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The paradoxical increase of Mediterranean extreme daily rainfall in spite of decrease in total values
Open accessAbstract
Earlier reports indicated some specific isolated regions exhibiting a paradoxical increase of extreme rainfall in spite of decrease in the totals. Here, we conduct a coherent study of the full‐scale of daily rainfall categories over a relatively large subtropical region‐ the Mediterranean‐ in order to assess whether this paradoxical behavior is real and its extent. We show that the torrential rainfall in Italy exceeding 128 mm/d has increased percentage‐wise by a factor of 4 during 1951–1995 with strong peaks in El‐Nino years. In Spain, extreme categories at both tails of the distribution (light: 0‐4 mm/d and heavy/torrential: 64 mm/d and up) increased significantly. No significant trends were found in Israel and Cyprus. The consequent redistribution of the daily rainfall categories ‐torrential/heavy against the moderate/light intensities ‐ is of utmost interest particularly in the semi‐arid sub‐tropical regions for purposes of water management, soil erosion and flash floods impacts.
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Cites
Controlling the False Discovery Rate: A Practical and Powerful Approach to Multiple Testing
Benjamini, Y., & Hochberg, Y. (1995) · Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology · doi:10.1111/j.2517-6161.1995.tb02031.x · Cited by 109,482
Self-citation
Cited by
Trends in Intense Precipitation in the Climate Record
Groisman, P. Y., Knight, R. W., Easterling, D. R., Karl, T. R., Hegerl, G. C., & Razuvaev, V. N. (2005) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli3339.1 · Cited by 1,334
The Mediterranean climate: An overview of the main characteristics and issues
(2006) · Developments in Earth and Environmental Sciences · doi:10.1016/s1571-9197(06)80003-0 · Cited by 676
Trends in extreme daily precipitation indices in India
Sen Roy, S., & Balling, R. C. (2004) · International Journal of Climatology · doi:10.1002/joc.995 · Cited by 428
Recent trends in the regime of extreme rainfall in the Central Sahel
Panthou, G., Vischel, T., & Lebel, T. (2014) · International Journal of Climatology · doi:10.1002/joc.3984 · Cited by 330
Sánchez, E., Gallardo, C., Gaertner, M. A., Arribas, A., & Castro, M. (2004) · Global and Planetary Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2004.06.010 · Cited by 310
Metadata
- Authors
- Alpert, P., Ben‐Gai, T., Baharad, A., Benjamini, Y., Yekutieli, D., Colacino, M., Diodato, L., Ramis, C., Homar, V., Romero, R., Michaelides, S., & Manes, A.
- Venue
- Geophysical Research Letters
- Publisher
- American Geophysical Union (AGU)
- Published
- 2002-06
- Volume
- 29
- Issue
- 11
- ISSN
- 0094-8276 (ISSN-L)
- 1944-8007
- OpenAlex
- W2126111550
- Cited by
- 568
- References
- 1
- FWCI
- 8.86
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
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- Alpert, P., Ben‐Gai, T., Baharad, A., Benjamini, Y., Yekutieli, D., Colacino, M., Diodato, L., Ramis, C., Homar, V., Romero, R., Michaelides, S., & Manes, A. (2002). The paradoxical increase of Mediterranean extreme daily rainfall in spite of decrease in total values. Geophysical Research Letters. https://doi.org/10.1029/2001gl013554
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