The DOI matches its Crossref record; 41 of the 42 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
The Role of Firm Low-Carbon Electricity Resources in Deep Decarbonization of Power Generation
Open accessAbstract
Summary We investigate the role of firm low-carbon resources in decarbonizing power generation in combination with variable renewable resources, battery energy storage, demand flexibility, and long-distance transmission. We evaluate nearly 1,000 cases covering varying CO2 limits, technological uncertainties, and geographic differences in demand and renewable resource potential. Availability of firm low-carbon technologies, including nuclear, natural gas with carbon capture and sequestration, and bioenergy, reduces electricity costs by 10%–62% across fully decarbonized cases. Below 50 gCO2/kWh, these resources lower costs in the vast majority of cases. Additionally, as emissions limits decrease, installed capacity of several resources changes non-monotonically. This underscores the need to evaluate near-term policy and investment decisions based on contributions to long-term decarbonization rather than interim goals. Installed capacity for all resources is also strongly affected by uncertain technology parameters. This emphasizes the importance of a broad research portfolio and flexible policy support that expands rather than constrains future options.
Overview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
The check wasn’t confident either way, so it gives no verdict — never disputed.
In the citing paper
“Although future marginal abatement costs are intrinsically uncertain25, there is evidence that the marginal abatement cost curve may be (highly) convex34.”
From COVID-19, Green Deal and recovery plan permanently change emissions and prices in EU ETS Phase IV (2022) · cites this paper as [34]
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cites
The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change
Sands, P. (1992) · Review of European Community & International Environmental Law · doi:10.1111/j.1467-9388.1992.tb00046.x · Cited by 3,602
Review of energy system flexibility measures to enable high levels of variable renewable electricity
Lund, P. D., Lindgren, J., Mikkola, J., & Salpakari, J. (2015) · Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews · doi:10.1016/j.rser.2015.01.057 · Cited by 1,732
Global Energy Assessment: Toward a Sustainable Future
Global Energy Assessment Writing Team (2012) · IIASA PURE (International Institute of Applied Systems Analysis) · Cited by 1,167
The challenge to keep global warming below 2 °C
Peters, G. P., Andrew, R. M., Boden, T. A., Canadell, J. G., Ciais, P., Quéré, C. L., Marland, G., Raupach, M., & Wilson, C. (2012) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate1783 · Cited by 999
Denholm, P. L., & Hand, M. (2011) · Energy Policy · doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2011.01.019 · Cited by 962
Energy system transformations for limiting end-of-century warming to below 1.5 °C
Rogelj, J., Luderer, G., Pietzcker, R. C., Kriegler, E., Schaeffer, M., Krey, V., & Riahi, K. (2015) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate2572 · Cited by 875
Projected Costs of Generating Electricity 2010
OECD, Nuclear Energy Agency, & International Energy Agency (2010) · Projected costs of generating electricity · doi:10.1787/9789264084315-en · Cited by 590
Seasonal optimal mix of wind and solar power in a future, highly renewable Europe
Heide, D., von Bremen, L., Greiner, M., Hoffmann, C., Speckmann, M., & Bofinger, S. (2010) · Renewable Energy · doi:10.1016/j.renene.2010.03.012 · Cited by 518
Jacobson, M. Z., Delucchi, M. A., Cameron, M. A., & Frew, B. A. (2015) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1510028112 · Cited by 477
The value of energy storage in decarbonizing the electricity sector
de Sisternes, F. J., Jenkins, J., & Botterud, A. (2016) · Applied Energy · doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2016.05.014 · Cited by 451
Self-citation
Cited by
Sorted by citations
The design space for long-duration energy storage in decarbonized power systems
Sepulveda, N. A., Jenkins, J. D., Edington, A., Mallapragada, D. S., & Lester, R. K. (2021) · Nature Energy · doi:10.1038/s41560-021-00796-8 · Cited by 689
Self-citationRole of Long-Duration Energy Storage in Variable Renewable Electricity Systems
Dowling, J. A., Rinaldi, K. Z., Ruggles, T. H., Davis, S. J., Yuan, M., Tong, F., Lewis, N. S., & Caldeira, K. (2020) · Joule · doi:10.1016/j.joule.2020.07.007 · Cited by 656
Storage Requirements and Costs of Shaping Renewable Energy Toward Grid Decarbonization
Ziegler, M. S., Mueller, J. M., Pereira, G. D., Song, J., Ferrara, M., Chiang, Y.-M., & Trancik, J. E. (2019) · Joule · doi:10.1016/j.joule.2019.06.012 · Cited by 479
Carbon‐Neutral Pathways for the United States
Williams, J. H., Jones, R., Haley, B., Kwok, G., Hargreaves, J. J., Farbes, J., & Torn, M. S. (2021) · AGU Advances · doi:10.1029/2020av000284 · Cited by 447
“Moreover, fl exible consumer loads (e.g., EVs and water heaters) were cost competitive with batteries in providing peak ‐ load reduction, with 74 – 116 GW across scenarios (Sepulveda et al., 2018).”
BackgroundHunter, C. A., Penev, M. M., Reznicek, E. P., Eichman, J., Rustagi, N., & Baldwin, S. F. (2021) · Joule · doi:10.1016/j.joule.2021.06.018 · Cited by 357
Metadata
- Authors
- Sepulveda, N. A., Jenkins, J. D., de Sisternes, F. J., & Lester, R. K.
- Affiliations
- Massachusetts Institute of Technology (US)
- Corresponding author
- Sepulveda, Nestor A.
- Lester, Richard K.
- Venue
- Joule
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2018-11
- Volume
- 2
- Issue
- 11
- Pages
- 2403-2420
- ISSN
- 2542-4351 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2889797253
- Semantic Scholar
- 574594c8bdce53a5c5b1a4ed513e8e1c5ba484d6
- Cited by
- 592
- References
- 42
- Citations by year
- 2026: 95 · 2025: 89 · 2024: 74 · 2023: 85 · 2022: 96 · 2021: 85 · 2020: 45 · 2019: 19 · 2018: 4
- FWCI
- 14.64
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Joule (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- Chilean Navy
- MIT
- Martin Family Society of Fellows
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Engineering › Electrical and Electronic Engineering › Integrated Energy Systems Optimization
- Physical Sciences › Engineering › Electrical and Electronic Engineering › Electric Power System Optimization
- Physical Sciences › Energy › Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment › Renewable energy and sustainable power systems
- Keywords
- variable renewable energy, battery energy storage, demand-side flexibility, long-distance transmission, nuclear energy, carbon capture and storage, bioenergy, electricity cost, technological uncertainty, installed capacity, energy policy
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review