The DOI matches its Crossref record; 16 of the 16 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Trends in global tropical cyclone activity over the past twenty years (1986–2005)
Abstract
The recent destructive Atlantic hurricane seasons and several recent publications have sparked debate over whether warming tropical sea surface temperatures (SSTs) are causing more intense, longer‐lived tropical cyclones. This paper investigates worldwide tropical cyclone frequency and intensity to determine trends in activity over the past twenty years during which there has been an approximate 0.2°–0.4°C warming of SSTs. The data indicate a large increasing trend in tropical cyclone intensity and longevity for the North Atlantic basin and a considerable decreasing trend for the Northeast Pacific. All other basins showed small trends, and there has been no significant change in global net tropical cyclone activity. There has been a small increase in global Category 4–5 hurricanes from the period 1986–1995 to the period 1996–2005. Most of this increase is likely due to improved observational technology. These findings indicate that other important factors govern intensity and frequency of tropical cyclones besides SSTs.
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Cites
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Increasing destructiveness of tropical cyclones over the past 30 years.
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Changes in tropical cyclone number, duration, and intensity in a warming environment
Webster, P. J., Holland, G. J., Curry, J. A., & Chang, H.-R. (2005) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1116448 · Cited by 3,237
GLOBAL VIEW OF THE ORIGIN OF TROPICAL DISTURBANCES AND STORMS
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The Recent Increase in Atlantic Hurricane Activity: Causes and Implications
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Cited by
Tropical cyclones and climate change
Knutson, T. R., McBride, J. L., Chan, J., Emanuel, K., Holland, G., Landsea, C., Held, I., Kossin, J. P., Srivastava, A. K., & Sugi, M. (2010) · Nature Geoscience · doi:10.1038/ngeo779 · Cited by 3,194
The increasing intensity of the strongest tropical cyclones.
Elsner, J. B., Kossin, J. P., & Jagger, T. H. (2008) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature07234 · Cited by 1,184
Tropical cyclones and climate change
Walsh, K. J. E., McBride, J. L., Klotzbach, P. J., Balachandran, S., Camargo, S. J., Holland, G., Knutson, T. R., Kossin, J. P., Lee, T., Sobel, A., et al. (2016) · WIREs Climate Change · doi:10.1002/wcc.371 · Cited by 837
Self-citationCan We Detect Trends in Extreme Tropical Cyclones?
Landsea, C. W., Harper, B. A., Hoarau, K., & Knaff, J. A. (2006) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1128448 · Cited by 489
Anthropogenic influences on major tropical cyclone events
Patricola-DiRosario, C. M., & Wehner, M. F. (2018) · Nature · doi:10.1038/s41586-018-0673-2 · Cited by 480
Metadata
- Authors
- Klotzbach, P. J.
- Venue
- Geophysical Research Letters
- Publisher
- American Geophysical Union (AGU)
- Published
- 2006-05
- Volume
- 33
- Issue
- 10
- ISSN
- 0094-8276 (ISSN-L)
- 1944-8007
- OpenAlex
- W1541739214
- Cited by
- 311
- References
- 16
- FWCI
- 17.21
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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