Unveiling microbial nitrogen metabolism in rivers using a machine learning approach
Abstract
Microbial nitrogen metabolism is a complicated and key process in mediating environmental pollution and greenhouse gas emissions in rivers. However, the interactive drivers of microbial nitrogen metabolism in rivers have not been identified. Here, we analyze the microbial nitrogen metabolism patterns in 105 rivers in China driven by 26 environmental and socioeconomic factors using an interpretable causal machine learning (ICML) framework. ICML better recognizes the complex relationships between factors and microbial nitrogen metabolism than traditional linear regression models. Furthermore, tipping points and concentration windows were proposed to precisely regulate microbial nitrogen metabolism. For example, concentrations of dissolved organic carbon (DOC) below tipping points of 6.2 and 4.2 mg/L easily reduce bacterial denitrification and nitrification, respectively. The concentration windows for NO 3 – -N (15.9–18.0 mg/L) and DOC (9.1–10.8 mg/L) enabled the highest abundance of denitrifying bacteria on a national scale. The integration of ICML models and field data clarifies the important drivers of microbial nitrogen metabolism, supporting the precise regulation of nitrogen pollution and river ecological management.
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SHAP is a game-theoretic approach that decomposes model predictions into additive feature contributions.
“The second method employed SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations), a game-theoretic approach that decomposes model predictions into additive feature contributions (Jia et al., 2024; Qian et al., 2024).”
From A two-step structural equation modeling and explainable machine learning framework for understanding university students’ adoption of generative AI: balancing intrinsic motivations and perceived risks (2026) · cites this paper as Jia et al., 2024
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“…Additive exPlanations (SHAP) analysis with permutation-based feature-importance assessment (Huang et al. 2024) and partial dependence modeling (Jia et al. 2024) to determine the critical predictors controlling the adherence of wetland CH 4 emission-temperature relationships to the Arrhenius…”
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Identify emission-abnormal heavy-duty diesel vehicles via on-board diagnostic urea analysis
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“Furthermore, to quantify the nonlinear response curves and identify specific critical thresholds of these driving factors, we incorporate the Generalized Additive Model into the analytical framework (Jia et al. , 2024; Fan et al. , 2025).”
- Authors
- Jia, Y., Hu, X., Kang, W., & Dong, X.
- Affiliations
- Nankai University (CN)
- Corresponding author
- Hu, Xiangang
- Venue
- Environmental Science & Technology
- Publisher
- American Chemical Society (ACS)
- Published
- 2024-04-03
- Volume
- 58
- Issue
- 15
- Pages
- 6605-6615
- ISSN
- 0013-936X (ISSN-L)
- 1520-5851
- OpenAlex
- W4393902196
- Semantic Scholar
- 7deafd94de5f8a0025557b0a29d82a9e851f1c6c
- Cited by
- 111
- References
- 66
- Citations by year
- 2026: 60 · 2025: 39 · 2024: 12
- FWCI
- 11.04
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Licence
- Locations
- Environmental Science & Technology (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- National Natural Science Foundation of China (U22A20615)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Pollution › Wastewater Treatment and Nitrogen Removal
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Environmental Chemistry › Soil and Water Nutrient Dynamics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecology › Microbial Community Ecology and Physiology
- Keywords
- microbial nitrogen metabolism, rivers, bacterial denitrification, nitrification, dissolved organic carbon, nitrate, tipping points, nitrogen pollution, socio-economic drivers
- MeSH terms
- Bacteria, China, Nitrogen, Rivers, Denitrification, Nitrification
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