When less travel means more carbon: How rainfall-induced shifts from public transit to cars increase urban transport emissions

The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment

Moss, R. H., Edmonds, J. A., Hibbard, K. A., Manning, M. R., Rose, S. K., van Vuuren, D. P., Carter, T. R., Emori, S., Kainuma, M., Kram, T., et al. (2010) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature08823 · Cited by 6,467 · see citing works

The impact of climate change and weather on transport: An overview of empirical findings

Koetse, M. J., & Rietveld, P. (2009) · Transportation Research Part D Transport and Environment · doi:10.1016/j.trd.2008.12.004 · Cited by 916 · see citing works

Elasticities of Road Traffic and Fuel Consumption with Respect to Price and Income: A Review

Goodwin, P. B., Dargay, J., & HANLY, M. (2004) · Transport Reviews · doi:10.1080/0144164042000181725 · Cited by 795 · see citing works

A proposal for a new scenario framework to support research and assessment in different climate research communities

van Vuuren, D. P., Riahi, K., Moss, R. H., Edmonds, J., Thomson, A. M., Nakićenović, N., Kram, T., Berkhout, F., Swart, R. J., Janetos, A. C., et al. (2011) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.08.002 · Cited by 316 · see citing works

Transportation resilience to climate change and extreme weather events – Beyond risk and robustness

Markolf, S. A., Hoehne, C. G., Fraser, A. M., Chester, M., & Underwood, B. S. (2018) · Transport Policy · doi:10.1016/j.tranpol.2018.11.003 · Cited by 308 · see citing works

Impacts of weather on public transport ridership: Results from mining data from different sources

Zhou, M., Wang, D., Li, Q., Yue, Y., Tu, W., & Cao, R. (2016) · Transportation Research Part C Emerging Technologies · doi:10.1016/j.trc.2016.12.001 · Cited by 220 · see citing works

Tourism and climate change: a review of threats and adaptation strategies for Africa

Hoogendoorn, G., & Fitchett, J. M. (2016) · Current Issues in Tourism · doi:10.1080/13683500.2016.1188893 · Cited by 200 · see citing works

Impact of weather on urban transit ridership

Singhal, A., Kamga, C., & Yazici, A. (2014) · Transportation Research Part A Policy and Practice · doi:10.1016/j.tra.2014.09.008 · Cited by 195 · see citing works

Impact of Weather on Transit Ridership in Chicago, Illinois

Guo, Z., Wilson, N. H. M., & Rahbee, A. B. (2007) · Transportation Research Record Journal of the Transportation Research Board · doi:10.3141/2034-01 · Cited by 170 · see citing works

Achieving deep reductions in US transport greenhouse gas emissions: Scenario analysis and policy implications

McCollum, D. L., & Yang, C. (2009) · Energy Policy · doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2009.08.038 · Cited by 166 · see citing works

Estimating group fixed effects in panel data with a binary dependent variable: How the LPM outperforms logistic regression in rare events data.

Timoneda, J. C. (2021) · Social Science Research · doi:10.1016/j.ssresearch.2020.102486 · Cited by 161 · see citing works

The influence of weather characteristics variability on individual’s travel mode choice in different seasons and regions in Sweden

Liu, C., Susilo, Y. O., & Karlström, A. (2015) · Transport Policy · doi:10.1016/j.tranpol.2015.01.001 · Cited by 155 · see citing works

Tourist responses to climate change: Potential impacts and adaptation in Florida's coastal destinations

Atzori, R., Fyall, A., & Miller, G. A. (2018) · Tourism Management · doi:10.1016/j.tourman.2018.05.005 · Cited by 130 · see citing works

Alternative Demand Models and Their Elasticity Estimates

Oum, T. H. (1989) · Journal of Transport Economics and Policy · doi:10.3828/jtep.1989.23.2.163 · Cited by 125 · see citing works

The Impact of Weather on Bus Ridership in Pierce County, Washington

Stover, V., & McCormack, E. D. (2012) · Journal of Public Transportation · doi:10.5038/2375-0901.15.1.6 · Cited by 119 · see citing works

Modeling carbon emissions from urban traffic system using mobile monitoring

Sun, D., Zhang, Y., Rui, X., & Zhang, Y. (2017) · The Science of The Total Environment · doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.04.186 · Cited by 116 · see citing works

The dual role of weather forecasts on changes in activity-travel behavior

Cools, M., & Creemers, L. (2012) · Journal of Transport Geography · doi:10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2012.11.002 · Cited by 86 · see citing works

An approach for modelling CO2 emissions from road traffic in urban areas

Nejadkoorki, F., Nicholson, K. W., LAKE, I. R., & Davies, T. D. (2008) · The Science of The Total Environment · doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2008.07.055 · Cited by 80 · see citing works

Understanding how extreme heat impacts human activity-mobility and time use patterns

Batur, İ., Alhassan, V. O., Chester, M., Polzin, S. E., Chen, C., Bhat, C. R., & Pendyala, R. M. (2024) · Transportation Research Part D Transport and Environment · doi:10.1016/j.trd.2024.104431 · Cited by 69 · see citing works

Riders on the storm: Exploring weather and seasonality effects on commute mode choice in Chicago

Hyland, M. F., Frei, C., Frei, A., & Mahmassani, H. S. (2018) · Travel Behaviour and Society · doi:10.1016/j.tbs.2018.05.001 · Cited by 65 · see citing works

A methodology for calculating transport emissions in cities with limited traffic data: Case study of diesel particulates and black carbon emissions in Murmansk

Kholod, N., Evans, M., Gusev, E., Yu, S., Malyshev, V., Tretyakova, S., & Barinov, A. S. (2016) · The Science of The Total Environment · doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2015.12.151 · Cited by 56 · see citing works

Impacts of weather on cycling and walking on twin trails in Seattle

Zhao, J., Guo, C., Zhang, R., Guo, D., & Palmer, M. (2019) · Transportation Research Part D Transport and Environment · doi:10.1016/j.trd.2019.09.022 · Cited by 54 · see citing works

Integrated Weather Effects on Cycling Shares, Frequencies, and Durations in Rotterdam, the Netherlands

Böcker, L., & Thorsson, S. (2014) · Weather Climate and Society · doi:10.1175/wcas-d-13-00066.1 · Cited by 50 · see citing works

Determining mode shift elasticity based on household income and travel cost

Vasudevan, N., Gore, N., Zope, R., Arkatkar, S. S., & Joshi, G. J. (2019) · Research in Transportation Economics · doi:10.1016/j.retrec.2019.100771 · Cited by 43 · see citing works

Modeling the Influence of Weather on Transit Ridership: A Case Study from Brisbane, Australia

Wei, M., Corcoran, J., Sigler, T., & Liu, Y. (2018) · Transportation Research Record Journal of the Transportation Research Board · doi:10.1177/0361198118777078 · Cited by 29 · see citing works

Weather Conditions and Daily Commuting

Belloc, I., Giménez-Nadal, J. I., & Molina, J. A. (2025) · Journal of Regional Science · doi:10.1111/jors.12764 · Cited by 26 · see citing works

Meta-analysis of price elasticities of travel demand in great britain: Update and extension

Wardman, M. R. (2022) · Transportation Research Part A Policy and Practice · doi:10.1016/j.tra.2022.01.020 · Cited by 25 · see citing works

Carbon emissions of urban rail transit in Chinese cities: A comprehensive analysis

Pu, J., Cai, C., Guo, R., Su, J., Lin, R., Liu, J., Peng, K., Huang, C.-G., & Huang, X. (2024) · The Science of The Total Environment · doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.171092 · Cited by 24 · see citing works

Assessment of railway infrastructure improvements: valuation of costs, energy consumption and emissions

Isler, C. A., Blumenfeld, M., & Roberts, C. (2022) · Sustainable Energy Technologies and Assessments · doi:10.1016/j.seta.2022.102179 · Cited by 24 · see citing works

Does the demand response to transit fare increases vary by income?

Miller, C., & Savage, I. (2017) · Transport Policy · doi:10.1016/j.tranpol.2017.01.006 · Cited by 22 · see citing works

Scenario-Based Strategic Modeling of Road Transport Demand and Performance

Asgarpour, S., Hartmann, A., Gkiotsalitis, K., & Neef, R. M. (2023) · Transportation Research Record Journal of the Transportation Research Board · doi:10.1177/03611981221143377 · Cited by 21 · see citing works

Urban bike and pedestrian activity impacts from wildfire smoke events in Seattle, WA

Doubleday, A., Choe, Y., Isaksen, T. B., & Errett, N. A. (2021) · Journal of Transport & Health · doi:10.1016/j.jth.2021.101033 · Cited by 16 · see citing works

Air pollution, perceived health risk, and trip decision-making: Environmental justice considerations

Kim, S., Ko, Y., & Jang, K. (2024) · Cities · doi:10.1016/j.cities.2024.104949 · Cited by 15 · see citing works

Enhancing urban resilience to extreme weather: the roles of human transition paths among multiple transportation modes

Qiao, M., Haraguchi, M., & Lall, U. (2024) · International Journal of Geographical Information Systems · doi:10.1080/13658816.2024.2418040 · Cited by 14 · see citing works

Evaluating spatial effect of transportation planning factors on taxi CO2 emissions

Peng, Z., Zhao, J., Ji, H., Wang, Y., Wang, C., & Easa, S. M. (2024) · The Science of The Total Environment · doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.178142 · Cited by 13 · see citing works

Adaptive transit scheduling to reduce rider vulnerability during heatwaves

Rosenthal, N., Chester, M., Fraser, A. M., Hondula, D. M., & Eisenman, D. P. (2022) · Sustainable and Resilient Infrastructure · doi:10.1080/23789689.2022.2029324 · Cited by 12 · see citing works

Small but Significant: A Review of Research on the Potential of Bus Shelters as Resilient Infrastructure

Briant, S., Cushing, D. F., Washington, T. L., & Swart, M. (2025) · Applied Sciences · doi:10.3390/app15126724 · Cited by 12 · see citing works

Mapping noise and pollutant emissions hotspots: Driving behavior and vehicle features based-analysis

Pascale, A., Fernandes, P., Macedo, E., Guarnaccia, C., & Coelho, M. C. (2024) · Transportation Research Part D Transport and Environment · doi:10.1016/j.trd.2024.104466 · Cited by 9 · see citing works

Extreme heat threatens railroads with connectivity and ridership loss in the United States

Janatabadi, F., Ortiz, L., & Ermagun, A. (2025) · npj Urban Sustainability · doi:10.1038/s42949-025-00227-7 · Cited by 6 · see citing works

Estimating global demand for land-based transportation services using the shared socioeconomic pathways scenario framework

Nkiriki, J., Jaramillo, P., Williams, N. J., Davis, A., & Armanios, D. E. (2022) · Environmental Research Infrastructure and Sustainability · doi:10.1088/2634-4505/ac823b · Cited by 5 · see citing works

Estimating and testing the compensated double-log demand model

Alston, J. M., Chalfant, J. A., & Piggott, N. E. (2002) · Applied Economics · doi:10.1080/00036840110086003

Beyond resilience curves: rethinking transport system resilience assessment

Zhong, L., & Cheng, L. D. (2026) · Transport Reviews · doi:10.1080/01441647.2026.2659638 · Cited by 4 · see citing works

Exploring the Lagged Effect of Rainfall on Urban Rail Transit Passenger Flow: A Case Study of Guangzhou

Li, B. V., Li, S., Yao, E., Ye, Z., Yunwei, M., Liu, S., & Wang, X. (2026) · Eng—Advances in Engineering · doi:10.3390/eng7010047

Extreme Weather Influence on Carbon Emissions in Chinese Urban Traffic Environments

Wang, C., Gu, Y., Ma, F., & Li, Y. (2022) · SAGE Open · doi:10.1177/21582440221116338 · Cited by 8 · see citing works

Analyzing the Relationship Between Precipitation and Transit Ridership Through a Seemingly Unrelated Regression Model

Shin, K., & Choi, K. (2014) · 대한교통학회지 · doi:10.7470/jkst.2014.32.2.083 · Cited by 15 · see citing works

Analyzing the Influence of Risk Perception on Commuters’ Travel Mode Choice in Heavy Rainfall: Evidence from Qingdao, China, Using the RGWRR Model

Luan, S., Yang, X., Shu, W., Jia, S., Zheng, X., & Meng, F. (2025) · Sustainability · doi:10.3390/su17094188 · Cited by 1 · see citing works

Data-driven analysis of rainfall impact on metro commuting travel: A case of Shanghai metro, China

Li, J., Lv, S., & Xian, Z. (2025) · International Conference on Traffic and Logistic Engineering (ICTLE) · doi:10.1109/ictle67020.2025.11203715

Impact of weather-influenced urban mobility on carbon footprint of Spanish healthcare centres

Sánchez‐Barroso, G., González‐Domínguez, J., García‐Sanz‐Calcedo, J., & Sokol, M. (2021) · Journal of Transport & Health · doi:10.1016/j.jth.2021.101017 · Cited by 5 · see citing works