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The 2021 report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: code red for a healthy future
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![Figure 12 Spending per capita for potential adaptation to climate change for health Data for the health and health-care sector (A) and health-relevant sectors (B; see appendix 5 [p 109] for definition) in each 2019 HDI group. HDI=human development index.](/paper-figures/1688181df9b742128d9b68c9fc6babcf/the-2021-report-of-the-lancet-countdown-on-health-and-climate-change-code-red-figure-12.jpg)






![Figure 19 Net carbon prices, net carbon revenues, and net carbon revenue as a share of current national health expenditure across HDI groups (A) Net carbon prices. (B) Net carbon revenues. (C) Net carbon revenue as a share of current national health expenditure. Data from 84 countries in 2018, arranged by 2019 HDI group (low [n=1], medium [n=7], high [n=23], and very high [n=53]). Boxes represent IQR, horizontal lines inside the boxes represent the medians, and the brackets represent the range. HDI=human development index. tCO2=tonnes of carbon dioxide.](/paper-figures/6f4ca3c093c54f87b3d60100bb67d0b0/the-2021-report-of-the-lancet-countdown-on-health-and-climate-change-code-red-figure-19.jpg)





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Metadata
- Authors
- Romanello, M., McGushin, A., Di Napoli, C., Drummond, P., Hughes, N., Jamart, L., Kennard, H., Lampard, P., Solano Rodriguez, B., Arnell, N., Ayeb-Karlsson, S., Belesova, K., Cai, W., Campbell-Lendrum, D., Capstick, S., Chambers, J., Chu, L., Ciampi, L., Dalin, C., Dasandi, N., Dasgupta, S., Davies, M., Dominguez-Salas, P., Dubrow, R., Ebi, K. L., Eckelman, M., Ekins, P., Escobar, L. E., Georgeson, L., Grace, D., Graham, H., Gunther, S. H., Hartinger, S., He, K., Heaviside, C., Hess, J., Hsu, S.-C., Jankin, S., Jimenez, M. P., Kelman, I., Kiesewetter, G., Kinney, P. L., Kjellstrom, T., Kniveton, D., Lee, J. K. W., Lemke, B., Liu, Y., Liu, Z., Lott, M., Lowe, R., Martinez-Urtaza, J., Maslin, M., McAllister, L., McMichael, C., Mi, Z., Milner, J., Minor, K., Mohajeri, N., Moradi-Lakeh, M., Morrissey, K., Munzert, S., Murray, K. A., Neville, T., Nilsson, M., Obradovich, N., Sewe, M. O., Oreszczyn, T., Otto, M., Owfi, F., Pearman, O., Pencheon, D., Rabbaniha, M., Robinson, E., Rocklöv, J., Salas, R. N., Semenza, J. C., Sherman, J., Shi, L., Springmann, M., Tabatabaei, M., Taylor, J., Trinanes, J., Shumake-Guillemot, J., Vu, B., Wagner, F., Wilkinson, P., Winning, M., Yglesias, M., Zhang, S., Gong, P., Montgomery, H., Costello, A., & Hamilton, I.
- Affiliations
- University College London (GB)
- University of York (GB)
- University of Reading (GB)
- London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine (GB)
- Tsinghua University (CN)
- World Health Organization (CH)
- Cardiff University (GB)
- Yale University (US)
- University of Birmingham (GB)
- CMCC Foundation - Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (IT)
- University of Washington (US)
- Northeastern University (US)
- Virginia Tech (US)
- International Livestock Research Institute (KE)
- National University of Singapore (SG)
- Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia (PE)
- Harvard University (US)
- International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (AT)
- Boston University (US)
- University of Sussex (GB)
- Nelson Marlborough Institute of Technology (NZ)
- Emory University (US)
- Center on Global Energy Policy (US)
- Technical University of Munich (DE)
- The University of Melbourne (AU)
- University of Copenhagen (DK)
- Technical University of Denmark (DK)
- Hertie School (DE)
- Umeå University (SE)
- Max Planck Institute for Human Development (DE)
- Agricultural Research & Education Organization (IR)
- Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences (US)
- University of Exeter (GB)
- University of Oxford (GB)
- Universiti Malaysia Terengganu (MY)
- Tampere University (FI)
- Universidade de Santiago de Compostela (ES)
- World Meteorological Organization (CH)
- University of Hong Kong (HK)
- Energy Institute (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Hamilton, Ian
- ORCID
- Romanello, Marina
- McGushin, Alice
- Drummond, Paul
- Hughes, Nick
- Kennard, Harry
- Lampard, Pete
- Arnell, Nigel
- Belesova, Kristine
- Cai, Wenjia
- Campbell-Lendrum, Diarmid
- Capstick, Stuart
- Chambers, Jonathan
- Chu, Lingzhi
- Ciampi, Luisa
- Dalin, Carole
- Dasandi, Niheer
- Dasgupta, Shouro
- Davies, Michael
- Dubrow, Robert
- Ebi, Kristie L
- Eckelman, Matthew
- Ekins, Paul
- Escobar, Luis E
- Georgeson, Lucien
- Grace, Delia
- Graham, Hilary
- Gunther, Samuel H
- Hartinger, Stella
- He, Kehan
- Heaviside, Clare
- Hsu, Shih-Che
- Jimenez, Marcia P
- Kelman, Ilan
- Kiesewetter, Gregor
- Kinney, Patrick L
- Kjellstrom, Tord
- Kniveton, Dominic
- Lee, Jason K W
- Liu, Yang
- Liu, Zhao
- Lott, Melissa
- Lowe, Rachel
- Maslin, Mark
- McAllister, Lucy
- McMichael, Celia
- Mi, Zhifu
- Milner, James
- Minor, Kelton
- Mohajeri, Nahid
- Morrissey, Karyn
- Munzert, Simon
- Murray, Kris A
- Nilsson, Maria
- Obradovich, Nick
- Sewe, Maquins Odhiambo
- Oreszczyn, Tadj
- Owfi, Fereidoon
- Pencheon, David
- Rabbaniha, Mahnaz
- Robinson, Elizabeth
- Rocklöv, Joacim
- Salas, Renee N
- Semenza, Jan C
- Sherman, Jodi
- Shi, Liuhua
- Springmann, Marco
- Tabatabaei, Meisam
- Taylor, Jonathon
- Trinanes, Joaquin
- Vu, Bryan
- Wagner, Fabian
- Wilkinson, Paul
- Winning, Matthew
- Zhang, Shihui
- Gong, Peng
- Montgomery, Hugh
- Costello, Anthony
- Hamilton, Ian
- Venue
- The Lancet
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2021-10
- Volume
- 398
- Issue
- 10311
- Pages
- 1619-1662
- ISSN
- 0099-5355 (ISSN-L)
- 0140-6736
- PMC
- PMC7616807
- OpenAlex
- W3211328827
- Cited by
- 1,603
- References
- 218
- Citations by year
- 2026: 200 · 2025: 251 · 2024: 289 · 2023: 523 · 2022: 318 · 2021: 20
- FWCI
- 27.37
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Update notices
- erratum (2021-12-11)
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Licence
- www.elsevier.com/tdm/userlicense/1.0/ (tdm)
- www.elsevier.com/legal/tdmrep-license (tdm)
- www.elsevier.com/open-access/userlicense/1.0/ (am, 384 d)
- doi.org/10.15223/policy-017 (stm-asf)
- doi.org/10.15223/policy-037 (stm-asf)
- doi.org/10.15223/policy-012 (stm-asf)
- doi.org/10.15223/policy-029 (stm-asf)
- doi.org/10.15223/policy-004 (stm-asf)
- Locations
- The Lancet (acceptedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Research at the University of Copenhagen (University of Copenhagen) (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- Greenwich Academic Literature Archive (University of Greenwich) (acceptedVersion)
- PubMed Central (acceptedVersion, cc-by)
- London School of Economics and Political Science Research Online (London School of Economics and Political Science) (acceptedVersion)
- CentAUR (University of Reading) (submittedVersion)
- White Rose Research Online (University of Leeds, The University of Sheffield, University of York) (submittedVersion)
- London School of Economics and Political Science Theses Online (London School of Economics and Political Science) (submittedVersion)
- Sussex Research Online (University of Sussex) (submittedVersion)
- UNU Collections (United Nations University) (submittedVersion)
- National University of Singapore (submittedVersion)
- CGSPace A Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (Consultative Group for International Agricultural Research) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- UCL Discovery (University College London) (submittedVersion)
- Figshare (submittedVersion)
- Hispana (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- ORCA Online Research @Cardiff (Cardiff University) (submittedVersion)
- ARCA (Università Ca' Foscari Venezia) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- Minerva Access (University of Melbourne) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- OPUS 4 (Zuse Institute Berlin) (submittedVersion)
- University of Birmingham Research Portal (University of Birmingham) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Technical University of Denmark, DTU Orbit (Technical University of Denmark, DTU) (submittedVersion)
- IIASA PURE (International Institute of Applied Systems Analysis) (submittedVersion)
- Tampere University Institutional Repository (Tampere University) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- Funders
- Wellcome Trust (209734/Z/17/Z)
- Northeastern University
- Royal Society
- National Research Foundation
- UK Energy Research Centre
- International Energy Agency
- National Research Foundation Singapore
- National University of Singapore
- National Aeronautics and Space Administration (80NSSC21K0507)
- Svenska Forskningsrådet Formas (2018\u201301754, 2017\u201301300)
- Harvard University
- Natural Environment Research Council (NE/N01524X/1, 205200/Z/16/Z, NE/R01440X/1, 216035/Z/19/Z)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis › Climate Change and Health Impacts
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis › Air Quality and Health Impacts
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate Change and Environmental Impact
- Keywords
- health and climate change, COVID-19 pandemic, health equity, low-carbon transition, climate change adaptation, global health indicators, sustainable development, just transition
- MeSH terms
- Forecasting, Health Planning, Humans, Global Health, Climate Change, Renewable Energy
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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