Effect of daily aspirin on risk of cancer metastasis: a study of incident cancers during randomised controlled trials
Abstract
Background Daily aspirin reduces the long-term incidence of some adenocarcinomas, but effects on mortality due to some cancers appear after only a few years, suggesting that it might also reduce growth or metastasis. We established the frequency of distant metastasis in patients who developed cancer during trials of daily aspirin versus control. Methods Our analysis included all five large randomised trials of daily aspirin (≥75 mg daily) versus control for the prevention of vascular events in the UK. Electronic and paper records were reviewed for all patients with incident cancer. The effect of aspirin on risk of metastases at presentation or on subsequent follow-up (including post-trial follow-up of in-trial cancers) was stratified by tumour histology (adenocarcinoma vs other) and clinical characteristics. Findings Of 17,285 trial participants, 987 had a new solid cancer diagnosed during mean in-trial follow-up of 6·5 years (SD 2·0). Allocation to aspirin reduced risk of cancer with distant metastasis (all cancers, hazard ratio [HR] 0·64, 95% CI 0·48-0·84, p=0·001; adenocarcinoma, HR 0·54, 95% CI 0·38-0·77, p=0·0007; other solid cancers, HR 0·82, 95% CI 0·53-1·28, p=0·39), due mainly to a reduction in proportion of adenocarcinomas that had metastatic versus local disease (odds ratio 0·52, 95% CI 0·35-0·75, p=0·0006). Aspirin reduced risk of adenocarcinoma with metastasis at initial diagnosis (HR 0·69, 95% CI 0·50-0·95, p=0·02) and risk of metastasis on subsequent follow-up…
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Retrospective meta-analyses of selected randomized trials of mainly low-dose aspirin have suggested that aspirin use may result in an incidence of cancer or death from cancer that is 15 to 20% lower than that with control.
“Retrospective meta-analyses of selected randomized trials of mainly low-dose aspirin have suggested that aspirin use may result in an incidence of cancer or death from cancer that is 15 to 20% lower than that with control. 10-13”
From Effects of aspirin for primary prevention in persons with diabetes mellitus (2018) · cites this paper as [12]
In particular, reductions of 30 to 40% in the incidence of gastrointestinal cancers (particularly colorectal cancer) were observed, with the effects appearing to increase with more prolonged exposure and with longer follow-up up to 20 years.
“In particular, reductions of 30 to 40% in the incidence of gastrointestinal cancers (particularly colorectal cancer) were observed, with the effects appearing to increase with more prolonged exposure and with longer follow-up up to 20 years.”
From Effects of aspirin for primary prevention in persons with diabetes mellitus (2018) · cites this paper as [12]
Several meta-analyses of selected randomized trials of generally low-dose aspirin have suggested that aspirin use might reduce the risk of cancer-in particular gastrointestinal tract cancer-by up to one third during long-term follow-up, with effects becoming apparent approximately 3 years after randomization.
“Several meta-analyses of selected randomized trials of generally low-dose aspirin have suggested that aspirin use might reduce the risk of cancer - in particular, gastrointestinal tract cancer - by up to one third during long-term follow-up, with effects becoming apparent approximately 3 years after randomization.”
From Effects of aspirin for primary prevention in persons with diabetes mellitus (2018) · cites this paper as [12]
Cites
Flagged first, then by citations
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Inflammation and cancer: triggers, mechanisms, and consequences
Greten, F. R., & Grivennikov, S. I. (2019) · Immunity · doi:10.1016/j.immuni.2019.06.025 · Cited by 3,806 · see citing works
Inflammation and cancer: advances and new agents
Crusz, S. M., & Balkwill, F. R. (2015) · Nature Reviews Clinical Oncology · doi:10.1038/nrclinonc.2015.105 · Cited by 1,184 · see citing works
Effects of aspirin for primary prevention in persons with diabetes mellitus
The ASCEND Study Collaborative Group (2018) · New England Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1056/nejmoa1804988 · Cited by 1,189 · see citing works
Tumor-associated macrophages: Functional diversity, clinical significance, and open questions
Biswas, S. K., Allavena, P., & Mantovani, A. (2013) · Seminars in Immunopathology · doi:10.1007/s00281-013-0367-7 · Cited by 551 · see citing works
The quest to slow ageing through drug discovery
Partridge, L., Fuentealba, M., & Kennedy, B. K. (2020) · Nature Reviews Drug Discovery · doi:10.1038/s41573-020-0067-7 · Cited by 468 · see citing works
AMPK: A Target for Drugs and Natural Products With Effects on Both Diabetes and Cancer
Hardie, D. G. (2013) · Diabetes · doi:10.2337/db13-0368 · Cited by 458 · see citing works
Chandra, S., Jana, M., & Pahan, K. (2018) · The Journal of Neuroscience · doi:10.1523/jneurosci.0054-18.2018 · Cited by 134 · see citing works
Bowman, L., Mafham, M., Stevens, W., Haynes, R., Aung, T., Chen, F., Buck, G., Collins, R., & Armitage, J. (2018) · American Heart Journal · doi:10.1016/j.ahj.2017.12.006 · Cited by 106 · see citing works
Molecular alterations of cancer cell and tumour microenvironment in metastatic gastric cancer
Li, W., Ng, J. M.-K., Wong, C. C., Ng, E. K. W., & Yu, J. (2018) · Oncogene · doi:10.1038/s41388-018-0341-x · Cited by 87 · see citing works
Rangasamy, S. B., Dasarathi, S., Pahan, P., Jana, M., & Pahan, K. (2019) · Journal of Neuroimmune Pharmacology · doi:10.1007/s11481-018-9808-3 · Cited by 49 · see citing works
Zolondick, A. A., Gaudino, G., Xue, J., Pass, H. I., Carbone, M., & Yang, H. (2021) · Precision Cancer Medicine · doi:10.21037/pcm-21-12 · Cited by 41 · see citing works
Werneth, C. M., Slaba, T. C., Huff, J. L., Patel, Z. S., & Simonsen, L. C. (2022) · Health Physics · doi:10.1097/hp.0000000000001572 · Cited by 13 · see citing works
- Authors
- Rothwell, P. M., Wilson, M., Price, J. F., Belch, J. F., Meade, T. W., & Mehta, Z.
- Affiliations
- University of Oxford (GB)
- University of Edinburgh (GB)
- University of London (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Rothwell, Peter M
- ORCID
- Rothwell, Peter M
- Venue
- The Lancet
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2012-04
- Volume
- 379
- Issue
- 9826
- Pages
- 1591-1601
- ISSN
- 0099-5355 (ISSN-L)
- 0140-6736
- OpenAlex
- W2151840649
- Cited by
- 984
- References
- 1
- Citations by year
- 2026: 23 · 2025: 61 · 2024: 31 · 2023: 45 · 2022: 50 · 2021: 61 · 2020: 71 · 2019: 68 · 2018: 85 · 2017: 86 · 2016: 95 · 2015: 78 · 2014: 78 · 2013: 92 · 2012: 59
- FWCI
- 11.36
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- The Lancet (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Discovery Research Portal (University of Dundee) (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- Wellcome Trust (095626)
- National Institute for Health and Care Research
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Pharmacology › Inflammatory mediators and NSAID effects
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine › Antiplatelet Therapy and Cardiovascular Diseases
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Psychiatry and Mental health › Cancer, Stress, Anesthesia, and Immune Response
- Keywords
- aspirin, metastasis, distant metastasis, adenocarcinoma, colorectal cancer, cancer prevention, post-trial follow-up, tumor histology, cancer incidence
- MeSH terms
- Adenocarcinoma, Antineoplastic Agents, Aspirin, Drug Administration Schedule, Female, Humans, Male, Neoplasm Metastasis, Neoplasms, Platelet Aggregation Inhibitors, Risk Factors, Incidence, Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review