The DOI matches its Crossref record; 34 of the 34 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Climate change in cities due to global warming and urban effects
Open accessAbstract
Urbanisation is estimated to result in 6 billion urban dwellers by 2050. Cities will be exposed to climate change from greenhouse gas induced radiative forcing, and localised effects from urbanisation such as the urban heat island. An urban land‐surface model has been included in the HadAM3 Global Climate Model. It shows that regions of high population growth coincide with regions of high urban heat island potential, most notably in the Middle East, the Indian sub‐continent, and East Africa. Climate change has the capacity to modify the climatic potential for urban heat islands, with increases of 30% in some locations, but a global average reduction of 6%. Warming and extreme heat events due to urbanisation and increased energy consumption are simulated to be as large as the impact of doubled CO 2 in some regions, and climate change increases the disparity in extreme hot nights between rural and urban areas.
Overview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
The source backs part of the claim, not all of it — or backs it for a different population, condition or comparison.
In the citing paper
“During summer months, relatively large SUHI intensity is associated with increased local warming and extreme heat events in urban areas13,36,37.”
From Disproportionate exposure to urban heat island intensity across major US cities (2021) · cites this paper as [36]
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cites
Climate change 2007: the physical science basis
Solomon, S., Qin, D., Manning, M., Marquis, M. C., Averyt, K. B., Tignor, M., Miller, H. L., & Chen, Z. (2007) · Cited by 23,398
Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability
Parry, M. L., Canziani, O. F., Palutikof, J. P., van der Linden, P., & Hanson, C. (2007) · Centre for Environmental Data Analysis Digital Repository (Centre for Environmental Data Analysis) · doi:10.5281/zenodo.7356334 · Cited by 9,138
Special report on emissions scenarios
Nakićenović, N., Alcamo, J., Davis, G. R., de Vries, B. J. M., Fenhann, J. V., Gaffin, S., Gregory, K., Grübler, A., Jung, T. Y., Kram, T., et al. (2000) · Cited by 6,089
World Urbanization Prospects: The 1996 Revision
Brockerhoff, M. P., & Nations, U. (1998) · Population and Development Review · doi:10.2307/2808041 · Cited by 5,900
Mackay, A. W. (2008) · Journal of Environmental Quality · doi:10.2134/jeq2008.0015br · Cited by 5,592
Adler, R. F., Huffman, G. J., Chang, A. T. C., Ferraro, R. R., Xie, P., Janowiak, J. E., Rudolf, B., Schneider, U., Curtis, S., Bolvin, D. T., et al. (2003) · Journal of Hydrometeorology · doi:10.1175/1525-7541(2003)004 · Cited by 5,422
Self-citationOke, T. R. (2002) · Routledge eBooks · doi:10.4324/9780203407219 · Cited by 5,272
Solomon, S. (2007) · Medical Entomology and Zoology · Cited by 4,149
Arnfield, A. J. (2003) · International Journal of Climatology · doi:10.1002/joc.859 · Cited by 3,543
Special report on emissions scenarios
Nakićenović, N., Alcamo, J. M., Davis, G. F., de Vries, B. J. M., Fenhann, J. V., Gaffin, S. R., Gregory, K., Griibler, A., Jung, T. Y., Kram, T., et al. (2000) · eScholarship (California Digital Library) · Cited by 3,423
Christensen, J. H., Hewitson, B. C., Busuioc, A., Chen, A., Gao, X., Held, R., Jones, R., Kolli, R. K., Kwon, W., Laprise, R., et al. (2007) · Helmholtz-Zentrum für Polar-und Meeresforschung (Alfred-Wegener-Institut) · Cited by 3,177
Development of a global land cover characteristics database and IGBP DISCover from 1 km AVHRR data
Loveland, T. R., Reed, B. C., Brown, J. F., Ohlen, D. O., Zhu, Z., Yang, L., & Merchant, J. W. (2000) · International Journal of Remote Sensing · doi:10.1080/014311600210191 · Cited by 2,584
The impact of new physical parametrizations in the Hadley Centre climate model: HadAM3
Pope, V. D., Gallani, M. L., Rowntree, P. R., & Stratton, R. A. (2000) · Climate Dynamics · doi:10.1007/s003820050009 · Cited by 1,542
Tebaldi, C., Hayhoe, K., Arblaster, J. M., & Meehl, G. A. (2006) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-006-9051-4 · Cited by 1,119
Urbanization and global environmental change: local effects of urban warming
Grimmond, S. (2007) · Geographical Journal · doi:10.1111/j.1475-4959.2007.232_3.x · Cited by 973
Impact of anthropogenic heat on urban climate in Tokyo
Ichinose, T., Shimodozono, K., & Hanaki, K. (1999) · Atmospheric Environment · doi:10.1016/s1352-2310(99)00132-6 · Cited by 599
The International Urban Energy Balance Models Comparison Project: First Results from Phase 1
Grimmond, S., Blackett, M., Best, M. J., Barlow, J. F., Baik, J.-J., Belcher, S. E., Bohnenstengel, S. I., Calmet, I., Chen, F., Dandou, A., et al. (2010) · Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology · doi:10.1175/2010jamc2354.1 · Cited by 565
Self-citationSailor, D. J., & Lu, L. (2004) · Atmospheric Environment · doi:10.1016/j.atmosenv.2004.01.034 · Cited by 548
International Energy Agency (2008) · World energy outlook · doi:10.1787/weo-2008-en · Cited by 449
Tebaldi, C., Hayhoe, K., Arblaster, J. M., & Meehl, G. A. (2007) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-007-9247-2 · Cited by 368
Urban surface modeling and the meso-scale impact of cities
Masson, V. (2005) · Theoretical and Applied Climatology · doi:10.1007/s00704-005-0142-3 · Cited by 292
Integrating anthropogenic heat flux with global climate models
Flanner, M. G. (2009) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2008gl036465 · Cited by 291
Oleson, K. W., Bonan, G. B., Feddema, J. J., Vertenstein, M., & Grimmond, S. (2008) · Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology · doi:10.1175/2007jamc1597.1 · Cited by 288
Urban heat island effects on estimates of observed climate change
Parker, D. E. (2009) · Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews Climate Change · doi:10.1002/wcc.21 · Cited by 230
van Vuuren, D. P., Lucas, P., & Hilderink, H. B. M. (2007) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2006.04.004 · Cited by 228
Effects of white roofs on urban temperature in a global climate model
Oleson, K. W., Bonan, G. B., & Feddema, J. J. (2010) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2009gl042194 · Cited by 228
Anthropogenic heat release in an old European agglomeration (Toulouse, France)
Pigeon, G., Legain, D., Durand, P., & Masson, V. (2007) · International Journal of Climatology · doi:10.1002/joc.1530 · Cited by 208
Howard, L. (1833) · Cited by 191
Detection of urban warming in recent temperature trends in Japan
Fujibe, F. (2008) · International Journal of Climatology · doi:10.1002/joc.1822 · Cited by 190
Representing urban areas within operational numerical weather prediction models
Best, M. J. (2004) · Boundary-Layer Meteorology · doi:10.1007/s10546-004-4834-5 · Cited by 156
Self-citationUrban and rural temperature trends in proximity to large US cities: 1951–2000
Stone, B. (2007) · International Journal of Climatology · doi:10.1002/joc.1555 · Cited by 149
Progress in Urban Meteorology :A Review
Kanda, M. (2007) · Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan Ser II · doi:10.2151/jmsj.85b.363 · Cited by 119
Evaluation of the Urban Tile in MOSES using Surface Energy Balance Observations
Best, M. J., Grimmond, S., & Villani, M. G. (2006) · Boundary-Layer Meteorology · doi:10.1007/s10546-005-9025-5 · Cited by 72
Self-citation
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Surface Urban Heat Island Across 419 Global Big Cities
Peng, S., Piao, S., Ciais, P., Friedlingstein, P., Ottle, C., Bréon, F.-M., Nan, H., Zhou, L., & Myneni, R. B. (2012) · Environmental Science & Technology · doi:10.1021/es2030438 · Cited by 1,456
Hurtt, G. C., Chini, L. P., Frolking, S., Betts, R. A., Feddema, J., Fischer, G., Fisk, J. P., Hibbard, K., Houghton, R. A., Janetos, A., et al. (2011) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0153-2 · Cited by 1,284
“Quantification of the effects of past and future land-use changes on climate is important for explaining historical changes in climate, partitioning human and natural influences on climate, and improving future projections (Betts 2007; Feddema et al. 2005; McCarthy et al. 2010).”
BackgroundSelf-citationNorton, B. A., Coutts, A. M., Livesley, S. J., Harris, R. J., Hunter, A. M., & Williams, N. S. G. (2015) · Landscape and Urban Planning · doi:10.1016/j.landurbplan.2014.10.018 · Cited by 1,288
Surface urban heat island in China's 32 major cities: Spatial patterns and drivers
Zhou, D., Zhao, S., Liu, S., Zhang, L., & Zhu, C. (2014) · Remote Sensing of Environment · doi:10.1016/j.rse.2014.05.017 · Cited by 957
Nature-Based Solutions to Climate Change Adaptation in Urban Areas
Kabisch, N., Korn, H., Stadler, J., & Bonn, A. (2017) · Theory and practice of urban sustainability transitions · doi:10.1007/978-3-319-56091-5 · Cited by 989
Metadata
- Authors
- McCarthy, M. P., Best, M. J., & Betts, R. A.
- Affiliations
- Met Office (GB)
- Venue
- Geophysical Research Letters
- Publisher
- American Geophysical Union (AGU)
- Published
- 2010-05
- Volume
- 37
- Issue
- 9
- ISSN
- 0094-8276 (ISSN-L)
- 1944-8007
- OpenAlex
- W1622515456
- Semantic Scholar
- 92ce681105fa8e4139db43b8bd4c25997e3b2766
- Cited by
- 821
- References
- 34
- Citations by year
- 2026: 35 · 2025: 62 · 2024: 73 · 2023: 77 · 2022: 59 · 2021: 96 · 2020: 77 · 2019: 54 · 2018: 46 · 2017: 48 · 2016: 44 · 2015: 33 · 2014: 35 · 2013: 32 · 2012: 28
- FWCI
- 24.81
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- Geophysical Research Letters (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs, UK Government
- Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EP/E017398/1)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Environmental Engineering › Urban Heat Island Mitigation
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate Change and Environmental Impact
- Keywords
- urban heat island, climate change impacts on cities, urbanization, HadAM3, radiative forcing, heat waves, urban energy consumption, population growth, Middle East, Indian subcontinent, East Africa
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review