Evaluation of Machine Learning Models on Electrochemical CO2 Reduction Using Human Curated Datasets
Abstract
Machine learning holds the potential to be a powerful tool to aid in designing catalytic and sustainable chemical systems. However, it is important for experimental researchers to understand the capabilities of different machine learning models when trained on experimental data. In this work, we trained three different machine learning algorithms (decision tree, random forest, and multilayer perceptron) with a hand-curated dataset of 127 reaction conditions for electrocatalytic CO 2 reduction on heterogeneous catalysts in aqueous electrolytes. The input to the machine learning models were the experimental conditions, and we posed four separate outputs to each of these machine learning algorithms: (1) if the number of proton-coupled electron transfer events was greater than two, (2) if carbon–carbon coupling occurred, (3) if ethylene was the major product, and (4) major product prediction. We observed that with a dataset of this size, all three machine learning models could achieve accuracies between 0.7 and 0.8 for the three binary classification problems (1, 2, and 3). Also, the shallow learning decision tree and random forest models performed equal to or better than the deep learning multilayer perceptron models. In the multiclass classification problem (i.e., predicting the product) the accuracy for all models decreased, with the random forest model producing the highest accuracy of 0.6. Analysis of the models showed that machine learning can independently arrive at conclusions that are well-known in the literature, e.g., that Cu is an important catalyst for producing high-carbon content products, and discern more-complicated patterns, with respect to feature importance.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
The random forest classifier's performance is comparable to values reported in structure-activity prediction studies based on experimental data in electrocatalytic reactions.
“This level of performance is comparable to values reported in structure–activity prediction studies based on experimental data in the electrocatalytic reactions [11,38], for example, a classification model predicting CO2 reduction reaction (CO2RR) indicators achieved similar results on over 20 test samples [38].”
From Automating structure-activity analysis for electrochemical nitrogen reduction catalyst design through multi-agent collaborations (2025) · cites this paper as [38]
Cites
Machine learning: Trends, perspectives, and prospects
Jordan, M. I., & Mitchell, T. M. (2015) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.aaa8415 · Cited by 9,955 · see citing works
Khan, J., Wei, J. S., Ringnér, M., Saal, L. H., Ladanyi, M., Westermann, F., Berthold, F., Schwab, M., Antonescu, C. R., Peterson, C., et al. (2001) · Nature Medicine · doi:10.1038/89044 · Cited by 2,644 · see citing works
Machine learning in materials informatics: recent applications and prospects
Ramprasad, R., Batra, R., Pilania, G., Mannodi-Kanakkithodi, A., & Kim, C. (2017) · npj Computational Materials · doi:10.1038/s41524-017-0056-5 · Cited by 1,945 · see citing works
Aqueous CO 2 Reduction at Very Low Overpotential on Oxide-Derived Au Nanoparticles
Chen, Y., Li, C. W., & Kanan, M. W. (2012) · Journal of the American Chemical Society · doi:10.1021/ja309317u · Cited by 1,661 · see citing works
What Should We Make with CO2 and How Can We Make It?
Bushuyev, O. S., De Luna, P., Dinh, C. T., Tao, L., Saur, G., van de Lagemaat, J., Kelley, S. O., & Sargent, E. H. (2018) · Joule · doi:10.1016/j.joule.2017.09.003 · Cited by 1,593 · see citing works
Nanostructured Tin Catalysts for Selective Electrochemical Reduction of Carbon Dioxide to Formate
Zhang, S., Kang, P., & Meyer, T. J. (2014) · Journal of the American Chemical Society · doi:10.1021/ja4113885 · Cited by 1,150 · see citing works
Chen, Y., & Kanan, M. W. (2012) · Journal of the American Chemical Society · doi:10.1021/ja2108799 · Cited by 982 · see citing works
Tailoring Copper Nanocrystals towards C2 Products in Electrochemical CO2 Reduction
Loiudice, A., Lobaccaro, P., Kamali, E. A., Thao, T., Huang, B. H., Ager, J. W., & Buonsanti, R. (2016) · Angewandte Chemie International Edition · doi:10.1002/anie.201601582 · Cited by 896 · see citing works
Grain-Boundary-Dependent CO <sub>2</sub> Electroreduction Activity
Feng, X., Jiang, K., Fan, S., & Kanan, M. W. (2015) · Journal of the American Chemical Society · doi:10.1021/ja5130513 · Cited by 694 · see citing works
Clark, E. L., Hahn, C., Jaramillo, T. F., & Bell, A. T. (2017) · Journal of the American Chemical Society · doi:10.1021/jacs.7b08607 · Cited by 676 · see citing works
High Selectivity for Ethylene from Carbon Dioxide Reduction over Copper Nanocube Electrocatalysts
Roberts, F. S., Kuhl, K. P., & Nilsson, A. (2015) · Angewandte Chemie International Edition · doi:10.1002/anie.201412214 · Cited by 517 · see citing works
Zhang, Y.-J., Sethuraman, V., Michalsky, R., & Peterson, A. A. (2014) · ACS Catalysis · doi:10.1021/cs5012298 · Cited by 509 · see citing works
Machine learning for heterogeneous catalyst design and discovery
Goldsmith, B. R., Esterhuizen, J. A., Liu, J., Bartel, C. J., & Sutton, C. A. (2018) · AIChE Journal · doi:10.1002/aic.16198 · Cited by 446 · see citing works
DiMeglio, J. L., & Rosenthal, J. (2013) · Journal of the American Chemical Society · doi:10.1021/ja4033549 · Cited by 386 · see citing works
Predicting Catalytic Activity of Nanoparticles by a DFT-Aided Machine-Learning Algorithm
Jinnouchi, R., & Asahi, R. (2017) · The Journal of Physical Chemistry Letters · doi:10.1021/acs.jpclett.7b02010 · Cited by 260 · see citing works
Effects of Anion Identity and Concentration on Electrochemical Reduction of CO <sub>2</sub>
Resasco, J., Lum, Y., Clark, E., Zeledon, J. Z., & Bell, A. T. (2018) · ChemElectroChem · doi:10.1002/celc.201701316 · Cited by 250 · see citing works
Medina-Ramos, J., Pupillo, R. C., Keane, T. P., DiMeglio, J. L., & Rosenthal, J. (2015) · Journal of the American Chemical Society · doi:10.1021/ja5121088 · Cited by 246 · see citing works
Machine learning for advanced energy materials
Yun, L., Esan, O. C., Pan, Z., & An, L. (2021) · Energy and AI · doi:10.1016/j.egyai.2021.100049 · Cited by 215 · see citing works
Peng, H., & Ling, X. (2007) · Applied Thermal Engineering · doi:10.1016/j.applthermaleng.2007.03.032 · Cited by 197 · see citing works
Toyao, T., Suzuki, K., Kikuchi, S., Takakusagi, S., Shimizu, K., & Takigawa, I. (2018) · The Journal of Physical Chemistry C · doi:10.1021/acs.jpcc.7b12670 · Cited by 182 · see citing works
Zhai, H., & Alexandrova, A. N. (2016) · Journal of Chemical Theory and Computation · doi:10.1021/acs.jctc.6b00994 · Cited by 170 · see citing works
Adsorption of CO, intermediately formed in electrochemical reduction of CO2, at a copper electrode
Hori, Y., Murata, A., & Yoshinami, Y. (1991) · Journal of the Chemical Society Faraday Transactions · doi:10.1039/ft9918700125 · Cited by 162 · see citing works
Hori, Y., Koga, O., Yamazaki, H., & Matsuo, T. (1995) · Electrochimica Acta · doi:10.1016/0013-4686(95)00239-b · Cited by 149 · see citing works
Electrocatalytic conversion of CO2 to liquid fuels using nanocarbon-based electrodes
Genovese, C., Ampelli, C., Perathoner, S., & Centi, G. (2013) · Journal of Energy Chemistry · doi:10.1016/s2095-4956(13)60026-1 · Cited by 125 · see citing works
Deng, C., Su, Y., Li, F., Shen, W., Chen, Z., & Tang, Q. H. (2020) · Journal of Materials Chemistry A · doi:10.1039/d0ta08004g · Cited by 113 · see citing works
Using Artificial Intelligence To Forecast Water Oxidation Catalysts
Palkovits, R., & Palkovits, S. (2019) · ACS Catalysis · doi:10.1021/acscatal.9b01985 · Cited by 111 · see citing works
Copper nanoparticles stabilized by reduced graphene oxide for CO2 reduction reaction
Alves, D. C. B., Silva, R., Voiry, D., Asefa, T., & Chhowalla, M. (2015) · Materials for Renewable and Sustainable Energy · doi:10.1007/s40243-015-0042-0 · Cited by 88 · see citing works
Kite, S., Hattori, T., & Murakami, Y. (1994) · Applied Catalysis A General · doi:10.1016/0926-860x(94)80169-x · Cited by 82 · see citing works
Feedforward neural networks in catalysis
Holeňa, M., & Baerns, M. (2003) · Catalysis Today · doi:10.1016/s0920-5861(03)00147-0 · Cited by 77 · see citing works
Lucio, A. J., & Shaw, S. K. (2015) · The Journal of Physical Chemistry C · doi:10.1021/acs.jpcc.5b03355 · Cited by 70 · see citing works
Can artificial neural networks help the experimentation in catalysis?
Serra, J. M. M., Corma, A., Chica, A., Argente, E., & Botti, V. J. (2003) · Catalysis Today · doi:10.1016/s0920-5861(03)00137-8 · Cited by 66 · see citing works
Rorke, D. C. S., Suinyuy, T. N., & Kana, E. B. G. (2016) · Bioresource Technology · doi:10.1016/j.biortech.2016.10.048 · Cited by 39 · see citing works
Chowdhury, A., Yang, W., Abdelfatah, K. E., Zare, M., Heyden, A., & Terejanu, G. (2020) · Journal of Chemical Theory and Computation · doi:10.1021/acs.jctc.9b00986 · Cited by 31 · see citing works
A new catalyst for the production of furfural from bagasse
Yazdizadeh, M., Nasr, M. R. J., & Safekordi, A. K. (2016) · RSC Advances · doi:10.1039/c6ra10499a · Cited by 17 · see citing works
Romo, J. E., Miller, K. C., Sundsted, T. L., Job, A. L., Hoo, K. A., & Wettstein, S. G. (2019) · ChemCatChem · doi:10.1002/cctc.201900969 · Cited by 13 · see citing works
Flagged first, then by citations
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Zhuang, W., Zhao, X. Y., Luo, Q., Lv, X., Zhang, Z., Zhang, L., & Sui, M. (2024) · Water Research · doi:10.1016/j.watres.2024.122521 · Cited by 34 · see citing works
Rosser, D. A., Farris, B. R., & Leonard, K. C. (2023) · Digital Discovery · doi:10.1039/d3dd00151b · Cited by 20 · see citing works
Self-citationHu, X., Chen, S., Chen, L., Wang, H., Zhang, X., & Zhou, Z. (2025) · National Science Review · doi:10.1093/nsr/nwaf372 · Cited by 19 · see citing works
Zhu, Y., Gao, F., Yi, L., Yi, H., Yu, Q., Zhao, S., Zhou, Y., Wang, Y., & Tang, X. (2025) · Applied Energy · doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2025.126241 · Cited by 18 · see citing works
Phase and facet engineering for nanoscale catalyst discovery in electrochemical CO2 reduction
Xie, L., Liu, Y., Li, S., Shen, B., & Zhu, W. (2026) · Nature Synthesis · doi:10.1038/s44160-026-01025-4 · Cited by 17 · see citing works
Data‐Driven Tunnel Oxide Passivated Contact Solar Cell Performance Analysis Using Machine Learning
Zhou, J., Jacobsson, T. J., Wang, Z., Huang, Q., Zhang, X., Zhao, Y., & Hou, G. (2024) · Advanced Materials · doi:10.1002/adma.202309351 · Cited by 16 · see citing works
Yao, C., Yan, M., Asif, M., Wang, Z., Lee, S., Ha, J., & Kim, T. (2025) · Advanced Intelligent Systems · doi:10.1002/aisy.202500311 · Cited by 16 · see citing works
Roh, J., Oh, S., Lee, D., Joo, C., Park, J., Moon, I., Ro, I., & Kim, J. (2024) · ACS Sustainable Chemistry & Engineering · doi:10.1021/acssuschemeng.3c07496 · Cited by 14 · see citing works
Zhao, Z., Jiang, Y., Lin, W., Nan, W., Yao, L., Xiao, W., Hu, J., Hu, Y., Liu, W., Zheng, C., et al. (2025) · Journal of Hazardous Materials · doi:10.1016/j.jhazmat.2025.139169 · Cited by 13 · see citing works
Rahimi, M., & Salaudeen, S. A. (2025) · Materials Chemistry and Physics · doi:10.1016/j.matchemphys.2025.131525 · Cited by 13 · see citing works
Wang, Q., Liu, X., Tao, S., Wang, H., Lu, S., Xiang, Y., & Zhang, J. (2023) · The Journal of Physical Chemistry Letters · doi:10.1021/acs.jpclett.3c02308 · Cited by 13 · see citing works
Heterogeneous Electrocatalysis of Carbon Dioxide to Methane
Wu, Y., Du, H., Li, P., Zhang, X., Yin, Y., & Zhu, W. (2023) · Methane · doi:10.3390/methane2020012 · Cited by 13 · see citing works
Machine Learning Exploration of Experimental Conditions for Optimized Electrochemical CO2 Reduction
Setyowati, V. A., Mukaida, S., Nagita, K., Harada, T., Nakanishi, S., & Iwase, K. (2024) · ChemElectroChem · doi:10.1002/celc.202400518 · Cited by 12 · see citing works
Farris, B. R., & Leonard, K. C. (2025) · JACS Au · doi:10.1021/jacsau.5c01087 · Cited by 9 · see citing works
Self-citationAn Attempt to Predict Transparent Armor Ballistic Performance through Quasi-Static Punch Shear Test
Villamil, A. A. B., Marañón, A., Casas-Rodriguez, J. P., Benitez, T., & Pavolini, E. (2024) · Experimental Mechanics · doi:10.1007/s11340-024-01123-4 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
Dan, M., Zhang, Y.-Q., Wei, T., Qi, R.-Z., Xue, S.-S., Guo, Z., & Liu, Z. (2025) · Science Bulletin · doi:10.1016/j.scib.2025.12.034 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
Asif, M., Hakeem, L., & Yao, C. (2026) · Physical Chemistry Chemical Physics · doi:10.1039/d6cp00893c · Cited by 5 · see citing works
Oh, S., Roh, J., Park, H., Lee, D., Joo, C., Park, J., Moon, I., Ro, I., & Kim, J. (2025) · ACS Sustainable Chemistry & Engineering · doi:10.1021/acssuschemeng.4c08534 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
Ma, X., Chen, Y., Song, Y., Liu, M., Cao, L., Zhao, P., Huang, Q., & Cao, C. (2024) · New plant protection. · doi:10.1002/npp2.16 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Li, S., Ma, H., Xiao, Y., Li, J., Lv, W., & Wang, H. (2025) · ACS Sustainable Chemistry & Engineering · doi:10.1021/acssuschemeng.5c06577 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Lubna, S. A., & Kabir, M. N. (2025) · Papers in Applied Geography · doi:10.1080/23754931.2025.2577739 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Niranjan, R., & Vangala, S. P. K. (2026) · Advanced Sustainable Systems · doi:10.1002/adsu.202501305 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Unlocking the potential of CO2 photoreduction: A hybrid experimental and machine learning approach
Prima, M., Hossen, M., & Ahmed, Y. (2026) · Journal of CO2 Utilization · doi:10.1016/j.jcou.2026.103439 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Farris, B. R., Meckstroth, J., & Leonard, K. C. (2026) · Green Chemistry · doi:10.1039/d6gc01753c · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Self-citationLv, Y., Zhao, X., Sun, J., Zhang, W., Li, X., & Su, Z. (2026) · Coordination Chemistry Reviews · doi:10.1016/j.ccr.2026.218464 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Allen, D. T. (2023) · ACS Sustainable Chemistry & Engineering · doi:10.1021/acssuschemeng.3c00223
Rahimi, M., & Salaudeen, S. A. (2025) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.5353341
Zhang, Z., Li, Z., Zhu, M., Wang, Y., Yuan, Y., Qin, H., Lu, J., Li, Y., Zhou, X., Liu, Y., et al. (2026) · Journal of Cleaner Production · doi:10.1016/j.jclepro.2026.147710
Multilayer machine-learning framework for screening catalytic activity and selectivity
Liao, W., Nguyen, A., & Liu, P. (2026) · Chem Catalysis · doi:10.1016/j.checat.2025.101611
Narimani, A., Salmasi, M. Z., Omidkar, A., & Song, H. (2026) · Electrochimica Acta · doi:10.1016/j.electacta.2026.148678
Liu, Y., Li, H., Ma, N., Gong, Y., Niu, L., & Li, C. (2026) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.7346839
Machine Learning-Accelerated Advancements in Electrocatalytic CO2 Reduction
Wang, H., Li, J., Li, Y., Chen, Z., Xuan, X., Qi, H., & Pan, L. (2026) · Environmental Science & Technology · doi:10.1021/acs.est.6c01703
Active Learning-Driven Bayesian Optimization of Catalytic Nanoparticles for CO₂ Reduction
Tanaka, H., Sato, Y., Mori, K., & Okabe, R. (2023) · Journal of Artificial Intelligence for Materials Science · doi:10.68159/p457561086
Liu, Y., Li, H., Ma, N., Yinyan, G., Niu, L., & Li, C. (2026) · Applied Surface Science · doi:10.1016/j.apsusc.2026.168507
Liu, X., 李燕中, Ssendiwala, L., Ren, J., Zhang, Y., Tontiwachwuthikul, P. P., Liang, Z., & Li, D. (2026) · Journal of Membrane Science · doi:10.1016/j.memsci.2026.126295
- Authors
- Farris, B. R., Niang-Trost, T., Branicky, M. S., & Leonard, K. C.
- Affiliations
- University of Kansas (US)
- Corresponding author
- Leonard, Kevin C.
- Venue
- ACS Sustainable Chemistry & Engineering
- Publisher
- American Chemical Society (ACS)
- Published
- 2022-08-10
- Volume
- 10
- Issue
- 33
- Pages
- 10934-10944
- ISSN
- 2168-0485 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W4292666425
- Cited by
- 35
- References
- 35
- Citations by year
- 2026: 13 · 2025: 11 · 2024: 6 · 2023: 5
- FWCI
- 0.99
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Licence
- Locations
- ACS Sustainable Chemistry & Engineering (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- Division of Graduate Education (DGE-1922649)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Energy › Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment › CO2 Reduction Techniques and Catalysts
- Physical Sciences › Materials Science › Materials Chemistry › Machine Learning in Materials Science
- Physical Sciences › Energy › Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment › Electrocatalysts for Energy Conversion
- Keywords
- electrochemical CO2 reduction, electrocatalysis, heterogeneous catalysts, aqueous electrolyte solutions, classifier comparison, random forest, decision tree, multilayer perceptron, ethylene production, carbon-carbon coupling, proton-coupled electron transfer, copper catalysts, feature importance
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review