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Uncertainty: A Guide to Dealing with Uncertainty in Quantitative Risk and Policy Analysis
Abstract
The authors explain the ways in which uncertainty is an important factor in the problems of risk and policy analysis. This book outlines the source and nature of uncertainty, discusses techniques for obtaining and using expert judgment, and reviews a variety of simple and advanced methods for analyzing uncertainty.
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Citations
Cited by
Tipping elements in the Earth’s climate system
Lenton, T. M., Held, H., Kriegler, E., Hall, J. W., Lucht, W., Rahmstorf, S., & Schellnhuber, H. J. (2008) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.0705414105 · Cited by 3,982
Representativeness revisited: Attribute substitution in intuitive judgment.
Kahneman, D., & Frederick, S. (2002) · Heuristics and Biases · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511808098.004 · Cited by 3,476
Slovic, P., Finucane, M., Peters, E., & MacGregor, D. G. (2002) · Heuristics and Biases · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511808098.025 · Cited by 2,349
Climate Change Vulnerability Assessments: An Evolution of Conceptual Thinking
Füssel, H.-M., & Klein, R. J. T. (2006) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-006-0329-3 · Cited by 1,994
Identification and Review of Sensitivity Analysis Methods
Christopher Frey, H., & Patil, S. R. (2002) · Risk Analysis · doi:10.1111/0272-4332.00039 · Cited by 1,036
Metadata
- Authors
- Morgan, M. G., & Henrion, M.
- Venue
- Cambridge University Press eBooks
- Publisher
- Cambridge University Press
- Published
- 1990-08-31
- OpenAlex
- W4246039580
- Cited by
- 1,711
- References
- 0
- FWCI
- 3.27
- Type
- book
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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How to cite
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- CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Uncertainty: A Guide to Dealing with Uncertainty in Quantitative Risk and Policy Analysis. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1017/cbo9780511840609
- The paper
- Morgan, M. G., & Henrion, M. (1990). Uncertainty: A Guide to Dealing with Uncertainty in Quantitative Risk and Policy Analysis. Cambridge University Press eBooks. https://doi.org/10.1017/cbo9780511840609
Data sources
Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
