The DOI matches its Crossref record; 47 of the 47 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
GlacierMIP – A model intercomparison of global-scale glacier mass-balance models and projections
Open accessAbstract
Global-scale 21st-century glacier mass change projections from six published global glacier models are systematically compared as part of the Glacier Model Intercomparison Project. In total 214 projections of annual glacier mass and area forced by 25 General Circulation Models (GCMs) and four Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) emission scenarios and aggregated into 19 glacier regions are considered. Global mass loss of all glaciers (outside the Antarctic and Greenland ice sheets) by 2100 relative to 2015 averaged over all model runs varies from 18 ± 7% (RCP2.6) to 36 ± 11% (RCP8.5) corresponding to 94 ± 25 and 200 ± 44 mm sea-level equivalent (SLE), respectively. Regional relative mass changes by 2100 correlate linearly with relative area changes. For RCP8.5 three models project global rates of mass loss (multi-GCM means) of >3 mm SLE per year towards the end of the century. Projections vary considerably between regions, and also among the glacier models. Global glacier mass changes per degree global air temperature rise tend to increase with more pronounced warming indicating that mass-balance sensitivities to temperature change are not constant. Differences in glacier mass projections among the models are attributed to differences in model physics, calibration and downscaling procedures, initial ice volumes and varying ensembles of forcing GCMs.
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Cites
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Self-citationGlobal-scale hydrological response to future glacier mass loss
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Self-citationA Reconciled Estimate of Glacier Contributions to Sea Level Rise: 2003 to 2009
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Global glacier mass changes and their contributions to sea-level rise from 1961 to 2016
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Cited by
Ice velocity and thickness of the world’s glaciers
Millan, R., Mouginot, J., Rabatel, A., & Morlighem, M. (2022) · Nature Geoscience · doi:10.1038/s41561-021-00885-z · Cited by 379
Partitioning the Uncertainty of Ensemble Projections of Global Glacier Mass Change
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“Therefore, even though the number of global glacier models has increased since the publication of the first intercomparison (Hock et al., 2019), development of new global-scale glacier models will result in added value.”
BackgroundMethodResultInfluentialSelf-citationFuture emergence of new ecosystems caused by glacial retreat
Bosson, J. B., Huss, M., Cauvy-Fraunié, S., Clément, J. C., Costes, G., Fischer, M., Poulenard, J., & Arthaud, F. (2023) · Nature · doi:10.1038/s41586-023-06302-2 · Cited by 197
Self-citationThe need for stewardship of lands exposed by deglaciation from climate change
Zimmer, A., Beach, T., Klein, J. A., & Recharte Bullard, J. (2022) · WIREs Climate Change · doi:10.1002/wcc.753 · Cited by 43
Limited impact of climate forcing products on future glacier evolution in Scandinavia and Iceland
Compagno, L., Zekollari, H., Huss, M., & Farinotti, D. (2021) · Journal of Glaciology · doi:10.1017/jog.2021.24 · Cited by 30
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Metadata
- Authors
- HOCK, R., BLISS, A., MARZEION, B., GIESEN, R. H., HIRABAYASHI, Y., HUSS, M., RADIĆ, V., & SLANGEN, A. B. A.
- Venue
- Journal of Glaciology
- Publisher
- Cambridge University Press (CUP)
- Published
- 2019-05-16
- Volume
- 65
- Issue
- 251
- Pages
- 453-467
- ISSN
- 0022-1430 (ISSN-L)
- 1727-5652
- OpenAlex
- W2625444578
- Cited by
- 355
- References
- 47
- FWCI
- 14.78
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
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