissions kg/kg H 2 12 4”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In the CCS case, PBP is 8 years.
“PBP | years | 5 | 8 | 6”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In the CCS case, LCOP25-PPC is 1.4 €/kg polyol.
“LCOP 25 -PPC | €/kg polyol | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.2”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In the REF case, fossil depletion is 1.0E-1 kg oil eq per functional unit.
“Fossil depletion | FD | kg oil eq | 1.0E-1 1.1E-1 9.8E-2”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In the CCS case, climate change impact is 2.2E-1 kg CO2 eq per functional unit.
“Climate change | CC | kg CO 2 eq | 2.6E-1 2.2E-1 2.0E-1”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In the CCUS case, CO2 stored is 495 kt/a.
“CO 2 stored | kt/a | - | 552 | 495”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In the CCUS case, LCOP25-PPC is 1.2 €/kg polyol.
“LCOP 25 -PPC | €/kg polyol | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.2”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In the REF case, photochemical oxidant formation is 8.0E-4 kg NMVOC per functional unit.
“Photochemical oxidant | POF | kg NMVOC 8.0E-4 8.9E-4 8.3E-4”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In the CCUS case, Opex is 332 M€/a.
“Opex | M€/a | 384 | 390 | 332”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In the REF case, LCOP25-H2 is 5.0 €/GJ H2.
“LCOP 25 -H 2 | €/GJ H 2 | 5.0 | 7.8 | 7.7”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In the CCUS case, CO2 emissions are 271 kt/a.
“CO 2 emissions | kt/a | 890 | 271 | 271”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In the CCS case, PO consumption is 243 kt/a.
“PO consumption | kt/a | 243 | 243 | 202”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In the CCUS case, photochemical oxidant formation is 8.3E-4 kg NMVOC per functional unit.
“Photochemical oxidant | POF | kg NMVOC 8.0E-4 8.9E-4 8.3E-4”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In the CCUS case, LCOP25-H2 is 7.7 €/GJ H2.
“LCOP 25 -H 2 | €/GJ H 2 | 5.0 | 7.8 | 7.7”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In the CCS case, fossil depletion is 1.1E-1 kg oil eq per functional unit.
“Fossil depletion | FD | kg oil eq | 1.0E-1 1.1E-1 9.8E-2”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In the REF case, PBP is 5 years.
“PBP | years | 5 | 8 | 6”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In the CCUS case, naphtha fuel consumption is 60 kt/a.
“Naphtha fuel consumption | kt/a | 70 | 60 | 60”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In the REF case, CO2 emissions are 890 kt/a.
“CO 2 emissions | kt/a | 890 | 271 | 271”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In CO2-based polyol synthesis, PO consumption is 0.81 kg/kg polyol.
“PO consumption kg/kg polyol 0.97 0.81”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In the CCUS case, climate change impact is 2.0E-1 kg CO2 eq per functional unit.
“Climate change | CC | kg CO 2 eq | 2.6E-1 2.2E-1 2.0E-1”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In the CCS case, CO2 stored is 552 kt/a.
“CO 2 stored | kt/a | - | 552 | 495”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In the REF case, primary energy use is 125 GWh.
“Primary energy use | GWh | 125 | 613 | 623”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In CO2-based polyol synthesis, CO2 utilised is 0.23 kg/kg polyol.
“CO 2 utilised kg/kg polyol -0.23”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In the CCUS case, fossil depletion is 9.8E-2 kg oil eq per functional unit.
“Fossil depletion | FD | kg oil eq | 1.0E-1 1.1E-1 9.8E-2”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In the CCS case, CO2 emissions are 271 kt/a.
“CO 2 emissions | kt/a | 890 | 271 | 271”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In the REF case, LCOP25-PPC is 1.4 €/kg polyol.
“LCOP 25 -PPC | €/kg polyol | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.2”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In the CCUS case, PO consumption is 202 kt/a.
“PO consumption | kt/a | 243 | 243 | 202”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In the H2 unit with capture, CO2 captured is 7 kg/kg H2.
“CO 2 captured kg/kg H 2 -7”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In the CCUS case, break-even CO2 cost is -47 €/t CO2.
“Break-even CO 2 cost | €/t CO 2 | - | 47 | -47”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In the CCUS case, PBP is 6 years.
“PBP | years | 5 | 8 | 6”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In the REF case, Opex is 384 M€/a.
“Opex | M€/a | 384 | 390 | 332”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In the CCUS case, Capex is 383 M€.
“Capex | M€ | 155 | 391 | 383”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In the REF case, PO consumption is 243 kt/a.
“PO consumption | kt/a | 243 | 243 | 202”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In the CCS case, break-even CO2 cost is 47 €/t CO2.
“Break-even CO 2 cost | €/t CO 2 | - | 47 | -47”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In the CCS case, photochemical oxidant formation is 8.9E-4 kg NMVOC per functional unit.
“Photochemical oxidant | POF | kg NMVOC 8.0E-4 8.9E-4 8.3E-4”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisereasoning
An integrated assessment of the technology, costs, and elaborate environmental impacts of CO2 utilisation for polyol production at full commercial scale with system boundaries including an alternative CO2 source and steam production, is yet to be carried out.
“An integrated assessment of the technology, costs, and elaborate environmental impacts of CO 2 utilisation for polyol production at full commercial scale with system boundaries including an alternative CO 2 source and steam production, is yet to be carried out.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
Hydrogen production processes have the advantage that CO2 separation facilities are already (partially) available on-site.
“Hydrogen production processes have the advantage that CO 2 separation facilities are already (partially) available on-site [8,9].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [8]
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [9]
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationown data
This option has limited potential for large scale CO2 mitigation from industrial sources.
“This option has limited potential for large scale CO 2 mitigation from industrial sources.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
With a current global polyols market of about 6.7 Mt/a, a demand of 0.12 Mt/a of CO2 for polymer application is estimated if the European polyol market continues to grow at the expected rates.
“With a current global polyols market of about 6.7 Mt/a, a demand of 0.12 Mt/a of CO 2 for polymer application is estimated if the European polyol market continues to grow at the expected rates [11].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [11]
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisereasoning
CO2 capture can be implemented in hydrogen manufacturing units using commercially available technology in a cost-effective manner since the CO2 stream is emitted at relatively high pressure.
“Furthermore, CO 2 capture can be implemented in hydrogen manufacturing units using commercially available technology in a cost-effective manner since the CO 2 stream is emitted at relatively high pressure.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
The combination of CO2 capture and partial utilisation provides an improved business case over capture and storage alone.
“Therefore, the combination of CO 2 capture and partial utilisation provides an improved business case over capture and storage alone.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: The H2 unit and the polyol plant are extensions to an existing plant located in Northwestern Europe.
- The authors state this as an assumption: The host site delivers the utilities, so cooling towers and steam production are excluded from the cost estimates.
- Premisenone given
The environmental assessment of that study was carried out at a demonstration scale rather than at commercial scale.
“However, the environmental assessment of this study was carried out at a demonstration scale rather than at commercial scale.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
CO2 capture from a hydrogen unit and its utilisation for the synthesis of polyols provides an interesting alternative from an economic perspective.
“However, CO 2 capture from a hydrogen unit and its utilisation for the synthesis of polyols provides an interesting alternative from an economic perspective.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
The CO2 bond breaking is an endothermic reaction.
“and the CO 2 bond breaking is an endothermic reaction [26].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [26]
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationreasoning
The reduction in polyol costs in the CCUS case compensates for the higher LCOP of H2.
“The reduction in the polyol costs in the CCUS case compensates for the higher LCOP of H 2 .”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
The cooling requirement of the CO2-based polyol synthesis is lower than that of the conventional polyol.
“Although an external cooler is required in both exothermic reaction steps, the cooling requirement of the CO 2 -based polyol synthesis is lower than that of the conventional polyol.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisereasoning
The heat of reaction of the CO2-based polyol is reduced compared to the heat of reaction of the conventional polyol, by the amount of CO2 introduced into the polyol.
“Following consultation with experts from the polyol manufacturing sector [21], the heat of reaction of the CO 2 -based polyol is reduced compared to the heat of reaction of the conventional polyol, by the amount of CO 2 introduced into the polyol.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [21]
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
The knowledge base of most carbon capture and utilisation (CCU) technologies is characterized by large uncertainties and limited information due to confidentiality or the lack of process data.
“Due to their early stage of development [19], the knowledge base of most carbon capture and utilisation (CCU) technologies is characterized by large uncertainties and limited information due to confidentiality or the lack of process data.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [19]
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationreasoning
The reductions in naphtha and PO feedstock have a substantial positive impact on the economic and environmental performance of the CCUS case.
“Although the reduction of the amounts of naphtha and PO feedstock seems small, it has a substantial positive impact on the economic and environmental performances of the CCUS case (next sections).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductnone given
Publicly available peer-reviewed or independent industrial information that could be used for validation of CO2-based polyols was unavailable.
“Although there is experimental work and a demonstration plant has been built for CO 2 -based polyols, publicly available peerreviewed or independent industrial independent information that could be used for validation purposes was unavailable.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
CO2 utilisation in polyols has limited ability to mitigate CO2 emissions of an industrial source.
“This is a relevant finding because it shows the limitations of this CO 2 utilisation option in mitigating the CO 2 emissions of an industrial source.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductown data
The model of the H2 unit was validated with good accuracy (±1% deviation with refinery process data).
“Using process data from a refinery hydrogen manufacturing unit in Asia, the model of the H 2 unit was validated with good accuracy ( ± 1% deviation with refinery process data, Appendix A).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
Since CO2 substitutes part of the PO that reacts, the total heat released in the CO2-based polyol is lower than that of conventional polyol.
“Since in the CO 2 -based polyol synthesis, CO 2 substitutes part of the PO that reacts, the total heat released in the CO 2based polyol is lower than that of conventional polyol.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
The PO ring opening reaction is exothermic.
“The PO ring opening reaction is exothermic [25]”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [25] source
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationreasoning
The higher uncertainty in the knowledge base of the polyol model has little impact on the performance of the total system.
“It also means that the higher uncertainty in the knowledge base of the polyol model has little impact on the performance of the total system.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
The H2 concentration entering the PSA must be equal to or greater than 70 mol% for an economical PSA process that achieves 85% per-pass H2 separation.
“The H 2 concentration entering the PSA must be equal to or greater than 70 mol% for an economical PSA process that achieves 85% per-pass H 2 separation [24].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [24]
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationreasoning
At system level (both H2 unit and polyol plant), CCUS is the most economically interesting alternative.
“This shows that at system level (both H 2 unit and polyol plant), CCUS is the most economically interesting alternative.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
This amount is small compared to the CO2 emissions from industrial hydrogen units (220 Mt/a of CO2).
“However, this amount is small compared to the CO 2 emissions from industrial hydrogen units (220 Mt/a of CO 2 , [10].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [10] source
Not checked in the free run.
- Study design and conductreasoning
Infrastructure for SA 1, 3 and 5 are modelled from ecoinvent and therefore not as highly rated due to differences in some of the correlation parameters and some missing flows.
“Infrastructure for SA 1, 3 and 5 are modelled from ecoinvent and therefore not as highly rated due to differences in some of the correlation parameters and some missing flows.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
Since PO is also the feedstock for the synthesis of conventional polyol, at higher prices of PO, the CO2-polyol process will have a larger economic advantage over the traditional route.
“Since PO is also the feedstock for the synthesis of conventional polyol, at higher prices of PO, the CO 2 -polyol process will have a larger economic advantage over the traditional route.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductreasoning
Due to the novelty of the technology, the CO2-polyol system area received low scores in Reliability.
“Due to the novelty of the technology, the CO 2 -polyol system area received low scores in Reliability.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationown data
Given the uncertainties in the model, the environmental determination of the investigated systems remains inconclusive.
“Given the uncertainties in the model, the environmental determination of the investigated systems remains inconclusive.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductown data
The outputs of the H2 unit without capture model were validated against data from a real refinery in Asia (Table A1).
“The outputs of the models of the H 2 unit without capture were validated against data from a real refinery in Asia (Table A1).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
In the CCUS case, CO2 replaces part of the energy intensive PO feedstock for polyol synthesis, offsetting the increase of energy consumed due to the capture unit and compression train.
“In the CCUS case, CO 2 replaces part of the energy intensive PO feedstock for polyol synthesis, offsetting the increase of energy consumed due to the capture unit and compression train.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
CCUS appears to have an improved environmental performance over both the REF and the CCS cases for the impact categories evaluated.
“This implies an overall conclusion that CCUS appears to have an improved environmental performance over both the REF and the CCS cases for the impact categories evaluated.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
The reduction in naphtha fuel consumption in the furnace due to higher heating value of the PSA offgas (post-CO2 capture) does not fully compensate for the increase on the impacts associated with the extra fuel required for the capture unit and the electricity needed for CO2 compression.
“The reduction in naphtha fuel consumption in the furnace due to higher heating value of the PSA offgas (post-CO 2 capture) does not fully compensate for the increase on the impacts associated with the extra fuel required for the capture unit and the electricity needed for CO 2 compression.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
From the H2 unit perspective, the savings in naphtha fuel are not large enough to compensate for the extra costs of the capture unit and compression train required in the CCS and CCUS cases.
“From the H 2 unit perspective, the savings in naphtha fuel are not large enough to compensate for the extra costs of the capture unit and compression train required in the CCS and CCUS cases.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
In both REF and CCS cases, these impacts are dominated by the higher demand of polyol precursors in the conventional polyol synthesis used in both of these cases.
“In both cases, these impacts are dominated by the higher demand of polyol precursors in the conventional polyol synthesis used in both of these cases.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
Using 10% of the total CO2 captured from the refinery and storing the rest presents an interesting business case for refineries because expensive PO feedstock is replaced by waste CO2.
“The results indicate that using 10% of the total CO 2 captured from the refinery and storing the rest of the CO 2 presents an interesting business case for refineries because expensive PO feedstock is replaced by waste CO 2 .”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
The uncertainty analysis shows that these economic results are robust because the most uncertain system areas (polyol production excluding feedstock costs) have low impact on the overall economics.
“The uncertainty analysis shows that these economic results are robust because the most uncertain system areas (polyol production excluding feedstock costs) have low impact on the overall economics.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
- May combine two claims. 54
- Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 21
- The quote only partly states this claim. 1
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe costs of CO2-based polyol are estimated at 1200 €/t polyol, 16% lower than those of conventional polyol.
“The costs of CO 2 -based polyol are estimated at 1200 €/t polyol, 16% lower than those of conventional polyol.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: The H2 unit and the polyol plant are extensions to an existing plant located in Northwestern Europe.
- The authors state this as an assumption: The host site delivers the utilities, so cooling towers and steam production are excluded from the cost estimates.
May combine two claims.
FindingreasoningThe LCOP per kg polyol produced is the lowest in the CCUS case, 16% lower than in the reference and CCS cases.
“Thus, whilst the LCOP per GJ of H 2 is higher in the CCS and CCUS cases (+58/+55% compared to the reference), the LCOP per kg polyol produced is the lowest in the utilisation case (-16% with respect to the reference and CCS cases).”
- Also stated in: § 4. Conclusions · plain
“However, the levelised costs of polyol decrease to 1.2 €/kg polyol in the CCUS case, 16% lower than in the conventional process.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Also stated in: § 4. Conclusions · plain
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe H2 concentration entering the PSA was 72 mol% in the model of the H2 unit without capture and 91 mol% in the model of the H2 unit with capture.
“The H 2 concentration entering the PSA was 72 mol% in the model of the H 2 unit without capture and 91 mol% in the model of the H 2 unit with capture.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
FindingreasoningThe Theoretical understanding of the technical input data is of good quality, while the Empirical basis and Methodological rigour show a higher level of uncertainty.
“The Theoretical understanding is also of good quality.The Empirical basis and the Methodological rigour show a higher level of uncertainty.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
FindingreasoningSince the CO2 is captured upstream the PSA, the PSA offgas has higher calorific value, and consequently naphtha fuel requirements for the furnace are lowered with respect to the reference case.
“Since the CO 2 is captured upstream the PSA, the PSA offgas has higher calorific value, and consequently naphtha fuel requirements for the furnace are lowered with respect to the reference case.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
FindingreasoningThe primary energy use of the overall system shows only minor changes (±2%) because only 10% of the total amount of CO2 captured is used in the polyol synthesis.
“Nevertheless, the primary energy use of the overall system only shows minor changes ( ± 2%) because only 10% of the total amount of CO 2 captured is used in the polyol synthesis.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataA commercial-scale polyol plant producing 250 kt/a can use only 10% of the CO2 captured from a typically sized hydrogen plant producing 77 kt/a H2; in the CCUS case the rest is sent to storage.
“since the commercial-scale polyol plant (250 kt/a of polyol production) can only use 10% of the CO 2 captured from the typically sized hydrogen plant (77 kt/a of H 2 produced), the rest of the captured CO 2 is sent to storage in the CCUS case.”
- Also stated in: § 4. Conclusions · plain
“In the CCUS case, 10% of the total captured CO 2 is utilised in polyol synthesis while the remainder of the CO 2 is stored.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Also stated in: § 4. Conclusions · plain
May combine two claims.
Findingnone givenChemical absorption with ADIP-X solvent leads to a capture efficiency of 95% of the total CO2 emissions, which corresponds to 552 kt/a of CO2.
“Chemical absorption with ADIP-X solvent (a mixture of methyl diethanolamine (MDEA) and piperazine) leads to a capture efficiency of 95% of the total CO 2 emissions, which corresponds to 552 kt/a of CO 2 .”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataAlthough the accuracy of the baseline value of the Capex for the polyol plant was -30% to +50%, the sensitivity analysis shows that those inaccuracies have no impact on the final product costs.
“Although the accuracy of the baseline value of the Capex for the polyol plant was -30% to +50%, the sensitivity analysis shows that those inaccuracies have no impact on the final product costs.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe differences between CCUS and REF range between 2 and 14% improvement over the REF case and may in some cases potentially fall within uncertainty margins.
“However, the differences range between 2 and 14% improvement over the REF case and may in some cases potentially fall within uncertainty margins.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataBoth product costs are largely affected by the price of their respective major feedstocks (naphtha and PO), although the LCOP of the polyol is twice as sensitive as the hydrogen one (±19% and ±8%, respectively).
“Both product costs are largely affected by the price of their respective major feedstocks (naphtha and PO), although the LCOP of the polyol is twice as sensitive as the hydrogen one ( ± 19% and ± 8%, respectively).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataNaphtha production and transport (SA1) for all cases is also a key contributor, particularly to PMF and FD, while the combustion of naphtha and steam reforming in SA 2 (H2 unit) are the dominant processes contributing to CC and POF.
“Naphtha production and transport (SA1) for all cases is also a key contributor, particularly to PMF and FD, while the combustion of naphtha and steam reforming in SA 2 (H 2 unit) are the dominant processes contributing to CC and POF.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe LCOP of H2 is also affected by changes in the Capex and the discount rate, while the LCOP of the polyol is stable against variations in these economic parameters.
“Whereas the LCOP of H 2 is also affected by changes in the Capex and the discount rate, the LCOP of the polyol is stable against variations in these economic parameters.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
FindingreasoningThe Opex for storage in the CCUS case is 10% lower than in the CCS case, which is proportional to the amount of CO2 stored.
“The Opex for storage in the CCUS case is 10% lower than in the CCS case, which is proportional to the amount of CO 2 stored.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
FindingreasoningIn the CCUS case, 10% of the captured CO2 is used in polyol synthesis, and therefore the CO2 transported and stored is 90% of the CO2 transported and stored in the CCS case.
“In the CCUS case, 10% of the captured CO 2 is used in polyol synthesis, and therefore the CO 2 transported and stored is 90% of the CO 2 transported and stored in the CCS case.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
FindingreasoningAs a consequence, all of the investigated impacts in the CCUS case decrease relative to the reference and CCS cases, with the exception of POF.
“As a consequence, all of the investigated impacts in the CCUS case decrease relative to the reference and CCS cases, with the exception of POF.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe LCOP of H2 is 7.8 and 7.7 €/GJ H2 in the CCS and CCUS cases, respectively.
“The LCOP of H 2 is 7.8 and 7.7 €/GJ H 2 in the CCS and CCUS cases, respectively.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe use of these polyol precursors is reduced by use of captured CO2 in the CCUS case and is evident in the lower SA 5 impacts in these categories.
“The use of these polyol precursors are reduced by use of captured CO 2 in the CCUS case and is evident in the lower SA 5 impacts in these categories.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe scores of the criterion Proxy were the highest and the ones for the Reliability of source were intermediate.
“The scores of the criterion Proxy were the highest and the ones for the Reliability of source were intermediate.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataTypical trends of CCS scenarios are observed, where advantages in climate change impacts are identified for CCS over the reference scenario, but moderate increases in other environmental impact categories.
“Typical trends of CCS scenarios are observed, where advantages in climate change impacts are identified for CCS over the reference scenario, but moderate increases in other environmental impact categories.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
FindingreasoningAssuming a H2 market price of 1135 €/t and a polyol market price of 1700 €/tonne, the payback period is 5 years in the reference case, 8 years in the CCS case and 6 years in the CCUS case.
“Assuming a H 2 market price of 1135 €/t and a polyol market price of 1700 €/tonne, the payback period (PBP) is 5 years in the reference case, 8 years in the CCS case and 6 years in the CCUS case.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
FindingreasoningThe Opex of SA 1 is 15% lower in the CCS and CCUS cases due to naphtha fuel savings from the enhanced heat content of the PSA offgas burned in the reformer furnace (as CO2 is captured upstream the PSA unit).
“The Opex of SA 1 is 15% lower in the CCS and CCUS cases.This is due to naphtha fuel savings as a result of the enhanced heat content of the PSA offgas burned in the reformer furnace (as the CO 2 is captured upstream the PSA unit).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe differences between the three cases are approximately 15%, indicating relatively small differences in environmental performance outside of CC.
“However, the differences between the three cases are approximately 15%, indicating relatively small differences in environmental performance outside of CC.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingnone givenAs compared to the reference and CCUS cases, CCS alone increases the costs and other environmental impact categories analysed.
“As compared to the reference and CCUS cases, CCS alone increases the costs and other environmental impact categories analysed.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimThe quote only partly states this claim.
FindingreasoningThe Validation criterion had the largest uncertainties in the economic assessment.
“As already indicated in the technical assessment, the Validation criterion had the largest uncertainties.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataIn the REF case, naphtha fuel consumption is 70 kt/a.
“Naphtha fuel consumption | kt/a | 70 | 60 | 60”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationEnvironmental assessments have shown that polyol synthesis based on a pilot plant for CO2 capture from a power plant had lower global warming impacts than traditional polyol manufacturing routes.
“Environmental assessments have shown that polyol synthesis based on a pilot plant for CO 2 capture from a power plant had lower global warming impacts than traditional polyol manufacturing routes [18].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [18] source
Not checked in the free run.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
Premisenone givenThe mismatch between the CO2 amounts emitted by the source and the amounts used by the CO2 sink was not addressed in that study.
“Also, the mismatch between the CO 2 amounts emitted by the source and the amounts used by the CO 2 sink were not addressed.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationWaste heat integration from nearby facilities may reduce the energy (and cost) penalty of the capture unit.
“Moreover, waste heat integration from nearby facilities may reduce the energy (and cost) penalty of the capture unit [10].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [10] source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningAlthough CO2 utilisation capability of CO2-based polyols is small, there is added value in significant replacement of fossil feedstock.
“So although the CO 2 utilisation capability of CO 2based polyols is small, there is added value in a significant replacement of fossil feedstock.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductown dataThe input parameters have a high score for the Proxy criterion because they were based on data from the refinery and information from industrial experts in carbon capture and polyol synthesis.
“The input parameters have a high score for the Proxy criterion since they were based on data from the refinery and information from industrial experts in carbon capture and polyol synthesis.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationThe CO2 content in the polyol is 20 wt% because at higher shares, the polyol viscosity increases to the point of making it unsuitable for flexible PU foam application.
“The CO 2 content in the polyol is 20 wt% [22,18] because at higher shares, the polyol viscosity increases to the point of making it unsuitable for flexible PU foam application [13,23].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 4 sources checkedMay combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningImplementation of carbon capture at refineries sets a business case when CO2 is partially utilised as in the CCUS case, but not when there is only CO2 storage, as in the CCS case.
“Implementation of carbon capture at refineries sets a business case when CO 2 is partially utilised as in the CCUS case, but not when there is only CO 2 storage, as in the CCS case.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductreasoningThe values of the conventional polyol were validated against data from experts of a polyol manufacturing site, but this was not done for the CO2-based polyols.
“The values of the conventional polyol were validated against data from experts of a polyol manufacturing site.However, this was not done for the CO 2based polyols.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductcitationThe polyol process flowsheets were validated by personal communication with experts from a polyol manufacturing site; this information was not peer-reviewed, so lower pedigree scores were given.
“In the case of the polyol processes, the flowsheets were validated by personal communication with experts from a polyol manufacturing site [21].This information was not peerreviewed, and therefore lower pedigree scores were given to”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [21]
Not checked in the free run.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductreasoningIn the reference and CCS cases, the same amount of hydrogen and polyol are produced as in the CCUS case to ensure system equivalence.
“To ensure system equivalence, in the reference and CCS cases, the same amount of hydrogen, polyol are produced as in the CCUS case.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
Study design and conductnone givenThe same process sizes were defined for the three cases: 77 kt/a of H2 production and 250 kt/a of polyol production.
“The same process sizes were defined for the three cases: 77 kt/a of H 2 production and 250 kt/a of polyol production (based on a world-class scale plant).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductreasoningAlthough there is no information on a real refinery with the specific CO2 capture unit included in the models, CO2 capture by chemical absorption has been applied to other systems, so the capture unit model could be validated although measurements included proxy variables or spanned a limited domain.
“Although there is no information on a real refinery with the specific CO 2 capture unit included in the models, CO 2 capture by chemical absorption has been applied to other systems.The model of the capture unit could thus be validated although the measurements included proxy variables or spanned a limited domain.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningThe overall polymerization reaction in both conventional and CO2-based polyol synthesis is exothermic, but the energy released in the CO2-based polyol is lower.
“The overall polymerization reaction in both conventional and CO 2 -based polyol synthesis is exothermic, but the energy released in the CO 2 -based polyol is lower.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductcitationThe input data of the conventional polyol process were provided by experts of a polyol R&D and manufacturing plant, but the input data of the CO2-based polyol were derived from conventional polyol data, increasing uncertainty.
“The input data of the conventional polyol process were provided by experts of a polyol R & D and manufacturing plant [21].However, the input data of the CO 2 -based polyol was derived from conventional polyol data and thereby the level of uncertainty increased.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [21]
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningCapturing CO2 upstream of the PSA increases the heating value of the PSA offgas, so it contributes more heat to the reformer furnace.
“Since CO 2 is captured upstream the PSA, the PSA offgas has an enhanced heating value and contributes more heat to the reformer furnace.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.
Interpretationnone givenThe reduced CO2 content in the feed gas will affect the PSA cycles and time, which should be adjusted so the separation targets are met despite the CO2 feed variation.
“The reduced CO 2 content in the feed gas will affect the PSA cycles and time, which should be adjusted so the separation targets are met despite the CO 2 feed variation.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductreasoningNo validation was performed for the thermodynamics, chemistry, and kinetics included in the models, resulting in low scores.
“There was no validation performed for the thermodynamics, chemistry, and kinetics included in the models, resulting in the low scores.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataThe models of the H2 unit were validated by comparing them with data from a real refinery, and therefore they have the highest score.
“The models of the H 2 unit were validated by comparing them with data from a real refinery (Appendix A), and therefore they have the highest score.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductown dataA sensitivity analysis was carried out to quantify the effect of six selected input parameters on the primary energy requirements for the polyol system area (SA 4b) and for the overall system (SA 2b and SA 4b).
“Besides the qualitative pedigree analysis, a sensitivity analysis was carried out to quantify the effect that six selected input parameters have on the primary energy requirements for the polyol system area (SA 4b), and for the overall system (SA 2b and SA 4b).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductnone givenTo minimize subjectivity, pre-defined pedigree matrices were used.
“To minimize subjectivity, pre-defined pedigree matrices were used (Appendix D).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductown dataThe knowledge base uncertainty of the different research areas was systematically assessed using pre-defined pedigree matrices.
“The knowledge base uncertainty of the different research areas was systematically assessed using pre-defined pedigree matrices (Appendix D).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataThe remaining system areas score fairly high as these were based on the technical modelling, which was specific to the plants studied.
“The remaining system areas score fairly high as these were based on the technical modelling, which was specific to the plants studied.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductreasoningThe Capex of the H2 and the capture units were validated against independent cost estimation of the same equipment and scope, but due to scarce availability of real project data on polyol systems, they scored 1 in the Capex validation.
“The Capex of the H 2 and the capture units were validated against independent cost estimation of the same equipment and scope.However, due to scarce availability of real project data on polyol systems, they scored 1 in the Capex validation.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataThe differences in results between REF, CCS and CCUS cases are generally small, and given the uncertainty assessment, the conclusion that CCUS is the environmentally superior option should be used carefully.
“The differences in results between REF, CCS and CCUS cases are generally small, and given the uncertainty assessment, the conclusion that CCUS is the environmentally superior option should be used carefully.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Interpretationnone givenAdditional costs of PPC and cPC separation are not included in this study, meaning that in a real plant the capital costs of the CO2-based polyol process may be higher.
“Note, however, that additional costs of PPC and cPC separation are not included in this study, meaning that in a real plant, the capital costs of the CO 2 -based polyol process may be higher.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductreasoningThe Capex input data was derived from independent open literature and therefore scored a 2.
“The Capex input data was derived from independent open literature and therefore scored a 2.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataTechnical model validation of the H2 unit without capture shows deviations from real refinery data of less than 1% for total flow, pressure, temperature, mass fraction, H2O, H2, CO, CO2, CH4, and naphtha at syngas before WGS, and deviations of -2% for pressure, -1% for CO2, and 1% for CH4 at PSA inlet.
“Δ(Total flow) < 1% -1% Δ(Pressure) < 1% -2% Δ(Temperature) < 1% < 1% Δ(Mass fraction < 1% < 1% Δ(H 2 O) < 1% < 1% Δ(H 2 ) < 1% < 1% Δ(CO) < 1% < 1% Δ(CO 2 ) < 1 % -1% Δ(CH 4 ) < 1% 1% Δ(Naphtha) < 1% < 1%”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataSA 5 is a significant contributor to all of the studied impact categories, which indicates an incentive to obtain higher quality data for the chemicals used in this system.
“This same SA is a significant contributor to all of the studied impact categories (Fig. 5), which indicates an incentive to obtain higher quality data for the chemicals used in this system.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataThe chemicals used in the facility (SA 5) show the lowest scores, representing a lack of available and representative data to model the required chemicals.
“From the table, it can be seen that the chemicals used in the facility (SA 5), show the lowest scores, representing a lack of available and representative data to model the required chemicals.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningThe LCOP of polyol is directly influenced by the PO price but this does not negatively affect the competitiveness of the CO2-polyols.
“The LCOP of polyol is directly influenced by the PO price but this does not negatively affect the competitiveness of the CO 2polyols.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductreasoningThe Opex input data sources were qualified estimates by industrial experts supported by industry data and therefore scored a 3.
“The Opex input data sources were qualified estimates by industrial experts supported by industry data and therefore it scored a 3.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataThe integrated techno-economic and environmental assessment performed in this study indicates that CO2 utilisation in combination with CO2 storage can become a cost-effective mitigation option that still provides environmental advantages.
“The integrated techno-economic and environmental assessment performed in this study indicates that CO 2 utilisation in combination with CO 2 storage can become a cost-effective mitigation option that still provides environmental advantages.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
Study design and conductcitationA review of technical design values of polyol synthesis reported in the literature was performed and together with experts in polyol R&D specific values were used to develop the polyol models.
“A review of the technical design values of the polyol synthesis reported in the literature was performed [12][13][14][15][16][17][18] and together with experts in polyol R & D and manufacturing [21] specific values shown in Table A2 were used to develop the polyol models.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [12][13][14][15][16][17][18]
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [21]
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningThese trends arise from the carbon capture process (SA 2), which reduces the CC impact relative to the REF case, but increases relative POF impacts because the PSA offgas, which is released to the atmosphere, is richer in CO.
“These arise from the carbon capture process (SA 2), which reduces the CC impact relative to the REF case, but increases relative POF impacts because the PSA offgas, which is released to the atmosphere, is richer in CO.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductnone givenUncertainty analysis was performed using pre-defined pedigree matrices for each research area.
“Uncertainty analysis was performed using pre-defined pedigree matrices for each research area.See Tables D1-D5.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataThe results show that the combination of CCUS and CCS can provide a feasible option to reduce the CO2 emissions associated with this type of refinery operations while improving the business case.
“The results show that this combination of CCUS and CCS can provide a feasible option to reduce the CO 2 emissions associated with this type of refinery operations while improving the business case.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataProxy chemicals were necessary to model the DMC catalyst and the ADIP-X solvent, and the database processes used for propylene oxide, monopropylene glycol and glycerol are somewhat outdated and incomplete.
“In particular, proxy chemicals were necessary to model the DMC catalyst and the ADIP-X solvent, and the database processes used for the propylene oxide, monopropylene glycol and glycerol are somewhat outdated and incomplete.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductcitationCO2 transport and storage scores a 2 since the Opex was based on the ZEP reports (2011) [31,45], which include inputs from industrial partners, but do not explicitly constitute an industrial quote and assumptions are not fully documented.
“However, CO 2 transport and storage scores a 2 since the Opex was based on the ZEP reports (2011) [31,45], which include inputs from industrial partners, but do not explicitly constitute an industrial quote and assumptions are not fully documented.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [31]
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [45]
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataThe break-even analysis carried out at the system level showed that the reduced costs of the CO2-polyol in the CCUS case compensate for the increase in H2 costs, thus making the CCUS case more economically attractive than the reference case.
“A break-even analysis carried out at the system level showed that the reduced costs of the CO 2 -polyol in the CCUS case compensate for the increase in H 2 costs, thus making the CCUS case more economically attractive than the reference case.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataThe results in Fig. 5 indicate negligible contribution of the CO2-polyol system area to overall impact in the investigated categories, so the low scores for this system area are of less concern.
“However, the results presented in Fig. 5 indicate negligible contribution of the CO 2 -polyol system area to overall impact in the investigated categories, so the low scores in for this system area are of less concern.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
The authors state this as an assumption.
The H2 unit and the polyol plant are extensions to an existing plant located in Northwestern Europe.
“To carry out the cost estimation, it was assumed that the H 2 unit and the polyol plant are extensions to an existing plant located in Northwestern Europe.”
The authors state this as an assumption.
The host site delivers the utilities, so cooling towers and steam production are excluded from the cost estimates.
“The host site was assumed to deliver the utilities and therefore facilities such as cooling towers or steam production were excluded from the cost estimates.”
The authors state this as an assumption.
The number of injection wells drilled is proportional to the amount of CO2 stored and the field has constant injectivity and permeability.
“It was assumed that the number of injection wells drilled is proportional to the amount of CO 2 stored and that the field has constant injectivity and permeability.”
The authors state this as an assumption.
Cyclic propylene carbonate is removed in the vacuum stripper together with odours.
“In this study, we assume it is removed in the vacuum stripper together with the odours [15].”
The authors state this as an assumption.
The same manning is assumed for conventional and CO2-based polyol plants.
“The same manning was assumed for the conventional and CO2-based polyol plants, one extra engineer and one extra operator shift were added for the capture unit.”
The paper relies on this without support.
The real refinery used for validation does not include a CO2 capture unit.
“The H 2 unit of the real refinery does not include a capture unit.”
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Prospective methodologies are a suitable tool to develop the assessment of the carbon impact from a broad perspective.
“The use of prospective methodologies is considered a suitable tool to develop the assessment of the carbon impact from a broad perspective [6,7].”
From Assessing the future prospects of emerging technologies for shipping and aviation biofuels: A critical review (2024) · cites this paper as [6]
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.
CCS electricity requirement differs between tables
MinorTable 4 reports CCS electricity use as 7 424 kW, whereas Table A3 reports 7 454 kW for the same case.
“| Electricity | kW | 1 920 | 7 424 | 7 576 |”
“Electricity kW 1 920 7 454 7 576”
Stated environmental improvement range excludes the climate result
MinorThe discussion says improvements over the reference case range from 2% to 14%, but the paper also reports a 23% improvement in climate change potential for CCUS.
“However, the differences range between 2 and 14% improvement over the REF case and may in some cases potentially fall within uncertainty margins.”
“The environmental assessment shows that the climate change potential of this CO 2 utilisation system is 23% lower compared to a reference case in which no CO 2 is captured at the refinery.”
The citation lists haven’t been fetched yet
References 26 · Cited by 104
Research works printed but not linked: 2
- Pérez-Fortes, 2016, Carbon capture and utilisation −synthesis of fuels, chemicals and materials, SETIS Mag., 11, 43
- Sinott, 2005, vol. 6
- Authors
- Fernández-Dacosta, C., van der Spek, M., Hung, C. R., Oregionni, G. D., Skagestad, R., Parihar, P., Gokak, D. T., Strømman, A. H., & Ramirez, A.
- Affiliations
- Utrecht University (NL)
- Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NO)
- Tel-Tek (NO)
- Bharat Petroleum (India) (IN)
- Corresponding author
- Fernández-Dacosta, Cora
- Venue
- Journal of CO2 Utilization
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2017-10
- Volume
- 21
- Pages
- 405-422
- ISSN
- 2212-9820 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2755569217
- Semantic Scholar
- c41051151c5650039440c23e4589ba22c9263d9b
- Cited by
- 104
- References
- 26
- Citations by year
- 2026: 7 · 2025: 9 · 2024: 7 · 2023: 11 · 2022: 14 · 2021: 21 · 2020: 15 · 2019: 13 · 2018: 5 · 2017: 2
- FWCI
- 7.44
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Journal of CO2 Utilization (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- Utrecht University Repository (Utrecht University) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Research Repository (Delft University of Technology) (submittedVersion)
- Data Archiving and Networked Services (DANS) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Funders
- Norges Forskningsråd (218952)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Engineering › Mechanical Engineering › Carbon Dioxide Capture Technologies
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Environmental Engineering › CO2 Sequestration and Geologic Interactions
- Physical Sciences › Energy › Energy Engineering and Power Technology › Hybrid Renewable Energy Systems
- Keywords
- CO2 capture, CO2 utilization, polyol synthesis, carbon capture and storage, techno-economic analysis, environmental impact assessment, climate change potential, CO2 emission reduction, uncertainty analysis
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Claims read by deepseek-v4.1-flash under definition version 3 (extract-v3) on 2026-10-10.
Classified by jev-1.13-20260917 (gold-guideline-v0.2) on 2026-10-10.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
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