Estimates of the direct and indirect radiative forcing due to tropospheric aerosols: A review
Abstract
This paper reviews the many developments in estimates of the direct and indirect global annual mean radiative forcing due to present‐day concentrations of anthropogenic tropospheric aerosols since Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [1996]. The range of estimates of the global mean direct radiative forcing due to six distinct aerosol types is presented. Additionally, the indirect effect is split into two components corresponding to the radiative forcing due to modification of the radiative properties of clouds (cloud albedo effect) and the effects of anthropogenic aerosols upon the lifetime of clouds (cloud lifetime effect). The radiative forcing for anthropogenic sulphate aerosol ranges from −0.26 to −0.82 W m −2 . For fossil fuel black carbon the radiative forcing ranges from +0.16 W m −2 for an external mixture to +0.42 W m −2 for where the black carbon is modeled as internally mixed with sulphate aerosol. For fossil fuel organic carbon the two estimates of the likely weakest limit of the direct radiative forcing are −0.02 and −0.04 W m −2 . For biomass‐burning sources of black carbon and organic carbon the combined radiative forcing ranges from −0.14 to −0.74 W m −2 . Estimates of the radiative forcing due to mineral dust vary widely from +0.09 to −0.46 W m −2 ; even the sign of the radiative forcing is not well established due to the competing effects of solar and terrestrial radiative forcings. A single study provides a very tentative estimate of the radiative forcing of nitrates to be −0.03 W m −2 . Estimates of the cloud albedo indirect radiative forcing range from −0.3 to approximately −1.8 W m −2 . Although the cloud lifetime effect is identified as a potentially important climate forcing mechanism, it is difficult to quantify in the context of the present definition of radiative forcing of climate change and current model simulations. This is because its estimation by general circulation models necessarily includes some level of cloud and water vapor feedbacks, which affect the hydrological cycle and the dynamics of the atmosphere. Available models predict that the radiative flux perturbation associated with the cloud lifetime effect is of a magnitude similar to that of the cloud albedo effect.
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Zanis, P., Akritidis, D., Georgoulias, A. K., Allen, R. J., Bauer, S. E., Boucher, O., Cole, J., Johnson, B., Deushi, M., Michou, M., et al. (2020) · Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics · doi:10.5194/acp-20-8381-2020 · Cited by 53 · see citing works
Self-citationGabriel, I., Plunkett, G., Abbott, P. M., Behrens, M., Burke, A., Chellman, N., Cook, E., Fleitmann, D., Hörhold, M., Hutchison, W., et al. (2024) · Communications Earth & Environment · doi:10.1038/s43247-024-01350-6 · Cited by 18 · see citing works
“These aerosols not only have direct impacts (i.e., re fl ection of incoming radiation and surface cooling 52 ), but can act as ice-nucleating particles and cloud condensation nuclei, thereby in fl uencing cloud properties and the hydrological cycle 53 .”
Background
- Authors
- Haywood, J., & Boucher, O.
- Venue
- Reviews of Geophysics
- Publisher
- American Geophysical Union (AGU)
- Published
- 2000-11
- Volume
- 38
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 513-543
- ISSN
- 0096-1043 (ISSN-L)
- 8755-1209
- 1944-9208
- OpenAlex
- W2070804679
- Cited by
- 2,097
- References
- 206
- Citations by year
- 2026: 81 · 2025: 81 · 2024: 114 · 2023: 148 · 2022: 131 · 2021: 145 · 2020: 115 · 2019: 106 · 2018: 111 · 2017: 88 · 2016: 88 · 2015: 100 · 2014: 75 · 2013: 99 · 2012: 88
- FWCI
- 30.88
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Reviews of Geophysics (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Atmospheric aerosols and clouds
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Atmospheric Science › Atmospheric chemistry and aerosols
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate Change and Geoengineering
- Keywords
- tropospheric aerosols, radiative forcing, direct radiative forcing, indirect radiative forcing, cloud albedo effect, sulfate aerosols, black carbon, organic carbon, biomass burning, mineral dust, nitrate, anthropogenic aerosols
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
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