The DOI matches its Crossref record; 66 of the 68 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Model calibration as a testing strategy for system dynamics models
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Integrity signals
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Claims the paper makes
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
In the citing paper
“If the full model is then estimated by matching the historical trajectories, the calibration processes varies the model parameters to match the observed patterns, even if those patterns have resulted from external noise that we cannot replicate within the model. As a result, the model parameters would be mis-specified even if the overall behavior appears to fit the empirical trends (40).”
From Modeling the hypothalamus-pituitary-adrenal axis: A review and extension (2015) · cites this paper as [40]
Citations
Cites
The fifth discipline, the art and practice of the learning organization
Senge, P. M. (1991) · Performance + Instruction · doi:10.1002/pfi.4170300510 · Cited by 20,060
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(2000) · University of Maribor digital library (University of Maribor) · Cited by 9,354
THE STRUCTURE OF SCIENTIFIC REVOLUTIONS
McGuire, J. E. (1963) · Philosophical Books · doi:10.1111/j.1468-0149.1963.tb00813.x · Cited by 8,547
Regression Models for Categorical and Limited Dependent Variables.
MTW, & Long, J. S. (1997) · Journal of the American Statistical Association · doi:10.2307/2965458 · Cited by 6,891
A Behavioral Theory of the FirmPreprint
Cyert, R. M., & March, J. G. (1963) · SSRN Electronic Journal · Cited by 6,490
Systems Thinking, Systems Practice
Checkland, P. B. (1981) · Cumulative Index of Computer Aided Architectural Design · Cited by 6,256
The Structure of Scientific Revolutions
Hedesan, J., & Tendler, J. (2017) · Macat Library eBooks · doi:10.4324/9781912281589 · Cited by 5,450
Regression Models for Categorical and Limited Dependent Variables
Calvin, J. A., & Long, J. S. (1998) · Technometrics · doi:10.2307/1271407 · Cited by 5,290
Johnsen, E. (1964) · Ledelse & erhvervsøkonomi · Cited by 4,996
Research works printed but not linked: 4
- Bell, 1980, Methods for enhancing refutability in system dynamics modeling, TIMS Studies in the Management Sciences, 14, 61
- Forrester, 1980, Tests for building confidence in system dynamics models, TIMS Studies in the Management Sciences, 14, 209
- Senge, P.M., 1978. The system dynamics investment function: A comparison of the neoclassical investment function. PhD Thesis, Sloan School of Management, MIT, Cambridge, MA
- Sterman, 1984, Appropriate summary statistics for evaluating the historical fit of system dynamics models, Dynamica, 10, 51
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Qudrat‐Ullah, H., & Seong, B. S. (2009) · Energy Policy · doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2009.12.009 · Cited by 337
Elsawah, S., Pierce, S. A., Hamilton, S. H., van Delden, H., Haase, D., Elmahdi, A., & Jakeman, A. J. (2017) · Environmental Modelling & Software · doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2017.03.001 · Cited by 268
Vancouver, J. B., Weinhardt, J. M., & Schmidt, A. M. (2010) · Journal of Applied Psychology · doi:10.1037/a0020628 · Cited by 212
Reddy, T. A., Maor, I., & Panjapornpon, C. (2007) · Science and Technology for the Built Environment · doi:10.1080/10789669.2007.10390952 · Cited by 195
Durán-Encalada, J. A., Paucar‐Caceres, A., Bandala, E. R., & Wright, G. H. (2016) · European Journal of Operational Research · doi:10.1016/j.ejor.2016.06.016 · Cited by 177
Metadata
- Authors
- Oliva, R.
- Affiliations
- Harvard University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Oliva, Rogelio
- ORCID
- Oliva, Rogelio
- Venue
- European Journal of Operational Research
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2003-12
- Volume
- 151
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 552-568
- ISSN
- 0377-2217 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2150086489
- Cited by
- 314
- References
- 68
- Citations by year
- 2026: 17 · 2025: 18 · 2024: 20 · 2023: 12 · 2022: 14 · 2021: 14 · 2020: 23 · 2019: 16 · 2018: 21 · 2017: 19 · 2016: 27 · 2015: 19 · 2014: 14 · 2013: 13 · 2012: 12
- FWCI
- 7.55
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- European Journal of Operational Research (publishedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Management Science and Operations Research › Complex Systems and Decision Making
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Management Science and Operations Research › Simulation Techniques and Applications
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Modeling and Simulation › Modeling and Simulation Systems
- Keywords
- system dynamics modeling, model calibration, model testing, hypothesis testing, structure-behavior relationship, parameter estimation, model validation, decision-making
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
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