The DOI matches its Crossref record; 5 of the 5 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Arctic Sea Ice in CMIP6
Open accessAbstract
We examine CMIP6 simulations of Arctic sea‐ice area and volume. We find that CMIP6 models produce a wide spread of mean Arctic sea‐ice area, capturing the observational estimate within the multimodel ensemble spread. The CMIP6 multimodel ensemble mean provides a more realistic estimate of the sensitivity of September Arctic sea‐ice area to a given amount of anthropogenic CO 2 emissions and to a given amount of global warming, compared with earlier CMIP experiments. Still, most CMIP6 models fail to simulate at the same time a plausible evolution of sea‐ice area and of global mean surface temperature. In the vast majority of the available CMIP6 simulations, the Arctic Ocean becomes practically sea‐ice free (sea‐ice area <1 × 10 6 km 2) in September for the first time before the Year 2050 in each of the four emission scenarios SSP1‐1.9, SSP1‐2.6, SSP2‐4.5, and SSP5‐8.5 examined here.
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Cites
Eyring, V., Bony, S., Meehl, G. A., Senior, C. A., Stevens, B., Stouffer, R. J., & Taylor, K. E. (2016) · Geoscientific Model Development · doi:10.5194/gmd-9-1937-2016 · Cited by 11,981
The Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) for CMIP6
O'Neill, B. C., Tebaldi, C., van Vuuren, D. P., Eyring, V., Friedlingstein, P., Hurtt, G., Knutti, R., Kriegler, E., Lamarque, J.-F., Lowe, J., et al. (2016) · Geoscientific Model Development · doi:10.5194/gmd-9-3461-2016 · Cited by 5,241
Improvements in the GISTEMP uncertainty model
Lenssen, N. J. L., Schmidt, G. A., Hansen, J. E., Menne, M. J., Persin, A., Ruedy, R., & Zyss, D. (2019) · Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres · doi:10.1029/2018jd029522 · Cited by 962 · cited 1×
“…the previously demonstrated linear relationships of sea-ice area to cumulative CO2 emissions (Herrington & Zickfeld, 2014; Notz & Stroeve, 2016; Zickfeld et al., 2012) and to GMST (e.g., Gregory et al., 2002; Mahlstein & Knutti, 2012; Rosenblum & Eisenman, 2016; Stroeve & Notz, 2015; Winton, 2011).”
BackgroundVersion 2 of the EUMETSAT OSI SAF and ESA CCI sea-ice concentration climate data records
Lavergne, T., Sørensen, A. M., Kern, S., Tonboe, R., Notz, D., Aaboe, S., Bell, L., Dybkjær, G., Eastwood, S., Gabarro, C., et al. (2019) · The Cryosphere · doi:10.5194/tc-13-49-2019 · Cited by 469 · cited 3×
“For OSI SAF, we used the filled pole hole of the product itself.”
MethodSelf-citationRecent and future changes in Arctic sea ice simulated by the HadCM3 AOGCM
Gregory, J. M., Stott, P. A., Cresswell, D. J., Rayner, N. A., Gordon, C., & Sexton, D. M. H. (2002) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2001gl014575 · Cited by 145
Cited by
Exceeding 1.5°C global warming could trigger multiple climate tipping points
Armstrong McKay, D. I., Staal, A., Abrams, J. F., Winkelmann, R., Sakschewski, B., Loriani, S., Fetzer, I., Cornell, S. E., Rockström, J., & Lenton, T. M. (2022) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.abn7950 · Cited by 1,931
“However, the linear modeled and observed responses suggest that ASSI is unlikely to feature a tipping point beyond which loss would self-perpetuate ( 21 , 36 ).”
InfluentialFuture Climate Change Under SSP Emission Scenarios With GISS‐E2.1
Nazarenko, L. S., Tausnev, N., Russell, G. L., Rind, D., Miller, R. L., Schmidt, G. A., Bauer, S. E., Kelley, M., Ruedy, R., Ackerman, A. S., et al. (2022) · Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems · doi:10.1029/2021ms002871 · Cited by 104
The Tuning Strategy of IPSL‐CM6A‐LR
Mignot, J., Hourdin, F., Deshayes, J., Boucher, O., Gastineau, G., Musat, I., Vancoppenolle, M., Servonnat, J., Caubel, A., Chéruy, F., et al. (2021) · Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems · doi:10.1029/2020ms002340 · Cited by 36
Metadata
- Authors
- Notz, D., & Community, S.
- Venue
- Geophysical Research Letters
- Publisher
- American Geophysical Union (AGU)
- Published
- 2020-05-14
- Volume
- 47
- Issue
- 10
- ISSN
- 0094-8276 (ISSN-L)
- 1944-8007
- OpenAlex
- W3017049878
- Cited by
- 704
- References
- 5
- FWCI
- 32.65
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
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