Hyperbolic discounting, the sign effect, and the body mass index

Ikeda, Shinsuke; Kang, Myong-Il; Ohtake, Fumio

doi:10.1016/j.jhealeco.2010.01.002

Cited by 205Decision-Making and Behavioral EconomicsObesity, Physical Activity, DietFinancial Literacy, Pension, Retirement Analysis

Hyperbolic discounting, the sign effect, and the body mass index

Ikeda, Shinsuke, Kang, Myong-Il, Ohtake, Fumio·2010·Journal of Health Economics

DOI 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2010.01.002

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Abstract

Analysis of a broad survey of Japanese adults confirms that time discounting relates to body weight, not only via impatience, but also via hyperbolic discounting, proxied by inclination toward procrastination, and the sign effect, where future negative payoffs are discounted at a lower rate than future positive payoffs. Body mass index is positively associated with survey responses indicative of impatience and hyperbolic discounting, and negatively associated with those indicative of the sign effect. A one-unit increase in the degree of procrastination is associated with a 2.81 percentage-point increase in the probability of being obese. Subjects exhibiting the sign effect show a 3.69 percentage-point lower probability of being obese and a 4.02 percentage-point higher probability of being underweight than those without the sign effect. These effects are substantial compared with the prevalence rates of the corresponding body mass status. Obesity and underweight thus result in part from the temporal decision biases.

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Another study found a positive correlation between BMI and hyperbolic discounting, where future negative payoffs are discounted less than future positive payoffs.
“Yet, another study found a positive correlation between BMI and hyperbolic discounting, whereby future negative payoffs are discounted less than future positive payoffs (103).”
From Obesity and addiction: Neurobiological overlaps (2013) · cites this paper as [103]
A study found a positive correlation between BMI and hyperbolic discounting, whereby future negative payoffs are discounted less than future positive payoffs.
“And more recently, another study found a positive correlation between BMI and hyperbolic discounting, whereby future negative payoffs are discounted less than future positive payoffs (Ikeda et al 2010).”
From Food and Drug Reward: Overlapping Circuits in Human Obesity and Addiction (2011) · cites this paper as Ikeda et al 2010

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Authors: Ikeda, S., Kang, M.-I., & Ohtake, F.
Affiliations: Institute of Social and Economic Research, The University of Osaka (JP)
Korea University (KR)
Corresponding author: Ikeda, Shinsuke
ORCID: Ikeda, Shinsuke
Ohtake, Fumio
Venue: Journal of Health Economics
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Published: 2010-03
Volume: 29
Issue: 2
Pages: 268-284
ISSN: 0167-6296 (ISSN-L)
DOI: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2010.01.002
OpenAlex: W2042777782
Cited by: 205
References: 38
Citations by year: 2026: 12 · 2025: 11 · 2024: 9 · 2023: 15 · 2022: 8 · 2021: 11 · 2020: 11 · 2019: 10 · 2018: 21 · 2017: 10 · 2016: 21 · 2015: 15 · 2014: 14 · 2013: 11 · 2012: 9
FWCI: 7.83
Type: journal article
Language: en
Open access: closed
Licence: www.elsevier.com/tdm/userlicense/1.0/ (tdm)
www.elsevier.com/legal/tdmrep-license (tdm)
Locations: Journal of Health Economics (publishedVersion)
PubMed (publishedVersion)
RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
Funders: Japan Society for the Promotion of Science
Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology
Osaka University (1214207, 21330046)
Topics: Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › General Decision Sciences › Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Obesity, Physical Activity, Diet
Social Sciences › Business, Management and Accounting › Accounting › Financial Literacy, Pension, Retirement Analysis
Keywords: hyperbolic discounting, delay discounting, sign effect, procrastination, impatience, body mass index, obesity, underweight, Japanese adults
MeSH terms: Adult, Choice Behavior, Decision Making, Feeding Behavior, Female, Humans, Japan, Male, Obesity, Regression Analysis, Sex Factors, Temperament, Thinness, Time Factors, Body Mass Index

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Hyperbolic discounting, the sign effect, and the body mass index

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