Cited by 418Fire effects on ecosystemsClimate variability and modelsGeology and Paleoclimatology Research

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Predictability of biomass burning in response to climate changes

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Daniau, A.‐L., Bartlein, P. J., Harrison, S. P., Prentice, I. C., Brewer, S., Friedlingstein, P., Harrison‐Prentice, T. I., Inoue, J., Izumi, K., Marlon, J. R., Mooney, S., Power, M. J., Stevenson, J., Tinner, W., Andrič, M., Atanassova, J., Behling, H., Black, M., Blarquez, O., Brown, K. J., Carcaillet, C., Colhoun, E. A., Colombaroli, D., Davis, B. A. S., D'Costa, D., Dodson, J., Dupont, L., Eshetu, Z., Gavin, D. G., Genries, A., Haberle, S., Hallett, D. J., Hope, G., Horn, S. P., Kassa, T. G., Katamura, F., Kennedy, L. M., Kershaw, P., Krivonogov, S., Long, C., Magri, D., Marinova, E., McKenzie, G. M., Moreno, P. I., Moss, P., Neumann, F. H., Norström, E., Paitre, C., Rius, D., Roberts, N., Robinson, G. S., Sasaki, N., Scott, L., Takahara, H., Terwilliger, V., Thevenon, F., Turner, R., Valsecchi, V. G., Vannière, B., Walsh, M., Williams, N., Zhang, Y.·2012·Global Biogeochemical Cycles

DOI 10.1029/2011gb004249

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Abstract

Climate is an important control on biomass burning, but the sensitivity of fire to changes in temperature and moisture balance has not been quantified. We analyze sedimentary charcoal records to show that the changes in fire regime over the past 21,000 yrs are predictable from changes in regional climates. Analyses of paleo‐ fire data show that fire increases monotonically with changes in temperature and peaks at intermediate moisture levels, and that temperature is quantitatively the most important driver of changes in biomass burning over the past 21,000 yrs. Given that a similar relationship between climate drivers and fire emerges from analyses of the interannual variability in biomass burning shown by remote‐sensing observations of month‐by‐month burnt area between 1996 and 2008, our results signal a serious cause for concern in the face of continuing global warming.

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Authors: Daniau, A. ‐., Bartlein, P. J., Harrison, S. P., Prentice, I. C., Brewer, S., Friedlingstein, P., Harrison‐Prentice, T. I., Inoue, J., Izumi, K., Marlon, J. R., Mooney, S., Power, M. J., Stevenson, J., Tinner, W., Andrič, M., Atanassova, J., Behling, H., Black, M., Blarquez, O., Brown, K. J., Carcaillet, C., Colhoun, E. A., Colombaroli, D., Davis, B. A. S., D'Costa, D., Dodson, J., Dupont, L., Eshetu, Z., Gavin, D. G., Genries, A., Haberle, S., Hallett, D. J., Hope, G., Horn, S. P., Kassa, T. G., Katamura, F., Kennedy, L. M., Kershaw, P., Krivonogov, S., Long, C., Magri, D., Marinova, E., McKenzie, G. M., Moreno, P. I., Moss, P., Neumann, F. H., Norström, E., Paitre, C., Rius, D., Roberts, N., Robinson, G. S., Sasaki, N., Scott, L., Takahara, H., Terwilliger, V., Thevenon, F., Turner, R., Valsecchi, V. G., Vannière, B., Walsh, M., Williams, N., & Zhang, Y.
Affiliations: University of Bristol (GB)
University of Oregon (US)
University of Wyoming (US)
Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (FR)
Osaka City University (JP)
University of Wisconsin–Madison (US)
UNSW Sydney (AU)
American Museum of Natural History (US)
Australian National University (AU)
University of Bern (CH)
Slovenian Academy of Sciences and Arts (SI)
Sofia University "St. Kliment Ohridski" (BG)
University of Göttingen (DE)
Université de Montpellier (FR)
Canadian Forest Service (CA)
University of Newcastle Australia (AU)
École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne (CH)
Monash University (AU)
Australian Nuclear Science and Technology Organisation (AU)
University of Bremen (DE)
Addis Ababa University (ET)
University of Calgary (CA)
University of Tennessee at Knoxville (US)
University of Cologne (DE)
Virginia Tech (US)
University of Wisconsin–Oshkosh (US)
Sapienza University of Rome (IT)
University of Chile (CL)
The University of Queensland (AU)
University of the Witwatersrand (ZA)
Stockholm University (SE)
Université Laval (CA)
Université de Franche-Comté (FR)
University of Plymouth (GB)
Fordham University (US)
Research Institute for Humanity and Nature (JP)
University of the Free State (ZA)
Kyoto Prefectural University (JP)
Université d'Orléans (FR)
University of Geneva (CH)
Government of New South Wales (AU)
Chinese Academy of Sciences (CN)
ORCID: Daniau, A.‐L.
Bartlein, P. J.
Harrison, S. P.
Prentice, I. C.
Brewer, S.
Friedlingstein, P.
Inoue, J.
Izumi, K.
Marlon, J. R.
Mooney, S.
Stevenson, J.
Tinner, W.
Andrič, M.
Atanassova, J.
Behling, H.
Blarquez, O.
Brown, K. J.
Carcaillet, C.
Colombaroli, D.
Davis, B. A. S.
Dodson, J.
Dupont, L.
Eshetu, Z.
Gavin, D. G.
Haberle, S.
Hope, G.
Horn, S. P.
Kennedy, L. M.
Kershaw, P.
Magri, D.
Marinova, E.
Moreno, P. I.
Moss, P.
Neumann, F. H.
Rius, D.
Roberts, N.
Robinson, G. S.
Scott, L.
Takahara, H.
Turner, R.
Valsecchi, V. G.
Vannière, B.
Williams, N.
Venue: Global Biogeochemical Cycles
Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
Published: 2012-10-23
Volume: 26
Issue: 4
Pages: 12 p.
ISSN: 0886-6236 (ISSN-L)
1944-9224
DOI: 10.1029/2011gb004249
OpenAlex: W1689144894
Cited by: 417
References: 74
Citations by year: 2026: 9 · 2025: 19 · 2024: 13 · 2023: 37 · 2022: 24 · 2021: 60 · 2020: 27 · 2019: 30 · 2018: 40 · 2017: 40 · 2016: 33 · 2015: 31 · 2014: 29 · 2013: 23 · 2012: 1
FWCI: 22.60
Type: journal article
Language: en
Open access: green
insu.hal.science
Licence: other-oa
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor (vor)
Locations: Global Biogeochemical Cycles (publishedVersion)
Kölner Universitäts PublikationsServer (Universität zu Köln) (publishedVersion)
Archive ouverte UNIGE (University of Geneva) (publishedVersion)
CentAUR (University of Reading) (acceptedVersion)
HAL (submittedVersion, other-oa)
Lirias (KU Leuven) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
ScholarWorks (Central Washington University) (submittedVersion)
BORIS (University Library Bern) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
Figshare (submittedVersion)
Infoscience (Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne) (submittedVersion)
Infoscience (Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
Institute of Botany, CAS Institutional Repository (submittedVersion)
IRIS Research product catalog (Sapienza University of Rome) (submittedVersion)
ANU Open Research (Australian National University) (submittedVersion)
GoeScholar The Publication Server of the Georg-August-Universität Göttingen (Georg-August-Universität Göttingen) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
Archive ouverte UNIGE (University of Geneva) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
NOVA (University of Newcastle Australia) (submittedVersion)
Funders: National Science Foundation
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
Natural Environment Research Council (quest010001, NE/E006183/1)
Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (22710015)
Topics: Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Fire effects on ecosystems
Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Atmospheric Science › Geology and Paleoclimatology Research
Keywords: biomass burning, fire regimes, paleoclimate, sedimentary charcoal, moisture balance, global warming, burned area, Holocene, fire-climate relationships

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