The DOI matches its Crossref record; 42 of the 42 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Attribution of the Influence of Human‐Induced Climate Change on an Extreme Fire Season
Open accessAbstract
A record 1.2 million ha burned in British Columbia, Canada's extreme wildfire season of 2017. Key factors in this unprecedented event were the extreme warm and dry conditions that prevailed at the time, which are also reflected in extreme fire weather and behavior metrics. Using an event attribution method and a large ensemble of regional climate model simulations, we show that the risk factors affecting the event, and the area burned itself, were made substantially greater by anthropogenic climate change. We show over 95% of the probability for the observed maximum temperature anomalies is due to anthropogenic factors, that the event's high fire weather/behavior metrics were made 2–4 times more likely, and that anthropogenic climate change increased the area burned by a factor of 7–11. This profound influence of climate change on forest fire extremes in British Columbia, which is likely reflected in other regions and expected to intensify in the future, will require increasing attention in forest management, public health, and infrastructure.
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Cites
The Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications, Version 2 (MERRA-2)
Gelaro, R., McCarty, W., Suárez, M. J., Todling, R., Molod, A., Takacs, L., Randles, C. A., Darmenov, A., Bosilovich, M. G., Reichle, R., et al. (2017) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-16-0758.1 · Cited by 9,010
Updated high‐resolution grids of monthly climatic observations – the CRU TS3 .10 Dataset
Harris, I., Jones, P. D., Osborn, T. J., & Lister, D. H. (2014) · International Journal of Climatology · doi:10.1002/joc.3711 · Cited by 6,094
Impact of anthropogenic climate change on wildfire across western US forests
Abatzoglou, J. T., & Williams, A. P. (2016) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1607171113 · Cited by 3,073
Mountain pine beetle and forest carbon feedback to climate change
Kurz, W. A., Dymond, C. C., Stinson, G., Rampley, G. J., Neilson, E. T., Carroll, A. L., Ebata, T., & Safranyik, L. (2008) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature06777 · Cited by 1,934
Implications of changing climate for global wildland fire
Flannigan, M. D., Krawchuk, M. A., de Groot, W. J., Wotton, B. M., & Gowman, L. M. (2009) · International Journal of Wildland Fire · doi:10.1071/wf08187 · Cited by 1,460
The human dimension of fire regimes on Earth
Bowman, D. M. J. S., Balch, J., Artaxo, P., Bond, W. J., Cochrane, M. A., D’Antonio, C. M., DeFries, R., Johnston, F. H., Keeley, J. E., Krawchuk, M. A., et al. (2011) · Journal of Biogeography · doi:10.1111/j.1365-2699.2011.02595.x · Cited by 1,230 · cited 2×
“Humans have long had a direct influence on fire activity (Bowman et al., 2011), and trends in some regions have been strongly impacted by human intervention (Fréjaville & Curt, 2017; Parisien et al., 2016; Turco et al., 2014).”
BackgroundBeck, H. E., van Dijk, A. I. J. M., Levizzani, V., Schellekens, J., Miralles, D. G., Martens, B., & de Roo, A. (2017) · Hydrology and Earth System Sciences · doi:10.5194/hess-21-589-2017 · Cited by 1,108
Climate and wildfire area burned in western U.S. ecoprovinces, 1916–2003
Littell, J. S., McKenzie, D., Peterson, D. L., & Westerling, A. L. (2009) · Ecological Applications · doi:10.1890/07-1183.1 · Cited by 1,053
Arora, V. K., Scinocca, J. F., Boer, G. J., Christian, J. R., Denman, K. L., Flato, G. M., Kharin, V. V., Lee, W. G., & Merryfield, W. J. (2011) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2010gl046270 · Cited by 885
Detecting the effect of climate change on Canadian forest fires
Gillett, N. P., Weaver, A. J., Zwiers, F. W., & Flannigan, M. D. (2004) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2004gl020876 · Cited by 735
Self-citation
Cited by
Global and Regional Trends and Drivers of Fire Under Climate Change
Jones, M. W., Abatzoglou, J. T., Veraverbeke, S., Andela, N., Lasslop, G., Forkel, M., Smith, A. J. P., Burton, C., Betts, R. A., van der Werf, G. R., et al. (2022) · Reviews of Geophysics · doi:10.1029/2020rg000726 · Cited by 1,332
Extreme weather impacts of climate change: an attribution perspective
Clarke, B., Otto, F., Stuart-Smith, R., & Harrington, L. (2022) · Environmental Research: Climate · doi:10.1088/2752-5295/ac6e7d · Cited by 573
Record‐setting climate enabled the extraordinary 2020 fire season in the western United States
Higuera, P. E., & Abatzoglou, J. T. (2021) · Global Change Biology · doi:10.1111/gcb.15388 · Cited by 341
Collins, L., Bradstock, R. A., Clarke, H., Clarke, M. F., Nolan, R. H., & Penman, T. D. (2021) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/abeb9e · Cited by 339
Drivers and Impacts of the Record-Breaking 2023 Wildfire Season in Canada
Jain, P., Barber, Q. E., Taylor, S. W., Whitman, E., Castellanos Acuna, D., Boulanger, Y., Chavardès, R. D., Chen, J., Englefield, P., Flannigan, M., et al. (2024) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-024-51154-7 · Cited by 319
Metadata
- Authors
- Kirchmeier‐Young, M. C., Gillett, N. P., Zwiers, F. W., Cannon, A. J., & Anslow, F. S.
- Venue
- Earth's Future
- Publisher
- American Geophysical Union (AGU)
- Published
- 2019-01
- Volume
- 7
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 2-10
- ISSN
- 2328-4277 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2904160311
- Cited by
- 323
- References
- 42
- FWCI
- 13.67
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
